Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C2: Single Equation Models; Single Variables
/ / / C22: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

2019

• Wei, Yu & Qin, Songkun & Li, Xiafei & Zhu, Sha & Wei, Guiwu, 2019, "Oil price fluctuation, stock market and macroeconomic fundamentals: Evidence from China before and after the financial crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 23-29, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.03.028.
• Lei, Likun & Shang, Yue & Chen, Yongfei & Wei, Yu, 2019, "Does the financial crisis change the economic risk perception of crude oil traders? A MIDAS quantile regression approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 341-351, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.10.016.
• Kumar, S.S.S. & Sampath, Aravind, 2019, "What drives the off-shore futures market? Evidence from India and China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 394-402, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.11.001.
• Wu, Shan & Tong, Mu & Yang, Zhongyi & Derbali, Abdelkader, 2019, "Does gold or Bitcoin hedge economic policy uncertainty?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 171-178, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.04.001.
• Tu, Zhiyong & Xue, Changyong, 2019, "Effect of bifurcation on the interaction between Bitcoin and Litecoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.12.010.
• Geuder, Julian & Kinateder, Harald & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019, "Cryptocurrencies as financial bubbles: The case of Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.11.011.
• Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2019, "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, volume 23, issue 4, pages 1-23, December.
• Søren Kjærgaard & Yunus Emre Ergemen & Malene Kallestrup-Lamb & Jim Oeppen & Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen, 2019, "Forecasting Causes of Death using Compositional Data Analysis: the Case of Cancer Deaths," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2019-07, May.
• Søren Kjærgaard & Yunus Emre Ergemen & Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher & Jim Oeppen & Malene Kallestrup-Lamb, 2019, "Longevity forecasting by socio-economic groups using compositional data analysis," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2019-08, May.
• Vanessa Berenguer-Rico & Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2019, "Uniform Consistency of Marked and Weighted Empirical Distributions of Residuals," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2019-12, May.
• Daniel Borup & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2019, "In search of a job: Forecasting employment growth using Google Trends," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2019-13, Aug.
• Kristoffer Pons Bertelsen, 2019, "Comparing Tests for Identification of Bubbles," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2019-16, Oct.
• Simplice A. Asongu & Oludele E. Folarin & Nicholas Biekpe, 2019, "The Stability of Demand for Money in the Proposed Southern African Monetary Union," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 19/025, Jan.
• Perekunah B. Eregha & Arcade Ndoricimpa, 2019, "Inflation, Output Growth and their Uncertainties: A Multivariate GARCH-M Modeling Evidence for Nigeria," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 19/060, Jan.
• Andrew A. Alola & Simplice A. Asongu & Uju V. Alola, 2019, "House prices and tourism development in Cyprus: A contemporary perspective," Research Africa Network Working Papers, Research Africa Network (RAN), number 19/067, Jan.
• Simplice A. Asongu & Oludele E. Folarin & Nicholas Biekpe, 2019, "The Stability of Demand for Money in the Proposed Southern African Monetary Union," CEREDEC Working Papers, Centre de Recherche pour le Développement Economique (CEREDEC), number 19/025, Jan.
• Hakan Eryüzlü & Tayfur Bayat & İzzet Taşar, 2019, "In Turkey, the Monetary Policy, Exchange Rate Importance: Conditions Index (MCI) Analysis," Journal of Finance Letters (Maliye ve Finans Yazıları), Maliye ve Finans Yazıları Yayıncılık Ltd. Şti., volume 34, issue 111, pages 51-78, April, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33203/mfy.455835.
• T. Bazhenov & D. Fantazzini, 2019, "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Russian stocks using Google Trends and Implied Volatility," Russian Journal of Industrial Economics, MISIS, volume 12, issue 1, DOI: 10.17073/2072-1633-2019-1-79-88.
• Ali Babikir & Mohammed Elamin Hassan & Henry Mwambi, 2019, "Asymmetry, Fat-tail and Autoregressive Conditional Density in Daily Stocks Return Data," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 135, pages 57-68, DOI: 10.15609/annaeconstat2009.135.0057.
• José Luis Maia & Matías Fernández Piana, 2019, "Prociclicidad en la Recaudación del IVA," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política, number 4168, Nov.
