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Tobias Knedlik

Personal Details

First Name:Tobias
Middle Name:
Last Name:Knedlik
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pkn18
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://www.hs-fulda.de/wirtschaft/ueber-uns/professuren/details/person/prof-dr-tobias-knedlik-92/co
Terminal Degree:2005 Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften; Universität Bremen (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

(5%) Fakulteit Ekonomiese en Bestuurswetenskappe
Universiteit van die Vrystaat

Bloemfontein, South Africa
https://www.ufs.ac.za/econ
RePEc:edi:feuovza (more details at EDIRC)

(5%) Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH)

Halle, Germany
http://www.iwh-halle.de/
RePEc:edi:iwhhhde (more details at EDIRC)

(90%) Fachbereich Wirtschaft
Hochschule Fulda

Fulda, Germany
http://www.hs-fulda.de/index.php?id=175
RePEc:edi:fwffude (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Holtemöller, Oliver & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel, 2018. "Zum Risiko einer Staatsschuldenkrise in Italien," IWH Online 4/2018, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  2. Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias, 2017. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European countries," IWH Discussion Papers 16/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  3. Holtemöller, Oliver & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel, 2013. "Die Europäische Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise: Ursachen, Politikmaßnahmen, Aussichten," IWH Online 3/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  4. El-Shagi, Makram & Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2012. "Predicting Financial Crises: The (Statistical) Significance of the Signals Approach," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  5. Knedlik, Tobias, 2012. "The European Commission’s Scoreboard of Macroeconomic Imbalances – The Impact of Preferences on an Early Warning System," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  6. Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2011. "Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  7. Knedlik, Tobias & Reinowski, Eva, 2008. "The African Growth Gap and the Realization of the MDGs," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Zurich 2008 23, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
  8. Knedlik, Tobias & Scheufele, Rolf, 2007. "Three methods of forecasting currency crises: Which made the run in signaling the South African currency crisis of June 2006?," IWH Discussion Papers 17/2007, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  9. Kronthaler, Franz & Knedlik, Tobias, 2007. "Forced to Freedom? Empirical relations between aid and economic freedom," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Göttingen 2007 19, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
  10. Knedlik, Tobias & Ströbel, Johannes, 2006. "The role of banking portfolios in the transmission from currency crises to banking crises - potential effects of Basel II," IWH Discussion Papers 21/2006, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  11. Knedlik, Tobias, 2006. "Signaling Currency Crises in South Africa," IWH Discussion Papers 19/2006, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  12. Knedlik, Tobias, 2006. "Implementing an International Lender of Last Resort," IWH Discussion Papers 20/2006, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

