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The Relationship between Crude Oil Spot and Futures Prices: Cointegration, Linear and Nonlinear Causality

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Cited by:

  1. Nick, Sebastian, 2013. "Price Formation and Intertemporal Arbitrage within a Low-Liquidity Framework: Empirical Evidence from European Natural Gas Markets," EWI Working Papers 2013-14, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
  2. GAO Hui & GAO Tian Chen, 2022. "Volatility Asymmetry and Spillover Effects in Crude Oil Futures Market: Evidence from China," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(3), pages 82-101, August.
  3. Hassan Ghassan & Prashanta Banerjee, 2015. "A threshold cointegration analysis of asymmetric adjustment of OPEC and non-OPEC monthly crude oil prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 305-323, August.
  4. Ghassan, Hassan Belkacem & AlHajhoj, Hassan Rafdan, 2016. "Long run dynamic volatilities between OPEC and non-OPEC crude oil prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 384-394.
  5. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Davide Ciferri & Alessandro Girardi, 2014. "Time-Varying Spot and Futures Oil Price Dynamics," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 61(1), pages 78-97, February.
  6. Sebastian Nick, 2016. "The Informational Efficiency of European Natural Gas Hubs: Price Formation and Intertemporal Arbitrage," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(2), pages 1-30, April.
  7. Yu, Lean & Zha, Rui & Stafylas, Dimitrios & He, Kaijian & Liu, Jia, 2020. "Dependences and volatility spillovers between the oil and stock markets: New evidence from the copula and VAR-BEKK-GARCH models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  8. Mohammed S. Khaled & Stephen P. Keef, 2014. "On the dynamics of international stock market efficiency," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-11, December.
  9. Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Measuring the Time-Frequency Dynamics of Return and Volatility Connectedness in Global Crude Oil Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, October.
  10. Shrestha, Keshab, 2014. "Price discovery in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 229-233.
  11. Torun, Erdost & Chang, Tzu-Pu & Chou, Ray Y., 2020. "Causal relationship between spot and futures prices with multiple time horizons: A nonparametric wavelet Granger causality test," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  12. Chi Zhang & Zhengning Pu & Qin Zhou, 2018. "Sustainable Energy Consumption in Northeast Asia: A Case from China’s Fuel Oil Futures Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, January.
  13. Go Tamakoshi & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2012. "Informational roles of commodity prices for monetary policy: evidence from the Euro area," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1282-1290.
  14. Palazzi, Rafael Baptista & Figueiredo Pinto, Antonio Carlos & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & De Oliveira, Erick Meira, 2020. "Can we still blame index funds for the price movements in the agricultural commodities market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 84-93.
  15. Pengfei Wang & Wei Zhang & Xiao Li & Dehua Shen, 2019. "Trading volume and return volatility of Bitcoin market: evidence for the sequential information arrival hypothesis," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(2), pages 377-418, June.
  16. Syed Hassan & Sarosh Shabi & Taufiq Choudhry, 2018. "US Economic Uncertainty, EU Business Cycles and the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers 2018-05, Swansea University, School of Management.
  17. Shrestha, Keshab & Philip, Sheena & Peranginangin, Yessy, 2020. "Contributions of Crude Oil Exchange Traded Funds in Price Discovery Process," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 23(2), pages 393-407, November.
  18. Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Shao, Hao-Lin & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "Time-varying lead–lag structure between the crude oil spot and futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 723-733.
  19. Ying Kou & Liming Liu & Meifeng Luo, 2014. "Lead-lag relationship between new-building and second-hand ship prices," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 303-327, July.
  20. Gideon Kwaku Minua Ampofo & Jinhua Cheng & Edwin Twum Ayimadu & Daniel Akwasi Asante, 2021. "Investigating the Asymmetric Effect of Economic Growth on Environmental Quality in the Next 11 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-29, January.
  21. Cagli, Efe Caglar & Taskin, Dilvin & Evrim Mandaci, Pınar, 2019. "The short- and long-run efficiency of energy, precious metals, and base metals markets: Evidence from the exponential smooth transition autoregressive models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  22. D. Zhang & M. Zhao & Y. Wang & S. Vigne & R. Benkraiem, 2024. "Technological innovation and its influence on energy risk management: Unpacking China’s energy consumption structure optimisation amidst climate change," Post-Print hal-04864387, HAL.
  23. Chevillon, Guillaume & Rifflart, Christine, 2009. "Physical market determinants of the price of crude oil and the market premium," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 537-549, July.
  24. Chang, Kuang-Liang & Lee, Chingnun, 2020. "The asymmetric spillover effect of the Markov switching mechanism from the futures market to the spot market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 374-388.
  25. Bampinas Georgios & Panagiotidis Theodore, 2015. "On the relationship between oil and gold before and after financial crisis: linear, nonlinear and time-varying causality testing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(5), pages 657-668, December.
  26. Junior, Peterson Owusu & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Padhan, Hemachandra & Alagidede, Imhotep, 2020. "Analysis of EEMD-based quantile-in-quantile approach on spot- futures prices of energy and precious metals in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  27. Chang, Chun-Ping & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2015. "Do oil spot and futures prices move together?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 379-390.
