Is U.S. real output growth non-normal? A tale of time-varying location and scale
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.105032
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2005.
"Testing normality: a GMM approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 149-186, January.
- BONTEMPS, Christian & MEDDAHI, Nour, 2002. "Testing Normality : A GMM Approach," Cahiers de recherche 2002-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2005. "Testing normality: a GMM approach," Post-Print hal-02875105, HAL.
- Christian BONTEMPS & Nour MEDDAHI, 2002. "Testing Normality : A Gmm Approach," Cahiers de recherche 14-2002, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2002. "Testing Normality: A GMM Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-63, CIRANO.
- Perron, Pierre & Wada, Tatsuma, 2009.
"Let's take a break: Trends and cycles in US real GDP,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 749-765, September.
- Pierre Perron† & Tatsuma Wada, 2005. "Let’s Take a Break: Trends and Cycles in US Real GDP?," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-031, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Oct 2005.
- Pierre Perron & Tatsuma Wada, 2005. "Let’s Take a Break: Trends and Cycles in US Real GDP," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2009-006, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Feb 2009.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "RATS programs to replicate Perron-Wada state space model," Statistical Software Components RTZ00133, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Marianne Sensier & Dick van Dijk, 2004.
"Testing for Volatility Changes in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(3), pages 833-839, August.
- M Sensier & D van Dijk, 2003. "Testing for Volatility Changes in US Macroeconomic Time Series," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 36, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2008.
"Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? some evidence from OECD countries,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 639-669.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2006. "Are Output Growth-Rate Distributions Fat-Tailed? Some Evidence from OECD Countries," LEM Papers Series 2006/23, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2008. "Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? some evidence from OECD countries," Post-Print hal-03417062, HAL.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2006. "Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? Some evidence from OECD countries," Working Papers hal-01065643, HAL.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2006. "Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? Some evidence from OECD countries," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01065643, HAL.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2006. "Are Output Growth-Rate Distributions Fat-Tailed? Some Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 36/2006, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
- Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2008. "Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? some evidence from OECD countries," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03417062, HAL.
- Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2017.
"Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(1), pages 54-108, January.
- Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2015. "Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks," NBER Working Papers 20865, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Asu Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi & Daron Acemoglu, 2015. "Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks," 2015 Meeting Papers 314, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Aruoba, S. Borağan & Diebold, Francis X. & Nalewaik, Jeremy & Schorfheide, Frank & Song, Dongho, 2016.
"Improving GDP measurement: A measurement-error perspective,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(2), pages 384-397.
- Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Jeremy Nalewaik & Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013. "Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Jeremy J. Nalewaik & Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013. "Improving GDP measurement: a measurement-error perspective," Working Papers 13-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- S. Boraǧan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Jeremy Nalewaik & Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013. "Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective," NBER Working Papers 18954, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Paul De Grauwe, 2014.
"Booms and Busts in Economic Activity: A Behavioral Explanation,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Exchange Rates and Global Financial Policies, chapter 19, pages 521-556,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- De Grauwe, Paul, 2012. "Booms and busts in economic activity: A behavioral explanation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 484-501.
- Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2008.
"Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks via Changes in Volatility,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(6), pages 1131-1149, September.
- Markku Lanne & Helmut L‹Tkepohl, 2008. "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks via Changes in Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(6), pages 1131-1149, September.
- Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2006. "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks via Changes in Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 1744, CESifo.
- Markku Lanne, Helmut Luetkepohl, 2006. "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks via Changes in Volatility," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/23, European University Institute.
- Malte Knüppel, 2015.
"Evaluating the Calibration of Multi-Step-Ahead Density Forecasts Using Raw Moments,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 270-281, April.
- Knüppel, Malte, 2011. "Evaluating the calibration of multi-step-ahead density forecasts using raw moments," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,32, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2012.
"Testing distributional assumptions: A GMM aproach,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 978-1012, September.
- N. Meddahi & C. Bontemps, 2004. "Testing Distributional Assumptions: A GMM Approach," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 487, Econometric Society.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2012. "Testing distributional assumptions: A GMM aproach," Post-Print hal-02875123, HAL.
- Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2007. "Testing Distributional Assumptions: A GMM Approach," IDEI Working Papers 486, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
- Davidson, James, 1994. "Stochastic Limit Theory: An Introduction for Econometricians," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774037, Decembrie.
- Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2022. "How to estimate a vector autoregression after March 2020," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 688-699, June.
- Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2007. "Testing for unit roots in time series models with non-stationary volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 919-947, October.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2024.
"Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(4), pages 275-320, October.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," Working Papers 20-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Schorfheide, Frank & Song, Dongho, 2021. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 16760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-039, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2021. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29535, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ascari, Guido & Fagiolo, Giorgio & Roventini, Andrea, 2015.
"Fat-Tail Distributions And Business-Cycle Models,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 465-476, March.
- Guido Ascari & Giorgio Fagiolo & Andrea Roventini, 2012. "Fat-Tail Distributions and Business-Cycle Models," LEM Papers Series 2012/02, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Guido Ascari & Giorgio Fagiolo & Andrea Roventini, 2012. "Fat-Tail Distributions and Business-Cycle Models," Quaderni di Dipartimento 157, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
- Guido Ascari & Giorgio Fagiolo & Andrea Roventini, 2012. "Fat-Tail Distributions and Business-Cycle Models," Working Papers 02/2012, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
- Guido Ascari & Giorgio Fagiolo & Andrea Roventini, 2012. "Fat-Tail Distributions and Business-Cycle Models," EconomiX Working Papers 2012-7, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Guido Ascari & Giorgio Fagiolo & Andrea Roventini, 2012. "Fat-Tail Distributions and Business-Cycle Models," Working Papers hal-04141131, HAL.
- Guido Ascari & Giorgio Fagiolo & Andrea Roventini, 2012. "Fat-tail Distributions and Business-Cycle Models," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2012-01, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2003.
"Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, pages 159-230,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2002. "Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?," NBER Working Papers 9127, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2022.
"Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(3), pages 510-524, May.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2018. "Robust inference in models identified via heteroskedasticity," Staff Reports 876, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2008.
"The Time-Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(3), pages 604-641, June.
- Alejandro Justiniano & Northwestern University, 2006. "The Time Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 219, Society for Computational Economics.
- Giorgio Primiceri & Alejandro Justiniano, 2006. "The Time Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations," 2006 Meeting Papers 353, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2006. "The Time Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 12022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2014.
"Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 662-682.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2013. "Evaluating predictive densities of U.S. output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set," Economics Working Papers 1370, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set," Working Papers 689, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Andrews, Donald W K, 1991.
"Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
- Donald W.K. Andrews, 1988. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 877, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Donald W.K. Andrews, 1988. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 877R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 1989.
- Daniel J. Vine & Valerie A. Ramey, 2006.
"Declining Volatility in the U.S. Automobile Industry,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1876-1889, December.
- Valerie A. Ramey & Daniel J. Vine, 2005. "Declining Volatility in the U.S. Automobile Industry," NBER Working Papers 11596, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Helmut Lütkepohl & Mika Meitz & Aleksei Netšunajev & Pentti Saikkonen, 2021.
"Testing identification via heteroskedasticity in structural vector autoregressive models,"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 1-22.
- Lütkepohl, Helmut & Meitz, Mika & Netšunajev, Aleksei & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2021. "Testing identification via heteroskedasticity in structural vector autoregressive models," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 24(1), pages 1-22.
- Helmut Lütkepohl & Mika Meitz & Aleksei NetŠunajev & Pentti Saikkonen, 2018. "Testing Identification via Heteroskedasticity in Structural Vector Autoregressive Models," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1764, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Olivier Blanchard & John Simon, 2001. "The Long and Large Decline in U.S. Output Volatility," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 32(1), pages 135-174.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024.
"Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1403-1417, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 21-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 09 Aug 2021.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022. "Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility," Discussion Papers 13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Deng, Ai & Perron, Pierre, 2008.
"The Limit Distribution Of The Cusum Of Squares Test Under General Mixing Conditions,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(3), pages 809-822, June.
- Ai Deng & Pierre Perron, 2006. "The Limit Distribution of the CUSUM of Squares Test Under General Mixing Conditions," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2006-004, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2005.
"Tests for Skewness, Kurtosis, and Normality for Time Series Data,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 49-60, January.
- Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2001. "Tests for Skewness, Kurtosis, and Normality for Time Series Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 501, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Amado, Cristina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2013.
"Modelling volatility by variance decomposition,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 142-153.
- Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011. "Modelling Volatility by Variance Decomposition," CREATES Research Papers 2011-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Cristina Amado & Timo Teräsvirta, 2011. "Modelling Volatility by Variance Decomposition," NIPE Working Papers 01/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Diebold, Francis X & Gunther, Todd A & Tay, Anthony S, 1998. "Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 863-883, November.
- Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2000.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s?,"
Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
- Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Margaret M. McConnell, 2000. "Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1464-1476, December.
- Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 1997. "Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s?," Research Paper 9735, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 1998. "Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s?," Staff Reports 41, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2010.
"Structural vector autoregressions with Markov switching,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 121-131, February.
- Markku Lanne & Helmut Luetkepohl & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2009. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Markov Switching," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/06, European University Institute.
- Peter Christoffersen, 2004.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 84-108.
- Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2003. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-05, CIRANO.
- Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2010.
"Structural Vector Autoregressions With Nonnormal Residuals,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 159-168.
- Markku Lanne & Helmut Luetkepohl, 2005. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Nonnormal Residuals," Economics Working Papers ECO2005/25, European University Institute.
- Markku Lanne & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2006. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Nonnormal Residuals," CESifo Working Paper Series 1651, CESifo.
- Gadea Rivas, María Dolores & Gonzalo, Jesús, 2020.
"Trends in distributional characteristics: Existence of global warming,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 153-174.
- Gadea Rivas, María Dolores & Gonzalo, Jesús, 2017. "Trends in distributional characteristics : Existence of global warming," UC3M Working papers. Economics 24121, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- James Morley & Jeremy Piger, 2012. "The Asymmetric Business Cycle," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(1), pages 208-221, February.
- Kiss, Tamás & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Fat tails in leading indicators," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
- Thomas Mikosch & Cătălin Stărică, 2004. "Nonstationarities in Financial Time Series, the Long-Range Dependence, and the IGARCH Effects," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 378-390, February.
- Jan P. A. M. Jacobs & Samad Sarferaz & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Simon van Norden, 2022.
"Can GDP Measurement Be Further Improved? Data Revision and Reconciliation,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 423-431, January.
- Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Samad Sarferaz & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Simon van Norden, 2018. "Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-15, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Jan P. A. M. Jacobs & Samad Sarferaz & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Simon van Norden, 2018. "Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation," Papers 1808.04970, arXiv.org.
- Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Jean-Paul Renne, 2020.
"Identification and Estimation in Non-Fundamental Structural VARMA Models,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(4), pages 1915-1953.
- Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Jean-Paul Renne, 2017. "Identification and Estimation in Non-Fundamental Structural VARMA Models," Working Papers 2017-08, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
- María Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez‐Loscos & Gabriel Pérez‐Quirós, 2018.
"Great Moderation And Great Recession: From Plain Sailing To Stormy Seas?,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(4), pages 2297-2321, November.
- Ana gomez-Loscos & M. Dolores Gadea (Universidad de Zaragoza) & Gabriel Perez-Quiros (Bank of Spain), 2015. "Great Moderation and Great Recession. From plain sailing to stormy seas?," EcoMod2015 8267, EcoMod.
- Andrews, Donald W K & Monahan, J Christopher, 1992.
"An Improved Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(4), pages 953-966, July.
- Donald W.K. Andrews & Christopher J. Monahan, 1990. "An Improved Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 942, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Lanne, Markku & Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2017.
"Identification and estimation of non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 288-304.
- Markku Lanne & Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2015. "Identification and estimation of non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bruce T. Grimm, 2007. "The Statistical Discrepancy," BEA Papers 0071, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- Sun, Yixiao, 2014.
"Let’s fix it: Fixed-b asymptotics versus small-b asymptotics in heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 659-677.
- Sun, Yixiao, 2013. "Let's Fix It: Fixed-b Asymptotics versus Small-b Asymptotics in Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation Robust Inference," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt8x8307rz, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Michael Vogt, 2012. "Nonparametric regression for locally stationary time series," CeMMAP working papers CWP22/12, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017.
"Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 81869, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2023.
"Peaks, gaps, and time‐reversibility of economic time series,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 43-68, January.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2020. "Peaks, Gaps, and Time Reversibility of Economic Time Series," CEIS Research Paper 492, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 17 Jun 2020.
- Herwartz, Helmut & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2014.
"Structural vector autoregressions with Markov switching: Combining conventional with statistical identification of shocks,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(1), pages 104-116.
- Helmut Herwartz & Helmut Luetkepohl, 2011. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Markov Switching: Combining Conventional with Statistical Identification of Shocks," Economics Working Papers ECO2011/11, European University Institute.
- Vogelsang, Timothy J. & Wagner, Martin, 2013.