Articles

  1. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Martina Kämpfe & Tobias Knedlik, 2021. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European Countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 123-139, February.
  2. Oliver Holtemöller & Tobias Knedlik & Axel Lindner, 2018. "On the Risk of a Sovereign Debt Crisis in Italy," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 53(6), pages 316-319, November.
  3. Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Strukturreformen auch in Deutschland erforderlich," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 41-54.
  4. Knedlik, Tobias, 2014. "The impact of preferences on early warning systems — The case of the European Commission's Scoreboard," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 157-166.
  5. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(1), pages 3-4.
  6. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Henn, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in Deutschland gewinnt an Schwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(2), pages 68-101.
  7. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 3-35.
  8. Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Haushaltskrisen berücksichtigen, Lösung der Griechenlandkrise voranbringen," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 38-46.
  9. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft erholt sich seit dem Frühjahr," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(2), pages 102-107.
  10. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 3-32.
  11. El-Shagi, M. & Knedlik, T. & von Schweinitz, G., 2013. "Predicting financial crises: The (statistical) significance of the signals approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 76-103.
  12. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Rückkehr des Vertrauens beflügelt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(2), pages 55-94.
  13. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dove, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(4), pages 144-177.
  14. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 19(1), pages 4-5.
  15. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dovern, Jon, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(8-9), pages 228-258.
  16. Tobias Knedlik & Gregor Von Schweinitz, 2012. "Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(5), pages 726-745, September.
  17. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & El-Shagi, Makram & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, , 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(3), pages 80-113.
  18. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Ludwig, Udo & Schult, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Europäische Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise bringt deutsche Konjunktur ins Stocken," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(1), pages 4-40.
  19. Jari John & Tobias Knedlik, 2011. "New IMF Lending Facilities and Financial Stability in Emerging Markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 225-238, September.
  20. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Dietrich, Diemo & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & El-Shagi, Makram & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel, 2011. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht weiter – Krisenprävention und Krisenmanagement in Europa unter Reformdruck," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(1), pages 6-32.
  21. Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2011. "Zur Aussagekraft von Frühindikatoren für Staatsschuldkrisen in Europa," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(10), pages 364-368.
  22. Oliver Holtemöller & Tobias Knedlik, 2011. "Prävention und Management von Staatsinsolvenzen in der Europäischen Währungsunion," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 91(3), pages 173-178, March.
  23. Diemo Dietrich & Tobias Knedlik & Axel Lindner, 2011. "Central and Eastern European countries in the global financial crisis: a typical twin crisis?," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 415-432, April.
  24. Knedlik, Tobias, 2010. "Im Fokus: Polen in der globalen Finanz- und Konjunkturkrise – Realwirtschaft trotzt mit IWF-Unterstützung den Finanzmarktturbulenzen," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 16(4), pages 192-195.
  25. John, J. & Knedlik, Tobias, 2010. "Reform der Kreditvergabe des IWF erhöht die Stabilität in Schwellenländern," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 16(3), pages 164-173.
  26. Knedlik, Tobias, 2009. "Auch zehn Jahre nach Euro-Einführung kann Wechselkursentwicklung nicht fundamental erklärt werden," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 15(1), pages 59-64.
  27. Tobias Knedlik & Rolf Scheufele, 2008. "Forecasting Currency Crises: Which Methods Signaled The South African Crisis Of June 2006?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(3), pages 367-383, September.
  28. Knedlik, Tobias & Ströbel, Johannes, 2007. "Bankenregulierung: Die Mindesteigenkapitalvorschriften von Basel II verstärken die Übertragung von Währungskrisen auf Bankenkrisen," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 13(8), pages 317-320.
  29. Knedlik, Tobias & Ströbel, Johannes, 2007. "Die Rolle von Kredit-Ratings im Rahmen der Bankenregulierung. Kredit-Ratings antizipieren Währungsrisiken unzureichend," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 13(10), pages 380-384.
  30. Knedlik, Tobias & Ströbel, Johannes, 2007. "Führt neues IWF-Instrument zur Prävention von Währungskrisen?," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 13(7), pages 269-274.
  31. Tobias Knedlik, 2006. "Estimating Monetary Policy Rules For South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(4), pages 629-641, December.
  32. Knedlik, Tobias & Kronthaler, Franz, 2006. "Entwicklungshilfe und ökonomische Freiheit: Besteht ein Zusammenhang?," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 12(11), pages 338-344.
