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A new approach to tests of pricing-to-market

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  • Byrne, Joseph P.
  • Kortava, Ekaterina
  • MacDonald, Ronald

Abstract

This study proposes a new approach to tests of pricing-to-market, which defines the responsiveness of export prices to currency movements. Pricing-to-market parameters may be susceptible to time variation, and we account for this in a novel theoretical and empirical contribution to the literature. We extend the benchmark model of pricing-to-market to account for instability in the relationship between export prices and exchange rates. Moreover, using an empirical methodology robust to parameter instability, we examine the forecasting performance of a pricing-to-market model. In doing so we apply a selection of model mis-specification tests robust to varying degrees of parameter evolution to recent aggregate and disaggregate UK export data. Our estimation results provide strong evidence of pricing-to-market and the instability in the response of export prices to exchange rate fluctuations.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261560612001398
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Money and Finance.

Volume (Year): 32 (2013)
Issue (Month): C ()
Pages: 654-667

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:654-667

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30443

Related research

Keywords: Exchange rate; Forecasting; Parameter instability; Pricing-to-market;

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