"A FIXED-b PERSPECTIVE ON THE PHILLIPS–PERRON UNIT ROOT TESTS,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(3), pages 609-628, June.
- Vogelsang, Timothy J. & Wagner, Martin, 2011. "A Fixed-b Perspective on the Phillips-Perron Unit Root Tests," Economics Series 272, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Kiefer, Nicholas M. & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2005.
"A New Asymptotic Theory For Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Tests,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(6), pages 1130-1164, December.
- Kiefer, Nicholas M. & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2005. "A New Asymptotic Theory for Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Tests," Working Papers 05-08, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics.
- Martín Almuzara & Dante Amengual & Enrique Sentana, 2019.
"Normality tests for latent variables,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 10(3), pages 981-1017, July.
- Tincho Almuzara & Dante Amengual & Enrique Sentana, 2017. "Normality Tests for Latent Variables," Working Papers wp2017_1708, CEMFI.
- Luo, Sui & Startz, Richard, 2014. "Is it one break or ongoing permanent shocks that explains U.S. real GDP?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 155-163.
- Z. Lomnicki, 1961. "Tests for departure from normality in the case of linear stochastic processes," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 37-62, December.
- Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & van Norden, Simon, 2011. "Modeling data revisions: Measurement error and dynamics of "true" values," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 101-109, April.
- Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014.
"A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix,"
Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
- Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1987. "A Simple, Positive Semi-definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(3), pages 703-708, May.
- Whitney K. Newey & Kenneth D. West, 1986. "A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and AutocorrelationConsistent Covariance Matrix," NBER Technical Working Papers 0055, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- J. Steven Landefeld & Eugene P. Seskin & Barbara M. Fraumeni, 2008. "Taking the Pulse of the Economy: Measuring GDP," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(2), pages 193-216, Spring.
- Brownlees, Christian & Souza, André B.M., 2021. "Backtesting global Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 312-330.
- Amengual, Dante & Fiorentini, Gabriele & Sentana, Enrique, 2024.
"Specification tests for non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
- Dante Amengual & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2022. "Specification tests for non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressions," Working Papers wp2022_2212, CEMFI.
- Hillebrand, Eric, 2005. "Neglecting parameter changes in GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 121-138.
- Jingjing Yang & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 2011. "Fixed‐b analysis of LM‐type tests for a shift in mean," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(3), pages 438-456, October.
- Lamoureux, Christopher G & Lastrapes, William D, 1990. "Persistence in Variance, Structural Change, and the GARCH Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 8(2), pages 225-234, April.
- Roberto Rigobon, 2003. "Identification Through Heteroskedasticity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 777-792, November.
- Yong Bao, 2013. "On Sample Skewness and Kurtosis," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 415-448, December.
- Jushan Bai, 2003. "Testing Parametric Conditional Distributions of Dynamic Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 531-549, August.
- Jarque, Carlos M. & Bera, Anil K., 1980. "Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 255-259.
- Xuexin Wang & Yixiao Sun, 2022. "A Simple Asymptotically F-Distributed Portmanteau Test for Diagnostic Checking of Time Series Models With Uncorrelated Innovations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 505-521, April.
- Yixiao Sun, 2014. "Fixed‐Smoothing Asymptotics in a Two‐Step Generalized Method of Moments Framework," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 2327-2370, November.
- Campbell, Sean D., 2007. "Macroeconomic Volatility, Predictability, and Uncertainty in the Great Moderation: Evidence From the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 191-200, April.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Matei Demetrescu & Robinson Kruse-Becher, 2021. "Is U.S. real output growth really non-normal? Testing distributional assumptions in time-varying location-scale models," CREATES Research Papers 2021-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Kruse, Robinson, 2015. "Testing heteroskedastic time series for normality," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113221, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Hanck, Christoph & Demetrescu, Matei & Kruse, Robinson, 2015. "Fixed-b Asymptotics for t-Statistics in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112916, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Matei Demetrescu & Christoph Hanck & Robinson Kruse, 2016. "Fixed-b Inference in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2016-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2022.
"The great moderation: updated evidence with joint tests for multiple structural changes in variance and persistence,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1193-1218, March.
- Perron, Pierre & Yamamoto, Yohei & 山本, 庸平, 2019. "The Great Moderation: Updated Evidence with Joint Tests for Multiple Structural Changes in Variance and Persistence," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-90, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2020. "The Great Moderation: Updated Evidence with Joint Tests for Multiple Structural Changes in Variance and Persistence," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2020-008, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2018.
