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Yongdeng Xu

Personal Details

First Name:Yongdeng
Middle Name:
Last Name:Xu
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pxu72
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
Aberconway Building, Colum Drive, CARDIFF, CF10 3EU

Affiliation

Economics Section
Cardiff Business School
Cardiff University

Cardiff, United Kingdom
http://www.cardiff.ac.uk/business-school/research/themes/economics
RePEc:edi:ecscfuk (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Books

Working papers

  1. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025. "Indirect Inference for the Identification of Star Variables in Macroeconomic Models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2025/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  2. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Indirect Inference- a methodological essay on its role and applications," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  3. Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Extended multivariate EGARCH model: A model for zero†return and negative spillovers," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/24, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  4. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  5. Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "The contribution of realized covariance models to the economic value of volatility timing," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  6. Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/27, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  7. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias - Some Recent Results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  8. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "Why does Indirect Inference estimation produce less small sample bias than maximum likelihood? A note," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  9. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "Targeting moments for calibration compared with indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  10. Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "The Exponential HEAVY Model: An Improved Approach to Volatility Modeling and Forecasting," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  11. Lu, Wenna & Copeland, Laurence & Xu, Yongdeng, 2021. "The Pricing of Unexpected Volatility in the Currency Market," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/16, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  12. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2021. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  13. Chen, Gang & Dong, Xue & Minford, Patrick & Qiu,Guanhua & Xu, Yongdeng & Xu, Zequn, 2021. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  14. BAUWENS Luc, & XU Yongdeng,, 2019. "DCC-HEAVY: A multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2019025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  15. Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2019. "DCC and DECO-HEAVY: a multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Aug 2021.
  16. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "The small sample properties of Indirect Inference in testing and estimating DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  17. Xu, Yongdeng & Taylor, Nick & Lu, Wenna, 2018. "Illiquidity and Volatility Spillover effects in Equity Markets during and after the Global Financial Crisis: an MEM approach," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  18. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "Testing DSGE Models by indirect inference: a survey of recent findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  19. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2017. "Classical or Gravity? Which trade model best matches the UK facts?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  20. Karanasos, Menelaos & Xu, Yongdeng & Yfanti, Stavroula, 2017. "Constrained QML Estimation for Multivariate Asymmetric MEM with Spillovers: The Practicality of Matrix Inequalities," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  21. Phillip, Garry & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Almost Unbiased Variance Estimation in Simultaneous Equation Models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  22. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Comparing different data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  23. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  24. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "What is the truth about DSGE models? Testing by indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  25. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Comparing Indirect Inference and Likelihood testing: asymptotic and small sample results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  26. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/9, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  27. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Zhou, Peng, 2014. "How good are out of sample forecasting Tests on DSGE models?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2014/11, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  28. Luintel, Kul B & Xu, Yongdeng, 2013. "Testing weak exogeneity in multiplicative error models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  29. Taylor, Nick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2013. "The logarithmic vector multiplicative error model: an application to high frequency NYSE stock data," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

Articles

  1. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  2. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2024. "Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias — Some Recent Results," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 245-259, April.
  3. Xu Yongdeng, 2024. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Vector Multiplicative Error Model using the ECCC-GARCH Representation," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-27.
  4. Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  5. Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "DCC- and DECO-HEAVY: Multivariate GARCH models based on realized variances and correlations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 938-955.
  6. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2023. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  7. Wenna Lu & Laurence Copeland & Yongdeng Xu, 2023. "The pricing of unexpected volatility in the currency market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(17), pages 2032-2046, November.
  8. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
  9. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2019. "Testing DSGE Models by Indirect Inference: a Survey of Recent Findings," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 593-620, July.
  10. Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2019. "Testing Part of a DSGE Model by Indirect Inference," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 178-194, February.
  11. Xu, Yongdeng & Taylor, Nick & Lu, Wenna, 2018. "Illiquidity and volatility spillover effects in equity markets during and after the global financial crisis: An MEM approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 208-220.
  12. Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2018. "Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 579-611, July.
  13. Kul B. Luintel & Yongdeng Xu, 2017. "Testing weak exogeneity in multiplicative error models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 1617-1630, October.
  14. N. Taylor & Y. Xu, 2017. "The logarithmic vector multiplicative error model: an application to high frequency NYSE stock data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 1021-1035, July.
  15. Vo Le & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2016. "Testing Macro Models by Indirect Inference: A Survey for Users," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1-38, February.
  16. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Comparing different data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 157-161.
  17. Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu & Peng Zhou, 2015. "How Good are Out of Sample Forecasting Tests on DSGE Models?," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 1(3), pages 333-351, November.

