1. D. Sornette & W. -X. Zhou, 2004. "Non-parametric Determination of Real-Time Lag Structure between Two Time Series: the "Optimal Thermal Causal Path" Method," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0408166, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
2. Pardey, Philip G. & Craig, Barbara, 1987. "Dynamics Of The Agricultural Research And Output Relationship," Staff Papers 13515, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics. [Downloadable!]
3. Marc-André Gosselin & Greg Tkacz, 2001. "Evaluating Factor Models: An Application to Forecasting Inflation in Canada," Working Papers 01-18, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
4. Nai-fu Chen & Thomas Copeland & David Mayers, 1987. "A Comparison of Single and Multifactor Portfolio Performance Methodologies (formerly WP #13-83)," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1196, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
5. McCrorie, J.R. & Chambers, M.J., 2004. "Granger causality and the sampling of economic processes," Discussion Paper 39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
   Other versions:
   • McCrorie, J. Roderick & Chambers, Marcus J., 2006. "Granger causality and the sampling of economic processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 311-336, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
6. Jones, Rodney & Kastens, Terry, 1999. "Predicting Feeding Cost Of Gain With More Precision," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21506, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
7. David Hauner & Kornélia Krajnyák & Martin Mühleisen & Bennett Sutton & Stephan Danninger, 2005. "How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?," IMF Working Papers 05/66, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
8. Francisco F. R. Ramos, 1996. "Causality Among Sales,Advertising and Prices: New Evidence from a Multivariate Cointegrated System," Econometrics 9612004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
9. Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2008. "Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets," NBER Working Papers 14601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
   Other versions:
   • Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2009. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Working Paper Series 1030, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
10. Stuart Fraser & David Paton, 2003. "Does advertising increase labour supply? Time series evidence from the UK," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(11), pages 1357-1368, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
11. Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe, 2005. "Short-Run Italian GDP Forecasting and Real-Time Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 5302, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
12. Goodwin, Barry K., 1992. "Forecasting Cattle Prices In The Presence Of Structural Change," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(02), December. [Downloadable!]
13. Lusk, Jayson & Norwood, Bailey & Brorsen, Wade, 2004. "Forecasting Limited Dependent Variables: Better Statistics For Better Steaks," 2004 Annual Meeting, February 14-18, 2004, Tulsa, Oklahoma 34612, Southern Agricultural Economics Association. [Downloadable!]
14. Kenneth D. West & Todd Clark, 2006. "Approximately Normal Tests for Equal Predictive Accuracy in Nested Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models," Research Working Paper RWP 05-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
    • Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2007. "Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 291-311, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
15. Óscar Bajo Rubio & Simón Sosvilla Rivero & Fernando Fernández Rodríguez, 2000. "Asymmetry In The Ems: New Evidence Based On Non-Linear Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra 0001, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Oscar Bajo-Rubio & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Fernado Fernández-Rodríguez, . "Asymmetry in the EMS: New evidence based on non-linear forecasts," Working Papers 97-24, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
    • Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon & Fernandez-Rodriguez, Fernando, 2001. "Asymmetry in the EMS: New evidence based on non-linear forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 451-473, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
16. Daniel Peña & Ismael Sánchez, 2001. "New In-Sample Prediction Errors In Time Series With Applications," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws011107, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
17. Brorsen, B. Wade & Irwin, Scott H., 1996. "Improving The Relevance Of Research On Price Forecasting And Marketing Strategies," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 25(1), April. [Downloadable!]
18. Kenneth D. West & Michael W. McCracken, 1998. "Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability," NBER Technical Working Papers 0226, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • West, Kenneth D & McCracken, Michael W, 1998. "Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 817-40, November.
19. Norwood, Bailey & Schroeder, Ted C., 2000. "Usefulness Of Placement – Weight Data In Forecasting Fed Cattle Marketings And Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(01), April. [Downloadable!]