  33. P. Burger & T. Knedlik, 2004. "The Mci As A Monetary Policy Guide In A Small, Open Emerging Market Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 72(2), pages 365-383, June.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. El-Shagi, Makram & Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2012. "Predicting Financial Crises: The (Statistical) Significance of the Signals Approach," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Sarlin, Peter, 2013. "On policymakers' loss function and the evaluation of early warning systems," Working Paper Series 1509, European Central Bank.
    2. Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2011. "Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Martina Kämpfe & Tobias Knedlik, 2021. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European Countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 123-139, February.
    4. Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020. "Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
    5. Yamarik, Steven & El-Shagi, Makram & Yamashiro, Guy, 2016. "Does inequality lead to credit growth? Testing the Rajan hypothesis using state-level data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 63-67.
    6. El-Shagi, Makram & Kelly, Logan, 2019. "What can we learn from country-level liquidity in the EMU?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 75-83.
    7. Knedlik, Tobias, 2013. "The European Commission's Scoreboard of Macroeconomic Imbalances: The impact of preferences on an early warning system," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80028, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2017. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: PLS Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2017-03, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    9. Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi, 2020. "Forecasting Financial Vulnerability in the US: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2020-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    10. Knedlik, Tobias, 2014. "The impact of preferences on early warning systems — The case of the European Commission's Scoreboard," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 157-166.
    11. Sarlin, Peter & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2017. "Optimizing policymakers' loss functions in crisis prediction: before, within or after?," Working Paper Series 2025, European Central Bank.
    12. Stefan Eichler, 2017. "How Do Political Factors Shape the Bank Risk–Sovereign Risk Nexus in Emerging Markets?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 451-474, August.
    13. Popescu, Alexandra & Turcu, Camelia, 2017. "Sovereign debt and systemic risk in the eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 275-284.
    14. El-Shagi, Makram & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Yamarik, Steven, 2020. "Inequality and credit growth in Russian regions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 550-558.
    15. Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi, 2015. "Forecasting Financial Market Vulnerability in the U.S.: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2015-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    16. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "Does machine learning help us predict banking crises?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    17. von Schweinitz, Gregor & Sarlin, Peter, 2015. "Signaling Crises: How to Get Good Out-of-Sample Performance Out of the Early Warning System," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112964, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    18. Markus Holopainen & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Papers 1501.04682, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    19. Tsionas, Mike G. & Mamatzakis, Emmanuel & Ongena, Steven, 2020. "Does risk aversion affect bank output loss? The case of the Eurozone," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(3), pages 1127-1145.
    20. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "An evaluation of early warning models for systemic banking crises: Does machine learning improve predictions?," IWH Discussion Papers 2/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    21. Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2017. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: Partial Least Squares Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2017-14, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    22. Makram El-shagi & Logan J Kelly, 2014. "Liquidity in the liquidity crisis: evidence from Divisia monetary aggregates in Germany and the European crisis countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(1), pages 63-72.
    23. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Gang-Jin Wang & Askery Canabarro & Boris Podobnik & Chi Xie & H. Eugene Stanley & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2016. "Short term prediction of extreme returns based on the recurrence interval analysis," Papers 1610.08230, arXiv.org.
    24. Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2018. "Early Warning System of Government Debt Crises," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1724, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    25. Makram El-Shagi & Axel Lindner & Gregor von Schweinitz, 2016. "Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment in the Euro Area: A Counterfactual Analysis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 37-66, February.
    26. Tomáš Domonkos & Filip Ostrihoň & Ivana Šikulová & Maria Širaňová, 2016. "Analyzing macroeconomic imbalances in the EU," EcoMod2016 9660, EcoMod.
    27. Magnus Saß, 2024. "Detecting excessive credit growth: An approach based on structural counterfactuals," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0046, Berlin School of Economics.
    28. Panayotis Michaelides & Mike Tsionas & Panos Xidonas, 2020. "A Bayesian Signals Approach for the Detection of Crises," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 551-585, September.

