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Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks

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Cited by:

  1. Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2021. "Disastrous Defaults [Risk premia and term premia in general equilibrium]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1727-1772.
  2. Abduraimova, Kumushoy, 2022. "Contagion and tail risk in complex financial networks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  3. Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2020. "The Propagation of Business Expectations within the European Union," CESifo Working Paper Series 8198, CESifo.
  4. Nicole Branger & Patrick Konermann & Christoph Meinerding & Christian Schlag, 2021. "Equilibrium Asset Pricing in Directed Networks [Risk premia and term premia in general equilibrium]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(3), pages 777-818.
  5. Rosanna Grassi & Paolo Bartesaghi & Gian Paolo Clemente & Duc Thi Luu, 2021. "The multilayer architecture of the global input-output network and its properties," Papers 2109.02946, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  6. Ernesto Pasten & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2017. "Price Rigidity and the Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 23750, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Michael Weber & Ali Ozdagli, 2016. "Monetary Policy Through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market," 2016 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  8. Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2022. "Technology, demand, and productivity: What an industry model tells us about business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  9. Tihana Skrinjaric & Maja Sabol, 2024. "Easier Said than Done: Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices in Croatia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 74(1), pages 43-72, March.
  10. Ding, Wenzhi & Levine, Ross & Lin, Chen & Xie, Wensi, 2021. "Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 802-830.
  11. Yener, Haluk & Soybilgen, Barış & Stengos, Thanasis, 2020. "A general model for financial crises: An application to eurozone crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 202-229.
  12. David Rezza Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Microeconomic Shocks: Beyond Hulten's Theorem," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(4), pages 1155-1203, July.
  13. Nikolay Chernyshev, 2018. "From Productivity Shifts to Economic Growth: Intersectoral Linkage as an Amplifying Factor," CDMA Working Paper Series 201801, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
  14. Ernesto Pasten & Raphael S. Schoenle & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2017. "Price Rigidities and the Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," CESifo Working Paper Series 6619, CESifo.
  15. King, Maia & Tarbush, Bassel & Teytelboym, Alexander, 2019. "Targeted carbon tax reforms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 526-547.
  16. Bee, Marco & Riccaboni, Massimo & Trapin, Luca, 2017. "An extreme value analysis of the last century crises across industries in the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 65-78.
  17. Stefan Borsky & Martin Jury, 2020. "The role of global supply chains in the transmission of weather induced production shocks," Graz Economics Papers 2020-13, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
  18. Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
  19. Weibo Li & Wei Liu & Lei Wu & Xue Guo, 2021. "Risk spillover networks in financial system based on information theory," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(6), pages 1-20, June.
  20. Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael & Weber, Michael, 2017. "Price rigidities and the granular origins of aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2102, European Central Bank.
  21. Fischer, Jack R. & McPhail, Joseph E. & Rodrigues, Nathan & Orazem, Peter, 2017. "The Relative Importance of Macroeconomic Shocks, Regional Shocks and Idiosyncratic Risk on Large and Small Banks," ISU General Staff Papers 201707130700001027, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  22. Arata, Yoshiyuki & Mundt, Philipp, 2019. "Topology and formation of production input interlinkages: Evidence from Japanese microdata," BERG Working Paper Series 152, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
  23. Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2018. "The propagation of business sentiment within the European Union," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp257, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
  24. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis & Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender, 2021. "The quest for multidimensional financial immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  25. Seyit Kerimkhulle & Nataliia Obrosova & Alexander Shananin & Akylbek Tokhmetov, 2023. "Young Duality for Variational Inequalities and Nonparametric Method of Demand Analysis in Input–Output Models with Inputs Substitution: Application for Kazakhstan Economy," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-22, October.
  26. Chen, Zhimin & Ibragimov, Rustam, 2019. "One country, two systems? The heavy-tailedness of Chinese A- and H- share markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 115-141.
  27. Bernstein, Joshua & Richter, Alexander W. & Throckmorton, Nathaniel A., 2021. "Cyclical net entry and exit," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  28. Raphael A. Auer & Andrei A. Levchenko & Philip Sauré, 2019. "International Inflation Spillovers through Input Linkages," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 101(3), pages 507-521, July.
