Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C2: Single Equation Models; Single Variables
/ / / C22: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

2010

• Carlo A. Favero & Arie E. Gozluklu & Andrea Tamoni, 2010, "Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns," Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University, number 360.
• Kunst, Robert M. & Franses, Philip Hans, 2010, "Asymmetric Time Aggregation and its Potential Benefits for Forecasting Annual Data," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 252, Jul.
• Oga, Takashi & Polasek, Wolfgang, 2010, "The Asia Financial Crises and Exchange Rates," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 254, Sep.
• Ma, Jun & Nelson, Charles R., 2010, "Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 256, Sep.
• Nilgün ÇİL YAVUZ & Burak GÜRİŞ & Burcu KIRAN, 2010, "Reel döviz kurunun dış ticaret dengesine etkisi: Türkiye için Marshall-Lerner koşulunun testi," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, volume 25, issue 287, pages 69-90.
• Murat TAŞDEMİR & Sami TABAN, 2010, "Türkiye için aylık istihdam verilerinin Durum-Uzay Metodu kullanılarak tahmin edilmesi," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, volume 25, issue 288, pages 51-80.
• Aysu İNSEL & M. Nedim SUALP & Mesut KARAKAŞ, 2010, "A comparative analysis of the ARMA and Neural Network Models: A case of Turkish economy," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, volume 25, issue 290, pages 35-64.
• Nilgün ÇİL YAVUZ & Burcu KIRAN, 2010, "Could Istanbul Stock Exchange be characterized by random walk process?," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, volume 25, issue 296, pages 77-91.
• Catalina Franco & Johanna Ramos, 2010, "Diferenciales Salariales en Colombia: Un Analisis para Trabajadores Rurales y Jovenes, 2002-2009," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 25, issue 2, pages 91-131, Diciembre.
• Marcel Garz, 2010, "The NAIRU and the Extent of the Low-Pay Sector," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 12-2010.
• Till van Treeck, 2010, "Liquidity constraints versus loss aversion in household consumption: a simple reconciliation," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 13-2010.
• Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Yongcheol Shin & Till van Treeck, 2010, "The Great Moderation and the Decoupling of Monetary Policy from Long-Term Rates in the U.S. and Germany," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 15-2010.
• Oliver Hossfeld, 2010, "Equilibrium Real Effective Exchange Rates and Real Exchange Rate Misalignments: Time Series vs. Panel Estimates," Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER, number 2010.3.
• Lee, Wang-Sheng & Suardi, Sandy, 2010, "Minimum Wages and Employment: Reconsidering the Use of a Time-Series Approach as an Evaluation Tool," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 4748, Feb.
• Dreger, Christian & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2010, "On the Role of Sectoral and National Components in the Wage Bargaining Process," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 4908, Apr.
• Pastore, Francesco, 2010, "Assessing the Impact of Incomes Policy: The Italian Experience," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 5082, Jul.
• Marczak, Martyna & Beissinger, Thomas, 2010, "Real Wages and the Business Cycle in Germany," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 5199, Sep.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2010, "Forecast comparisons in unstable environments," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 4, pages 595-620, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1177.
• Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2010, "Introducing the euro-sting: Short-term indicator of euro area growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 4, pages 663-694, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1174.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2010, "Real Exchange Rates In Latin America: The Ppp Hypothesis And Fractional Integration," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, volume 35, issue 2, pages 1-21, June.
• Philip N. Jefferson & Frederic L. Pryor, 2010, "Dynamics of Factor Income Shares in the United States," Journal of Income Distribution, Ad libros publications inc., volume 19, issue 1, pages 96-119, March.
• Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010, "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 1-2, pages 186-199, DOI: 10.1002/for.1159.
• Lennart Hoogerheide & Richard Kleijn & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. Van Dijk & Marno Verbeek, 2010, "Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time-varying weights," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 1-2, pages 251-269, DOI: 10.1002/for.1145.
• Ataman Ozyildirim & Brian Schaitkin & Victor Zarnowitz, 2010, "Business cycles in the euro area defined with coincident economic indicators and predicted with leading economic indicators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 1-2, pages 6-28, DOI: 10.1002/for.1146.
• Francisco Dias & Maximiano Pinheiro & António Rua, 2010, "Forecasting using targeted diffusion indexes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 3, pages 341-352, DOI: 10.1002/for.1132.