  2. Knedlik, Tobias, 2012. "The European Commission’s Scoreboard of Macroeconomic Imbalances – The Impact of Preferences on an Early Warning System," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Marta Götz, 2013. "Reflections on the Eurozone’s Challenges," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 7(4), December.
    2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Das europäische Verfahren zur Vermeidung und Korrektur makroökonomischer Ungleichgewichte: Auswertung der bisherigen Erfahrung und mögliche Reformansätze," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Kim Ristolainen, 2018. "Predicting Banking Crises with Artificial Neural Networks: The Role of Nonlinearity and Heterogeneity," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 120(1), pages 31-62, January.

  3. Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2011. "Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Makram El-Shagi & Gregor von Schweinitz, 2016. "Qual VAR revisited: Good forecast, bad story," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 19, pages 293-322, November.
    2. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Martina Kämpfe & Tobias Knedlik, 2021. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European Countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 123-139, February.
    3. El-Shagi, Makram & Kelly, Logan, 2019. "What can we learn from country-level liquidity in the EMU?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 75-83.
    4. Allado, Armin Paul & Lim, Lance Nicklaus & Tulauan, Nerie Angeli & Abreu, Marvin Kyle & Agabin, Patricia Louise & Regio, Joaquin Charles, 2022. "Construction of an Index Tracker for Debt Sustainability Assessment in the Philippines," ADBI Working Papers 1339, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    5. Knedlik, Tobias, 2013. "The European Commission's Scoreboard of Macroeconomic Imbalances: The impact of preferences on an early warning system," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80028, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Wenting Zhang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Do Machine Learning Techniques and Dynamic Methods Help Forecast US Natural Gas Crises?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-22, May.
    7. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(08), pages 03-64, April.
    8. Knedlik, Tobias, 2014. "The impact of preferences on early warning systems — The case of the European Commission's Scoreboard," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 157-166.
    9. Sarlin, Peter & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2017. "Optimizing policymakers' loss functions in crisis prediction: before, within or after?," Working Paper Series 2025, European Central Bank.
    10. Stefan Eichler, 2017. "How Do Political Factors Shape the Bank Risk–Sovereign Risk Nexus in Emerging Markets?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 451-474, August.
    11. Sarlin, Peter & Holopainen, Markus, 2016. "Toward robust early-warning models: a horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 1900, European Central Bank.
    12. Popescu, Alexandra & Turcu, Camelia, 2017. "Sovereign debt and systemic risk in the eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 275-284.
    13. El-Shagi, Makram & Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2012. "Predicting Financial Crises: The (Statistical) Significance of the Signals Approach," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    14. Dermot Hodson, 2013. "The Eurozone in 2012: ‘Whatever It Takes to Preserve the Euro'?," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51, pages 183-200, September.
    15. Creel, Jérôme & Hubert, Paul & Saraceno, Francesco, 2012. "The European Fiscal Compact: A Counterfactual Assessment," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 27, pages 537-563.
    16. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "Does machine learning help us predict banking crises?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    17. von Schweinitz, Gregor & Sarlin, Peter, 2015. "Signaling Crises: How to Get Good Out-of-Sample Performance Out of the Early Warning System," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112964, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    18. Markus Holopainen & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Papers 1501.04682, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    19. Barbara Jarmulska, 2022. "Random forest versus logit models: Which offers better early warning of fiscal stress?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 455-490, April.
    20. Buch, Claudia M. & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2014. "Do We Need New Modelling Approaches in Macroeconomics?," IWH Discussion Papers 8/2014, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    21. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "An evaluation of early warning models for systemic banking crises: Does machine learning improve predictions?," IWH Discussion Papers 2/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    22. Makram El-shagi & Logan J Kelly, 2014. "Liquidity in the liquidity crisis: evidence from Divisia monetary aggregates in Germany and the European crisis countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(1), pages 63-72.
    23. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Das europäische Verfahren zur Vermeidung und Korrektur makroökonomischer Ungleichgewichte: Auswertung der bisherigen Erfahrung und mögliche Reformansätze," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    24. Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2018. "Early Warning System of Government Debt Crises," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1724, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    25. Makram El-Shagi & Axel Lindner & Gregor von Schweinitz, 2016. "Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment in the Euro Area: A Counterfactual Analysis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 37-66, February.
    26. Catarina Lourenço Soares & Adelaide Maria de Sousa Figueiredo & Fernanda Otília de Sousa Figueiredo, 2014. "Analysis of Public, Private and Financial Sectors in European Countries Through the Statis Methodology," FEP Working Papers 541, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    27. Luigi Bonatti & Andrea Fracasso, 2013. "The German Model and the European Crisis," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(6), pages 1023-1039, November.
    28. Luiza APOSTOL, 2014. "A Set of Ten Relevant Statistical Indicators of Romania’s External Debt Today," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 62(1), pages 67-78, January.
    29. Lanbiao Liu & Chen Chen & Bo Wang, 2022. "Predicting financial crises with machine learning methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 871-910, August.
    30. Magnus Saß, 2024. "Detecting excessive credit growth: An approach based on structural counterfactuals," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0046, Berlin School of Economics.
    31. Panayotis Michaelides & Mike Tsionas & Panos Xidonas, 2020. "A Bayesian Signals Approach for the Detection of Crises," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 551-585, September.
    32. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2012. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufwind – Europäische Schuldenkrise schwelt weiter," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(08), pages 03-72, April.
    33. Rho, Caterina & Saenz, Manrique, 2021. "Financial stress and the probability of sovereign default," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).

  4. Knedlik, Tobias & Scheufele, Rolf, 2007. "Three methods of forecasting currency crises: Which made the run in signaling the South African currency crisis of June 2006?," IWH Discussion Papers 17/2007, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Shynar Shaikh, 2009. "Findings of the Signal Approach for Financial Monitoring in Kazakhstan," CESifo Working Paper Series 2774, CESifo.
    2. Basabi Bhattacharya & Tanima Niyogi Sinha Roy, 2012. "Indicators of Banking Fragility in India: An Empirical Test," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 13(2), pages 265-290, September.

