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Aktualisierung der Einnahmeprojektion für den Freistaat Sachsen – Erneut höhere Einnahmen im Ausgangsjahr

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Eck
  • Johannes Steinbrecher

Abstract

Das Sächsische Staatsminiterium der Finanzen hat das ifo Institut mit einer jährlichen Projektionsrechnung für die ordentlichen Einnahmen des Freistaates Sachsen bis zum Jahr 2025 beauftragt. Die Ergebnisse basieren in der kurzen Frist auf der angepassten Steuerschätzung des Freistaats Sachsen und in der langen Frist auf einer Potenzialschätzung zum Bruttoinlandsprodukt der Niederlassung Dresden des ifo Instituts. Im vorliegenden Artikel stellen die Autoren die Ergebnisse der aktuellen Projektionsrechnung auf Basis der Steuerschätzung vom November 2013 dar und vergleichen diese mit den Ergebnissen auf Basis der Steuerschätzung vom Mai 2013, welche auch in der Mittelfristigen Finanzplanung des Freistaates Sachsen ausgewiesen werden. Langfristig sind beide Projektionsrechnungen sehr ähnlich: Insbesondere durch das Abschmelzen ostspezifischer Transfers wird es bis zum Jahr 2025 real zu einem deutlichen Einnahmerückgang im Freistaat Sachsen kommen.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Eck & Johannes Steinbrecher, 2014. "Aktualisierung der Einnahmeprojektion für den Freistaat Sachsen – Erneut höhere Einnahmen im Ausgangsjahr," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(01), pages 33-35, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:21:y:2014:i:01:p:33-35
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifoDD_14-01_33-35.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Economy Picking Up – Put Budget Surpluses To Good Use," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(20), pages 03-60, October.
    2. Alexander Eck & Johannes Steinbrecher & Christian Thater, 2012. "Langfristige Entwicklung der Landeseinnahmen des Freistaates Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 19(04), pages 31-38, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. David Bauer & Carolin Fritzsche & Johannes Steinbrecher, 2016. "Weiterhin rückläufige Landeseinnahmen im Freistaat Sachsen: Die Ergebnisse der Projektionder sächsischen Landeseinnahmen bis zum Jahr 2030," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 23(02), pages 10-14, April.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

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