  29. Baruník, Jozef & Bevilacqua, Mattia & Faff, Robert, 2024. "Dynamic industry uncertainty networks and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  30. Larissa M. Batrancea & Mehmet Ali Balcı & Ömer Akgüller & Lucian Gaban, 2022. "What Drives Economic Growth across European Countries? A Multimodal Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-20, October.
  31. Bacchetta, Marc & Bekkers, Eddy & Piermartini, Roberta & Rubinova, Stela & Stolzenburg, Victor & Xu, Ankai, 2021. "COVID-19 and global value chains: A discussion of arguments on value chain organization and the role of the WTO," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2021-3, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
  32. Chetan Dave & Scott J. Dressler & Samreen Malik, 2022. "A Cautionary Tale of Fat Tails," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 53, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
  33. Everett Grant & Julieta Yung, 2017. "The Double-Edged Sword of Global Integration: Robustness, Fragility & Contagion in the International Firm Network," Globalization Institute Working Papers 313, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  34. Fabrice Defever & Alejandro Riano, 2017. "Twin peaks," Discussion Papers 2017-15, University of Nottingham, GEP.
  35. Christian vom Lehn & Thomas Winberry, 2022. "The Investment Network, Sectoral Comovement, and the Changing U.S. Business Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 137(1), pages 387-433.
  36. David Rezza Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi, 2018. "Macroeconomics with Heterogeneous Agents and Input-Output Networks," NBER Working Papers 24684, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  37. Bougheas, Spiros, 2022. "Contagion in networks: Stability and efficiency," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 64-77.
  38. Saman Banafti & Tae-Hwy Lee, 2022. "Inferential Theory for Granular Instrumental Variables in High Dimensions," Working Papers 202203, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
  39. Nguyen, Linh Xuan Diep & Mateut, Simona & Chevapatrakul, Thanaset, 2020. "Business-linkage volatility spillovers between US industries," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  40. Makoto Nirei & John Stachurski & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2018. "Trade Clustering and Power Laws in Financial Markets (Published in Theoretical Economics, 15:1365?1398, 2020)," CARF F-Series CARF-F-450, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
  41. Emmanuel Dhyne & Ayumu Ken Kikkawa & Glenn Magerman, 2022. "Imperfect Competition in Firm-to-Firm Trade," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(5), pages 1933-1970.
  42. Jennifer La'O & Alireza Tahbaz‐Salehi, 2022. "Optimal Monetary Policy in Production Networks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(3), pages 1295-1336, May.
  43. Khan, Aubhik, 2019. "Comment on Long and Plosser meet Bewley and Lucas," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 93-95.
  44. Feng Dong & Yi Wen, 2019. "Time-Varying Networks and the Efficacy of Money Without Sticky Prices," 2019 Meeting Papers 1464, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  45. Sascha A. Keweloh & Mathias Klein & Jan Pruser, 2023. "Estimating Fiscal Multipliers by Combining Statistical Identification with Potentially Endogenous Proxies," Papers 2302.13066, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
  46. Deng, Chuang & Wu, Jian, 2023. "Macroeconomic downside risk and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  47. Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2023. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  48. Alfaro, Laura & Asis, Gonzalo & Chari, Anusha & Panizza, Ugo, 2019. "Corporate debt, firm size and financial fragility in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 1-19.
  49. Vasily Korovkin & Alexey Makarin, 2020. "Production Networks and War," Papers 2011.14756, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
  50. Yoshiyuki ARATA & Philipp MUNDT, 2019. "Topology and Formation of Production Input Interlinkages: Evidence from Japanese microdata," Discussion papers 19027, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  51. Dongyeol Lee, 2019. "Transmission of Domestic and External Shocks through Input-Output Network: Evidence from Korean Industries," IMF Working Papers 2019/117, International Monetary Fund.
  52. Tihana Skrinjaric & Maja Sabol, 2024. "Easier Said than Done: Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices in Croatia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 74(1), pages 43-72, March.