Books

  1. Patrick Minford & Sakshi Gupta & Vo P.M. Le & Vidya Mahambare & Yongdeng Xu, 2015. "Should Britain Leave the EU?," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 16679.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2016-12-21 22:16:52
  2. Phillip, Garry & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Almost Unbiased Variance Estimation in Simultaneous Equation Models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Mentioned in:

    1. New Year's Reading
      by Dave Giles in Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog on 2016-12-31 20:20:00

Working papers

  1. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Ramesh, Shietal & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Faff, Robert, 2025. "Modelling time-varying volatility spillovers across crises: Evidence from major commodity futures and the US stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Wei, Yu & Wang, Zhuo & Zhou, Xiaorui & Shang, Yue & Ren, Lin, 2024. "Are the leading indicators really leading? Evidence from mixed-frequency spillover approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).

  2. Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/27, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Sánchez-García, Javier & Mattera, Raffaele & Cruz-Rambaud, Salvador & Cerqueti, Roy, 2024. "Measuring financial stability in the presence of energy shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Dong, Feng & Li, Zhicheng & Huang, Zihuang & Liu, Yu, 2024. "Extreme weather, policy uncertainty, and risk spillovers between energy, financial, and carbon markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).

  3. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "Why does Indirect Inference estimation produce less small sample bias than maximum likelihood? A note," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "Targeting moments for calibration compared with indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2024. "Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias — Some Recent Results," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 245-259, April.
    3. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Indirect Inference- a methodological essay on its role and applications," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

  4. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2021. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Minford & Zheyi Zhu, 2024. "Modeling the effects of Brexit on the British economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1114-1126, July.
    2. Minford, Patrick, 2024. "A note rebutting the recent Cambridge Econometrics assessment of Brexit on the UK and London economies- commissioned by London Mayor Khan," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    3. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Indirect Inference- a methodological essay on its role and applications," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

  5. Chen, Gang & Dong, Xue & Minford, Patrick & Qiu,Guanhua & Xu, Yongdeng & Xu, Zequn, 2021. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2021. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Patrick Minford & Zheyi Zhu, 2024. "Modeling the effects of Brexit on the British economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1114-1126, July.

  6. Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2019. "DCC and DECO-HEAVY: a multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Aug 2021.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Bauwens, Luc & Dzuverovic, Emilija & Hafner, Christian, 2024. "Asymmetric Models for Realized Covariances," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2024022, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    3. Bauwens, Luc & Otranto, Edoardo, 2023. "Realized Covariance Models with Time-varying Parameters and Spillover Effects," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2023019, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    4. Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Extended multivariate EGARCH model: A model for zero†return and negative spillovers," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/24, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

  7. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "The small sample properties of Indirect Inference in testing and estimating DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2019. "A long-commodity-cycle model of the world economy over a century and a half — Making bricks with little straw," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 503-518.

  8. Xu, Yongdeng & Taylor, Nick & Lu, Wenna, 2018. "Illiquidity and Volatility Spillover effects in Equity Markets during and after the Global Financial Crisis: an MEM approach," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    2. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    3. Achraf Ghorbel & Wajdi Frikha & Yasmine Snene Manzli, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric non-linear short- and long-run relationships between crypto-currencies and stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 387-425, September.
    4. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les & Xu, Danyang, 2021. "Pandemic-related financial market volatility spillovers: Evidence from the Chinese COVID-19 epicentre," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 55-81.
    5. Gaoxiu Qiao & Yangli Cao & Feng Ma & Weiping Li, 2023. "Liquidity and realized covariance forecasting: a hybrid method with model uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 437-463, January.
    6. Ramesh, Shietal & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Faff, Robert, 2025. "Modelling time-varying volatility spillovers across crises: Evidence from major commodity futures and the US stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    7. Tongshuai Qiao & Liyan Han, 2023. "COVID‐19 and tail risk contagion across commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 242-272, February.
    8. Suardi, Sandy & Xu, Caihong & Zhou, Z. Ivy, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic and liquidity commonality," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 pandemic upon stability and sequential irregularity of equity and cryptocurrency markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    10. Sifat, Imtiaz & Zarei, Alireza & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Interbank liquidity risk transmission to large emerging markets in crisis periods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