• Mohamed Chikhi & Claude Diebolt, 2019, "Testing Nonlinearity through a Logistic Smooth Transition AR Model with Logistic Smooth Transition GARCH Errors," Working Papers, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), number 03-19.
• Mohamed CHIKHI & Claude DIEBOLT & Tapas MISHRA, 2019, "Memory that Drives! New Insights into Forecasting Performance of Stock Prices from SEMIFARMA-AEGAS Model," Working Papers, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), number 07-19.
• Claude Diebolt & Tapas Mishra & Faustine Perrin, 2019, "Gender Equality as an Enforcer of Individuals’ Choice between Education and Fertility: Evidence from 19th Century France," Working Papers, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), number 12-19.
• Olalekan Bashir Aworinde & Ishola Rufus Akintoye, 2019, "Do Exchange Rate Changes have Symmetric or Asymmetric Effects on Money Demand in Nigeria?," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, volume 21, issue 1, pages 50-66.
• Simplice A. Asongu & Oludele E. Folarin & Nicholas Biekpe, 2019, "The Stability of Demand for Money in the Proposed Southern African Monetary Union," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute., African Governance and Development Institute., number 19/025, Jan.
• Perekunah B. Eregha & Arcade Ndoricimpa, 2019, "Inflation, Output Growth and their Uncertainties: A Multivariate GARCH-M Modeling Evidence for Nigeria," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute., African Governance and Development Institute., number 19/060, Jan.
• Andrew A. Alola & Simplice A. Asongu & Uju V. Alola, 2019, "House prices and tourism development in Cyprus: A contemporary perspective," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute., African Governance and Development Institute., number 19/067, Jan.
• Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019, "Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS), Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number WORMS/19/08, Jun, revised 06 Jul 2019.
• Özcan Karahan & Olcay Çolak, 2019, "Examining the Validity of Wagner's Law versus Keynesian Hypothesis: Evidence from Turkey's Economy," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 66, issue 1, pages 117-130, March.
• Octavian Mihai PERPELEA & Tatiana PÄ‚UN ZAMFIROIU, 2019, "Financial Investment Optimisation," Finante - provocarile viitorului (Finance - Challenges of the Future), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 1, issue 21, pages 127-134, November.
• Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2019, "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Reprints ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2019014, Jan.
• Rabeh Menacer & Amrane Becherair, 2019, "The Impact of the Tourism Sector on Economic Growth in Algeria: An Analytical and Econometric Study (1990-2014)," Management & Economics Research Journal, Faculty of Economics, Commercial and Management Sciences, Ziane Achour University of Djelfa, volume 1, issue 1, pages 174-189, March, DOI: 174-189.
• Trabelsi Ramzi, , "Effectiveness Of Public Policies Design And The Road To Sustainable Growth In Tunisia," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives, Reviewsep, number 201943, DOI: https://doi.org/10.19275/RSEP069.
• Samuel Tawiah Baidoo & Hadrat Yusif, 2019, "Does Interest Rate Influence Demand for Money? An Empirical Evidence from Ghana," Economics Literature, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, volume 1, issue 1, pages 24-36, June, DOI: 10.22440/elit.1.1.2.
• Emmanuel Buabeng & Enock Kojo Ayesu & Opoku Adabor, 2019, "The Effect of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Performance of Manufacturing Firms: An Empirical Evidence from Ghana," Economics Literature, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, volume 1, issue 2, pages 133-147, December, DOI: 10.22440/elit.1.1.4.
• Esra N. Kılcı & Burcu Kıran Baygın, 2019, "Analysis of the Relationship between Real Effective Exchange Rate, Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio and Return on Equity: Evidence from Turkey," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, volume 7, issue 2, pages 319-332, December, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17093/alphanum.
• Самат Мөлдір // Samat Moldir, 2019, "Эмпирическая оценка влияния инвестиций на экономический рост в Казахстане // An empirical assessment of the impact of investment on economic growth in Kazakhstan," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2019-3.
• Xiaohong Chen & Demian Pouzo & James L. Powell, 2019, "Penalized Sieve GEL for Weighted Average Derivatives of Nonparametric Quantile IV Regressions," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1902.10100, Feb.
• Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019, "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1903.08025, Mar, revised Jun 2020.
