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Publications

by alumni of

School of Management
Yale University
New Haven, Connecticut (United States)

These are publications listed in RePEc written by alumni of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service and listed in the RePEc Genealogy. List of alumni. For a list of publications by current members of the department, see here. Register yourself.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.

| Working papers | Journal articles | Books | Chapters |

Working papers

2024

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Akiko Watanabe & Masahiro Watanabe, 2024. "Procyclical Stocks Earn Higher Returns," NBER Working Papers 32509, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Dasol Kim & Robert J. Shiller, 2024. "Emotions and Subjective Crash Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 32589, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Tobias J. Moskowitz & Chase P. Ross & Sharon Y. Ross & Kaushik Vasudevan, 2024. "Quantities and Covered-Interest Parity," NBER Working Papers 32707, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2023

  1. Dong Huang & William N. Goetzmann, 2023. "Selection-Neglect in the NFT Bubble," NBER Working Papers 31498, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. David Le Bris & William N. Goetzmann & Sébastien Pouget, 2023. "Convergent Evolution Toward the Joint-Stock Company," NBER Working Papers 31821, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Ye Li & Chen Wang, 2023. "Valuation Duration of the Stock Market," Papers 2310.07110, arXiv.org.

2022

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Akiko Watanabe & Masahiro Watanabe, 2022. "Evidence on Retrieved Context: How History Matters," NBER Working Papers 29849, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Akiko Watanabe & Masahiro Watanabe, 2022. "Cohort Effects on Expected Co-Movement," NBER Working Papers 29949, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Dasol Kim & Robert J. Shiller, 2022. "Crash Narratives," NBER Working Papers 30195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Chase P. Ross, 2022. "The Collateral Premium and Levered Safe-Asset Production," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-046, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  5. Chase P. Ross & Landon J. Ross, 2022. "Cash-Hedged Stock Returns," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-055, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  6. Gary B. Gorton & Chase P. Ross & Sharon Y. Ross, 2022. "Making Money," NBER Working Papers 29710, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Gary B. Gorton & Elizabeth C. Klee & Chase P. Ross & Sharon Y. Ross & Alexandros P. Vardoulakis, 2022. "Leverage and Stablecoin Pegs," NBER Working Papers 30796, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2021

  1. Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn & Goetzmann, William & Spaenjers, Christophe, 2021. "Real and Private Value Assets," CEPR Discussion Papers 16083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Silvia Iorgova, 2021. "Investor Information and Bank Instability During the Euro Crisis," IMF Working Papers 2021/005, International Monetary Fund.

2019

  1. David Le Bris & William Goetzmann & Sébastien Pouget, 2019. "The present value relation over six centuries: The case of the Bazacle company," Post-Print hal-02281530, HAL.

2018

  1. Li, Ye & Wang, Chen, 2018. "Rediscover Predictability: Information from the Relative Prices of Long-Term and Short-Term Dividends," Working Paper Series 2018-16, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.

2017

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Dasol Kim, 2017. "Negative Bubbles: What Happens After a Crash," NBER Working Papers 23830, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2016

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Dasol Kim & Robert J. Shiller, 2016. "Crash Beliefs From Investor Surveys," NBER Working Papers 22143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2015

  1. David Le Bris & William N. Goetzmann & Sébastien Pouget, 2015. "The Development of Corporate Governance in Toulouse: 1372-1946," NBER Working Papers 21335, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. William N. Goetzmann, 2015. "Bubble Investing: Learning from History," NBER Working Papers 21693, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. William Goetzmann & Simon Huang, 2015. "Momentum in Imperial Russia," NBER Working Papers 21700, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2014

  1. Spaenjers , Christophe & Goetzmann , William, 2014. "The Economics of Aesthetics and Three Centuries of Art Price Records," HEC Research Papers Series 1055, HEC Paris.
  2. David le Bris & William N. Goetzmann & Sébastien Pouget, 2014. "Testing Asset Pricing Theory on Six Hundred Years of Stock Returns: Prices and Dividends for the Bazacle Company from 1372 to 1946," NBER Working Papers 20199, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2012

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Sharon Oster, 2012. "Competition Among University Endowments," NBER Working Papers 18173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2011

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Luc Renneboog & Christophe Spaenjers, 2011. "Art and Money," Post-Print hal-00623450, HAL.
  2. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Benoît B. Mandelbrot & Adlai J. Fisher, 2011. "Large Deviation Theory and the Distribution of Price Changes," Working Papers hal-00601869, HAL.
  3. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Benoît B. Mandelbrot & Adlai J. Fisher, 2011. "Multifractality of US Dollar/Deutsche Mark Exchange Rates," Working Papers hal-00601871, HAL.

