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The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from U.S. States

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Cited by:

  1. Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What's Up with the Phillips Curve?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
  2. Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," Working Paper Series WP 2020-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  3. Siena Daniele, & Zago Riccardo., 2021. "Job Polarization and the Flattening of the Price Phillips Curve," Working papers 819, Banque de France.
  4. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
  5. Howes, Cooper, 2022. "Why does structural change accelerate in recessions? The credit reallocation channel," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(3), pages 933-952.
  6. Rodnyansky, Alexander & Van der Ghote, Alejandro & Wales, Daniel, 2022. "Product quality, measured inflation and monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2680, European Central Bank.
  7. Drago Bergholt & Francesco Furlanetto & Etienne Vaccaro-Grange, 2023. "Did monetary policy kill the Phillips Curve? Some simple arithmetics," Working Paper 2023/2, Norges Bank.
  8. Karl Whelan, 2021. "Central banks and inflation: where do we stand and how did we get here?," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 18(3), pages 310–330-3, December.
  9. Edward S. Knotek & James Mitchell & Mathieu Pedemonte & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance," Working Papers 24-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  10. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2021_008 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
  12. Makram El-Shagi & Kiril Tochkov, 2023. "Regional Heterogeneity and the Provinicial Phillips Curve in China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2023/3, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
  13. Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2023. "Understanding post-COVID inflation dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 101-118.
  14. Ferri, Piero & Cristini, Annalisa & Tramontana, Fabio, 2023. "Meta-models of the Phillips curve and income distribution," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 215-232.
  15. Lodge, David & Pérez, Javier J. & Albrizio, Silvia & Everett, Mary & De Bandt, Olivier & Georgiadis, Georgios & Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Lastauskas, Povilas & Carluccio, Juan & Parrága, Susana & Carvalho,, 2021. "The implications of globalisation for the ECB monetary policy strategy," Occasional Paper Series 263, European Central Bank.
  16. Christopher D. Cotton & Vaishali Garga, 2022. "The Role of Industrial Composition in Driving the Frequency of Price Change," Working Papers 22-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
  17. Jia, Chengcheng & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2023. "Average inflation targeting: Time inconsistency and ambiguous communication," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 69-86.
  18. Laurence M. Ball & Mr. Daniel Leigh & Ms. Prachi Mishra & Mr. Antonio Spilimbergo, 2021. "Measuring U.S. Core Inflation: The Stress Test of COVID-19," IMF Working Papers 2021/291, International Monetary Fund.
  19. Joshua Bernstein & Rupal Kamdar, 2023. "Rationally Inattentive Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 265-296, April.
  20. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Rossi, Lorenza, 2021. "Asymmetries in monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  21. Kohlscheen, Emanuel & Moessner, Richhild, 2022. "Globalisation and the slope of the Phillips curve," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
  22. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2023. "The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  23. Kozo Ueda, 2023. "Evidence on Price Stickiness in Japan," CARF F-Series CARF-F-570, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
  24. Schuster, Florian & Krahé, Max & Sigl-Glöckner, Philippa, 2021. "Wird die Konjunkturkomponente der Schuldenbremse in ihrer heutigen Ausgestaltung ihrer Aufgabe noch gerecht? Analyse und ein Reformvorschlag," Papers 277885, Dezernat Zukunft - Institute for Macrofinance, Berlin.
  25. Anastasia Burya & Rui Mano & Yannick Timmer & Anke Weber, 2023. "The Wage Phillips Curve under Labor Market Power," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 110-113, May.
  26. Aginta, Harry, 2023. "Revisiting the Phillips curve for Indonesia: What can we learn from regional data?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  27. Carola Binder & Rupal Kamdar, 2022. "Expected and Realized Inflation in Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 131-156, Summer.
  28. Mary C. Daly, 2023. "Forward-Looking Policy in a Real-Time World," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2023(08), pages 1-8, March.
  29. Alexander Doser & Ricardo Nunes & Nikhil Rao & Viacheslav Sheremirov, 2023. "Inflation expectations and nonlinearities in the Phillips curve," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 453-471, June.
  30. Caruso-Bloeck, Martin & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2023. "News of disinflation and firms’ expectations: New causal evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  31. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
  32. Céline Poilly & Fabien Tripier, 2023. "Regional Trade Policy Uncertainty," AMSE Working Papers 2321, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  33. Bruno Albuquerque & Martin Iseringhausen & Frederic Opitz, 2024. "The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2024/023, International Monetary Fund.