• Peter C. B. Phillips & Zhentao Shi, 2019, "Boosting: Why You Can Use the HP Filter," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1905.00175, Apr, revised Nov 2020.
• Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2019, "On the Evolution of U.S. Temperature Dynamics," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1907.06303, Jul, revised Jan 2021.
• Christian Francq & Jean-Michel Zakoian, 2019, "Virtual Historical Simulation for estimating the conditional VaR of large portfolios," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1909.04661, Sep.
• Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2019, "Predicting crashes in oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic with mixed causal-noncausal models," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1911.10916, Nov, revised May 2022.
• Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2019, "High-Dimensional Granger Causality Tests with an Application to VIX and News," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1912.06307, Dec, revised Feb 2021.
• Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2019, "Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1912.10774, Dec, revised Jul 2021.
• Mohamed Ali Trabelsi & Salma Hmida, 2019, "Impact of the Credit Rating Revision on the Eurozone Stock Markets," Journal Transition Studies Review, Transition Academia Press, volume 26, issue 1, pages 3-14.
• Ana Skrlec & Tihana Skrinjaric, 2019, "Dynamic Timing Of Investment Funds Market In Croatia: Rolling Regression Approach," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, volume 28, issue 1, pages 127-155, june.
• Jungseok Park & Jungho Baek, 2019, "The Asymmetric Response of Mergers and Acquisitions in the North American Oil and Gas Industry to Oil Price Changes," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 15, pages 23-30, February.
• Xiao-Lin Li & Yi-Na Li & Lu Bai, 2019, "Stock Market Cycle and Business Cycle in China: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 17, pages 35-50, August.
• Iglika Vassileva, 2019, "Labour Intensiveness of Economic Growth in Bulgaria: Estimates, Impact of the Global Crisis and Drivers," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 18-41.
• Olivier Gervais, 2019, "How Oil Supply Shocks Affect the Global Economy: Evidence from Local Projections," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2019-6, Jul, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2019-6.
• Mikael Khan & Taylor Webley, 2019, "Disentangling the Factors Driving Housing Resales," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-12, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-12.
• Mikael Khan & Taylor Webley, 2019, "Démêler les facteurs qui influencent les reventes de logements," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-12fr, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-12.
• Paolo Guarda & Alban Moura, 2019, "Measuring real and financial cycles in Luxembourg: An unobserved components approach," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 126, Mar.
• Matías Pacce & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2019, "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB en el área del euro: recientes mejoras en el modelo Euro-STING," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue MAR.
• Máximo Camacho & María Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez Loscos, 2019, "A new approach to dating the reference cycle," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1914, May.
• Valter Di Giacinto & Libero Monteforte & Andrea Filippone & Francesco Montaruli & Tiziano Ropele, 2019, "ITER A quarterly indicator of regional economic activity in Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 489, Apr.
• Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli, 2019, "The international transmission of US tax shocks: a proxy-SVAR approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1223, Jun.
• Angeles Galvan Daniel & Cortés Espada Josué Fernando & Sámano Daniel, 2019, "Evolution and Characteristics of the Exchange Rate Pass Through to Prices in Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2019-10, Jul.
• Aaron Levi Garavito-Acosta & Maria Mercedes Collazos-Gaitan & Manuel Dario Hernandez-Bejarano & Enrique Montes-Uribe, 2019, "Migración internacional y determinantes de las remesas de trabajadores en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1066, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.1066.
• Carlos David Ardila-Dueñas & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2019, "¿Cómo y qué tanto impacta la deuda pública a las tasas de interés de mercado?," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1077, Jun, DOI: 10.32468/be.1077.
• Pamela Cardozo & Fredy Gamboa-Estrada & Jesahel Higuera-Barajas, 2019, "El rol del sector real en el mercado de derivados y su impacto sobre la tasa de cambio," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1079, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.1079.
• Juan Manuel Julio-Román & Fredy Gamboa-Estrada, 2019, "The Exchange Rate and Oil Prices in Colombia: A High Frequency Analysis," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1091, Sep, DOI: 10.32468/be.1091.