"Does The Great Recession Imply The End Of The Great Moderation? International Evidence,"
Economic Inquiry,
Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 745-760, April.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," EconomiX Working Papers 2014-21, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2018. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01757081, HAL.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," Working Papers hal-00952951, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Amélie Charles, 2017. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," Post-Print hal-01635945, HAL.
- Matei Demetrescu & Christoph Hanck & Robinson Kruse‐Becher, 2022. "Robust inference under time‐varying volatility: A real‐time evaluation of professional forecasters," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 1010-1030, August.
- Xu, Ke-Li, 2012. "Robustifying multivariate trend tests to nonstationary volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 147-154.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto & Jing Zhou, 2020.
"Testing jointly for structural changes in the error variance and coefficients of a linear regression model,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(3), pages 1019-1057, July.
- Pierre Perron & Jing Zhou, 2008. "Testing Jointly for Structural Changes in the Error Variance and Coefficients of a Linear Regression Model," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2008-011, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Perron, Pierre & Yamamoto, Yohei & 山本, 庸平 & Zhou, Jing, 2019. "Testing Jointly for Structural Changes in the Error Variance and Coefficients of a Linear Regression Model," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-85, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Netsunajev, Aleksei, 2013.
"Reaction to technology shocks in Markov-switching structural VARs: Identification via heteroskedasticity,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 51-62.
- Aleksei NETSUNAJEV, 2012. "Reaction to Technology Shocks in Markov-Switchings Structural VARs: Identification via heteroskedasticity," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/13, European University Institute.
- Aleksei Netsunajev, 2013. "Reaction to technology shocks in Markov-switching structural VARs: identification via heteroskedasticity," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2012-6, Bank of Estonia, revised 03 Jan 2013.
- Lütkepohl, Helmut & Netšunajev, Aleksei, 2017. "Structural vector autoregressions with smooth transition in variances," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 43-57.
- Casini, Alessandro, 2023. "Theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference in possibly misspecified and nonstationary models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 372-392.
- Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Efrem Castelnuovo & Luca Fanelli, 2014.
"Gimme a break! Identification and estimation of the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks in the U.S,"
"Marco Fanno" Working Papers
0181, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Efrem Castelnuovo & Luca Fanelli, 2016. "Gimme a Break! Identification and Estimation of the Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks in the U.S," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n31, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-031 is not listed on IDEAS
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2018.
"Does The Great Recession Imply The End Of The Great Moderation? International Evidence,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 745-760, April.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," Working Papers hal-04141344, HAL.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2018. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," Post-Print hal-01757081, HAL.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," Working Papers hal-00952951, HAL.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence," EconomiX Working Papers 2014-21, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Lütkepohl, Helmut & Netésunajev, Aleksei, 2014.
"Structural vector autoregressions with smooth transition in variances: The interaction between US monetary policy and the stock market,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2014-031, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Helmut Lütkepohl & Aleksei Netsunajev, 2014. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Smooth Transition in Variances: The Interaction between U.S. Monetary Policy and the Stock Market," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1388, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Casini, Alessandro & Perron, Pierre, 2024.
"Prewhitened long-run variance estimation robust to nonstationarity,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2021. "Prewhitened Long-Run Variance Estimation Robust to Nonstationarity," Papers 2103.02235, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Grote, Claudia & Bertram, Philip, 2015. "A comparative Study of Volatility Breaks," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-558, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Helmut Herwartz & Alexander Lange & Simone Maxand, 2022. "Data‐driven identification in SVARs—When and how can statistical characteristics be used to unravel causal relationships?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 668-693, April.
- Hirukawa, Masayuki, 2023. "Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation in Time Series: A Review," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 36-61.
- Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2005.
"Testing normality: a GMM approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 149-186, January.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2002. "Testing Normality: A GMM Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-63, CIRANO.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2005. "Testing normality: a GMM approach," Post-Print hal-02875105, HAL.
- BONTEMPS, Christian & MEDDAHI, Nour, 2002. "Testing Normality : A GMM Approach," Cahiers de recherche 2002-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Christian BONTEMPS & Nour MEDDAHI, 2002. "Testing Normality : A Gmm Approach," Cahiers de recherche 14-2002, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
More about this item
Keywords
Distribution testing; Probability integral transformation; Local standardization; Nonparametric estimation; Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:171:y:2025:i:c:s0165188924002240. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jedc .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.