• Arvid Raknerud & Terje Skjerpen & Anders Rygh Swensen, 2010, "Forecasting key macroeconomic variables from a large number of predictors: a state space approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 4, pages 367-387, DOI: 10.1002/for.1131.
• Chin Wen Cheong, 2010, "A Variance Ratio Test of Random Walk in Energy Spot Markets," Journal of Quantitative Economics, The Indian Econometric Society, volume 8, issue 1, pages 105-117, January.
• Andrew Worthington, 2010, "The decline of calendar seasonality in the Australian stock exchange, 1958–2005," Annals of Finance, Springer, volume 6, issue 3, pages 421-433, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10436-008-0111-9.
• Theodore Panagiotidis, 2010, "An Out-of-Sample Test for Nonlinearity in Financial Time Series: An Empirical Application," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 36, issue 2, pages 121-132, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-010-9225-z.
• Helmut Herwartz & Florian Siedenburg, 2010, "A New Approach to Unit Root Testing," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 36, issue 4, pages 365-384, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-010-9235-x.
• Nicholas Odhiambo, 2010, "Finance-investment-growth nexus in South Africa: an ARDL-bounds testing procedure," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, volume 43, issue 3, pages 205-219, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10644-010-9085-5.
• Theodore Panagiotidis, 2010, "Market efficiency and the Euro: the case of the Athens stock exchange," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 37, issue 3, pages 237-251, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-008-9100-5.
• Dorota Girard, 2010, "The distribution over time of costs and social net benefits for pertussis immunization programs," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-27, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10754-009-9058-2.
• George Hondroyiannis, 2010, "Fertility Determinants and Economic Uncertainty: An Assessment Using European Panel Data," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, volume 31, issue 1, pages 33-50, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10834-009-9178-3.
• Ana Angulo & F. Trívez, 2010, "The impact of spatial elements on the forecasting of Spanish labour series," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 12, issue 2, pages 155-174, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-010-0118-4.
• Asuncion Beamonte & Pilar Gargallo & Manuel Salvador, 2010, "Analysis of housing price by means of STAR models with neighbourhood effects: a Bayesian approach," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 12, issue 2, pages 227-240, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-010-0115-7.
• Camilo Serrano & Martin Hoesli, 2010, "Are Securitized Real Estate Returns more Predictable than Stock Returns?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 41, issue 2, pages 170-192, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-008-9162-y.
• Juan Jiménez-Martin & M. Robles-Fernandez, 2010, "PPP: Delusion or Reality? Evidence from a Nonlinear Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 21, issue 5, pages 679-704, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-009-9113-0.
• Christian Dreger & Jürgen Wolters, 2010, "M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area," Public Choice, Springer, volume 144, issue 3, pages 459-472, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11127-010-9679-5.
• Nicholas Apergis & Oguzhan Dincer & James Payne, 2010, "The relationship between corruption and income inequality in U.S. states: evidence from a panel cointegration and error correction model," Public Choice, Springer, volume 145, issue 1, pages 125-135, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11127-009-9557-1.
• Joshy Easaw, 2010, "It’s all ‘bad’ news! Voters’ perception of macroeconomic policy competence," Public Choice, Springer, volume 145, issue 1, pages 253-264, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11127-009-9564-2.
• George Karathanassis & Vasilios Sogiakas, 2010, "Spill over effects of futures contracts initiation on the cash market: a regime shift approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 34, issue 1, pages 95-143, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-009-0149-4.
• Soobin Kim & Chang Sik Kim, 2010, "Do S&P 500 and KOSPI Move Together?: A Functional Regression Approach," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, volume 26, pages 401-430.
• Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2010, "Parameter estimation in nonlinear AR–GARCH models," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1002, Jan.
• Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2010, "A note on the geometric ergodicity of a nonlinear AR–ARCH model," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1003, Jan.
• Paul Alagidede & Theodore Panagiotidis & Xu Zhang, 2010, "Why a Diversified Portfolio Should Include African Assets," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1034, Nov.
• Sule Akkoyunlu, 2010, "Are Turkish Migrants Altruistic?," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 10-246, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005960733.
• Sule Akkoyunlu & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2010, "Does the Law of One Price Hold in a High-Inflation Environment?," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 10-248, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005975777.