• Juan Manuel Julio-Román, 2019, "Estimating the Exchange Rate Pass-Through: A Time-Varying Vector Auto-Regression with Residual Stochastic Volatility Approach," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1093, Oct, DOI: 10.32468/be.1093.pdf?sequence=11&is.
• Adolfo Meisel-Roca & María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo & Daniela Santos-Cárdenas, 2019, "Long run relationship between biological well being, and economic development in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1096, Nov, DOI: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1096.
• Matteo Mogliani, 2019, "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction," Working papers, Banque de France, number 713.
• Yiru Wang & Barbara Rossi, 2019, "VAR-Based Granger-Causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1083, Apr.
• Piotr Zwiernik & Majid M. Al-Sadoon, 2019, "The Identification Problem for Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1114, Sep.
• Cavid Suleymanli, 2019, "Turkiye’de Yabancilarin Konut Edinimi ile Doviz Kuru Arasindaki Iliski: Esbutunlesme Analizi (2013-2019)," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 3, issue 2, pages 117-136, December, DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.
• Mpho Raboloko, 2019, "The Impact of Infrastructure on Economic Growth in Botswana," Working Papers, Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis, number 66, Mar.
• Raghbendra Jha, 2019, "Modinomics: Design, Implementation, Outcomes, and Prospects," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, volume 14, issue 1, pages 24-41, January, DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12236.
• Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019, "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, volume 52, issue 3, pages 323-335, September, DOI: 10.1111/1467-8462.12341.
• Hugo Ferrer‐Pérez & María‐Isabel Ayuda & Antonio Aznar, 2019, "Improving the Performance of a Long‐Run Variance Ratio Test for a Unit Root," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, volume 70, issue 2, pages 258-274, June, DOI: 10.1111/jere.12185.
• Yunus Emre Ergemen & Carlos Velasco, 2019, "Persistence Heterogeneity Testing in Panels with Interactive Fixed Effects," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 40, issue 4, pages 573-589, July, DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12436.
• Fabrizio Iacone & Štěpána Lazarová, 2019, "Semiparametric Detection of Changes in Long Range Dependence," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 40, issue 5, pages 693-706, September, DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12448.
• Tomás del Barrio Castro & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2019, "Temporal Aggregation of Seasonally Near‐Integrated Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 40, issue 6, pages 872-886, November, DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12453.
• J. Isaac Miller, 2019, "Testing Cointegrating Relationships Using Irregular and Non‐Contemporaneous Series with an Application to Paleoclimate Data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 40, issue 6, pages 936-950, November, DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12469.
• Luis Alberiko Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019, "Persistence, Mean Reversion and Nonlinearities in Inflation Rates of Developed and Developing Countries Using Over One Century of Data," Manchester School, University of Manchester, volume 87, issue 1, pages 24-36, January, DOI: 10.1111/manc.12213.
• Michael Donadelli & Antonio Paradiso & Max Riedel, 2019, "A Quasi Real‐Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production," Manchester School, University of Manchester, volume 87, issue 4, pages 510-542, July, DOI: 10.1111/manc.12233.
• Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Yuanhua Feng, 2019, "Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Booms and Busts‐Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 81, issue 1, pages 62-78, February, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12267.
• Boris Blagov, 2019, "Exchange rate uncertainty and import prices in the euro area," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 27, issue 5, pages 1537-1572, November, DOI: 10.1111/roie.12434.
• Alain Galli, 2019, "Sticky Consumption and Wealth Effects in Switzerland," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, volume 65, issue 4, pages 930-952, December, DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12378.
• André K. Anundsen, 2019, "Detecting Imbalances in House Prices: What Goes Up Must Come Down?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 121, issue 4, pages 1587-1619, October, DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12349.
• Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2019, "Forecasting European economic policy uncertainty," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 66, issue 1, pages 94-114, February, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12174.
• António Afonso & Florence Huart & João Tovar Jalles & Piotr Stanek, 2019, "Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 42, issue 2, pages 320-348, February, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12709.
• Ariel Bernardo Ibañez Choque, 2019, "Economic growth, international trade and debt: A model to understand developed and non-developed countries," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, volume 30, issue 1, pages 53-83, January -.
• Akram, Q. Farooq, 2019, "Oil price drivers, geopolitical uncertainty and oil exporters’ currencies," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2019/15, Sep.
