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Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results

Author

Listed:
  • Patrick Minford

    (Cardiff University
    CEPR)

  • Zhirong Ou

    (Cardiff University)

  • Zheyi Zhu

    (Cardiff Metropolitan University)

Abstract

In this supplement to Minford et al. Int J Financ Econ 26(2):19932021 (2021), we revisit the ‘puzzle’ in open economy studies that evidence of international risk-sharing is hardly seen despite active cross-country financial markets. We reassess both risk-pooling via state-contingent bonds, and uncovered interest parity – both were believed to be different, and spuriously rejected, in previous work – in the context of a full DSGE model of the New Keynesian type. We prove that the two models are identical, both analytically and numerically. When tested as part of such a full DSGE model by indirect inference which circumvents the bias of single-equation tests, we find universal evidence of international risk-sharing.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou & Zheyi Zhu, 2025. "Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 901-920, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:36:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s11079-024-09782-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-024-09782-5
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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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