2010

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Frank Newman, 2010. "Securitization in the 1920's," NBER Working Papers 15650, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2009

  1. Dion Bongaerts & K.J. Martijn Cremers & William N. Goetzmann, 2009. "Tiebreaker: Certification and Multiple Credit Ratings," NBER Working Papers 15331, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Rik G.P. Frehen & William N. Goetzmann & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 2009. "New Evidence on the First Financial Bubble," NBER Working Papers 15332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Douglas W. Blackburn & William N. Goetzmann & Andrey D. Ukhov, 2009. "Risk Aversion and Clientele Effects," NBER Working Papers 15333, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. William N. Goetzmann & Liang Peng & Jacqueline Yen, 2009. "The Subprime Crisis and House Price Appreciation," NBER Working Papers 15334, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Stephen Brown & William Goetzmann & Bing Liang & Christopher Schwarz, 2009. "Trust and Delegation," NBER Working Papers 15529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. A. Fisher & Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet, 2009. "Multifractal Volatility: Theory, Estimation and Forecasting," Post-Print hal-00495925, HAL.

2008

  1. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2008. "Multifrequency jump-diffusions: An equilibrium approach," Post-Print hal-00459681, HAL.
  2. Laurent E. Calvet & Adlai Fisher, 2008. "Multifractal Volatility: Theory, Forecasting and Pricing," Post-Print hal-00671877, HAL.
  3. Gao, Pingyang, 2008. "Disclosure Quality, Cost of Capital, and Investors’ Welfare," MPRA Paper 9478, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2008.

2007

  1. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2007. "Multifrequency news and stock returns," Post-Print hal-00459675, HAL.
  2. Gao, Pingyang, 2007. "Keynesian Beauty Contest, Accounting Disclosure, and Market Efficiency," MPRA Paper 9480, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2007.

2006

  1. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher & Samuel B. Thompson, 2006. "Volatility Comovement: a multifrequency approach," Post-Print hal-00459667, HAL.

2005

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Andrey Ukhov, 2005. "British Investment Overseas 1870-1913: A Modern Portfolio Theory Approach," NBER Working Papers 11266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Ravi Dhar & William Goetzmann, 2005. "Bubble Investors: What Were They Thinking?," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm446, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Aug 2006.
  3. William Goetzmann & Roger Ibbotson, 2005. "History and the Equity Risk Premium," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm448, Yale School of Management.
  4. William Goetzmann, 2005. "More Social Security, Not Less," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm449, Yale School of Management.
  5. William N. Goetzmann & Stephen J. Brown, 2005. "Performance Persistence," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm451, Yale School of Management.
  6. William N. Goetzmann & Alok Kumar, 2005. "Why Do Individual Investors Hold Under-Diversified Portfolios?," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm454, Yale School of Management.
  7. Jeffrey Fisher & William Goetzmann, 2005. "The Performance of Real Estate Portfolios: A Simulation Approach," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm456, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jun 2005.
  8. Ravi Dhar & William Goetzmann, 2005. "Institutional Perspectives on Real Estate Investing: The Role of Risk and Uncertainty," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm457, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jul 2005.

2004

  1. Goetzmann, William & Massa, Massimo & Simonov, Andrei, 2004. "Portfolio Diversification, Proximity Investment and City Agglomeration," CEPR Discussion Papers 4786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Goetzmann, William & Massa, Massimo, 2004. "Disposition Matters: Volume, Volatility and Price Impact of Behavioural Bias," CEPR Discussion Papers 4814, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Goetzmann, William & Massa, Massimo, 2004. "Dispersion of Opinion and Stock Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 4819, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. William N. Goetzmann & Massimo Massa & Andrei Simonov, 2004. "Portfolio Diversification and City Agglomeration," NBER Working Papers 10343, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. William N. Goetzmann, 2004. "Fibonacci and the Financial Revolution," NBER Working Papers 10352, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. William N. Goetzmann & Vicente Pons-Sanz & S. Abraham Ravid, 2004. "Soft Information, Hard Sell: The Role of Soft Information in the Pricing of Intellectual Property," NBER Working Papers 10468, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. William N. Goetzmann & Stephen J. Brown & James M. Park, 2004. "Conditions for Survival: Changing Risk and the Performance of Hedge Fund Managers and CTAs," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm10, Yale School of Management.
  8. William N. Goetzmann & Andrey Ukhov & Ning Zhu, 2004. "China and the World Financial Markets 1870-1930:Modern Lessons From Historical Globalization (Chinese Version)," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm12, Yale School of Management.
  9. William N. Goetzmann & Matthew I. Spiegel & Andrey Ukhov, 2004. "Modeling and Measuring Russian Corporate Governance: The Case of Russian Preferred and Common Shares (English version)," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm25, Yale School of Management.
  10. Ravi Dhar & William Goetzmann & Ning Zhu & EFA Moscow, 2004. "The Impact of Clientele Changes: Evidence from Stock Splits," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm369, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Sep 2009.
  11. William Goetzmann & Elisabeth Köll, 2004. "The History of Corporate Ownership in China: State Patronage, Company Legislation, and the Issue of Control," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm450, Yale School of Management.
  12. Arturo Bris & William Goetzmann & Ning Zhu, 2004. "Short-Sales in Global Perspective," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm453, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Sep 2009.
  13. William Goetzmann, 2004. "Will History Rhyme? The Past as Financial Future," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm455, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jul 2004.
  14. William N. Goetzmann & Andrey Ukhov & Ning Zhu, 2004. "China and the World Financial Markets 1870-1930:," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm9, Yale School of Management.
  15. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2004. "How to Forecast Long-Run Volatility: Regime Switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes," Post-Print hal-00478472, HAL.
  16. Ron Giammarino & Murray Carlson & Adlai Fisher, 2004. "Corporate Investment and Asset Price Dynamics: Implications for Post-SEO Performance," 2004 Meeting Papers 812, Society for Economic Dynamics.