  9. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "Testing DSGE Models by indirect inference: a survey of recent findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Jenyu Chou & Yifei Cao & Patrick Minford, 2023. "Evaluation and indirect inference estimation of inattentive features in a New Keynesian framework," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 530-542, April.
    2. Zhao, Zhiqi & Tang, Yunjie, 2024. "What does housing collateral mean for Hong Kong economy? From the perspective of modelling and policy implication," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 667-684.
    3. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Could an economy get stuck in a rational pessimism bubble? The case of Japan," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/13, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    4. Lucy Minford & David Meenagh, 2020. "Supply-Side Policy and Economic Growth: A Case Study of the UK," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 159-193, February.
    5. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
    6. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2024. "Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias — Some Recent Results," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 245-259, April.
    7. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael R. Wickens, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Controversy Over Price Rigidity — How to Resolve it and How Bayesian Estimation has Led us Astray," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 617-630, September.
    8. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2019. "Can a small New Keynesian model of the world economy with risk-pooling match the facts?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    9. Olayinka Oyekola & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford, 2023. "Global Shocks in the US Economy: Effects on Output and the Real Exchange Rate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 411-435, April.
    10. Xiaoliang Yang & Patrick Minford & David Meenagh, 2021. "Inequality and Economic Growth in the UK," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 37-69, February.
    11. Wickens, Michael R. & Pagan, Adrian, 2019. "Checking if the Straitjacket Fits," CEPR Discussion Papers 14140, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Olayinka Oyekola, 2022. "How Resilient Is the U.S. Economy to Foreign Disturbances?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-33, April.
    13. Hatcher, Michael & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Chameleon models in economics: A note," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    14. Minford, Patrick & Meenagh, David & Wickens, Michael R., 2021. "Estimating macro models and the potentially misleading nature of Bayesian estimation," CEPR Discussion Papers 15684, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2021. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    16. Phuong Mai Le, Vo & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2022. "Regulatory arbitrage, shadow banking and monetary policy in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    17. Zhiqi Zhao & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford, 2022. "Should Hong Kong switch to Taylor rule?—Evidence from DSGE model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(50), pages 5851-5872, October.
    18. Xieer Dai & Michael Beenstock & Daniel Felsenstein & David Genesove & Nikita Kotsenko, 2023. "'Traffic light' theory for Covid-19 spatial mitigation policy design," Journal of Spatial Econometrics, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-35, December.
    19. Patrick Minford & Yue Gai & David Meenagh, 2022. "North and South: A Regional Model of the UK," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 565-616, July.
    20. Pedro Chaim & Márcio Poletti Laurini, 2022. "Data Cloning Estimation and Identification of a Medium-Scale DSGE Model," Stats, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-13, December.
    21. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "The role of fiscal policy -- a survey of recent empirical findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/26, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    22. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Kent Matthews & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Zhiguo Xiao, 2021. "China’s market economy, shadow banking and the frequency of growth slowdown," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(5), pages 420-444, September.
    23. Chen, Haixia & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "UK Monetary Policy in An Estimated DSGE Model with State-Dependent Price and Wage Contracts," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/22, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    24. Maksim Isakin & Phuong V. Ngo, 2022. "Multiplicity in New Keynesian Models," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 505-521, July.
    25. Chunping Liu & Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou, 2025. "Can Modern Monetary Theory fit the post‐Crisis US facts? Evidence from a full DSGE model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 983-1006, January.
    26. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Indirect Inference- a methodological essay on its role and applications," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    27. Adem Feto & M. K. Jayamohan & Arnis Vilks, 2023. "Applicability and Accomplishments of DSGE Modeling: A Critical Review," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(2), pages 213-239, September.
    28. Feto, Adem & M. K., Jayamohan, 2023. "Can Ethiopia Reach a Lower-Middle-Income Status by 2025? A Framework of DSGE and VAR Models," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 32(01), April.

