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Citations for "Rational Expectations and the Natural Rate Hypothesis: Some Consistent Estimates"

by McCallum, Bennett T

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  1. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models," NBER Working Papers 1445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2013. "What causes banking crises? An empirical investigation for the world economy," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised May 2013.
  3. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 693, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  4. René Lalonde & Zhenhua Zhu & Frédérick Demers, 2003. "Forecasting and Analyzing World Commodity Prices," Staff Working Papers 03-24, Bank of Canada.
  5. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2015. "China’s financial crisis – the role of banks and monetary policy," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  6. Martin Fukac & Adrian Pagan, 2008. "Limited Information Estimation and Evaluation of DSGE Models," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2008/11, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
  7. Michael Funke, 2005. "Inflation in Mainland China - Modelling a Roller Coaster Ride," Working Papers 152005, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  8. Oya Celasun, 2003. "Sticky Inflation and the Real Effects of Exchange Rate Based Stabilization," IMF Working Papers 03/151, International Monetary Fund.
  9. Wimanda, Rizki E. & Turner, Paul M. & Hall, Maximilian J.B., 2011. "Expectations and the inertia of inflation: The case of Indonesia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 426-438, May.
  10. Karl Whelan & Jeremy Rudd, 2005. "Modelling inflation dynamics : a critical review of recent research," Open Access publications 10197/237, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  11. Giesen, Sebastian & Scheufele, Rolf, 2013. "Effects of Incorrect Specification on the Finite Sample Properties of Full and Limited Information Estimators in DSGE Models," IWH Discussion Papers 8/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  12. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Comparing different data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  13. Vo Le & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens, 2010. "Two Orthogonal Continents? Testing a Two-country DSGE Model of the US and the EU Using Indirect Inference," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 23-44, February.
  14. Luis F. Dumlao, 2014. "The relationship between dynamic price and dynamic unemployment: the case of the Central European-3 and the Baltic Tigers," International Journal of Economic Sciences, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2014(2), pages 20-42.
  15. West, Kenneth D., 1986. "Full-versus limited-information estimation of a rational-expectations model: Some numerical comparisons," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 367-385, December.
  16. Stefan Gerlach, 2004. "The two pillars of the European Central Bank," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 19(40), pages 389-439, October.
  17. Vo Le & Kent Matthews & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Zhiguo Xiao, 2014. "Banking and the Macroeconomy in China: A Banking Crisis Deferred?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 123-161, February.
  18. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2004:i:22:p:1-9 is not listed on IDEAS
  19. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2015. "Small sample performance of indirect inference on DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  20. Benjamin M. Friedman, 1978. "Who Puts the Inflation Premium Into Nominal Interests Rates?," NBER Working Papers 0231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  21. Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick, 2012. "How important is the credit channel? An empirical study of the US banking crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers 9142, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  22. Robert E. Cumby & Maurice Obstfeld, 1982. "International Interest-Rate and Price-Level Linkages Under Flexible Exchange Rates: A Review of Recent Evidence," NBER Working Papers 0921, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  23. Javier Gómez & Juan Manuel Julio, "undated". "Transmission Mechanisms and Inflation Targeting: The Case of Colombia Disinflation," Borradores de Economia 168, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  24. Thomas C. Glaessner, 1982. "The modern theory of forward foreign exchange: some new consistent estimates under rational expectations," International Finance Discussion Papers 206, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  25. Bill Russell & Anindya Banerjee & Issam Malki & Natalia Ponomareva, 2010. "A Multiple Break Panel Approach To Estimating United States Phillips Curves," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 232, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
  26. Gilbert, Christopher L., 1990. "The rational expectations hypothesis in models of primary commodity prices," Policy Research Working Paper Series 384, The World Bank.
  27. Vo Phuong Mai Le & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2016. "Testing Macro Models by Indirect Inference: A Survey for Users," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1-38, February.
  28. Meenagh David & Minford Patrick, 2012. "Non Stationary Shocks, Crises and Policy," Rivista italiana degli economisti, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 191-224.
  29. Bonomo, Marco Antônio Cesar & Brito, Ricardo D., 2001. "Regras monetárias e dinâmica macroeconômica no Brasil: uma abordagem de expectativas racionais," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 410, FGV/EPGE Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  30. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015. "Energy Business Cycles," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/19, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  31. Víctor Olivo, 2003. "Taylor Rules and Inflation Targeting do not Work with Systematic Foreign Exchange Market Intervention," Money Affairs, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(1), pages 51-67, January-J.
