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Testing Part of a DSGE Model by Indirect Inference

Author

Listed:
  • Patrick Minford
  • Michael Wickens
  • Yongdeng Xu

Abstract

We propose a way of testing a subset of equations of a DSGE model. The test draws on statistical inference for limited information models and the use of indirect inference to test DSGE models. Using the numerical small sample distribution of our test for two subsets of equations of the Smets–Wouters model we show that the test has accurate size and good power in small samples, and better power than using asymptotic distribution theory. In a test of the Smets–Wouters model on US Great Moderation data, we reject the specification of the wage‐price but not the expenditure sector. This points to the wage‐price sector as the source of overall model rejection.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2019. "Testing Part of a DSGE Model by Indirect Inference," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 178-194, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:81:y:2019:i:1:p:178-194
    DOI: 10.1111/obes.12253
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2016-12-21 22:16:52

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2021. "The eurozone: what is to be done?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16313, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou & Zheyi Zhu, 2022. "Is there Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy? The Evidence Reconsidered," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 109-120, February.
    3. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Wickens, Michael & Zhu, Zheyi, 2022. "The eurozone: What is to be done to maintain macro and financial stability?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2023. "On the determination of the real exchange rate in free markets: do consumer risk-pooling and uncovered interest parity differ and fit?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    5. Chunping Liu & Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou, 2025. "Can Modern Monetary Theory fit the post‐Crisis US facts? Evidence from a full DSGE model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 983-1006, January.
    6. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2019. "Testing DSGE Models by Indirect Inference: a Survey of Recent Findings," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 593-620, July.
    7. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
    8. Hatcher, Michael & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Chameleon models in economics: A note," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    9. Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou & Zheyi Zhu, 2025. "Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 901-920, July.
    10. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2023. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    11. Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2022. "Modern Monetary Theory: the post-Crisis economy misunderstood?," CEPR Discussion Papers 17501, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models

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