The Long and Large Decline in U.S. Output Volatility
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Balke, Nathan S & Gordon, Robert J, 1989. "The Estimation of Prewar Gross National Product: Methodology and New Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(1), pages 38-92, February.
- Romer, Christina D, 1986. "Is the Stabilization of the Postwar Economy a Figment of the Data?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(3), pages 314-334, June.
- Weir, David R., 1986. "The Reliability of Historical Macroeconomic Data for Comparing Cyclical Stability," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(2), pages 353-365, June.
- Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2000.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s?,"
Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
- Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Margaret M. McConnell, 2000. "Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1464-1476, December.
- Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 1997. "Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s?," Research Paper 9735, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 1998. "Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s?," Staff Reports 41, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- George L. Perry & Charles L. Schultze, 1993. "Was This Recession Different? Are They All Different?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 24(1), pages 145-212.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- John Simon, 2001. "The Decline in Australian Output Volatility," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2001-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Keating, John W. & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2017. "What's so great about the Great Moderation?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 115-142.
- Nason James M. & Smith Gregor W, 2008.
"Great Moderation(s) and US Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence,"
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, November.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "Great Moderation(s) And U.s. Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence," Working Paper 1140, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2008. "Great moderations and U.S. interest rates: unconditional evidence," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Charles W. Calomiris & Christopher Hanes, 1994. "Historical Macroeconomics and American Macroeconomic History," NBER Working Papers 4935, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Selgin, George & Lastrapes, William D. & White, Lawrence H., 2012. "Has the Fed been a failure?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 569-596.
- Emi Nakamura & Dmitriy Sergeyev & Jón Steinsson, 2017.
"Growth-Rate and Uncertainty Shocks in Consumption: Cross-Country Evidence,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 1-39, January.
- Emi Nakamura & Dmitriy Sergeyev & Jón Steinsson, 2012. "Growth-Rate and Uncertainty Shocks in Consumption: Cross-Country Evidence," NBER Working Papers 18128, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad & Uebele, Martin, 2008. "The U.S. Business Cycle, 1867-1995: A Dynamic Factor Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7069, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008.
"Interpreting the Great Moderation: Changes in the Volatility of Economic Activity at the Macro and Micro Levels,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(4), pages 155-180, Fall.
- Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008. "Interpreting the Great Moderation: changes in the volatility of economic activity at the macro and micro Levels," Staff Reports 334, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008. "Interpreting the Great Moderation: Changes in the Volatility of Economic Activity at the Macro and Micro Levels," NBER Working Papers 14048, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Morris Altman, 1992. "Business Cycle Volatility in Developed Market Economies, 1870-1986: Revisions and Conjectures," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 259-275, Summer.
- Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 2022.
"Interpolation and shock persistence of prewar U.S. macroeconomic time series: A reconsideration,"
EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 2022. "Interpolation and shock persistence of prewar U.S. macroeconomic time series: A reconsideration," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
- Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 2022. "Interpolation and Shock Persistence of Prewar U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series: A Reconsideration," MPRA Paper 112493, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Daniel Levy & Hashem Dezhbakhsh, 2022. "Interpolation and Shock Persistence of Prewar U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 2022-02, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
- Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 2022. "Interpolation and shock persistence of prewar U.S. macroeconomic time series: A reconsideration," Working Paper series 22-05, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina & Pozo, Susan, 2001. "Prewar and Postwar Macroeconomic Uncertainty: An International Perspective," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 615-631, October.
- Robert J. Barro & Jose F. Ursua, 2008.
"Macroeconomic Crises since 1870,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 39(1 (Spring), pages 255-350.
- Robert J. Barro & José F. Ursúa, 2008. "Macroeconomic Crises since 1870," NBER Working Papers 13940, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Uebele, Martin & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009.
"Stock markets and business cycle comovement in Germany before World War I: Evidence from spectral analysis,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 35-57, March.
- Albrecht Ritschl & Martin Uebele, 2005. "Stock Markets and Business Cycle Comovement in Germany before World War I: Evidence from Spectral Analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-056, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Uebele, Martin, 2005. "Stock Markets and Business Cycle Comovement in Germany Before World War I: Evidence from Spectral Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 5370, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christina D. Romer, 1999.
"Changes in Business Cycles: Evidence and Explanations,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 23-44, Spring.
- Christina D. Romer, 1999. "Changes in Business Cycles: Evidence and Explanations," NBER Working Papers 6948, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2014.
"Output Growth and its Volatility: The Gold Standard through the Great Moderation,"
Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 80(3), pages 728-751, January.
- WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Output Growth and Its Volatility: The Gold Standard through the Great Moderation," Working Papers 1205, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Output Growth and Its Volatility: The Gold Standard through the Great Moderation," Working papers 2012-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Robert Barro & Tao Jin, 2021.
"Rare Events and Long-Run Risks,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 1-25, January.
- Robert J. Barro & Tao Jin, 2016. "Rare Events and Long-Run Risks," NBER Working Papers 21871, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Robert J. Barro & Tao Jin, 2016. "Rare Events and Long-Run Risks," Working Paper 115371, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Robert J. Barro & Tao Jin, 2016. "Rare events and long-run risks," AEI Economics Working Papers 905253, American Enterprise Institute.
- Thomas L. Hogan & Daniel J. Smith, 2022. "War, money & economy: Inflation and production in the Fed and pre-Fed periods," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 35(1), pages 15-37, March.
- ODUSOLA, Ayodele & AKINLO, Anthony, 2001. "Output, Inflation, And Exchange Rate In Developing Countries: An Application To Nigeria," UNDP Africa Economists Working Papers 307343, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
- Robert Barro & Tao Jin, 2021.
"Rare Events and Long-Run Risks,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 1-25, January.
- Robert Barro & Tao Jin, 2020. "Online Appendix to "Rare Events and Long-Run Risks"," Online Appendices 18-485, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Joseph H. Davis & Christopher Hanes & Paul W. Rhode, 2009.
"Harvests and Business Cycles in Nineteenth-Century America,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 124(4), pages 1675-1727.
- Joseph H. Davis & Christopher Hanes & Paul W. Rhode, 2009. "Harvests and Business Cycles in Nineteenth-Century America," NBER Working Papers 14686, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
More about this item
Keywords
output volatility; macroeconomics; decline; U.S. output;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bin:bpeajo:v:32:y:2001:i:2001-1:p:135-174. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: . General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/esbrous.html .
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jennifer Ambrosino (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/esbrous.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.