  32. Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, "undated". "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper 84656, Harvard University OpenScholar.
  33. Taghizadeh Hesary Farhad & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2013. "Empirical Analysis of Oil Price Determination Based on Market Quality Theory," Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Discussion Paper Series 2012-044, Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Program.
  34. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R., 2009. "How much nominal rigidity is there in the US Economy? Testing a New Keynesian DSGE model using indirect inference," CEPR Discussion Papers 7537, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  35. Peter M. Garber & Robert G. King, 1983. "Deep Structral Excavation? A Critique of Euler Equation Methods," NBER Technical Working Papers 0031, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  36. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti, 2005. "Can a Real Business Cycle Model without price and wage stickiness explain UK real exchange rate behaviour?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Mar 2010.
  37. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2012. "Testing macroeconomic models by indirect inference on unfiltered data," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2012/17, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  38. Meese, Richard & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1986. "Was it real? The exchange rate -- Interest differential relation: 1973-1984," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 10(1-2), pages 297-298, June.
  39. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015. "Oil Prices and the Dynamics of Output and Real Exchange Rate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/18, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  40. Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick, 2014. "Comparing behavioural and rational expectations for the US post-war economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 407-415.
  41. K.F. Wallis, 1992. "On Macroeconomic Policy and Macroeconomic Modeling," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 92-04, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
  42. Robert A. Amano & Tony S. Wirjanto, 1994. "A Further Analysis of Exchange Rate Targeting in Canada," Econometrics 9406001, EconWPA, revised 22 Jun 1994.
  43. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Wickens, Michael, 2012. "Revisiting the Great Moderation: policy or luck?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2012/9, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Apr 2014.
  44. Bill Russell, 2007. "Non-Stationary Inflation and Panel Estimates of United States Short and Long-run Phillips curves," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 200, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
  45. Kenneth D. West, 1986. "A Standard Monetary Model and the Variability of the Deutschemark-DollarExchange Rate," NBER Working Papers 2102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  46. Javier Gómez & Juan Manuel Julio, 2003. "Transmission Mechanism and Inflation Targeting: The Case of Colombia's Desinflation," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Ilades-Georgetown University, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Bussines, vol. 18(2), pages 109-133, December.
  47. Carlos José García & Jorge Enrique Restrepo, 2001. "Price Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 128, Central Bank of Chile.
  48. Neugart, Michael, 2000. "The supply of new engineers in Germany," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Labor Market Policy and Employment FS I 00-209, Social Science Research Center Berlin (WZB).
  49. Guido Tabellini, 1987. "Learning and the Volatility of Exchange Rates," UCLA Economics Working Papers 434, UCLA Department of Economics.
  50. Krichene, Noureddine, 2002. "World crude oil and natural gas: a demand and supply model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 557-576, November.
  51. Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Linking excessive disinflation and output movements in an emerging, small open economy A hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve perspective," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 239, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
  52. Peter Hooper & Richard D. Haas & Steven A. Symansky & Lois E. Stekler, 1982. "Alternative approaches to general equilibrium modeling of exchange rates and capital flows: the MCM experience," International Finance Discussion Papers 213, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  53. Jondeau, E. & Le Bihan, H., 2001. "Testing for a Forward-Looking Phillips Curve. Additional Evidence from European and US Data," Working papers 86, Banque de France.
  54. Alan S. Blinder & Douglas Holtz-Eakin, 1984. "Inventory Fluctuations in the United States Since 1929," NBER Working Papers 1371, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  55. Dai, Li & Minford, Patrick & Zhou, Peng, 2014. "A DSGE Model of China," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2014/4, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  56. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David, 2013. "Testing and Estimating Models Using Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  57. Prudence Serju, 2003. "Monetary Conditions and Core Inflation: an Application of Neural Networks," Money Affairs, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(1), pages 31-50, January-J.
  58. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2013. "Taylor Rule or optimal timeless policy? Reconsidering the Fed's behavior since 1982," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 113-123.
  59. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Xu, Yongdeng, 2017. "Comparing different data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11816, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  60. Ahrens, Steffen & Sacht, Stephen, 2011. "Estimating a high-frequency New Keynesian Phillips curve," Economics Working Papers 2011,08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  61. Haniff, Norazza Mohd & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "Shariah stocks as an inflation hedge in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 71681, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  62. Javier Gómez & José Darío Uribe & Hernando Vargas, 2002. "The Implementation Of Inflation Targeting In Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003603, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  63. Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2014. "The role of fiscal policy in Britain's Great Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 10240, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  64. Malani, Anup & Reif, Julian, 2015. "Interpreting pre-trends as anticipation: Impact on estimated treatment effects from tort reform," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-17.