  34. Ethan Ilzetzki, 2023. "Learning by necessity: Government demand, capacity constraints, and productivity growth," Discussion Papers 2305, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
  35. de Groot, Oliver & Haas, Alexander, 2023. "The signalling channel of negative interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 87-103.
  36. Wildauer, Rafael & Kohler, Karsten & Aboobaker, Adam & Guschanski, Alexander, 2023. "Energy price shocks, conflict inflation, and income distribution in a three-sector model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
  37. Jing Lian Suah, 2024. "The "plucking" model of the unemployment rate floor: Corss-country estimates and empirics," BIS Working Papers 1159, Bank for International Settlements.
  38. Marijn A Bolhuis & Judd N L Cramer & Lawrence H Summers, 2022. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation [Supply and demand in disaggregated Keynesian economies with an application to the covid-19 crisis]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1073-1100.
  39. Livia Paranhos, 2021. "Predicting Inflation with Recurrent Neural Networks," Papers 2104.03757, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
  40. Han Gao & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2020. "Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money Reloaded," Working Papers 774, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  41. Czudaj, Robert L., 2023. "Expectation Formation and the Phillips Curve Revisited," MPRA Paper 119478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  42. Anton E. Bobrov & Rupal Kamdar & Mauricio Ulate, 2024. "Regional Dissent: Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?," Working Paper Series 2024-05, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  43. Fernando Cirelli & Mark Gertler, 2022. "Economic Winners Versus Losers and the Unequal Pandemic Recession," NBER Working Papers 29713, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  44. Joshua Bernstein & Rupal Kamdar, 2021. "Rationally Inattentive Monetary Policy," CAEPR Working Papers 2021-003 Classification-D, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
  45. Edmond Berisha & Orkideh Gharehgozli & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Inflation-Inequality Puzzle: Is it Still Apparent?," Working Papers 202206, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  46. U. Devrim Demirel & Matthew Wilson, 2023. "Effects of Fiscal Policy on Inflation: Implications of Supply Disruptions and Economic Slack: Working Paper 2023-05," Working Papers 59056, Congressional Budget Office.
  47. Edmond Berisha & Ram Sewak Dubey & Orkideh Gharehgozli, 2023. "Inflation and income inequality: does the level of income inequality matter?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(37), pages 4319-4330, August.
  48. Isabel Gödl-Hanisch, 2023. "Bank Concentration and Monetary Policy Pass-Through," CESifo Working Paper Series 10378, CESifo.
  49. Patrick C. Higgins, 2021. "The Phillips Curve during the Pandemic: Bringing Regional Data to Bear," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2021(11), September.
  50. Adrian Penalver & Daniele Siena, 2021. "The Deflationary Bias of the ZLB and the FED’s Strategic Response," Working papers 843, Banque de France.
  51. Ambrocio, Gene, 2023. "Demographic aging and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2023, Bank of Finland.
  52. Dedola, Luca & Gautier, Erwan & Nakov, Anton & Santoro, Sergio & De Veirman, Emmanuel & Henkel, Lukas & Fagandini, Bruno, 2023. "Some implications of micro price-setting evidence for inflation dynamics and monetary transmission," Occasional Paper Series 321, European Central Bank.
  53. Hazell, Jonathon & Taska, Bledi, 2023. "Downward Rigidity in the Wage for New Hires," IZA Discussion Papers 16512, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  54. Martins, Manuel M.F. & Verona, Fabio, 2023. "Inflation dynamics in the frequency domain," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
  55. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  56. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2021_009 is not listed on IDEAS
  57. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Working Papers 22-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
  58. Pflueger, Carolin & Rinaldi, Gianluca, 2022. "Why does the Fed move markets so much? A model of monetary policy and time-varying risk aversion," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 71-89.
  59. Mai Dao & Allan Dizioli & Chris Jackson & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Mr. Daniel Leigh, 2023. "Unconventional Fiscal Policy in Times of High Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2023/178, International Monetary Fund.
  60. Kilponen, Juha & Vilmunen, Jouko & Vähämaa, Oskari, 2022. "Revisiting intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  61. Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2022. "Understanding the food component of inflation," Papers 2212.09380, arXiv.org.
  62. Choi, Sangyyup & Jeong, Jaehun & Park, Dohyeon & Yoo, Donghoon, 2023. "News or animal spirits? Consumer confidence and economic activity: Redux," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2023, Bank of Finland.
  63. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Ayşegül Şahin, 2022. "The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times," NBER Working Papers 29785, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  64. Yao Chen & Felix Ward, 2022. "Output Divergence in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes: Is the Euro Area Growing Apart?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-031/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
  65. Paranhos, Livia, 2021. "Predicting Inflation with Neural Networks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1344, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  66. Ignazio Visco, 2023. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(2), pages 111-129, September.