• Boriss Siliverstovs, 2010, "Assessing Predictive Content of the KOF Barometer in Real Time," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 10-249, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005975789.
• Konstantin Kholodilin & Maximilian Podstawski & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2010, "Do Google Searches Help in Nowcasting Private Consumption?," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 10-256, Apr, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-006070977.
• Boda, György & Virág, Imre, 2010, "Ütemvakság
  [Phase blindness]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 12, pages 1087-1104.
• Dennis Kristensen, 2010, "Semi-Nonparametric Estimation and Misspecification Testing of Diffusion Models," Discussion Papers, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, number 10-10, Mar.
• Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2010, "A Necessary Moment Condition for the Fractional Functional Central Limit Theorem," Discussion Papers, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, number 10-29, Oct.
• Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010, "Ten Things We Should Know About Time Series," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 710, Aug.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression and Volatility of Daily International Tourist Arrivals and Exchange Rates," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 712, Aug.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010, "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 714, Aug.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2010, "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 715, Aug.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2010, "Analyzing and Forecasting Volatility Spillovers and Asymmetries in Major Crude Oil Spot, Forward and Futures Markets," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 717, Aug.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Thanchanok Khamkaew & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2010, "Interdependence of International Tourism Demand and Volatility in Leading ASEAN Destinations," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 719, Aug.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 720, Aug.
• Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 722, Sep.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Thanchanok Khamkaew & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2010, "Modelling Conditional Correlations in the Volatility of Asian Rubber Spot and Futures Returns," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 723, Sep.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Model Selection and Testing of Conditional and Stochastic Volatility Models," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 724, Sep.
• Michael McAleer & Juan-à ngel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2010, "GFC-Robust Risk Management Strategies under the Basel Accord," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 727, Oct.
• LanFen Chu & Michael McAleer & Chi-Chung Chen, 2010, "How Volatile is ENSO?," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 729, Oct.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2010, "Crude Oil Hedging Strategies Using Dynamic Multivariate GARCH," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 743, Nov.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 744, Dec.
• David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2010, "Realized Volatility Risk," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 753, Dec.
• Felix Chan & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2010, "Structure and Asymptotic Theory for Nonlinear Models with GARCH Errors," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 754, Dec.
• R Naraidoo & I Paya, 2010, "Forecasting Monetary Policy Rules in South Africa," Working Papers, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department, number 611194.
• Abdou-Aziz Niang & Marie-Claude Pichery & marcelin Edjo, 2010, "Convergence test in the presence of structural changes: an empirical procedure based on panel data with cross-sectional dependence," LEG - Document de travail - Economie, LEG, Laboratoire d'Economie et de Gestion, CNRS, Université de Bourgogne, number 2010-03, Apr.
• Elkin Castaño & Santiago Gallón & Karoll Gómez, 2010, "Estimation Biases, Size and Power of a Test on the Long Memory Parameter in ARFIMA Models," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 73, pages 131-148.
• Mohamed AROURI & Amine LAHIANI & D.-K. NGUYEN, 2010, "Forecasting the Conditional Volatility of Oil Spot andFutures Prices with Structural Breaksand Long Memory Models," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans, number 661.
• Waliullah & Mehmood Khan Kakar & Rehmatullah Kakar & Wakeel Khan, 2010, "The Determinants of Pakistan’s Trade Balance: An ARDL Cointegration Approach," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 15, issue 1, pages 1-26, Jan-Jun.
• Syed Kumail Abbas Naqvi & Bushra Naqvi, 2010, "Asymmetric Behavior of Inflation Uncertainty and Friedman-Ball Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 15, issue 2, pages 1-33, Jul-Dec.
• Tahir Mukhtar, 2010, "Does Trade Openness Reduce Inflation? Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 15, issue 2, pages 35-50, Jul-Dec.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers, School of Economics, La Trobe University, number 2010.05, Jul.
• Konstantins Benkovskis, 2010, "LATCOIN: Determining Medium to Long-Run Tendencies of Economic Growth in Latvia in Real Time," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2010/01, Jan.
• Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2010, "Multivariate Option Pricing with Time Varying Volatility and Correlations," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 1020.
• Georges Dionne & Pierre-Carl Michaud & Maki Dahchour, 2010, "Separating Moral Hazard from Adverse Selection and Learning in Automobile Insurance: Longitudinal Evidence from France," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 1035.
