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Political risk and bank stability in the Middle East and North Africa region

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  • Al-Shboul, Mohammad
  • Maghyereh, Aktham
  • Hassan, Abul
  • Molyneux, Phillip

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between political risk and bank stability in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. We find that political risk is adversely associated with bank stability, generally supporting the financial fragility hypothesis. The analysis suggests that political risk differentially influences the level of stability of conventional and Islamic banks. Political risk has a less detrimental effect on the riskiness of Islamic banks compared with conventional banks. Our analysis also suggests that Islamic banks in the Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC) sub-region are less exposed to political risk compared with those operating in the non-GCC countries (other countries in the MENA region outside of the GCC sub-region).

Suggested Citation

  • Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Maghyereh, Aktham & Hassan, Abul & Molyneux, Phillip, 2020. "Political risk and bank stability in the Middle East and North Africa region," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:60:y:2020:i:c:s0927538x19303609
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2020.101291
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    1. Anh‐Tuan Doan & Bich‐Thanh Truong & Chi‐Cuong Nguyen & Phan‐Tam‐Nhu Nguyen & Hai‐Yen Truong & Anh‐Tuan Le, 2023. "Corruption and corporate leverage in an emerging economy: The role of economic freedom," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 94(2), pages 599-629, June.
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    3. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Shahab, Yasir & Wang, Peng, 2023. "Geopolitical, economic uncertainty and bank risk: Do CEO power and board strength matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. Ali Shaddady, 2022. "Business environment, political risk, governance, Shariah compliance and efficiency in insurance companies in the MENA region," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(4), pages 861-904, October.
    5. M. Kabir Hassan & Md Nurul Islam Sohel & Tonmoy Choudhury & Mamunur Rashid, 2024. "A systematic literature review of risks in Islamic banking system: research agenda and future research directions," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(1), pages 1-29, February.
    6. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Bakhsh, Satar & Zhao, Zhongxiu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability: Threshold effect of institutional quality and competition," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    7. Hela Kallel & Mohamed Triki, 2024. "Foreign ownership, bank efficiency and stability: Whether the institutional quality of countries is important?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 632-653, January.
    8. Hsieh, Meng-Fen & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lin, Yi-Ching, 2022. "New evidence on liquidity creation and bank capital: The roles of liquidity and political risk," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 778-794.
    9. Naif Alsagr & Stefan F. Van Hemmen Almazor, 2020. "Oil Rent, Geopolitical Risk and Banking Sector Performance," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 305-314.
    10. Le, Anh-Tuan & Tran, Thao Phuong, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk matter for corporate investment? Evidence from emerging countries in Asia," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    11. Lalith Seelanatha, 2021. "Political Instability, Civil War and Cost Efficiency of Banking Firms: A Case Study in Sri Lanka," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 35(3), pages 294-316, September.
    12. Maghyereh, Aktham Issa & Yamani, Ehab, 2022. "Does bank income diversification affect systemic risk: New evidence from dual banking systems," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    13. Hashed Mabkhot & Hamid Abdulkhaleq Hasan Al-Wesabi, 2022. "Banks’ Financial Stability and Macroeconomic Key Factors in GCC Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-21, November.
    14. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Al-Shboul, Mohammad, 2022. "Oil structural shocks, bank-level characteristics, and systemic risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    15. Dutra, Tiago M. & Teixeira, João C.A. & Dias, José Carlos, 2023. "Banking regulation and banks’ risk-taking behavior: The role of investors’ protection," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 124-148.
    16. Gupta, Juhi & Kashiramka, Smita, 2020. "Financial stability of banks in India: Does liquidity creation matter?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political risk; Bank stability; Bank risk-taking; Islamic banks; Financial crises; Middle East and North Africa region;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • N25 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Asia including Middle East

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