2003

  1. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Bing Liang, 2003. "Fees on Fees in Funds of Funds," NBER Working Papers 9464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Ning Zhu, 2003. "Rain or Shine: Where is the Weather Effect?," NBER Working Papers 9465, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Ning Zhu & Arturo Bris, 2003. "Efficiency and the Bear: Short Sales and Markets around the World," NBER Working Papers 9466, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. William N. Goetzmann & Matthew Spiegel & Andrey Ukhov, 2003. "Modeling and Measuring Russian Corporate Governance: The Case of Russian Preferred and Common Shares," NBER Working Papers 9469, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Takato Hiraki & Noriyoshi Shirishi & Masahiro Watanabe, 2003. "Investor Sentiment in Japanese and U.S. Daily Mutual Fund Flows," NBER Working Papers 9470, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. William Goetzmann & Liang Peng, 2003. "Estimating Indices in the Presence of Seller Reservation Prices," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm352, Yale School of Management, revised 01 May 2003.
  7. Andrew Caplin & William Goetzmann & Eric Hangen & Barry Nalebuff & Elisabeth Prentice & John Rodkin & Matthew Spiegel & Tom Skinner, 2003. "Home Equity Insurance: A Pilot Project," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm372, Yale School of Management, revised 23 Jan 2006.
  8. William Goetzmann & Matthew Spiegel & Andrey Ukhov, 2003. "Modeling and Measuring Russian Corporate Governance: The Case of Russian Preferred and Common Shares (Russian Version)," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm402, Yale School of Management.
  9. Alok Kumar & William N. Goetzmann, 2003. "Diversification Decisions of Individual Investors and Asset Prices," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm441, Yale School of Management.
  10. Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher, 2003. "Regime-Switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1999, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.

2002

  1. William Goetzmann & Jonathan Ingersoll & Matthew I. Spiegel & Ivo Welch, 2002. "Sharpening Sharpe Ratios," NBER Working Papers 9116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Stephen J. Brown & Takato Hiraki & Noriyoshi Shiraishi, 2002. "An Analysis of the Relative Performance of Japanese and Foreign Money Management," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm306, Yale School of Management.
  3. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2002. "Multifractality in Asset Returns: Theory and Evidence," Post-Print hal-00478175, HAL.

2001

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Liang Peng, 2001. "The Bias of the RSR Estimator and the Accuracy of Some Alternatives," NBER Technical Working Papers 0270, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann, 2001. "Hedge Funds With Style," NBER Working Papers 8173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Lingfeng Li & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 2001. "Long-Term Global Market Correlations," NBER Working Papers 8612, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. William N. Goetzmann & Alok Kumar, 2001. "Equity Portfolio Diversification," NBER Working Papers 8686, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. William N. Goetzmann & Andrey Ukhov, 2001. "China and the World Financial Markets 1870-1930: Modern Lessons From Historical Globalization," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 01-30, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
  6. Massimo Massa & William Goetzmann, 2001. "Heterogeneity of Trade and Stock Returns. Evidence from Index Fund Investors," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm176, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Nov 2001.
  7. William N. Goetzmann & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2001. "High-Water Marks and Hedge Fund Management Contracts," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm186, Yale School of Management.
  8. Massimo Massa & William Goetzmann, 2001. "Dispersion of Opinion and Stock Returns: Evidence from Index Fund Investors," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm227, Yale School of Management, revised 01 May 2003.
  9. William Goetzmann & Andrey Ukhov & Ning Zhu, 2001. "China and the World Financial Markets 1870-1930: Modern Lessons From Historical Globalization (English Version)," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm242, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Sep 2009.