• Magdalena Petrovska & Gani Ramadani, 2010, "Inflation Persistence and Price Dynamics in Macedonia: Theory and Empirical Analysis," Working Papers, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, number 2010-01, Jun, revised Jun 2010.
• Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Robert O'Neill, 2010, "A Cholesky-MIDAS model for predicting stock portfolio volatility," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 149.
• Eirini Syngelaki, 2010, "Linkages between Excess Currency and Stock Market Returns:Granger Causality in Mean and Variance," Economics Department Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth, number n209-10.pdf.
• Leandro M. Magnusson & Sophocles Mavroeidis, 2010, "Identification-Robust Minimum Distance Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 42, issue 2-3, pages 465-481, March.
• Helle Bunzel & Walter Enders, 2010, "The Taylor Rule and "Opportunistic" Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 42, issue 5, pages 931-949, August.
• Vasco J. Gabriel & Luis F. Martins, 2010, "The Cost Channel Reconsidered: A Comment Using an Identification-Robust Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 42, issue 8, pages 1703-1712, December.
• Theodore Panagiotidis, 2010, "An out-of-sample test for nonlinearity in financial time series: An empirical application," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2010_08, Jun, revised Jun 2010.
• Maria Grydaki & Stilianos Fountas, 2010, "What Explains Nominal Exchange Rate Volatility? Evidence from the Latin American Countries," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2010_10, Jul, revised Jul 2010.
• Ludmila Fadejeva & Aleksejs Melihovs, 2010, "Measuring Total Factor Productivity and Variable Factor Utilization," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 48, issue 5, pages 63-101, September.
• David Shepherd & Robert Dixon, 2010, "The not-so-great moderation? Evidence on changing volatility from Australian regions," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 1090.
• Yuliya Lovcha & Alejandro Perez-Laborda, 2010, "Is exchange rate – customer order flow relationship linear? Evidence from the Hungarian FX market," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2010/10.
• Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010, "A short note on the nowcasting and the forecasting of Euro-area GDP using non-parametric techniques," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 10013, Jan.
• Dominique Guegan & Justin Leroux, 2010, "Predicting chaos with Lyapunov exponents: zero plays no role in forecasting chaotic systems," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 10019, Jan.
• Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo, 2010, "Option pricing for GARCH-type models with generalized hyperbolic innovations," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 10023, Mar, DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2010.493180.
• Ibrahim Ahamada & Philippe Jolivaldt, 2010, "Classical vs wavelet-based filters Comparative study and application to business cycle," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 10027, Mar.
• Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2010, "Testing unit roots and long range dependence of foreign exchange," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 10059, Jun, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2011.00720.x.
• Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010, "Alternative methods for forecasting GDP," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 10065, Jul.
• Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo, 2010, "Likelihood-Related Estimation Methods and Non-Gaussian GARCH Processes," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 10067, Jul.
• Alysha M De Livera, 2010, "Automatic forecasting with a modified exponential smoothing state space framework," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 10/10, Apr.
• Keith Ord & Ralph Snyder & Adrian Beaumont, 2010, "Forecasting the Intermittent Demand for Slow-Moving Items," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 12/10, May.
• Md Atikur Rahman Khan & D.S. Poskitt, 2010, "Description Length Based Signal Detection in singular Spectrum Analysis," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 13/10, May.
• Han Lin Shang, 2010, "Nonparametric modeling and forecasting electricity demand: an empirical study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 19/10, Oct.
• Brendan P.M. McCabe & Gael Martin & Keith Freeland, 2010, "A Quasi-locally Most powerful Test for Correlation in the conditional Variance of Positive Data," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 2/10, Feb.
• Anne B. Koehler & Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord & Adrian Beaumont, 2010, "Forecasting Compositional Time Series with Exponential Smoothing Methods," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 20/10, Nov.
• Bennett T. McCallum, 2010, "Is the Spurious Regression Problem Spurious?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15690, Jan.
• Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jean Jacod, 2010, "Analyzing the Spectrum of Asset Returns: Jump and Volatility Components in High Frequency Data," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15808, Mar.
• Richard Crump & Gopi Shah Goda & Kevin Mumford, 2010, "Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15984, May.
• Jules H. van Binsbergen & Ralph S.J. Koijen, 2010, "Predictive Regressions: A Present-value Approach," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16263, Aug.
• Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko, 2010, "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16398, Sep.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2010, "Modeling Inflation After the Crisis," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16488, Oct.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-Ramírez, 2010, "Macroeconomics and Volatility: Data, Models, and Estimation," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16618, Dec.
• Vasco J. Gabriel & Luis F. Martins, 2010, "The cost channel reconsidered: a comment using an identification-robust approach," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 30/2010.
• Luís Francisco Aguiar & Maria Joana Soares, 2010, "Business Cycle Synchronization and the Euro: a Wavelet Analysis," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 36/2010.
• Marcus J. Chambers & Joanne S. Ercolani & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010, "Testing for seasonal unit roots by frequency domain regression," Discussion Papers, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics, number 10/02, Sep.
• David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2010, "Unit root testing under a local break in trend," Discussion Papers, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics, number 10/05, Sep.
• C. Minodier, 2010, "First results series or last available series: which series to use? A real-time illustration for the forecasting of French quarterly GDP growth," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2010-01.
• Laura Valderrama, 2010, "Privatization Under Regulatory Lobbying," NCID Working Papers, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra, number 04/2010, Dec.
• Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña, 2010, "Inflation in South Africa. A time series view across sectors using long range dependence," NCID Working Papers, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra, number 05/2011, Oct.
• Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña, 2010, "Tourism in South Africa. Time series persistence and the nature of shocks. Are they transitory or permament?," NCID Working Papers, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra, number 06/2011, Oct.
• Emmanuel De Veirman & Ashley Dunstan, 2010, "Debt dynamics and excess sensitivity of consumption to transitory wealth changes," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2010/09, Oct.
• Stéphanie Guichard & Elena Rusticelli, 2010, "Assessing the Impact of the Financial Crisis on Structural Unemployment in OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 767, Oct, DOI: 10.1787/5kmftp8khfjg-en.
• Balázs Égert, 2010, "Catching-up and Inflation in Europe: Balassa-Samuelson, Engel's Law and Other Culprits," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 792, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5kmblscvdk7d-en.
• Gabriel Rodríguez, 2010, "Application of Three Non-Linear Econometric Approaches to Identify Business Cycles in Peru," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2010, issue 2, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2010-5km33sfv0xxn.
• Helmut Lütkepohl, 2010, "Forecasting Aggregated Time Series Variables: A Survey," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2010, issue 2, pages 1-26, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2010-5km399r2jz9n.
• Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2010, "Markov-Switching and the Ifo Business Climate: the Ifo Business Cycle Traffic Lights," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2010, issue 2, pages 1-13, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2010-5km4gzqtx248.
• Dobra Iulian, 2010, "Impact of the Economic Crisis on the Countries in Eastern Europe (I - Literature Review, Theory and Empirical Evidence)," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 02, June.
• Dobra Iulian, 2010, "Impact of the Economic Crisis on the Countries in Eastern Europe (II)," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 03, September.
• Dobra Iulian, 2010, "Impact of the Economic Crisis on the Countries in Eastern Europe (III) Literature Review, Theory and Empirical Evidence," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 04, December.
• Kovács Ildikó & Marton Noémi & Patka Kinga & Páll Katalin, 2010, "The Determinats Of The Unemployment Rate - Empirical Evidence From Romania," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 1, issue 2, pages 277-282, December.
• Shoko Morimoto & Mototsugu Shintani, 2010, "Trading volume and serial correlation in stock returns: a threshold regression approach," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics, number 10-28, Dec.
• Yusaku Nishimura & Yoshiro Tsutsui & Kenjiro Hirayama, 2010, "The Financial Crisis and Intraday Volatility: Comparative Analysis on China, Japan and the US Stock Markets," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics, number 10-29, Dec.
• Yusaku Nishimura & Yoshiro Tsutsui & Kenjiro Hirayama, 2010, "The Financial Crisis and Intraday Volatility: Comparative Analysis on China, Japan and the US Stock Markets," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics, number 10-29-Rev, Dec, revised Mar 2011.
• Christian Dreger & Jarko Fidrmuc, 2010, "Drivers of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries: Evidence from a FAVAR analysis," Working Papers, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies), number 289, Aug.
• Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2010, "Comparison of Volatility Measures: a Risk Management Perspective," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 8, issue 1, pages 29-56, Winter.
