IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/jfinqa/v53y2018i02p937-963_00.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Staying on Top of the Curve: A Cascade Model of Term Structure Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Calvet, Laurent E.
  • Fisher, Adlai J.
  • Wu, Liuren

Abstract

This paper specifies term structure dynamics by a recursive cascade of heterogeneously persistent factors. The cascade naturally orders economic shocks by their adjustment speeds, and generates smooth interest-rate curves in closed form. For a class of specifications, the number of parameters is invariant to the size of the state space, and the term structure converges to a stochastic limit as the state dimension goes to infinity. High-dimensional specifications fit observed term structure almost perfectly, match the observed low correlation between movements in different maturities, and produce stable interest-rate forecasts that outperform lower-dimensional specifications.

Suggested Citation

  • Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J. & Wu, Liuren, 2018. "Staying on Top of the Curve: A Cascade Model of Term Structure Dynamics," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(2), pages 937-963, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:53:y:2018:i:02:p:937-963_00
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022109018000030/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Grobys, Klaus, 2023. "A multifractal model of asset (in)variances," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Zhiguang Wang & Brice Dupoyet, 2019. "A dimension‐invariant cascade model for VIX futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1214-1227, October.
    3. Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2023. "Decomposing Long Bond Returns: A Decentralized Theory," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(3), pages 997-1026.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:53:y:2018:i:02:p:937-963_00. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/jfq .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.