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Causality Among Sales,Advertising and Prices: New Evidence from a Multivariate Cointegrated System

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Author Info
Francisco F. R. Ramos (Faculty of Economics University of Porto Portugal)

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Abstract

The main purpose of this paper is to discern the dynamic causal relationships (in the Granger (temporal) sense) among sales, advertising and prices in the context of the Portuguese car market. The present research (based on multiple cointegration tests preceded by various unit root or non-stationarity tests) is one of the first attempts at putting the sales-marketing mix analysis within a multivariate cointegrated system. The results, based on a three-step procedure (cointegration, VECM and VDCs) confirm that a strong one-way relationship (A->S, A->P) between advertising and sales (prices) is complemented by a feedback relationship (S<->P) between sales and prices.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Econometrics with number 9612004.

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Length: 12 pages
Date of creation: 09 Dec 1996
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:9612004

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Related research
Keywords: Car market; cointegration analysis; Granger-causality; marketing-mix; variance decompositions; vector error-correction model;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
D49 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - Other
M31 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Marketing
M37 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Advertising

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Ashley, R & Granger, C W J & Schmalensee, R, 1980. "Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(5), pages 1149-67, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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