2000

  1. Bradford Case & William N. Goetzmann & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 2000. "Global Real Estate Markets - Cycles and Fundamentals," NBER Working Papers 7566, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Massimo Massa, 2000. "Daily Momentum and Contrarian Behavior of Index Fund Investors," NBER Working Papers 7567, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Massimo Massa & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 2000. "Behavioral Factors in Mutual Fund Flows," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm135, Yale School of Management.
  4. William Goetzmann & Zoran Ivkovich & K. Rouwenhorst, 2000. "Day Trading International Mutual Funds: Evidence And Policy Solutions," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm138, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jun 2001.
  5. William N. Goetzmann & Roger G. Ibbotson & Liang Peng, 2000. "A New Historical Database For The NYSE 1815 To 1925: Performance And Predictability," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm154, Yale School of Management.
  6. William Goetzmann & Matthew Spiegel, 2000. "The Policy Implications of Portfolio Choice in Underserved Mortgage Markets," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm161, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Mar 2001.

1999

  1. Evan G. Gatev & William N. Goetzmann & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 1999. "Pairs Trading: Performance of a Relative Value Arbitrage Rule," NBER Working Papers 7032, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Massimo Massa, 1999. "Index Funds and Stock Market Growth," NBER Working Papers 7033, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. William Goetzmann & Matthew Spiegel & Susan Wachter, 1999. "Do Cities and Suburbs Cluster?," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm115, Yale School of Management, revised 01 May 1999.
  4. Stanley Garstka & William Goetzmann, 1999. "The Development Of Corporate Performance Measures: Benchmarks Before EVA," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm121, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jan 2001.
  5. Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher, 1999. "Forecasting Multifractal Volatility," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-017, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  6. Adlai Fisher, 1999. "Multivariate Stock Returns Around Extreme Events: A Reassessment of Economic Fundamentals and the 1987 Market Crash," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-071, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.

1998

  1. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Roger G. Ibbotson, 1998. "Offshore Hedge Funds: Survival & Performance 1989-1995," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 98-011, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  2. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Takato Hiraki & Toshiyuki Otsuki & Noriyoshi Shiraishi, 1998. "The Japanese Open-End Fund Puzzle," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 98-012, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  3. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Alok Kumar, 1998. "The Dow Theory: William Peter Hamilton's Track Record Re-Considered," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 98-013, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  4. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & James M. Park, 1998. "Hedge Funds and the Asian Currency Crisis of 1997," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 98-014, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  5. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Mark Grinblatt, 1998. "Positive Portfolio Factors," NBER Working Papers 6412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. William N. Goetzmann & Jonathan Ingersoll, Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 1998. "High Water Marks," NBER Working Papers 6413, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. William N. Goetzmann & Stephen J. Brown, 1998. "Mutual Fund Styles," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm40, Yale School of Management.
  8. Philippe Jorion & William N. Goetzmann, 1998. "A Longer Look at Dividend Yields," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm41, Yale School of Management.
  9. William N. Goetzmann & Roger G. Ibbotson, 1998. "An Emerging Market: The NYSE From 1815 to 1871," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm49, Yale School of Management.
  10. William N. Goetzmann & Susan M. Wachter, 1998. "Clustering Methods for Real Estate Portfolios," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm59, Yale School of Management.
  11. William Goetzmann, 1998. "The Effect of Seller Reserves on Market Index Estimation," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm61, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Aug 2000.
  12. David Geltner & William Goetzmann, 1998. "Two Decades Of Commercial Property Returns: A NCREIF Index Using Independent Appraisals," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm82, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jan 2001.
  13. William Goetzmann & Jonathan Ingersoll & Zoran Ivkovich, 1998. "Monthly Measurement of Daily Timers," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm88, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Oct 2000.
  14. Stephen Brown & William Goetzmann & Takato Hiraki & Toshiyuki Otsuki & Noriyoshi Shiraishi, 1998. "The Open-End Japanese Mutual Fund Puzzle," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm89, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Apr 2008.