• Marco Aiolfi & Marius Rodriguez & Allan Timmermann, 2010, "Understanding Analysts' Earnings Expectations: Biases, Nonlinearities, and Predictability," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 8, issue 3, pages 305-334, Summer.
• Monica Giulietti & Jesus Otero & Michael Waterson, 2010, "Pricing behaviour under competition in the UK electricity supply industry," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 62, issue 3, pages 478-503, July.
• Stoica Tiberiu, 2010, "Are Confidence and Sentiment Indicators Crucial in Forecasting the Economic Growth of Romania during the Current Crisis?," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 756-760, October.
• Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2010, "A Low-Dimension Portmanteau Test for Non-linearity," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 471, Jan.
• Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2010, "Automatic Selection for Non-linear Models," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 473, Jan.
• Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Jurgen A. Doornik, 2010, "Evaluating Automatic Model Selection," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 474, Jan.
• David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2010, "Econometric Modelling of Changing Time Series," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 475, Jan.
• David Hendry & Carlos Santos, 2010, "An Automatic Test of Super Exogeneity," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 476, Jan.
• David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2010, "Forecasting from Mis-specified Models in the Presence of Unanticipated Location Shifts," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 484, May.
• David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2010, "On the Mathematical Basis of Inter-temporal Optimization," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 497, Aug.
• David Hendry & Jennifer L. Castle, 2010, "Model Selection in Under-specified Equations Facing Breaks," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 509, Oct.
• David Hendry & Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik, 2010, "Testing the Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 510, Nov.
• Markus Eberhardt & Anindya Banerjee and J. James Reade, 2010, "Panel Estimation for Worriers," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 514, Nov.
• Faíña Medín, José Andrés & García Lorenzo, Antonio & López-Rodríguez, Jesús, 2010, "International Organizations and the Theory of Clubs = Una interpretación de las organizaciones internacionales utilizando la Teoría de los Clubes," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 9, issue 1, pages 17-27, June.
• Badillo Amador, Rosa & Belaire Franch, Jorge & Reverte Maya, Carmelo, 2010, "Spurious Rejections by Dickey-Fuller Tests in the Presence of an Endogenously Determined Break under the Null = Rechazos espurios de los test de Dickey-Fuller en presencia de una ruptura bajo la hipótesis nula endógenamente determinada," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 9, issue 1, pages 3-16, June.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Juliusz Pres, 2010, "Modelling and forecasting wind speed intensity for weather risk management," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0106, Jan.
• Gabriel Rodríguez, 2010, "Application of three non-linear econometric approaches to identify business cycles in Peru," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2010-284.
• Firouz Fallahi & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2010, "Is there a link between unemployment and criminality in the us economy? Further evidence," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2010-285.
• Firouz Fallahi & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2010, "Persistence of unemployment in the canadian provinces," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2010-286.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010, "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 10-002, Jan.
• Naeem ur Rehman Khattak & Iftikhar Ahmad & Jangraiz Khan, 2010, "Fiscal Decentralisation in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 49, issue 4, pages 419-436.
• Abdul Rashid & Fazal Husain, 2010, "Capital Inflows, Inflation and Exchange Rate Volatility: An Investigation for Linear and Nonlinear Causal Linkages," PIDE-Working Papers, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, number 2010:63.
• Karl-Kuno Kunze & Hans Gerhard Strohe, 2010, "Antipersistence in German stock returns," Statistische Diskussionsbeiträge, Universität Potsdam, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät, number 39, Aug.
• Nigmatullin, Raul R. & Omay, Tolga & Baleanu, Dumitru, 2010, "On fractional filtering versus conventional filtering in economics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 111643, Apr.
• Hwang, Tsorng-Chyi & Chen, Meng-Gu & Chang, Chia-Lin, 2010, "Price Stabilization in the Taiwan Hog and Broiler Industries: Evidence from a STAR Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15552, Dec.
• Guidi, Francesco, 2010, "Modelling and forecasting volatility of East Asian Newly Industrialized Countries and Japan stock markets with non-linear models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19851, Jan.
• Todd, Prono, 2010, "Simple GMM Estimation of the Semi-Strong GARCH(1,1) Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20034, Jan.
• Alexiadis, Stilianos & Eleftheriou, Konstantinos, 2010, "The Morphology of Income Convergence in US States: New Evidence using an Error-Correction-Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20096, Jan.