  5. Knedlik, Tobias, 2006. "Signaling Currency Crises in South Africa," IWH Discussion Papers 19/2006, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Haakon Kavli & Kevin Kotzé, 2014. "Spillovers in Exchange Rates and the Effects of Global Shocks on Emerging Market Currencies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(2), pages 209-238, June.
    2. Diemo Dietrich & Tobias Knedlik & Axel Lindner, 2011. "Central and Eastern European countries in the global financial crisis: a typical twin crisis?," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 415-432, April.
    3. Mete Feridun, 2006. "Currency Crises in Emerging Markets: An Application of Signals Approach to Turkey," Discussion Paper Series 2006_26, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Dec 2006.
    4. María José Gil-Moltó & Joanna Poyago-Theotoky & Vasileios Zikos, 2006. "R&D policy and privatization in a mixed oligopoly," Discussion Paper Series 2006_25, Department of Economics, Loughborough University.
    5. Andrew S. Duncan & Guangling Dave Liu, 2009. "Modelling South African Currency Crises as Structural Changes in the Volatility of the Rand," Working Papers 140, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    6. Basabi Bhattacharya & Tanima Niyogi Sinha Roy, 2012. "Indicators of Banking Fragility in India: An Empirical Test," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 13(2), pages 265-290, September.

Articles

  1. Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Strukturreformen auch in Deutschland erforderlich," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 41-54.

    Cited by:

    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(08), pages 03-64, April.

  2. Knedlik, Tobias, 2014. "The impact of preferences on early warning systems — The case of the European Commission's Scoreboard," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 157-166.

    Cited by:

    1. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Martina Kämpfe & Tobias Knedlik, 2021. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European Countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 123-139, February.
    2. Tran Huynh & Silke Uebelmesser, 2022. "Early warning models for systemic banking crises: can political indicators improve prediction?," Jena Economics Research Papers 2022-007, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    3. Tiago Alves & João Amador & Francisco Gonçalves, 2022. "Assessing the scoreboard of the EU macroeconomic imbalances procedure: (machine) learning from decisions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(4), pages 2257-2266.
    4. Pirschel, Inske, 2016. "Forecasting euro area recessions in real-time," Kiel Working Papers 2020, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Gould, David M. & Melecky, Martin & Panterov, Georgi, 2016. "Finance, growth and shared prosperity: Beyond credit deepening," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 737-758.
    6. Buch, Claudia M. & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2014. "Do We Need New Modelling Approaches in Macroeconomics?," IWH Discussion Papers 8/2014, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    7. Sondermann, David & Zorell, Nico, 2019. "A macroeconomic vulnerability model for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2306, European Central Bank.
    8. Ostrihoň, Filip, 2022. "Exploring macroeconomic imbalances through EU Alert Mechanism Reports," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    9. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "An empirical evaluation of macroeconomic surveillance in the European Union," Kiel Working Papers 2014, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Krzysztof Biegun & Jacek Karwowski & Piotr Luty, 2021. "How Effective is Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP) in Predicting Negative Macroeconomic Phenomena?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 3), pages 822-837.
    11. Erhart, Szilard, 2019. "Exposition, climax, denouement: Life-cycle evaluation of the recent financial crisis in the EU by linking the ESRB financial crisis database to the European Commission's Macroeconomic Imbalance Proced," ESRB Working Paper Series 102, European Systemic Risk Board.

  3. Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Haushaltskrisen berücksichtigen, Lösung der Griechenlandkrise voranbringen," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 38-46.

    Cited by:

    1. Baumann, Alexendra & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Publikationen von Wirtschaftsforschungsinstituten im deutschsprachigen Raum - Eine bibliometrische Analyse [Publications of Economic Research Insitutes in the German Speaking Area - A bibliometric ," MPRA Paper 92240, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Drechsel, Katja & Freye, Sabine & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Modelle zur Konjunkturbereinigung und deren Auswirkungen: Kurzgutachten im Auftrag des Landesrechnungshofes Mecklenburg-Vorpommern," IWH Online 2/2014, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

  4. El-Shagi, M. & Knedlik, T. & von Schweinitz, G., 2013. "Predicting financial crises: The (statistical) significance of the signals approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 76-103.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dove, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(4), pages 144-177.