1997

  1. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Roger G. Ibbotson, 1997. "Offshore Hedge Funds: Survival and Performance 1989-1995," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 96-18, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Philippe Jorion, 1997. "A Century of Global Stock Markets," NBER Working Papers 5901, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Philippe Jorion, 1997. "Re-emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 5906, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Benoit Mandelbrot & Adlai Fisher & Laurent Calvet, 1997. "A Multifractal Model of Asset Returns," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1164, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  5. Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher & Benoit Mandelbrot, 1997. "Large Deviations and the Distribution of Price Changes," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1165, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  6. Adlai Fisher & Laurent Calvet & Benoit Mandelbrot, 1997. "Multifractality of Deutschemark/US Dollar Exchange Rates," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1166, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

1996

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Brent W. Ambrose, 1996. "Risks and Incentives in Underserved Mortgage Markets," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm62, Yale School of Management.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Matthew I. Spiegel & Susan M. Wachter, 1996. "Suburbs and Cities," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm63, Yale School of Management.

1995

  1. William N. Goetzmann and Matthew Spiegel., 1995. "A Spatial Model of Housing Returns and Neighborhood Substitutability," Research Program in Finance Working Papers RPF-253, University of California at Berkeley.

1993

  1. Goetzmann, W.N., 1993. "Attrition and Mutual Fund Performance," Papers 93-01, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  2. Edwards, F. & Goetzmann, W., 1993. "Commodity Funds as an Investment Asset," Papers 93-19, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.

1992

  1. Goetzmann, W.N. & Spiegel, M., 1992. "Non-temporal Components of Residential Real Estate Appreciation," Papers 92-20, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  2. Broadie, M. & Goetzmann, W., 1992. "Safety First Portfolio Choice," Papers 92-23, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  3. Goetzmann, W.N. & Greenward, B. & Huberman, G., 1992. "Market Response to Mutual Fund Performance," Papers 92-25, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  4. Goetzman, W.N. & Jorion, P., 1992. "Testing the Predictive Power of Dividend Yields," Papers 93-03, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.

1991

  1. Goetzmann, W.N. & Wachter, S., 1991. "Clustering Methods and Commercial Rents," Papers fb-22, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.

1990

  1. Goetzmann, W.N., 1990. "Accounting For Taste: An Analysis Of Art Returns Over Three Centuries," Papers fb-_90-11, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  2. Goetzmann, W.N., 1990. "Bootstrapping Tests Of Long-Term Stock Market Efficiency," Papers fb-_90-14, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  3. Goetzmann, W.N., 1990. "The Single Family Home In The Investment Portfolio," Papers fb-_90-15, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  4. Goetzmann, W.N., 1990. "The Accuracy Of Real Estimate Indices: Repeat Sale Estimators," Papers fb-_90-17, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  5. Goetzmann, W.N. & Ibbotson, R.G., 1990. "Do Winners Repeat? Patterns in Mutual Fund Behavior," Papers fb-_91-04, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.

Journal articles

2022

  1. Adlai Fisher & Charles Martineau & Jinfei Sheng, 2022. "Macroeconomic Attention and Announcement Risk Premia," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(11), pages 5057-5093.

2020

  1. Gary B. Gorton & Andrew Metrick & Chase P. Ross, 2020. "Who Ran on Repo?," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 487-492, May.

2019

  1. le Bris, David & Goetzmann, William N. & Pouget, Sébastien, 2019. "The present value relation over six centuries: The case of the Bazacle company," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 248-265.
  2. Laurie Cameron & William N. Goetzmann & Milad Nozari, 2019. "Art and gender: market bias or selection bias?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 43(2), pages 279-307, June.
  3. Metrick, Andrew, 2019. "European Central Bank Tools and Policy Actions A: Open Market Operations, Collateral Expansion and Standing Facilities," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 1(3), pages 57-81, March.
  4. Metrick, Andrew, 2019. "European Central Bank Tools and Policy Actions B: Asset Purchase Programs," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 1(3), pages 82-112, March.

2018

  1. Andrew Ang & Andrés Ayala & William N. Goetzmann, 2018. "Investment beliefs of endowments," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(1), pages 3-33, January.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Dasol Kim, 2018. "Negative bubbles: What happens after a crash," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(2), pages 171-191, March.
  3. Andrew Ang & Bingxu Chen & William N. Goetzmann & Ludovic Phalippou, 2018. "Estimating Private Equity Returns from Limited Partner Cash Flows," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(4), pages 1751-1783, August.
  4. David Le Bris & William N. Goetzmann & Sébastien Pouget, 2018. "Les compagnies de moulins en Occitanie : émergence et gouvernance de sociétés par actions multiséculaires," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(2), pages 55-69.
  5. Goetzmann, William N. & Huang, Simon, 2018. "Momentum in Imperial Russia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 579-591.
  6. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J. & Wu, Liuren, 2018. "Staying on Top of the Curve: A Cascade Model of Term Structure Dynamics," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(2), pages 937-963, April.