• Bušs, Ginters, 2010, "Forecasts with single-equation Markov-switching model: an application to the gross domestic product of Latvia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20688, Feb.
• Omay, Tolga, 2010, "A Nonlinear New Approach to Investigating Crisis: A Case from Malaysia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20738, Jun.
• Proietti, Tommaso, 2010, "Seasonality, Forecast Extensions and Business Cycle Uncertainty," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20868, Feb.
• Bulla, Jan & Mergner, Sascha & Bulla, Ingo & Sesboüé, André & Chesneau, Christophe, 2010, "Markov-switching Asset Allocation: Do Profitable Strategies Exist?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21154, Jan.
• Chen, Zhihong & Fu, Shihe & Zhang, Dayong, 2010, "Searching for the parallel growth of cities," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21528, Mar.
• Proietti, Tommaso, 2010, "Trend Estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21607, Mar.
• Guidi, Francesco & Gupta, Rakesh, 2010, "Cointegration and conditional correlations among German and Eastern Europe equity markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21732, Jan.
• Sinha, Pankaj & Sinha, Gyanesh, 2010, "Volatility Spillover in India, USA and Japan Investigation of Recession Effects," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21873, Apr.
• Luyinduladio, Menga, 2010, "Degré de répercussion du Taux de change sur l’Inflation en République Démocratique du Congo de 2002 à 2007
  [Pass-Through of Exchange rate to inflation in DRC 2002 to 2007]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21970, Apr.
• Belbute, José & Caleiro, António, 2010, "Cross Country Evidence on Consumption Persistence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22008, Apr.
• Travaglini, Guido, 2010, "Supervised Principal Components and Factor Instrumental Variables. An Application to Violent CrimeTrends in the US, 1982-2005," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22077, Apr.
• Buss, Ginters, 2010, "A note on GDP now-/forecasting with dynamic versus static factor models along a business cycle," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22147, Apr.
• Francq, Christian & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2010, "Optimal predictions of powers of conditionally heteroskedastic processes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22155, Apr.
• Oh, Swee-Ling & Lau, Evan & Puah, Chin-Hong & Abu Mansor, Shazali, 2010, "Volatility Co-movement of ASEAN-5 Equity Markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22244, Apr.
• Behera, Harendra, 2010, "Onshore and offshore market for Indian Rupee: recent evidence on volatility and shock spillover," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22247, Jan.
• Marzo, Massimiliano & Zagaglia, Paolo, 2010, "Gold and the U.S. Dollar: Tales from the turmoil," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22407, Apr.
• Francq, Christian & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2010, "Strict stationarity testing and estimation of explosive ARCH models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22414, Apr.
• Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso, 2010, "Characterizing economic trends by Bayesian stochastic model specifi cation search," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22569, May.
• Regnard, Nazim & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2010, "A conditionally heteroskedastic model with time-varying coefficients for daily gas spot prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22642.
• Kim, Hyeongwoo & Moh, Young-Kyu, 2010, "Examining the Evidence of Purchasing Power Parity by Recursive Mean Adjustment," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22712, May.
• Emenike, Kalu O., 2010, "Modelling Stock Returns Volatility In Nigeria Using GARCH Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22723, Jan.
• Ardia, David & Hoogerheide, Lennart F., 2010, "Efficient Bayesian estimation and combination of GARCH-type models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22919, Feb.
• Khan, Salman, 2010, "Crude Oil Price shocks to Emerging Markets: Evaluating the BRICs Case," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22978, Apr.
• Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2010, "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23150, May.
• Boubacar Mainassara, Yacouba, 2010, "Selection of weak VARMA models by Akaïke's information criteria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23412, Jun.
• Niang, Abdou-Aziz & Pichery, Marie-Claude & Edjo, Marcellin, 2010, "Convergence test in the presence of structural changes: an empirical procedure based on panel data with cross-sectional dependence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23452, Apr.
• Travaglini, Guido, 2010, "Dynamic Econometric Testing of Climate Change and of its Causes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23600, Jun.
• Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2010, "Optimal Forecasting of Noncausal Autoregressive Time Series," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23648, Feb.
• Loening, Josef & Rao, B. Bhaskara & Singh, Rup, 2010, "Effects of education on economic growth:Evidence from Guatemala," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23665, Jul.