  28. Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Exchange Rate and Oil Price Interactions in Selected CEE Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-21, May.
  29. Karagianni, Stella & Pempetzoglou, Maria & Saraidaris, Anastasios, 2012. "Tax burden distribution and GDP growth: Non-linear causality considerations in the USA," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 186-194.
  30. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Awartani, Basel, 2022. "Have returns and volatilities for financial assets responded to implied volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
  31. Guoxiang Xu & Wangfeng Gao, 2019. "Financial Risk Contagion in Stock Markets: Causality and Measurement Aspects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-20, March.
  32. Christos Kollias & Suzanna-Maria Paleologou & Panayiotis Tzeremes & Nickolaos Tzeremes, 2017. "Defence expenditure and economic growth in Latin American countries: evidence from linear and nonlinear causality tests," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 26(1), pages 1-25, December.
  33. Mihaela NICOLAU & Giulio PALOMBA & Ilaria TRAINI, 2013. "Are Futures Prices Influenced by Spot;Prices or Vice-versa? An Analysis of Crude;Oil, Natural Gas and Gold Markets," Working Papers 394, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
  34. Zhige Wu & Alex Maynard & Alfons Weersink & Getu Hailu, 2018. "Asymmetric spot‐futures price adjustments in grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1549-1564, December.
  35. Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2014. "Cross-correlations between spot and futures markets of nonferrous metals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 20-30.
  36. Caporina, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2021. "Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: A study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test," SAFE Working Paper Series 324, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  37. Chul-Yong Lee & Sung-Yoon Huh, 2017. "Forecasting Long-Term Crude Oil Prices Using a Bayesian Model with Informative Priors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-15, January.
  38. Miao, Hong & Ramchander, Sanjay & Wang, Tianyang & Yang, Dongxiao, 2017. "Role of index futures on China's stock markets: Evidence from price discovery and volatility spillover," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 13-26.
  39. Tea Kasradze, 2020. "Challenges Facing Financial Inclusion Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic," European Journal of Marketing and Economics Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 3, ejme_v3_i.
  40. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zeng, Jhih-Hong, 2011. "Revisiting the relationship between spot and futures oil prices: Evidence from quantile cointegrating regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 924-935, September.
  41. Carl Chiarella & Boda Kang & Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos & Thuy‐Duong Tô, 2016. "The Return–Volatility Relation in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 127-152, February.
  42. Ahmad Hassan Ahmad & Olalekan Bashir Aworinde, 2021. "Fiscal and External Deficits Nexus in GIIPS Countries: Evidence from Parametric and Nonparametric Causality Tests," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 27(3), pages 171-184, August.
  43. Kisswani, Khalid M. & Nusair, Salah A., 2013. "Non-linearities in the dynamics of oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 341-353.
  44. Chen, Pei-Fen & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zeng, Jhih-Hong, 2014. "The relationship between spot and futures oil prices: Do structural breaks matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 206-217.
  45. repec:eco:journ2:2017-04-04 is not listed on IDEAS
  46. Tayfur Bayat & Saban Nazlioglu & Selim Kayhan, 2015. "Exchange Rate and Oil Price Interactions in Transition Economies: Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(3), pages 267-285, June.
  47. Min Hong & Xiaolei Wang & Zhenghui Li, 2022. "Will Oil Price Volatility Cause Market Panic?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-17, June.
  48. Hooi Hooi Lean & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2010. "Market Efficiency of Oil Spot and Futures: A Stochastic Dominance Approach," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-705, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  49. Buthaina M. A. Muhtaseb & Hussam-Eldin Daoud, 2017. "Tourism and Economic Growth in Jordan: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Frameworks," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 214-223.
  50. Jeng-Bau Lin & Chin-Chia Liang & Wei Tsai, 2019. "Nonlinear Relationships between Oil Prices and Implied Volatilities: Providing More Valuable Information," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-15, July.
  51. Jia, Rui-Lin & Wang, Dong-Hua & Tu, Jing-Qing & Li, Sai-Ping, 2016. "Correlation between agricultural markets in dynamic perspective—Evidence from China and the US futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 464(C), pages 83-92.
  52. Jena, Sangram Keshari & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Distributional predictability between commodity spot and futures: Evidence from nonparametric causality-in-quantiles tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 615-628.
  53. Mohini Gupta & Sakshi Varshney, 2023. "Non-linear Effect of Real Exchange Rate Variability with Macroeconomic Variable on Non-Petroleum Commodities of India– US Trade," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 58(2), pages 289-328, May.
  54. Amina Baba & Sana Ben Kebaier & Anna Creti, 2024. "How efficient are natural gas markets in practice? A wavelet-based approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 334(1), pages 623-677, March.
  55. Wang, Chao & Kim, Yul-Seong & Kim, Chi Yeol, 2021. "Causality between logistics infrastructure and economic development in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 49-58.
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  57. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Dynamic frequency relationships and volatility spillovers in natural gas, crude oil, gas oil, gasoline, and heating oil markets: Implications for portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
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