  53. Bertrand Groslambert & Devraj Basu & Wan Ni Lai, 2019. "Is tail risk the missing link between institutions and risk?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(2), pages 1435-1448.
  54. Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020. "Entry and Exit, Unemployment, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2018, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 12 Jan 2021.
  55. Falk Bräuning & Viacheslav Sheremirov, 2021. "The Transmission Mechanisms of International Business Cycles: Output Spillovers through Trade and Financial Linkages," Working Papers 21-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
  56. Everett Grant & Julieta Yung, 2021. "The double‐edged sword of global integration: Robustness, fragility, and contagion in the international firm network," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 760-783, September.
  57. Pablo D. Azar, 2021. "Moore’s Law and Economic Growth," Staff Reports 970, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  58. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  59. Joya, Omar & Rougier, Eric, 2019. "Do (all) sectoral shocks lead to aggregate volatility? Empirics from a production network perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 77-107.
  60. Raffaele Giammetti & Alberto Russo & Mauro Gallegati, 2020. "Key sectors in input–output production networks: An application to Brexit," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(4), pages 840-870, April.
  61. Brancaccio, Emiliano & Giammetti, Raffaele & Lopreite, Milena & Puliga, Michelangelo, 2019. "Monetary policy, crisis and capital centralization in corporate ownership and control networks: A B-Var analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 55-66.
  62. David Rezza Baqaee, 2018. "Cascading Failures in Production Networks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(5), pages 1819-1838, September.
  63. Wood, Aaron D., 2017. "A model to teach non-rival and excludable goods in undergraduate microeconomics," International Review of Economics Education, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 28-35.
  64. Daron Acemoglu & Pablo D. Azar, 2020. "Endogenous Production Networks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(1), pages 33-82, January.
  65. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2023. "The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(6), pages 1977-2014.
  66. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2018_003 is not listed on IDEAS
  67. Dongyeol Lee, 2019. "Trade Linkages and International Business Cycle Comovement: Evidence from Korean Industry Data," IMF Working Papers 2019/116, International Monetary Fund.
  68. Spiros Bougheas & David I Harvey & Alan Kirman & Douglas Nelson, 2024. "Systemic risk in banking, fire sales, and macroeconomic disasters," Discussion Papers 2024/02, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  69. Norbert Czinkán, 2017. "The Role of Individual Firms in Aggregate Fluctuations: Evidence from Hungary," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 16(2), pages 40-63.
  70. Mundt, Philipp, 2021. "The formation of input–output architecture: Evidence from the European Union," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 89-104.
  71. Qingru Sun & Xiangyun Gao & Shaobo Wen & Sida Feng & Ze Wang, 2019. "Modeling the impulse response complex network for studying the fluctuation transmission of price indices," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(4), pages 835-858, December.
  72. Vipin P. Veetil, 2021. "Schumpeter’s business cycle theory and the diversification argument," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 273-288, April.
  73. Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Modelling Okun’s law: Does non-Gaussianity matter?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2183-2213, May.
  74. Hector Perez-Saiz & Mr. Jemma Dridi & Tunc Gursoy & Mounir Bari, 2019. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages," IMF Working Papers 2019/175, International Monetary Fund.
  75. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Macroprudential stance assessment: problems of measurement, literature review and some comments for the case of Croatia," Working Papers 72, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
  76. Linh H. Nguyen & Linh X. D. Nguyen & Linzhi Tan, 2021. "Tail risk connectedness between US industries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3624-3650, July.
  77. Nakano, Satoshi & Nishimura, Kazuhiko, 2021. "Productivity propagation with networks transformation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  78. Nirei, Makoto & Stachurski, John & Watanabe, Tsutomu, 2020. "Trade clustering and power laws in financial markets," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 15(4), November.
  79. Emanuele De Meo & Giacomo Tizzanini, 2021. "GDP‐network CoVaR: A tool for assessing growth‐at‐risk," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(2), July.
  80. Patrick Alexander, 2021. "Vertical specialisation and gains from trade," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(4), pages 1110-1140, April.