    Cited by:

    1. Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Drygalla, Andrej, 2013. "Internationale Konjunkturprognose und konjunkturelle Stressszenarien für die Jahre 2013 bis 2015," IWH Online 6/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

  6. Tobias Knedlik & Gregor Von Schweinitz, 2012. "Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(5), pages 726-745, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Jari John & Tobias Knedlik, 2011. "New IMF Lending Facilities and Financial Stability in Emerging Markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 225-238, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Claudia M. Buch, 2012. "From the Stability Pact to ESM - What next?," IAW Discussion Papers 85, Institut für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung (IAW).
    2. Adam Hawkins & Jyoti Rahman & Thomas Williamson, 2014. "Is the global financial safety net at a tipping point to fragmentation?," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 1, pages 1-20, April.
    3. Presbitero, Andrea F. & Zazzaro, Alberto, 2012. "IMF Lending in Times of Crisis: Political Influences and Crisis Prevention," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(10), pages 1944-1969.
    4. Essers, Dennis & Ide, Stefaan, 2019. "The IMF and precautionary lending: An empirical evaluation of the selectivity and effectiveness of the Flexible Credit Line," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 25-61.

  8. Oliver Holtemöller & Tobias Knedlik, 2011. "Prävention und Management von Staatsinsolvenzen in der Europäischen Währungsunion," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 91(3), pages 173-178, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(08), pages 03-64, April.
    2. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2013," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 80(43), pages 3-77.
    3. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Deutsche Konjunktur erholt sich – Wirtschaftspolitik stärker an der langen Frist ausrichten," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(08), pages 03-77, April.
    4. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2011. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich fort - Europäische Schuldenkrise noch ungelöst," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(08), pages 03-63, April.
    5. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2011. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2011: Europäische Schuldenkrise belastet deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(20), pages 03-71, October.
    6. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Konjunktur zieht an – Haushaltsüberschüsse sinnvoll nutzen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(20), pages 03-60, October.
    7. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2012. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufwind – Europäische Schuldenkrise schwelt weiter," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(08), pages 03-72, April.

  9. Diemo Dietrich & Tobias Knedlik & Axel Lindner, 2011. "Central and Eastern European countries in the global financial crisis: a typical twin crisis?," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 415-432, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Martina Kämpfe & Tobias Knedlik, 2021. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European Countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 123-139, February.
    2. Gábor Dávid Kiss & Tamás Schuszter, 2015. "The Euro Crisis and Contagion among Central and Eastern European Currencies: Recommendations for Avoiding Lending in a Safe Haven Currency such as CHF," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(6), pages 678-698.
    3. Carraresi, Laura & Banterle, Alessandro, 2015. "Agri-food Competitive Performance in EU Countries: A Fifteen-Year Retrospective," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 18(2), pages 1-26, May.
    4. Vrchota Jaroslav & Frantíková Zuzana & Vlčková Miroslava, 2019. "Why Some SME’s in the Czech Republic Adopt Telework and Others Not?," European Countryside, Sciendo, vol. 11(4), pages 599-615, December.
    5. Teuta Ismaili Muharremi, 2015. "Currency Crisis Revisited: A Literature Review," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 11(6), pages 117-124, December.
    6. Egert Juuse & Rainer Kattel, 2014. "Financialisation and the Financial and Economic Crises: The Case of Estonia," FESSUD studies fstudy20, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    7. Vollmer Uwe, 2016. "The Asymmetric Implementation of the European Banking Union (EBU): Consequences for Financial Stability," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 50(1), pages 7-26, June.
    8. Paola Bongini & Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska & Paweł Smaga & Bartosz Witkowski, 2018. "In search of a measure of banking sector distress: empirical study of CESEE banking sectors," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 242-257, August.

  10. John, J. & Knedlik, Tobias, 2010. "Reform der Kreditvergabe des IWF erhöht die Stabilität in Schwellenländern," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 16(3), pages 164-173.

    Cited by:

    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2010: Erholung setzt sich fort – Risiken bleiben groß," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(08), pages 03-78, April.