  67. Giuliana Passamani & Alessandro Sardone & Roberto Tamborini, 2022. "Inflation puzzles, the Phillips Curve and output expectations: new perspectives from the Euro Zone," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(1), pages 123-153, February.
  68. Dávila-Ospina, Andrés O., 2023. "Hysteresis From Monetary Policy Mistakes: How Bad Could It Be?," Documentos CEDE 21003, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
  69. Ina Hajdini, 2023. "Trend Inflation and Implications for the Phillips Curve," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(07), pages 1-6, April.
  70. Bank of Korea, 2023. "Labour markets and inflation," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation and labour markets, volume 127, pages 195-202, Bank for International Settlements.
  71. Davide Debortoli & Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2020. "Asymmetric monetary policy tradeoffs," Economics Working Papers 1742, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2023.
  72. Anastasia Burya & Rui Mano & Mr. Yannick Timmer & Miss Anke Weber, 2022. "Monetary Policy Under Labor Market Power," IMF Working Papers 2022/128, International Monetary Fund.
  73. Wellmann, Susanne, 2023. "The Phillips curve in the euro area: New evidence using country-level data," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 156, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
  74. Johannes Schuffels & Clemens Kool & Lenard Lieb & Tom van Veen, 2022. "Is the Slope of the Euro Area Phillips Curve Steeper than It Seems? Heterogeneity and Identification," CESifo Working Paper Series 10103, CESifo.
  75. Hassan Afrouzi & Saroj Bhattarai, 2023. "Inflation and GDP Dynamics in Production Networks: A Sufficient Statistics Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 10416, CESifo.
  76. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Eggertsson, Gauti, 2023. "It's Baaack: The Surge in Inflation in the 2020s and the Return of the Non-Linear Phillips Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 18116, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  77. Biolsi, Christopher, 2023. "Do the Hamilton and Beveridge–Nelson filters provide the same information about output gaps? An empirical comparison for practitioners," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  78. Angelo Marsiglia Fasolo & Eurilton Araújo & Marcos Valli Jorge & Alexandre Kornelius & Leonardo Sousa Gomes Marinho, 2023. "Brazilian Macroeconomic Dynamics Redux: Shocks, Frictions, and Unemployment in SAMBA Model," Working Papers Series 578, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  79. Martin DeLuca & Jean-Paul L'Huillier, 2023. "The Long-Run Costs of Higher Inflation," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(17), October.
  80. Dubravko Mihaljek, 2021. "Interactions between fiscal and monetary policies: a brief history of a long relationship," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 45(4), pages 419-432.
  81. Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolo & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  82. Shuichiro Ikeda & Haruhiko Inatsugu & Yui Kishaba & Takuji Kondo & Kenichi Sakura & Kosuke Takatomi & Takashi Nakazawa & Kotone Yamada, "undated". "Inflation in Japan: Changes during the Pandemic and Issues for the Future," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-18, Bank of Japan.
  83. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Papers 2202.04146, arXiv.org.
  84. Kilponen, Juha & Vilmunen, Jouko & Vähämaa, Oskari, 2021. "Revisiting intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model," Research Discussion Papers 9/2021, Bank of Finland.
  85. Isabel Gödl-Hanisch & Manuel Menkhoff, 2023. "Firms’ Pass-Through Dynamics: A Survey Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 10520, CESifo.
  86. Jonathan H. Wright, 2023. "Breaks in the Phillips Curve: Evidence from Panel Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-015, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  87. Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Osbat, Chiara & Smets, Frank, 2021. "Understanding low inflation in the euro area from 2013 to 2019: cyclical and structural drivers," Occasional Paper Series 280, European Central Bank.
  88. Matthew Famiglietti & Carlos Garriga, 2021. "A Simple Evaluation of Two Decades of Inflation Targeting: Lessons for the New Monetary Policy Strategy," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 1, pages 1-3, January.
  89. Alex Hsu & Francisco Palomino & Liang Qian, 2023. "Gone with the Vol: A Decline in Asset Return Predictability During the Great Moderation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 3025-3047, May.
  90. Yui Kishaba & Tatsushi Okuda, 2023. "The Slope of the Phillips Curve for Service Prices in Japan: Regional Panel Data Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 23-E-8, Bank of Japan.
  91. Wenting Liao & Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar, 2024. "Extreme Weather Shocks and State-Level Inflation of the United States," Working Papers 202402, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  92. Holmberg, Johan, 2021. "Earnings and Employment Dynamics: Capturing Cyclicality using Mixed Frequency Data," Umeå Economic Studies 991, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
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