20. Didier Sornette & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2005. "Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the 'optimal thermal causal path’ method," Quantitative Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(6), pages 577-591, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
21. Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2004. "Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis," Research Working Paper RWP 04-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2006. "Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 155-186. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
22. Raymond Y.C. Tse, Sivaguru Ganesan, 1997. "Causal relationship between construction flows and GDP: evidence from Hong Kong," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 371-376, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
23. Österholm, Pär, 2009. "Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data," Working Paper 112, National Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
24. Shroeder, Ted C. & Mintert, James, 1988. "Hedging Feeder Steers And Heifers In The Cash-Settled Feeder Cattle Futures Market," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(02), December. [Downloadable!]
25. Helge Berger & Thomas Harjes, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area?," IMF Working Papers 09/17, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
26. Jae H. Kim, 2005. "Investigating the advertising-sales relationship in the Lydia Pinkham data: a bootstrap approach," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 347-354, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
27. Ekaterini Panopoulou, 2006. "The predictive content of financial variables: Evidence from the euro area," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp178, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
28. Khosrow Doroodian & Barry J. Seldon, 1991. "Advertising and Cigarette Consumption," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 17(3), pages 359-366, Jul-Sep. [Downloadable!]
29. Edgar Weissenberger & J. Thomas, 1983. "The causal role of money in West Germany," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 119(1), pages 64-83, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
30. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2002. "In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3671, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • Lutz Kilian & Atsushi Inoue, 2002. "In-Sample or out-of-sample tests of predictability: which one should we use?," Working Paper Series 195, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
31. Bryant, Henry & Haigh, Michael, 2001. "Estimating Actual Bid-Ask Spreads In Commodity Futures Markets," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20707, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
32. Norman R. Swanson, 2000. "An Out of Sample Test for Granger Causality," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0362, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
33. Raymond Y.C. Tse, John Raftery, 2001. "The effects of money supply on construction flows," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 9-17, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
34. Anne Péguin-Feissolle & Birgit Strikholm & Timo Teräsvirta, 2008. "Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form," CREATES Research Papers 2008-19, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Péguin-Feissolle, Anne & Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 672, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
35. Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. & Kelley, Brian W., 2008. "El Paso Housing Sector Econometric Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(01), April. [Downloadable!]
36. R.W. Hafer & Scott E. Hein, 1989. "Comparing futures and survey forecasts of near-term Treasury bill rates," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 33-42. [Downloadable!]
37. Todd E. Clark, 2000. "Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?," Research Working Paper RWP 00-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Todd E. Clark, 2004. "Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 115-139. [Downloadable!]
38. Todd E. Clark & Michael McCracken, 1999. "Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1241, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2000. "Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0319, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    • Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 1999. "Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models," Research Working Paper 99-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
    • Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2001. "Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 85-110, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
39. Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003. "Some Recent Developments in Predictive Accuracy Testing With Nested Models and (Generic) Nonlinear Alternatives," Departmental Working Papers 200316, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2004. "Some recent developments in predictive accuracy testing with nested models and (generic) nonlinear alternatives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 185-199. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
40. Goddard, Ellen & Shank, Ben & Panter, Chris & Nilsson, Tomas & Cash, Sean, 2007. "Canadian Chicken Industry: Consumer Preferences, Industry Structure and Producer Benefits from Investment in Research and Advertising," Project Report Series 52088, University of Alberta, Department of Rural Economy. [Downloadable!]
41. R.W. Hafer & Scott E. Hein, 1988. "Forecasting inflation using interest rate and time-series models: some international evidence," Working Papers 1988-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Hafer, R W & Hein, Scott E, 1990. "Forecasting Inflation Using Interest-Rate and Time-Series Models: Some International Evidence," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(1), pages 1-17, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
42. Bradshaw, Girard W. & Orden, David, 1990. "Granger Causality From The Exchange Rate To Agricultural Prices And Export Sales," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(01), July. [Downloadable!]
43. Matthias R. Greuner, David R. Kamerschen, Peter G. Klein, 2000. "The Competitive Effects of Advertising in the US Automobile Industry, 1970–94," International Journal of the Economics of Business, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 245-261, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
44. Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Using Out-of-Sample Mean Squared Prediction Errors to Test the Martingale Difference," NBER Technical Working Papers 0305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
45. Khurshid Kiani & Terry Kastens, 2008. "Testing Forecast Accuracy of Foreign Exchange Rates: Predictions from Feed Forward and Various Recurrent Neural Network Architectures," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 383-406, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
46. Kastens, Terry & Schroeder, Ted C., 1994. "Cattle Feeder Behavior And Feeder Cattle Placements," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(02), December. [Downloadable!]