  10. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2017. "Classical or Gravity? Which trade model best matches the UK facts?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
    2. Diana María Cortázar-Gómez & Juan F. Pineda-Guarín, 2019. "Red de comercio departamental en Colombia: Enfoque gravitacional y análisis topológico de redes," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 17742, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.
    3. Anke Mönnig & Dr. Marc Ingo Wolter, 2020. "Modelling Tariffs in TINFORGE – a Methodology Report," GWS Discussion Paper Series 20-6, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research.
    4. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2021. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    5. Patrick Minford & Yue Gai & David Meenagh, 2022. "North and South: A Regional Model of the UK," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 565-616, July.
    6. Ben Rosamond, 2020. "European Integration and the Politics of Economic Ideas: Economics, Economists and Market Contestation in the Brexit Debate," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(5), pages 1085-1106, September.
    7. Patrick Minford & Zheyi Zhu, 2024. "Modeling the effects of Brexit on the British economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1114-1126, July.
    8. Catherine Boulatoff & Talan B. İşcan & Yulia Kotlyarova, 2022. "Does Distance Matter for Trade in Services? The Case of Interprovincial Trade in Canada," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 157-185, February.
    9. Wang, Xizhe & Li, Yong & Zhou, Rui & Yang, Qin & Shi, Chengdong, 2024. "How China can promote the outer circular economy under policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    10. Latorre, María C. & Olekseyuk, Zoryana & Yonezawa, Hidemichi & Robinson, Sherman, 2020. "Making sense of Brexit losses: An in-depth review of macroeconomic studies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 72-87.

  11. Karanasos, Menelaos & Xu, Yongdeng & Yfanti, Stavroula, 2017. "Constrained QML Estimation for Multivariate Asymmetric MEM with Spillovers: The Practicality of Matrix Inequalities," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Karanasos, Menelaos & Paraskevopoulos,Alexandros & Canepa, Alessandra, 2020. "Unified Theory for the Large Family of Time Varying Models with Arma Representations: One Solution Fits All," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202008, University of Turin.

  12. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Comparing different data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "Targeting moments for calibration compared with indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2024. "Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias — Some Recent Results," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 245-259, April.
    3. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "The small sample properties of Indirect Inference in testing and estimating DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    4. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    5. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2018. "Oil and Commodities Drive the World Business Cycle: A Long-Commodity-Cycle Model of the World Economy Over a Century and a Half," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/16, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    6. Sevgi Coskun, 2020. "Technology Shocks and Non-stationary Hours in Emerging Countries and DSVAR," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 14(2), pages 129-163, May.
    7. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2013. "A Monte Carlo procedure for checking identification in DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers 9411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "Testing DSGE Models by indirect inference: a survey of recent findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    9. Anna Watson, 2019. "Financial Frictions, the Great Trade Collapse and International Trade over the Business Cycle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 19-64, February.
    10. Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2020. "A note on observational equivalence of micro assumptions on macro level," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 14, pages 1-15.
    11. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Indirect Inference- a methodological essay on its role and applications," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

  13. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Wickens, Michael & Zhu, Zheyi, 2022. "The eurozone: What is to be done to maintain macro and financial stability?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    2. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
    3. Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2022. "Modern Monetary Theory: the post-Crisis economy misunderstood?," CEPR Discussion Papers 17501, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2023. "On the determination of the real exchange rate in free markets: do consumer risk-pooling and uncovered interest parity differ and fit?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    5. Hatcher, Michael & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Chameleon models in economics: A note," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    6. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2021. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    7. Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou & Zheyi Zhu, 2022. "Is there Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy? The Evidence Reconsidered," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 109-120, February.
    8. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "Testing DSGE Models by indirect inference: a survey of recent findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    9. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2021. "The eurozone: what is to be done?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16313, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Chunping Liu & Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou, 2025. "Can Modern Monetary Theory fit the post‐Crisis US facts? Evidence from a full DSGE model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 983-1006, January.
    11. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2023. "Testing for consumer risk-pooling in the open economy - further results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

  14. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "What is the truth about DSGE models? Testing by indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2013. "A Monte Carlo procedure for checking identification in DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers 9411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2020. "News and why it is not shocking: The role of micro-foundations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

