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Yongchen Zhao

Personal Details

First Name:Yongchen
Middle Name:
Last Name:Zhao
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pzh331
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
Department of Economics Towson University 8000 York Road Maryland, 21252, USA

Affiliation

Department of Economics
Towson University

Towson, Maryland (United States)
http://towson.edu/cbe/departments/economics/
RePEc:edi:detowus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Yongchen Zhao, 2023. "Uncertainty of Household Inflation Expectations: Reconciling Point and Density Forecasts," Working Papers 2023-09, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2023.
  2. Gabriel Mathy & Yongchen Zhao, 2023. "Could Diffusion Indexes Have Forecasted the Great Depression?," Working Papers 2023-05, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2023.
  3. Yongchen Zhao, 2021. "Uncertainty and Disagreement of Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Household-Level Qualitative Survey Responses," Working Papers 2021-03, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2021.
  4. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "The Nordhaus Test with Many Zeros," CESifo Working Paper Series 8350, CESifo.
  5. George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors," Working Papers 2020-01, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
  6. Yongchen Zhao, 2019. "Updates to Household Inflation Expectations: Signal or Noise?," Working Papers 2019-01, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised May 2019.
  7. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2018. "International Propagation of Shocks: A Dynamic Factor Model Using Survey Forecasts," Working Papers 2018-04, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2018.
  8. Abhiman Das & Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2018. "Inflation Expectations in India: Learning from Household Tendency Surveys," Working Papers 2018-03, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2018.
  9. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Determinants of Consumer Sentiment over Business Cycles: Evidence from the U.S. Surveys of Consumers," Working Papers 2016-14, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2016.
  10. Herman O. Stekler & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Working Papers 2016-006, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
  11. Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2015. "Forecasting Consumption: The Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors," Working Papers 2015-02, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2015.
  12. Yongchen Zhao, 2015. "Robustness of Forecast Combination in Unstable Environment: A Monte Carlo Study of Advanced Algorithms," Working Papers 2015-005, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
  13. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2013. "Determinants of Consumer Sentiment: Evidence from Household Survey Data," Discussion Papers 13-12, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
  14. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Yongchen Zhao, 2013. "Testing the Value of Probability Forecasts for Calibrated Combining," Discussion Papers 13-02, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
  15. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2013. "Quantifying Heterogeneous Survey Expectations: The Carlson-Parkin Method Revisited," Discussion Papers 13-08, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
  16. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Yongchen Zhao, 2013. "Machine Learning and Forecast Combination in Incomplete Panels," Discussion Papers 13-01, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
  17. Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2012. "The Yield Spread Puzzle and the Information Content of SPF Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 3949, CESifo.
  18. Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2012. "Forecasting Consumption in Real Time: The Role of Consumer Confidence Surveys," Discussion Papers 12-02, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.

Articles

  1. Zhao, Yongchen, 2024. "Uncertainty of household inflation expectations: Reconciling point and density forecasts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
  2. Zhao, Yongchen, 2023. "Internal consistency of household inflation expectations: Point forecasts vs. density forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1713-1735.
  3. Yongchen Zhao, 2022. "Uncertainty and disagreement of inflation expectations: Evidence from household‐level qualitative survey responses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 810-828, July.
  4. Thomas Rhoads & Yongchen Zhao, 2022. "Sports team performance and revenue of out-of-stadium vending operations," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 8-11, January.
  5. Yongchen Zhao, 2021. "The robustness of forecast combination in unstable environments: a Monte Carlo study of advanced algorithms," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 173-199, July.
  6. Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020. "Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1173-1180.
  7. Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 77-97, November.
  8. Lahiri, Kajal & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020. "The Nordhaus test with many zeros," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  9. Zhao, Yongchen, 2019. "Updates to household inflation expectations: Signal or noise?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 95-98.
  10. Das, Abhiman & Lahiri, Kajal & Zhao, Yongchen, 2019. "Inflation expectations in India: Learning from household tendency surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 980-993.
  11. Lahiri, Kajal & Zhao, Yongchen, 2019. "International propagation of shocks: A dynamic factor model using survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 929-947.
  12. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Yongchen Zhao, 2017. "Online learning and forecast combination in unbalanced panels," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1-3), pages 257-288, March.
  13. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the US Surveys of Consumers," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(2), pages 187-215, December.
  14. Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Forecasting Consumption: the Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1254-1275, November.
  15. Lahiri, Kajal & Peng, Huaming & Zhao, Yongchen, 2015. "Testing the value of probability forecasts for calibrated combining," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 113-129.
  16. Lahiri, Kajal & Zhao, Yongchen, 2015. "Quantifying survey expectations: A critical review and generalization of the Carlson–Parkin method," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 51-62.
  17. Kajal Lahiri & Hany A. Shawky & Yongchen Zhao, 2014. "Modeling Hedge Fund Returns: Selection, Nonlinearity and Managerial Efficiency," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 172-187, March.
  18. Lahiri, Kajal & Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2013. "The yield spread puzzle and the information content of SPF forecasts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 219-221.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 19 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (11) 2015-07-25 2016-07-30 2016-09-25 2016-10-16 2018-09-03 2018-09-24 2019-05-20 2020-02-17 2020-06-15 2020-07-27 2021-12-13. Author is listed
  2. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (7) 2012-06-25 2012-10-06 2013-04-27 2015-07-25 2015-12-28 2016-05-08 2016-09-25. Author is listed
  3. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (4) 2018-09-03 2019-05-20 2021-12-13 2023-12-18
  4. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (2) 2016-05-08 2018-09-24
  5. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (2) 2019-05-20 2020-02-17
  6. NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2023-12-18
  7. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2019-05-20
  8. NEP-BIG: Big Data (1) 2020-02-17
  9. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (1) 2021-12-13
  10. NEP-DCM: Discrete Choice Models (1) 2013-05-22
  11. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2015-12-28
  12. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (1) 2023-10-09
  13. NEP-MKT: Marketing (1) 2016-07-30
  14. NEP-PKE: Post Keynesian Economics (1) 2016-05-08

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