  81. Grazzini, Jakob & Spelta, Alessandro, 2022. "An empirical analysis of the global input–output network and its evolution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 594(C).
  82. Dong, Feng & Wen, Yi, 2019. "Long and Plosser meet Bewley and Lucas," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 70-92.
  83. Domínguez, Alvaro & Santos-Marquez, Felipe & Mendez, Carlos, 2021. "Sectoral productivity convergence, input-output structure and network communities in Japan," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 582-599.
  84. Lee, Dongyeol, 2021. "Propagation of economic shocks through vertical and trade linkages in Korea: An empirical analysis," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  85. Askar Boranbayev & Nataliia Obrosova & Alexander Shananin, 2023. "Technology of Input–Output Analysis with CES Production: Application for Studying the Kazakhstan Supply Chain during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-21, September.
  86. Charlie Joyez & Raja Kali & Catherine Laffineur, 2023. "Occupational Coherence and Local Labor Market Performance: Evidence from France," GREDEG Working Papers 2023-20, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
  87. Das, Sonali & Magistretti, Giacomo & Pugacheva, Evgenia & Wingender, Philippe, 2022. "Sectoral spillovers across space and time," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  88. Matei Demetrescu & Robinson Kruse-Becher, 2021. "Is U.S. real output growth really non-normal? Testing distributional assumptions in time-varying location-scale models," CREATES Research Papers 2021-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  89. Atalay, Enghin & Drautzburg, Thorsten & Wang, Zhenting, 2018. "Accounting for the sources of macroeconomic tail risks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 65-69.
  90. Levent Onural & Mustafa Çelebi Pınar & Can Fırtına, 2021. "Modeling Economic Activities and Random Catastrophic Failures of Financial Networks via Gibbs Random Fields," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(2), pages 203-232, August.
  91. Stelios Giannoulakis & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2023. "Financial crises, firm‐level shocks and large downturns: Evidence from Greece," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1549-1562, April.
  92. Aida Caldera Sánchez & Oliver Röhn, 2016. "How do policies influence GDP tail risks?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1339, OECD Publishing.
  93. Seyit Kerimkhulle & Natalia Obrosova & Alexander Shananin & Gulmira Azieva, 2022. "The Nonlinear Model of Intersectoral Linkages of Kazakhstan for Macroeconomic Decision-Making Processes in Sustainable Supply Chain Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, November.
  94. Sebestyén, Tamás & Kiss, Tibor & Braun, Erik, 2020. "A magyar járműipar kapcsolati szerkezetének vizsgálata. A német járműipartól való függőség alakulása [Analysis of the relationship structure of Hungary s motor-vehicle sector: The change in depende," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 557-584.
  95. Satoshi Nakano & Kazuhiko Nishimura, 2019. "Productivity propagation with networks transformation," Papers 1909.09641, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
  96. Qingru Sun & Xiangyun Gao & Ze Wang & Siyao Liu & Sui Guo & Yang Li, 2020. "Quantifying the risk of price fluctuations based on weighted Granger causality networks of consumer price indices: evidence from G7 countries," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(4), pages 821-844, October.
  97. Leal-Ordoñez Julio C., 2015. "Key sectors in economic development: a perspective from input-output linkages and cross-sector misallocation," Working Papers 2015-23, Banco de México.
  98. Fang, Lei & Cheng, Jiang & Su, Fang, 2019. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk: A comparative study based on systemically important regions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 147-158.
  99. Bartesaghi, Paolo & Clemente, Gian Paolo & Grassi, Rosanna & Luu, Duc Thi, 2022. "The multilayer architecture of the global input-output network and its properties," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 304-341.
  100. Yu, Xuewei & Moreno-Cruz, Juan & Crittenden, John C., 2015. "Regional energy rebound effect: The impact of economy-wide and sector level energy efficiency improvement in Georgia, USA," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 250-259.
  101. Tao Sun, 2024. "Systemic importance of financial services and insurance sectors: a world input–output network analysis," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 49(1), pages 63-96, January.
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