  15. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Comparing Indirect Inference and Likelihood testing: asymptotic and small sample results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/9, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

  16. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/9, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Xu, Yongdeng, 2017. "Comparing different data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11816, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Minford, Patrick & Gai, Yue & Ou, Zhirong, 2020. "Is housing collateral important to the business cycle? Evidence from China," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2020/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    3. Minford, Lucy & Meenagh, David, 2019. "Testing a model of UK growth: A role for R&D subsidies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 152-167.
    4. Ernesto Carrella & Richard M. Bailey & Jens Koed Madsen, 2018. "Indirect inference through prediction," Papers 1807.01579, arXiv.org.
    5. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "Targeting moments for calibration compared with indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    6. Patrick Minford & Yi Wang & Peng Zhou, 2020. "Resolving the public-sector wage premium puzzle by indirect inference," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(7), pages 726-741, February.
    7. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Wickens, Michael & Zhu, Zheyi, 2022. "The eurozone: What is to be done to maintain macro and financial stability?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    8. Jenyu Chou & Yifei Cao & Patrick Minford, 2023. "Evaluation and indirect inference estimation of inattentive features in a New Keynesian framework," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 530-542, April.
    9. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Yang, Xiaoliang, 2018. "A heterogeneous-agent model of growth and inequality for the UK," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/17, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    10. Minford, Patrick & Meenagh, David & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2017. "A note on news about the future: the impact on DSGE models and their VAR representation," CEPR Discussion Papers 11818, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Could an economy get stuck in a rational pessimism bubble? The case of Japan," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/13, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    12. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2019. "A long-commodity-cycle model of the world economy over a century and a half — Making bricks with little straw," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 503-518.
    13. Lucy Minford & David Meenagh, 2020. "Supply-Side Policy and Economic Growth: A Case Study of the UK," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 159-193, February.
    14. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
    15. Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2022. "Modern Monetary Theory: the post-Crisis economy misunderstood?," CEPR Discussion Papers 17501, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2014. "Monetarism rides again? US monetary policy in a world of Quantitative Easing," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2014/22, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    17. Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2018. "Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 579-611, July.
    18. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2024. "Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias — Some Recent Results," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 245-259, April.
    19. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael R. Wickens, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Controversy Over Price Rigidity — How to Resolve it and How Bayesian Estimation has Led us Astray," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 617-630, September.
    20. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2019. "Can a small New Keynesian model of the world economy with risk-pooling match the facts?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    21. Olayinka Oyekola & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford, 2023. "Global Shocks in the US Economy: Effects on Output and the Real Exchange Rate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 411-435, April.
    22. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "The small sample properties of Indirect Inference in testing and estimating DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    23. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2023. "On the determination of the real exchange rate in free markets: do consumer risk-pooling and uncovered interest parity differ and fit?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    24. Xiaoliang Yang & Patrick Minford & David Meenagh, 2021. "Inequality and Economic Growth in the UK," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 37-69, February.
    25. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Testing part of a DSGE model by Indirect Inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    26. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2021. "Shadow banks, banking policies and China’s macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    27. Olayinka Oyekola, 2022. "How Resilient Is the U.S. Economy to Foreign Disturbances?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-33, April.
    28. Hatcher, Michael & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Chameleon models in economics: A note," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    29. Yang, Xiaoliang & Barros, Lucy & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David, 2024. "The dynamics of redistribution, inequality and growth across China’s regions," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 613-637.
    30. Minford, Patrick & Meenagh, David & Wickens, Michael R., 2021. "Estimating macro models and the potentially misleading nature of Bayesian estimation," CEPR Discussion Papers 15684, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    31. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2018. "Oil and Commodities Drive the World Business Cycle: A Long-Commodity-Cycle Model of the World Economy Over a Century and a Half," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/16, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    32. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2021. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    33. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2022. "A structural model of coronavirus behaviour: what do four waves of Covid tell us?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/9, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    34. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2013. "A Monte Carlo procedure for checking identification in DSGE models," CEPR Discussion Papers 9411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    35. Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou & Zheyi Zhu, 2022. "Is there Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy? The Evidence Reconsidered," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 109-120, February.
    36. Phuong Mai Le, Vo & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2022. "Regulatory arbitrage, shadow banking and monetary policy in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    37. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "What is the truth about DSGE models? Testing by indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    38. Minford, Lucy & Meenagh, David, 2018. "Testing a model of UK growth - a causal role for R&D subsidies," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    39. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "Testing DSGE Models by indirect inference: a survey of recent findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    40. Patrick Minford & Yue Gai & David Meenagh, 2022. "North and South: A Regional Model of the UK," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 565-616, July.
    41. Xue, Dong & Minford, Patrick & Meenagh, David, 2018. "How Important are International Financial Market Imperfections for Foreign Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Study of the Sterling Exchange Rate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/11, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    42. Patrick Minford & Zheyi Zhu, 2024. "Modeling the effects of Brexit on the British economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1114-1126, July.
    43. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "Why does Indirect Inference estimation produce less small sample bias than maximum likelihood? A note," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/10, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    44. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "The role of fiscal policy -- a survey of recent empirical findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/26, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    45. Simone Landini & Mauro Gallegati & J. Barkley Rosser, 2020. "Consistency and incompleteness in general equilibrium theory," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 205-230, January.
    46. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Kent Matthews & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Zhiguo Xiao, 2021. "China’s market economy, shadow banking and the frequency of growth slowdown," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(5), pages 420-444, September.
    47. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2021. "The eurozone: what is to be done?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16313, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    48. Michele Loberto & Chiara Perricone, 2015. "Does trend inflation make a difference?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1033, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    49. Paczos, Wojtek & Shakhnov, Kirill, 2022. "Defaulting on Covid debt," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    50. Anna Watson, 2019. "Financial Frictions, the Great Trade Collapse and International Trade over the Business Cycle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 19-64, February.
    51. Maksim Isakin & Phuong V. Ngo, 2022. "Multiplicity in New Keynesian Models," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 505-521, July.
    52. Chunping Liu & Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou, 2025. "Can Modern Monetary Theory fit the post‐Crisis US facts? Evidence from a full DSGE model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 983-1006, January.
    53. Patrick Minford, 2016. "Testing Macro Models for Policy Use—An Insurrection in Applied Modelling," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 84(S1), pages 42-55, September.
    54. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Indirect Inference- a methodological essay on its role and applications," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    55. Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2023. "Testing for consumer risk-pooling in the open economy - further results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    56. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2021. "State-dependent pricing turns money into a two-edged sword: A new role for monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    57. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015. "Oil Prices and the Dynamics of Output and Real Exchange Rate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/18, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