47. Brorsen, B. Wade & Akridge, Jay T. & Boland, Michael A. & Mauney, Sean & Forrest, John C., 1998. "Performance Of Alternative Component Pricing Systems For Pork," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(02), December. [Downloadable!]
48. Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators Under Real-Time Conditions," Kiel Working Papers 1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 54(4), pages 293-318.
49. Kastens, Terry L. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1996. "Efficiency Tests Of July Kansas City Wheat Futures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 21(02), December. [Downloadable!]
50. Schumacher, Sara K. & Marsh, Thomas L., 2002. "Economies Of Scale In The Greenhouse Floriculture Industry," 2002 Annual Meeting, July 28-31, 2002, Long Beach, California 36577, Western Agricultural Economics Association. [Downloadable!]
51. R. D. Brooks & R. W. Faff & M. McKenzie, 2002. "Time varying country risk: an assessment of alternative modelling techniques," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 249-274, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
52. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2007. "Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series 2007:30, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2008. "Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," IMF Working Papers 08/53, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
53. Elam, Emmett W. & Holder, Shelby H., 1985. "An Evaluation Of The Rice Outlook And Situation Price Forecasts," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(02), December. [Downloadable!]
54. Francis X. Diebold & Robert S. Mariano, 1994. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," NBER Technical Working Papers 0169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-44, January.
    • Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 1995. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 253-63, July.
55. Henry L. Bryant & Michael S. Haigh, 2004. "Bid-ask spreads in commodity futures markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(13), pages 923-936, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
56. McIntosh, Christopher S. & Bessler, David A., 1988. "Forecasting Agricultural Prices Using A Bayesian Composite Approach," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(02), December. [Downloadable!]
57. Palm, F.C., 1981. "Structural econometric modelling and time series analysis towards an integrated approach," Serie Research Memoranda 0004, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics. [Downloadable!]
58. Leo Krippner, 1998. "Testing the predictive power of New Zealand bank bill futures rates," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G98/8, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
59. Thomas Fullerton & Roberto Tinajero & Jorge Mendoza Cota, 2007. "An Empirical Analysis of Tijuana Water Consumption," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 35(3), pages 357-369, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
60. Joseph H. Haslag & Scott E. Hein, 1988. "Evidence on the two monetary base measures and economic activity," Research Paper 8810, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
61. Nunes, Mauricio & Da Silva, Sergio, 2005. "Política Monetária e Relação entre PIB Real e Mercado de Ações na Economia Brasileira
    [Monetary policy and the relationship between real GDP and stockmarket in the Brazilian economy]," MPRA Paper 4158, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
62. Thomas Fullerton & Roberto Tinajero & Martha Barraza de Anda, 2006. "Short-Term Water Consumption Patterns in Ciudad Juárez, Mexico," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 34(4), pages 467-479, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
63. Günther Rehme & Sara-Frederike Weisser, 2007. "Advertising, Consumption and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation," Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics 178, Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (Department of Economics), Technische Universität Darmstadt (Darmstadt University of Technology). [Downloadable!]
64. Bryant, Henry L. & Haigh, Michael S., 2002. "Bid-Ask Spreads In Commodity Futures Markets," Working Papers 28587, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics. [Downloadable!]
65. Wohlgenant, Michael K. & Mullen, John D., 1987. "Modeling The Farm-Retail Price Spread For Beef," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 12(02), December. [Downloadable!]
66. Francisco F. R. Ramos, 1996. "Forecasting market shares using VAR and BVAR models: A comparison of their forecasting performance," Econometrics 9601003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
67. Khurshid M. Kiani & Prasad V. Bidarkota & Terry L. Kastens, 2005. "Forecast performance of neural networks and business cycle asymmetries," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 1(4), pages 205-210, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
68. Boyer, Marcel & Laffont, Jean-Jacques, 1987. "Une analyse économique de l’usage de faux prix réguliers en publicité," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 63(2), pages 153-168, juin et s. [Downloadable!]

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