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Globalisation and the Slope of the Phillips Curve

Author

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  • Emanuel Kohlscheen
  • Richhild Moessner

Abstract

We study the effects of globalisation on the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for CPI inflation, based on a broad panel of 35 countries and controlling for possibly non-linear exchange rate effects. We find that the output gap generally has a significant positive effect on inflation, but that this effect decreases as integration in the global economy increases. We conclude that the advance of globalisation has been a key force behind the flattening of price Phillips curves across the world.

Suggested Citation

  • Emanuel Kohlscheen & Richhild Moessner, 2021. "Globalisation and the Slope of the Phillips Curve," CESifo Working Paper Series 9383, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9383
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Cohen, Lior, 2022. "Globalization and Monetary Policy," EconStor Preprints 306556, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Brzozowski, Michał & Siwińska-Gorzelak, Joanna, 2024. "Did robots make wages less responsive to unemployment?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    4. Aginta, Harry, 2023. "Revisiting the Phillips curve for Indonesia: What can we learn from regional data?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    5. Jana Budova & Veronika Sulikova & Marianna Sinicakova, 2023. "When Inflation Again Matters: Do Domestic and Global Output Gaps Determine Inflation in the EU?," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(63), pages 575-575, April.
    6. Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2023. "Estimation of heuristic switching in behavioral macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Miguel Ampudia & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Théodore Renault, 2024. "The wage-price pass-through across sectors: evidence from the euro area," BIS Working Papers 1192, Bank for International Settlements.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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