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Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy
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Cited by:
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2016.
"Model uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive models,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-131.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 39_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 15-35, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper 58131, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 1408, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-011, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 2014_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Hashmat Khan & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2020.
"Does business confidence matter for investment?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1633-1665, October.
- Hashmat Khan & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2017. "Does Business Confidence Matter for Investment?," Carleton Economic Papers 17-13, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 20 Mar 2019.
- Mike Tsionas & Marwan Izzeldin & Lorenzo Trapani, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," Papers 1912.12527, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Демешев Борис Борисович & Малаховская Оксана Анатольевна, 2016. "Макроэкономическое Прогнозирование С Помощью Bvar Литтермана," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 20(4), pages 691-710.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022.
"Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020. "Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2020.
"Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 373-398.
- Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2018. "Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1809, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Salzmann, Leonard, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224588, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2014. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty of Corporate Bond Spreads by Bonferroni-Type Prediction Bands," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 6(2), pages 89-104, June.
- Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters & Alejandro Justiniano, 2016. "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series WP-2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2013.
"Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 791-897,
Elsevier.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2012. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2012:12, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2022.
"Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 828-844, October.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," CESifo Working Paper Series 8282, CESifo.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," NBER Working Papers 27001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 2020_08, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Korobilis, Dimitris & Lee, Thomas K., 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14580, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Heather Anderson & Giovanni Caggiano & Farshid Vahid & Benjamin Wong, 2020.
"Sectoral Employment Dynamics in Australia,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
20/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Heather Anderson & Giovanni Caggiano & Farshid Vahid & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Sectoral employment dynamics in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2020-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Shin, Minchul & Zhong, Molin, 2017.
"Does realized volatility help bond yield density prediction?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 373-389.
- Minchul Shin & Molin Zhong, 2013. "Does realized volatility help bond yield density prediction?," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-064, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Minchul Shin & Molin Zhong, 2015. "Does Realized Volatility Help Bond Yield Density Prediction?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-115, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2016.
"Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 332-348.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2015. "Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 10801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Large stochastic volatility in mean VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2019.
"Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1708-1724.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017. "Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers (Old Series) 1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2015.
"Real-Time Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency VAR,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 366-380, July.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2012. "Real-time forecasting with a mixed-frequency VAR," Working Papers 701, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013. "Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR," NBER Working Papers 19712, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Izzeldin, Marwan & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2022. "Estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Papers (Old Series) 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013. "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013.
"Large time-varying parameter VARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-14, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 11_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Tomasz Wozniak, 2016. "Rare Events and Risk Perception: Evidence from Fukushima Accident," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2021, The University of Melbourne.
- Gary Koop, 2012.
"Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables,"
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(3), pages 143-167, September.
- Gary Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1303, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary, Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-35, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2018.
"An efficient Bayesian approach to multiple structural change in multivariate time series,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 251-270, March.
- Maheu, John M & Song, Yong, 2017. "An Efficient Bayesian Approach to Multiple Structural Change in Multivariate Time Series," MPRA Paper 79211, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante, 2021.
"Combining shrinkage and sparsity in conjugate vector autoregressive models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 304-327, April.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante, 2020. "Combining Shrinkage and Sparsity in Conjugate Vector Autoregressive Models," Papers 2002.08760, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Antonio Pacifico, 2021. "Structural Panel Bayesian VAR with Multivariate Time-Varying Volatility to Jointly Deal with Structural Changes, Policy Regime Shifts, and Endogeneity Issues," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-35, May.
- Brave, Scott A. & Butters, R. Andrew & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2019. "Forecasting economic activity with mixed frequency BVARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1692-1707.
- Berg Tim Oliver, 2017.
"Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 1-29, April.
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of a BVAR under Alternative Specifications of the Zero Lower Bound," ifo Working Paper Series 203, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Ganics, Gergely & Odendahl, Florens, 2021.
"Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers 1948, Banco de España.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers 733, Banque de France.
- Che, Ming & Zhu, Zixiang & Li, Yujia, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty: Different roles in China's financial cycle," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2016.
"Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(8), pages 718-740, December.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2015. "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," MPRA Paper 62405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanović, 2020.
"Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 272-284, April.
- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Dynamic effects of credit shocks in a data-rich environment," Staff Reports 615, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannoni, Marc & Boivin, Jean & Stevanovic, Dalibor, 2013. "Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 9470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2016. "Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment," CIRANO Working Papers 2016s-55, CIRANO.
- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-11, CIRANO.
- Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Dynamic Effects of Credit Shocks in a Data-Rich Environment," Cahiers de recherche 1324, CIRPEE.
- G. Cubadda & S. Grassi & B. Guardabascio, 2022.
"The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model,"
Papers
2201.07069, arXiv.org.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Stefano Grassi & Barbara Guardabascio, 2024. "The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model," CEIS Research Paper 571, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Jan 2024.
- Koop, Gary, 2014. "Forecasting with dimension switching VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 280-290.
- Gu, Xin & Zhu, Zixiang & Yu, Minli, 2021. "The macro effects of GPR and EPU indexes over the global oil market—Are the two types of uncertainty shock alike?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016.
"Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 44_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2014-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1617, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Brent Meyer & Saeed Zaman, 2019.
"The usefulness of the median CPI in Bayesian VARs used for macroeconomic forecasting and policy,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 603-630, August.
- Brent Meyer & Saeed Zaman, 2016. "The Usefulness of the Median CPI in Bayesian VARs Used for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2016-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Rossini, Luca, 2019.
"Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 97-115.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Luca Rossini, 2016. "Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models," Papers 1608.02740, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
- Giacomo Rella, 2021. "The Fed, housing and household debt over time," Department of Economics University of Siena 850, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Martin, Gael M. & Frazier, David T. & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Loaiza-Maya, Rubén & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Maheu, John & Nibbering, Didier & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2024.
"Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 811-839.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-06, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Ralf Brüggemann & Christian Kascha, 2017.
"Directed Graphs and Variable Selection in Large Vector Autoregressive Models,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
2017-06, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Brüggemann, Ralf & Kascha, Christian, 2019. "Directed Graph and Variable Selection in Large Vector Autoregressive Models," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203656, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Dominik Bertsche & Ralf Brüggemann & Christian Kascha, 2018. "Directed Graphs and Variable Selection in Large Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2018-08, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Kalli, Maria & Griffin, Jim E., 2018. "Bayesian nonparametric vector autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 267-282.
- Camehl, Annika, 2023. "Penalized estimation of panel vector autoregressive models: A panel LASSO approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1185-1204.
- Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2021. ""Sorry, You're Blocked." Economic Effects of Financial Sanctions on the Russian Economy," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp704, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Gächter, Martin & Huber, Florian & Meier, Martin, 2022. "A shot for the US economy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
- Petrova, Katerina, 2019. "A quasi-Bayesian local likelihood approach to time varying parameter VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 286-306.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015.
"Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012. "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1494, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Milas, Costas & Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios, 2024.
"UK Foreign Direct Investment in uncertain economic times,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
- Costas Milas & Theodore Panagiotidis & Georgios Papapanagiotou, 2024. "UK Foreign Direct Investment in Uncertain Economic Times," Discussion Paper Series 2024_04, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Apr 2024.
- Costas Milas & Theodore Panagiotidis & Georgios Papapanagiotou, 2024. "UK Foreign Direct Investment in Uncertain Economic Times," Working Paper series 24-09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Ashwin Madhou & Tayushma Sewak & Imad Moosa & Vikash Ramiah, 2017. "GDP nowcasting: application and constraints in a small open developing economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(38), pages 3880-3890, August.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023.
"Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Joohun Han & John N. Ng’ombe, 2023. "The relation between wheat, soybean, and hemp acreage: a Bayesian time series analysis," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2021.
"No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 495-516, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2014. "No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 9848, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 20-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Moramarco, Graziano, 2024.
"Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 777-795.
- Graziano Moramarco, 2021. "Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States," Papers 2111.00822, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2012. "Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 2026-2047.
- Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? : The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
- Danilo Cascaldi‐Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2021.
"News and Uncertainty Shocks,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 779-811, June.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2016. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," EMF Research Papers 12, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2018. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1240, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015.
"A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models,"
Working Papers
770, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models," Working Papers 770, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Feuerriegel, Stefan & Gordon, Julius, 2019. "News-based forecasts of macroeconomic indicators: A semantic path model for interpretable predictions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(1), pages 162-175.
- Carriero, Andrea & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2019.
"A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1226-1239.
- Andrea Carriero & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods," EMF Research Papers 10, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Katleho Makatjane & Ntebogang Moroke, 2021. "Predicting Extreme Daily Regime Shifts in Financial Time Series Exchange/Johannesburg Stock Exchange—All Share Index," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, March.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2017.
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