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Konjunktur zieht an – Haushaltsüberschüsse sinnvoll nutzen

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  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose

Abstract

Am 17. Oktober 2013 stellten die Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute der Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Herbstgutachten der Presse vor. Sie gehen davon aus, dass die deutsche Wirtschaft vor einem Aufschwung steht. Getragen wird er von der Binnennachfrage. Das sich bessernde weltwirtschaftliche Umfeld und eine abnehmende Unsicherheit beflügeln die Investitionen. Der private Konsum profitiert von günstigen Beschäftigungs- und Einkommensaussichten. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird im Jahr 2014 um 1,8% expandieren nach nur 0,4% in diesem Jahr. Die Verbraucherpreise dürften dabei moderat um 1,6% in diesem und um 1,9% im kommenden Jahr steigen. Der Staatshaushalt dürfte weiterhin einen Überschuss aufweisen.

Suggested Citation

  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Konjunktur zieht an – Haushaltsüberschüsse sinnvoll nutzen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(20), pages 03-60, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:66:y:2013:i:20:p:03-60
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    Cited by:

    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(08), pages 03-64, April.
    2. Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Drygalla, Andrej, 2013. "Internationale Konjunkturprognose und konjunkturelle Stressszenarien für die Jahre 2013 bis 2015," IWH Online 6/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Alexander Eck & Johannes Steinbrecher, 2014. "Aktualisierung der Einnahmeprojektion für den Freistaat Sachsen – Erneut höhere Einnahmen im Ausgangsjahr," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(01), pages 33-35, February.
    4. Arno Städtler, 2014. "Investitionen klar auf Wachstumskurs – Leasingklima stark verbessert," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(06), pages 36-39, March.
    5. Arno Städtler, 2013. "Investitionen 2013 noch rückläufig – Leasinggeschäft stagniert, 2014: Wachstum in Sicht," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(23), pages 68-78, December.
    6. Christian Breuer, 2014. "Steuermehreinnahmen, Mindestlohn und kalte Progression," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(11), pages 38-42, June.
    7. Thomas Strobel, 2015. "Schwache Investitionen und Tertiärisierung der Wirtschaftsstruktur in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(01), pages 43-49, January.
    8. Thomas Strobel & Arno Städler, 2014. "Abwärtstrend der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen gestoppt – 2014 kräftiges Wachstum erwartet," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(01), pages 52-54, January.

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    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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