2016

  1. Goetzmann, William N. & Jones, Peter W. & Maggioni, Mauro & Walden, Johan, 2016. "Beauty is in the bid of the beholder: An empirical basis for style," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(3), pages 388-402.
  2. Oliver Boguth & Murray Carlson & Adlai Fisher & Mikhail Simutin, 2016. "Horizon Effects in Average Returns: The Role of Slow Information Diffusion," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(8), pages 2241-2281.

2015

  1. Spaenjers, Christophe & Goetzmann, William N. & Mamonova, Elena, 2015. "The economics of aesthetics and record prices for art since 1701," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 79-94.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Dasol Kim & Alok Kumar & Qin Wang, 2015. "Weather-Induced Mood, Institutional Investors, and Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(1), pages 73-111.
  3. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fearnley, Marcus & Fisher, Adlai J. & Leippold, Markus, 2015. "What is beneath the surface? Option pricing with multifrequency latent states," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 498-511.

2014

  1. Douglas W. Blackburn & William N. Goetzmann & Andrey D. Ukhov, 2014. "Is trading behavior stable across contexts? Evidence from style and multi-style investors," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 605-627, April.
  2. Carlson, Murray & Dockner, Engelbert J. & Fisher, Adlai & Giammarino, Ron, 2014. "Leaders, Followers, and Risk Dynamics in Industry Equilibrium," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(2), pages 321-349, April.

2013

  1. Frehen, Rik G.P. & Goetzmann, William N. & Geert Rouwenhorst, K., 2013. "New evidence on the first financial bubble," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(3), pages 585-607.
  2. William Goetzmann & S. Ravid & Ronald Sverdlove, 2013. "The pricing of soft and hard information: economic lessons from screenplay sales," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 37(2), pages 271-307, May.
  3. Gao, Pingyang, 2013. "A measurement approach to conservatism and earnings management," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 251-268.
  4. Pingyang Gao & Pierre Jinghong Liang, 2013. "Informational Feedback, Adverse Selection, and Optimal Disclosure Policy," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(5), pages 1133-1158, December.

2012

  1. Dion Bongaerts & K. J. Martijn Cremers & William N. Goetzmann, 2012. "Tiebreaker: Certification and Multiple Credit Ratings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(1), pages 113-152, February.
  2. Brown, Stephen & Goetzmann, William & Liang, Bing & Schwarz, Christopher, 2012. "Trust and delegation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 221-234.
  3. William Goetzmann & Liang Peng & Jacqueline Yen, 2012. "The Subprime Crisis and House Price Appreciation," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 36-66, January.

2011

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Luc Renneboog & Christophe Spaenjers, 2011. "Art and Money," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 222-226, May.
  2. Ang, Andrew & Goetzmann, William N. & Schaefer, Stephen M., 2011. "The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence: Implications for Active Investment Management," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 5(3), pages 157-242, June.
  3. Boguth, Oliver & Carlson, Murray & Fisher, Adlai & Simutin, Mikhail, 2011. "Conditional risk and performance evaluation: Volatility timing, overconditioning, and new estimates of momentum alphas," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(2), pages 363-389.
  4. Bhamra, Harjoat S. & Fisher, Adlai J. & Kuehn, Lars-Alexander, 2011. "Monetary policy and corporate default," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(5), pages 480-494.

2010

  1. Murray Carlson & Adlai Fisher & Ron Giammarino, 2010. "SEO Risk Dynamics," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(11), pages 4026-4077, November.

2008

  1. Stephen Brown & William Goetzmann & Bing Liang & Christopher Schwarz, 2008. "Mandatory Disclosure and Operational Risk: Evidence from Hedge Fund Registration," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(6), pages 2785-2815, December.
  2. William N. Goetzmann & Alok Kumar, 2008. "Equity Portfolio Diversification," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 12(3), pages 433-463.
  3. Adlai Fisher & Robert Heinkel, 2008. "Reputation and Managerial Truth‐Telling as Self‐Insurance," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 489-540, June.
  4. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J., 2008. "Multifrequency jump-diffusions: An equilibrium approach," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 207-226, January.
  5. Pingyang Gao, 2008. "Keynesian Beauty Contest, Accounting Disclosure, and Market Efficiency," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 785-807, September.