  17. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Zhou, Peng, 2014. "How good are out of sample forecasting Tests on DSGE models?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2014/11, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Minford & Yi Wang & Peng Zhou, 2020. "Resolving the public-sector wage premium puzzle by indirect inference," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(7), pages 726-741, February.
    2. Chou, Jenyu & Easaw, Joshy & Minford, Patrick, 2021. "Does Inattentiveness Matter for DSGE Modelling? An Empirical Investigation," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/35, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    3. Minford, Patrick & Meenagh, David & Wickens, Michael R., 2021. "Estimating macro models and the potentially misleading nature of Bayesian estimation," CEPR Discussion Papers 15684, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "Testing DSGE Models by indirect inference: a survey of recent findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    5. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "The role of fiscal policy -- a survey of recent empirical findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/26, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    6. Michele Loberto & Chiara Perricone, 2015. "Does trend inflation make a difference?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1033, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

  18. Taylor, Nick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2013. "The logarithmic vector multiplicative error model: an application to high frequency NYSE stock data," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

    Cited by:

    1. Donelli, Nicola & Peluso, Stefano & Mira, Antonietta, 2021. "A Bayesian semiparametric vector Multiplicative Error Model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    2. Karanasos, Menelaos & Xu, Yongdeng & Yfanti, Stavroula, 2017. "Constrained QML Estimation for Multivariate Asymmetric MEM with Spillovers: The Practicality of Matrix Inequalities," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    3. Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2019. "Realized Volatility Forecasting: Robustness to Measurement Errors," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2019_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
    4. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    5. Xuehai Zhang, 2019. "A Box-Cox semiparametric multiplicative error model," Working Papers CIE 125, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    6. Carol Alexander & Daniel F. Heck & Andreas Kaeck, 2022. "The Role of Binance in Bitcoin Volatility Transmission," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 1-32, January.
    7. Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020. "Realized Variance Modeling: Decoupling Forecasting from Estimation," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 532-555.
    8. E. Otranto, 2024. "A Vector Multiplicative Error Model with Spillover Effects and Co-movements," Working Paper CRENoS 202404, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    9. Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Extended multivariate EGARCH model: A model for zero†return and negative spillovers," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/24, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    10. Xuehai Zhang, 2019. "A Box-Cox semiparametric multiplicative error model," Working Papers CIE 122, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    11. Yongdeng Xu, 2025. "Extended Multivariate EGARCH Model: A Model for Zero‐Return and Negative Spillovers," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 1266-1279, July.