  65. Hodrick, Laurie Simon, 1999. "Does stock price elasticity affect corporate financial decisions?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 225-256, May.
  66. Pettersson-Lidbom, Per & Dahlberg, Matz, 2003. "An Empirical Approach for Evaluating Soft Budget Constraints," Working Paper Series 2003:28, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  67. Nijman, T.E. & Palm, F.C., 1986. "Consistent estimation of rational expectation models," Research Memorandum FEW 216, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  68. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2016. "Monetarism rides again? US monetary policy in a world of Quantitative Easing," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 85-102.
  69. Yamazaki, Fukuju & Idee, Takako, 1997. "An Estimation of the Lock-In Effect of Capital Gains Taxation," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 82-104, March.
  70. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Xu, Yongdeng, 2017. "Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference," CEPR Discussion Papers 11819, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  71. Benjamin M. Friedman, 1978. "Price Inflation, Portfolio Choice, and Nominal Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 0235, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  72. Laurence Ball, 2000. "Near-Rationality and Inflation in Two Monetary Regimes," NBER Working Papers 7988, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  73. Sarantis, Nicholas, 2006. "Testing the uncovered interest parity using traded volatility, a time-varying risk premium and heterogeneous expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(7), pages 1168-1186, November.
  74. Tito Moreira & Geraldo Souza & Charles Almeida, 2004. "Rational Expectation Hypothesis: An Application of the Blanchard and Khan Approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(22), pages 1-9.
  75. Burton, Diana M. & Love, H. Alan, 1996. "A Review Of Alternative Expectations Regimes In Commodity Markets: Specification, Estimation, And Hypothesis Testing Using Structural Models," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 25(2), October.
  76. Bratsiotis, George J. & Robinson, Wayne, 2005. "Currency composition of debt, risk premia and the 1997 Korean crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 459-471, May.
  77. Estrella, Arturo & Mishkin, Frederic S., 1997. "The predictive power of the term structure of interest rates in Europe and the United States: Implications for the European Central Bank," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(7), pages 1375-1401, July.
  78. Noureddine Krichene, 2005. "A Simultaneous Equations Model for World Crude Oil and Natural Gas Markets," IMF Working Papers 05/32, International Monetary Fund.
  79. Arturo Estrella & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1995. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Its Role in Monetary Policy for The European Central Bank," NBER Working Papers 5279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  80. Palle S. Andersen, 1984. "Real wages, inflation and unemployment," BIS Working Papers 9, Bank for International Settlements.
  81. Carlos José García T. & Jorge Enrique Restrepo, 2003. "Price Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Trough in Chile," Money Affairs, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(1), pages 69-88, January-J.
  82. Kim Chang-Jin & Kim Yunmi, 2008. "Is the Backward-Looking Component Important in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, September.
  83. Hall, S. G. & Garratt, A., 1995. "Model consistent learning and regime switching in the London Business School model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 87-95, April.
  84. Christian Saint-Etienne, 1983. "L'offre et la demande de monnaie dans la France de l'entre-deux-guerres (1920-1939)," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 34(2), pages 344-367.
  85. Adrian Blundell-Wignall & Frank Browne, 1992. "Real Exchange Rates and the Globalisation of Financial Markets," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9203, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  86. Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2013. "The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s," CEPR Discussion Papers 9763, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  87. Lawrence H. Summers, 1984. "Estimating the Long-Run Relationship Between Interest Rates and Inflation: A Response to McCallum," NBER Working Papers 1448, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  88. Robert E. Lucas, Jr. & Thomas J. Sargent, 1979. "After Keynesian macroeconomics," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Spr.
  89. Per Pettersson-Lidbom, 2010. "Dynamic Commitment and the Soft Budget Constraint: An Empirical Test," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 154-179, August.
  90. David Hakes, 1988. "Monetary policy and presidential elections: A nonpartisan political cycle," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 175-182, May.
  91. Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of rational expectations: A serial correlation extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 13, pages 159-179, May.
  92. G.W. Harrison, 1982. "On the Limited-Information Estimation of Rational Expectations Models," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 82-09, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
  93. Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Phillips Curve Models with Non-Filtered Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-011/III, Tinbergen Institute.
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