2007

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Andrey D. Ukhov & Ning Zhu, 2007. "China and the world financial markets 1870–1939: Modern lessons from historical globalization1," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 60(2), pages 267-312, May.
  2. Arturo Bris & William N. Goetzmann & Ning Zhu, 2007. "Efficiency and the Bear: Short Sales and Markets Around the World," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1029-1079, June.
  3. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J., 2007. "Multifrequency news and stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 178-212, October.

2006

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Andrey D. Ukhov, 2006. "British Investment Overseas 1870-1913: A Modern Portfolio Theory Approach," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 10(2), pages 261-300.
  2. Evan Gatev & William N. Goetzmann & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 2006. "Pairs Trading: Performance of a Relative-Value Arbitrage Rule," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(3), pages 797-827.
  3. William Goetzmann & Liang Peng, 2006. "Estimating House Price Indexes in the Presence of Seller Reservation Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 88(1), pages 100-112, February.
  4. Murray Carlson & Adlai Fisher & Ron Giammarino, 2006. "Corporate Investment and Asset Price Dynamics: Implications for SEO Event Studies and Long‐Run Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1009-1034, June.
  5. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J. & Thompson, Samuel B., 2006. "Volatility comovement: a multifrequency approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 179-215.

2005

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Ning Zhu, 2005. "Rain or Shine: Where is the Weather Effect?," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 11(5), pages 559-578, November.
  2. Goetzmann, William N. & Massa, Massimo, 2005. "Dispersion of opinion and stock returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 324-349, August.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Lingfeng Li & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 2005. "Long-Term Global Market Correlations," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(1), pages 1-38, January.

2003

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Jonathan E. Ingersoll & Stephen A. Ross, 2003. "High‐Water Marks and Hedge Fund Management Contracts," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1685-1718, August.
  2. Brown, Stephen J. & Goetzmann, William N. & Hiraki, Takato & Shiraishi, Noriyoshi, 2003. "An analysis of the relative performance of Japanese and foreign money management," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 393-412, September.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Massimo Massa, 2003. "Index Funds and Stock Market Growth," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 76(1), pages 1-28, January.

2002

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Liang Peng, 2002. "The Bias of the RSR Estimator and the Accuracy of Some Alternatives," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 13-39.
  2. Goetzmann, William N. & Massa, Massimo, 2002. "Daily Momentum and Contrarian Behavior of Index Fund Investors," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(3), pages 375-389, September.
  3. Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher, 2002. "Multifractality In Asset Returns: Theory And Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(3), pages 381-406, August.

2001

  1. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & James Park, 2001. "Careers and Survival: Competition and Risk in the Hedge Fund and CTA Industry," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(5), pages 1869-1886, October.
  2. Goetzmann, William N. & Ivković, Zoran & Rouwenhorst, K. Geert, 2001. "Day Trading International Mutual Funds: Evidence and Policy Solutions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(3), pages 287-309, September.
  3. Goetzmann, William N. & Ibbotson, Roger G. & Peng, Liang, 2001. "A new historical database for the NYSE 1815 to 1925: Performance and predictability," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 1-32, January.
  4. Brown, Stephen J & Goetzmann, William N & Hiraki, Takato & Otsuki, Toshiyuki & Shiraishi, Noriyoshi, 2001. "The Japanese Open-End Fund Puzzle," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74(1), pages 59-77, January.
  5. Calvet, Laurent & Fisher, Adlai, 2001. "Forecasting multifractal volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 27-58, November.

2000

  1. Goetzmann, William N. & Ingersoll, Jonathan & Ivković, Zoran, 2000. "Monthly Measurement of Daily Timers," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(3), pages 257-290, September.
  2. Geltner, David & Goetzmann, William, 2000. "Two Decades of Commercial Property Returns: A Repeated-Measures Regression-Based Version of the NCREIF Index," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 5-21, July.

1999

  1. Philippe Jorion & William N. Goetzmann, 1999. "Global Stock Markets in the Twentieth Century," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(3), pages 953-980, June.
  2. Goetzmann, William N. & Jorion, Philippe, 1999. "Re-Emerging Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(1), pages 1-32, March.
  3. Brown, Stephen J & Goetzmann, William N & Ibbotson, Roger G, 1999. "Offshore Hedge Funds: Survival and Performance, 1989-95," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 72(1), pages 91-117, January.

1998

  1. Ambrose, Brent W. & Goetzmann, William N., 1998. "Risks and Incentives in Underserved Mortgage Markets," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 274-285, September.