  11. Tobias Knedlik & Rolf Scheufele, 2008. "Forecasting Currency Crises: Which Methods Signaled The South African Crisis Of June 2006?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(3), pages 367-383, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2011. "Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    2. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Martina Kämpfe & Tobias Knedlik, 2021. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European Countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 123-139, February.
    3. Haakon Kavli & Kevin Kotzé, 2014. "Spillovers in Exchange Rates and the Effects of Global Shocks on Emerging Market Currencies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(2), pages 209-238, June.
    4. Diemo Dietrich & Tobias Knedlik & Axel Lindner, 2011. "Central and Eastern European countries in the global financial crisis: a typical twin crisis?," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 415-432, April.
    5. Daniel King & Ferdi Botha, 2014. "Modelling Stock Return Volatility Dynamics in Selected African Markets," Working Papers 410, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    6. El-Shagi, Makram & Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2012. "Predicting Financial Crises: The (Statistical) Significance of the Signals Approach," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    7. Fiona Tregenna & Kabeya C. Mulamba, 2019. "Spatial dependence of per capita property tax income in South Africa," Working Papers 202, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    8. Andrew S. Duncan & Guangling Dave Liu, 2009. "Modelling South African Currency Crises as Structural Changes in the Volatility of the Rand," Working Papers 140, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    9. Duncan, Andrew S. & Kabundi, Alain, 2013. "Domestic and foreign sources of volatility spillover to South African asset classes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 566-573.
    10. Panayotis Michaelides & Mike Tsionas & Panos Xidonas, 2020. "A Bayesian Signals Approach for the Detection of Crises," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 551-585, September.

  12. Tobias Knedlik, 2006. "Estimating Monetary Policy Rules For South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(4), pages 629-641, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Stan du Plessis & Ben Smit & Federico Sturzenegger, 2008. "Identifying Aggregate Supply and Demand Shocks in South Africa," CID Working Papers 164, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    2. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paya, Ivan, 2012. "Forecasting monetary policy rules in South Africa," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 446-455.
    3. Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "Real Effects Of Monetary Policy In Large Emerging Economies," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(S2), pages 190-212, September.
    4. Stan Du Plessis & Ben Smit & Federico Sturzenegger, 2007. "The Cyclicality Of Monetary And Fiscal Policy In South Africa Since 1994," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(3), pages 391-411, September.
    5. ?lyas ??klar & Burhan Do?an, 2015. "Monetary Condition Index with Time Varying Weights: An Application to Turkish Data," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 117-132, June.
    6. Stan du Plessis & Ben Smit & Federico Sturzenegger, 2008. "Identifying Aggregate Supply and Demand Shocks in South Africa †," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 17(5), pages 765-793, November.
    7. Fredj Jawadi & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Monetary Policy Rules in the BRICS: How Important is Nonlinearity?," NIPE Working Papers 18/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    8. H.a. Mitchell‐innes & M.j. Aziakpono & A.p. Faure, 2007. "Inflation Targeting And The Fisher Effect In South Africa: An Empirical Investigation," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(4), pages 693-707, December.
    9. Bui Thanh Trung, 2022. "Measuring Monetary Policy in Emerging Economy: The Role of Monetary Condition Index," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(6), pages 499-522, June.

  13. P. Burger & T. Knedlik, 2004. "The Mci As A Monetary Policy Guide In A Small, Open Emerging Market Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 72(2), pages 365-383, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Gan, Pei-Tha, 2014. "The precise form of financial integration: Empirical evidence for selected Asian countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 208-219.
    2. Wai Ching Poon, 2010. "Augmented MCi: AN Indicator Of Monetary Policy Stance For ASEAN-5?," Monash Economics Working Papers 25-10, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    3. Pei-Tha Gan, 2014. "The Optimal Economic Uncertainty Index: A Grid Search Application," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 159-182, February.
    4. Wai Ching Poon, 2010. "Testing Transmission Mechanisms on Economic Growth in Malaysia," Monash Economics Working Papers 26-10, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    5. Knedlik, Tobias, 2006. "Implementing an International Lender of Last Resort," IWH Discussion Papers 20/2006, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    6. Wai-Ching Poon, 2010. "A monetary policy rule: The augmented Monetary Conditions Index for Philippines using UECM and bounds tests," Monash Economics Working Papers 04-10, Monash University, Department of Economics.

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 4 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2014-02-02 2017-11-19
  2. NEP-AFR: Africa (1) 2007-12-01
  3. NEP-DEV: Development (1) 2007-12-01
  4. NEP-GER: German Papers (1) 2018-09-24
  5. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (1) 2017-11-19
  6. NEP-TRA: Transition Economics (1) 2017-11-19

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