Articles

  1. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Xu Yongdeng, 2024. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Vector Multiplicative Error Model using the ECCC-GARCH Representation," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-27.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Extended multivariate EGARCH model: A model for zero†return and negative spillovers," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/24, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    3. Yongdeng Xu, 2025. "Extended Multivariate EGARCH Model: A Model for Zero‐Return and Negative Spillovers," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 1266-1279, July.

  3. Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "DCC- and DECO-HEAVY: Multivariate GARCH models based on realized variances and correlations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 938-955.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng & Dong, Xue, 2023. "Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2019. "Testing DSGE Models by Indirect Inference: a Survey of Recent Findings," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 593-620, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2019. "Testing Part of a DSGE Model by Indirect Inference," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 178-194, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Xu, Yongdeng & Taylor, Nick & Lu, Wenna, 2018. "Illiquidity and volatility spillover effects in equity markets during and after the global financial crisis: An MEM approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 208-220.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2018. "Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 579-611, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. N. Taylor & Y. Xu, 2017. "The logarithmic vector multiplicative error model: an application to high frequency NYSE stock data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 1021-1035, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Vo Le & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2016. "Testing Macro Models by Indirect Inference: A Survey for Users," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1-38, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2016. "Comparing different data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 157-161.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu & Peng Zhou, 2015. "How Good are Out of Sample Forecasting Tests on DSGE Models?," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 1(3), pages 333-351, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.

Books

  1. Patrick Minford & Sakshi Gupta & Vo P.M. Le & Vidya Mahambare & Yongdeng Xu, 2015. "Should Britain Leave the EU?," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 16679.

    Cited by:

    1. Minford, Patrick, 2016. "Understanding UK trade agreements with the EU and other countries," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Patrick Minford, 2006. "Measuring the Economic Costs and Benefits of the EU," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 509-524, December.
    3. Iain Begg, 2017. "Making Sense of the Costs and Benefits of Brexit: Challenges for Economists," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 299-315, September.
    4. Jacobi, Otto & Jepsen, Maria & Keller, Berndt & Weiss, Manfred (ed.), 2007. "Social embedding and the integration of markets: An opportunity for transnational trade union action or an impossible task?," Study / edition der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Düsseldorf, volume 127, number 195.
    5. Gang Chen & Xue Dong & Patrick Minford & Guanhua Qiu & Yongdeng Xu & Zequn Xu, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 271-309, April.
    6. Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu, 2018. "Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 579-611, July.
    7. Vikash Ramiah & Huy N. A. Pham & Imad Moosa, 2017. "The sectoral effects of Brexit on the British economy: early evidence from the reaction of the stock market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(26), pages 2508-2514, June.
    8. Emmanuel Brunet-Jailly, 2021. "Introduction: How the British-exit is Impacting the European Union?," International Studies, , vol. 58(2), pages 133-149, April.
    9. Minford Patrick, 2019. "How Britain Will React to a WTO-Based Brexit," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-5, December.
    10. Ilhamah Qiamy & Fahim Nawaz & Syed Umair Jalal, 2018. "The United Kingdom and Brexit: Implications, Consequences and Opportunities," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 3(2), pages 1-11, December.
    11. Minford, Patrick, 2015. "Evaluating European trading arrangements," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/17, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    12. Prescott, Craig & Pilato, Manuela & Bellia, Claudio, 2020. "Geographical indications in the UK after Brexit: An uncertain future?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. Jovanovic, Miroslav & Damnjanovic, Jelena & Njegic, Jovan, 2018. "Among the Central and Eastern European Countries of the European Union, who Gained and who Lost?," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 71(3), pages 317-370.
    14. Crafts, Nicholas, 2019. "The Fall in UK Potential Output due to the Financial Crisis: a Much Bigger Estimate," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 399, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    15. Ruth Lea, 2008. "An Economically Liberal European Union Will Not Be Delivered By The Eu Reform Treaty," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 70-73, March.
    16. Ben Rosamond, 2020. "European Integration and the Politics of Economic Ideas: Economics, Economists and Market Contestation in the Brexit Debate," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(5), pages 1085-1106, September.
    17. Patrick Minford, 2008. "Why the United Kingdom Should Not Join the Eurozone," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(3), pages 283-295, December.
    18. Begg, Iain, 2017. "Making sense of the costs and benefits of Brexit: challenges for economists," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 83587, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    19. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Patrick Minford & Eric Nowell, 2011. "Measuring the Extent and Costs of EU Protectionism," Chapters, in: Miroslav N. Jovanović (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Integration, Volume III, chapter 15, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    20. Gabriela Ortiz Valverde & Maria C. Latorre, 2020. "A computable general equilibrium analysis of Brexit: Barriers to trade and immigration restrictions," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 705-728, March.
    21. Davies, Ronald B. & Studnicka, Zuzanna, 2018. "The heterogeneous impact of Brexit: Early indications from the FTSE," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 1-17.
    22. Latorre, María C. & Olekseyuk, Zoryana & Yonezawa, Hidemichi & Robinson, Sherman, 2020. "Making sense of Brexit losses: An in-depth review of macroeconomic studies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 72-87.
    23. Jordan van Rijn & Shuwei Zeng & Paul Hellman, 2021. "Financial institution objectives and auto loan pricing: Evidence from the survey of consumer finances," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 995-1039, September.
    24. Jan Iša & Ivan Okáli, 2008. "Európska menová únia, optimálna menová oblasť a možné dôsledky vstupu slovenska do eurozóny [European monetary union, optimum currency area and possible effects of slovakia's joining the euro area]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2008(3), pages 318-344.
    25. Nicholas Crafts, 2019. "The Fall in Potential Output due to the Financial Crisis: A Much Bigger Estimate for the UK," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(4), pages 625-635, December.

More information

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Statistics

Access and download statistics for all items

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 33 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (21) 2013-05-05 2013-05-05 2014-08-09 2015-08-19 2015-08-30 2016-05-14 2016-11-20 2016-12-18 2017-01-01 2017-02-19 2017-11-12 2018-07-09 2019-02-25 2020-01-20 2022-03-28 2022-06-20 2022-07-25 2023-06-12 2023-08-14 2024-02-05 2025-01-13. Author is listed
  2. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (13) 2014-08-09 2014-12-29 2015-08-19 2015-08-30 2016-05-14 2016-12-18 2017-01-01 2017-02-19 2017-02-19 2017-02-19 2018-03-19 2018-07-09 2022-07-25. Author is listed
  3. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (12) 2014-08-09 2014-12-29 2015-08-19 2015-08-30 2015-08-30 2016-05-14 2016-12-18 2017-01-01 2017-02-19 2018-03-19 2018-07-09 2022-07-25. Author is listed
  4. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (9) 2013-05-05 2013-05-05 2014-08-09 2018-03-19 2019-02-25 2022-03-28 2022-06-20 2023-08-14 2025-01-13. Author is listed
  5. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (6) 2016-11-20 2022-03-28 2023-08-14 2023-12-04 2024-08-12 2025-01-13. Author is listed
  6. NEP-INT: International Trade (5) 2013-05-05 2017-09-10 2018-02-12 2021-07-12 2021-08-23. Author is listed
  7. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (4) 2014-08-09 2014-12-29 2015-08-30 2019-02-25
  8. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (2) 2021-07-12 2022-03-28
  9. NEP-GER: German Papers (2) 2015-08-30 2015-08-30
  10. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (2) 2021-07-12 2021-07-12
  11. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2021-08-23
  12. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (1) 2024-08-12
  13. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2021-07-12
  14. NEP-ISF: Islamic Finance (1) 2021-08-23
  15. NEP-KNM: Knowledge Management and Knowledge Economy (1) 2018-07-09
  16. NEP-MST: Market Microstructure (1) 2013-05-05

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