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The Impact Of Democracy And Corruption On The Debt-Growth Relationship In Developing Countries

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  • JOAO TOVAR JALLES

    (University of Cambridge)

Abstract

The quality of governance, and in particular of the control of corruption and the level of democracy, is tested as a factor influencing the relationship between external debt (borrowing opportunities/constraints) and economic growth in a panel of 72 developing countries over the 1970-2005 period. Countries with lower corruption seem to be able to use and manage their debt better. Moreover, in countries with lower levels of corruption both the positive and negative effects of debt on growth, modelled with non-linear specifications, are significant. Furthermore, evidence cannot support a clear Debt-Laffer curve in our sample. The level of debt at which the effect of debt on growth becomes negative is also higher in countries with lower corruption levels. Finally, panel Granger-causality tests only weakly support the claim that causality runs from debt/institutional quality to growth. Despite our somewhat ambiguous results we conjecture some policy implications within the HIPC initiative and donor¡¯s approach to governance issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Joao Tovar Jalles, 2011. "The Impact Of Democracy And Corruption On The Debt-Growth Relationship In Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 36(4), pages 41-72, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:jed:journl:v:36:y:2011:i:4:p:41-72
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fixed-Effects; System-GMM; Granger-Causality; Political Rights; Governance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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