1997

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Nadav Peles, 1997. "Cognitive Dissonance And Mutual Fund Investors," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 20(2), pages 145-158, June.
  2. Brown, Stephen J. & Goetzmann, William N., 1997. "Mutual fund styles," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 373-399, March.
  3. Goetzmann, William N & Spiegel, Matthew, 1997. "A Spatial Model of Housing Returns and Neighborhood Substitutability," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 14(1-2), pages 11-31, Jan.-Marc.
  4. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Roger G. Ibbotson & Stephen A. Ross, 1997. "Rejoinder: The J-Shape Of Performance Persistence Given Survivorship Bias," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(2), pages 167-170, May.

1995

  1. Brown, Stephen J & Goetzmann, William N, 1995. "Performance Persistence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 679-698, June.
  2. Brown, Stephen J & Goetzmann, William N & Ross, Stephen A, 1995. "Survival," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(3), pages 853-873, July.
  3. William N. Goetzmann & Susan M. Wachter, 1995. "Clustering Methods for Real Estate Portfolios," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 23(3), pages 271-310, September.
  4. Goetzmann, William N & Spiegel, Matthew, 1995. "Non-temporal Components of Residential Real Estate Appreciation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 77(1), pages 199-206, February.
  5. Goetzmann, William N & Jorion, Philippe, 1995. "A Longer Look at Dividend Yields," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 68(4), pages 483-508, October.

1994

  1. Abraham, Jesse M. & Goetzmann, William N. & Wachter, Susan M., 1994. "Homogeneous Groupings of Metropolitan Housing Markets," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 186-206, September.

1993

  1. Goetzmann, William N, 1993. "Accounting for Taste: Art and the Financial Markets over Three Centuries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1370-1376, December.
  2. Goetzmann, William Nelson & Jorion, Philippe, 1993. "Testing the Predictive Power of Dividend Yields," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(2), pages 663-679, June.
  3. Goetzmann, William Nelson, 1993. "The Single Family Home in the Investment Portfolio," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 201-222, May.
  4. Goetzmann, William Nelson, 1993. "Patterns in Three Centuries of Stock Market Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66(2), pages 249-270, April.

1992

  1. Goetzmann, William Nelson, 1992. "The Accuracy of Real Estate Indices: Repeat Sale Estimators," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 5-53, March.

1990

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Roger G. Ibbotson, 1990. "The Performance Of Real Estate As An Asset Class," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 3(1), pages 65-76, March.

1988

  1. Steven P. Feinstein & William N. Goetzmann, 1988. "The effect of the \"triple witching hour\" on stock market volatility," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Sep, pages 2-18.

Books

2016

  1. William N. Goetzmann, 2016. "Money Changes Everything: How Finance Made Civilization Possible," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10662.

2008

  1. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J., 2008. "Multifractal Volatility," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780121500139.

2006

  1. Goetzmann, William N. & Ibbotson, Roger G., 2006. "The Equity Risk Premium: Essays and Explorations," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195148145, Decembrie.

2005

  1. Goetzmann, William N. & Rouwenhorst, K. Geert (ed.), 2005. "The Origins of Value: The Financial Innovations that Created Modern Capital Markets," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195175714, Decembrie.

Chapters

2016

  1. William N. Goetzmann, 2016. "Introduction," Introductory Chapters, in: Money Changes Everything: How Finance Made Civilization Possible, Princeton University Press.

2014

  1. Rik Frehen & William N. Goetzmann & K. Geert Rouwenhorst, 2014. "Dutch Securities for American Land Speculation in the Late Eighteenth Century," NBER Chapters, in: Housing and Mortgage Markets in Historical Perspective, pages 287-304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2013

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Sharon Oster, 2013. "Competition among University Endowments," NBER Chapters, in: How the Financial Crisis and Great Recession Affected Higher Education, pages 99-126, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

2011

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Sebastien Pouget, 2011. "A Shareholder Lawsuit in Fourteenth-Century Toulouse," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Jonathan G S Koppell (ed.), Origins of Shareholder Advocacy, chapter 0, pages 215-229, Palgrave Macmillan.

2005

  1. William N. Goetzmann & Elisabeth Koll, 2005. "The History of Corporate Ownership in China: State Patronage, Company Legislation, and the Issue of Control," NBER Chapters, in: A History of Corporate Governance around the World: Family Business Groups to Professional Managers, pages 149-184, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Bing Liang, 2005. "Fees On Fees In Funds Of Funds," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: H Gifford Fong (ed.), The World Of Hedge Funds Characteristics and Analysis, chapter 7, pages 141-160, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

2003

  1. Sharon Oster & William N. Goetzmann, 2003. "Does Governance Matter? The Case of Art Museums," NBER Chapters, in: The Governance of Not-for-Profit Organizations, pages 71-100, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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