• Shakeeb Khan & Maria Ponomareva & Elie Tamer, 2019, "Identification of Dynamic Panel Binary Response Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 979, Mar.
• Shakeeb Khan & Fu Ouyang & Elie Tamer, 2019, "Inference on Semiparametric Multinomial Response Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 980, May.
• Zacharias Bragoudakis & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2019, "Oil and pump prices: is there any asymmetry in the Greek oil downstream sector?," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 268, Sep.
• Ki-Ho Kim, 2019, "Wealth Effects Revisited: Quantile Canonical Cointegrating Regression Approach (in Korean)," Working Papers, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, number 2019-21, Aug.
• Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto & Jing Zhou, 2019, "Testing jointly for structural changes in the error variance and coe¢ cients of a linear regression model," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics, number WP2020-010, Apr, revised Feb 2020.
• Otrok Christopher & Pourpourides Panayiotis M., 2019, "On the cyclicality of real wages and wage differentials," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 19, issue 1, pages 1-18, January, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2017-0047.
• Demos Antonis & Kyriakopoulou Dimitra, 2019, "Finite-Sample Theory and Bias Correction of Maximum Likelihood Estimators in the EGARCH Model," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 11, issue 1, pages 1-20, January, DOI: 10.1515/jtse-2018-0010.
• Kalaitzi Athanasia S. & Chamberlain Trevor W., 2019, "Further Evidence on Export-Led Growth in the United Arab Emirates: Are Non-Oil Exports or Re-Exports the Key to Economic Growth?," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, volume 15, issue 2, pages 1-15, August, DOI: 10.1515/rmeef-2019-0007.
• Tsong Ching-Chuan & Lee Cheng-Feng & Tsai Li Ju, 2019, "A parametric stationarity test with smooth breaks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 23, issue 2, pages 1-14, April, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2015-0091.
• Kurosaki Tetsuo & Kim Young Shin, 2019, "Foster-Hart optimization for currency portfolios," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 23, issue 2, pages 1-15, April, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2017-0119.
• Yamada Hiroshi & Jahra Fatima Tuj, 2019, "An explicit formula for the smoother weights of the Hodrick–Prescott filter," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 23, issue 5, pages 1-10, December, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0035.
• Chiara Limongi Concetto & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019, "Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen, number BEMPS56, Jan.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019, "Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen, number BEMPS61, Feb.
• Harvey, A. & Liao, Y., 2019, "Dynamic Tobit models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1913, Feb.
• Koo, B. & La Vecchia, D. & Linton, O., 2019, "Nonparametric Recovery of the Yield Curve Evolution from Cross-Section and Time Series Information," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1916, Feb.
• Ahmed, M. F. & Satchell, S, 2019, "Some Dynamic and Steady-State Properties of Threshold Autoregressions with Applications to Stationarity and Local Explosivity," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1923, Mar.
• Cheng, T. & Gao, J. & Linton, O., 2019, "Nonparametric Predictive Regressions for Stock Return Prediction," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1932, Mar.
• Harvey, A. & Hurn, S. & Thiele, S., 2019, "Modeling directional (circular) time series," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1971, Aug.
• Ahmed, M. F. & Satchell, S., 2019, "Emerging Markets and the Conditional CAPM," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 1980, Sep.
• Miroslav Klucik, 2019, "Tracking the Course of the Economy (Nowcasting of basic macroeconomic indicators of Slovakia)," Working Papers, Council for Budget Responsibility, number Working Paper No. 1/2019, Jan.
• Danica Unevska Andonova & Magdalena Petrovska, 2019, "Disaggregating Okun’s Law: A Case-Study for Macedonia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 8, issue 1, pages 183-207.
• Khalil Ullah Mohammad & Shin-Ichi Nishiyama, 2019, "An Empirical Investigation into the Effect of Explicit Deposit Insurance and Design on the Liability Structure of Banks," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 8, issue 3, pages 179-206.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Manuel Monge, 2019, "Energy Consumption in the GCC Countries: Evidence on Persistence," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7470.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Kefei You, 2019, "Stock market linkages between the ASEAN countries, China and the US: a fractional cointegration approach," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7537.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Daria Teterkina, 2019, "Volatility forecasts for the RTS stock index: option-implied volatility versus alternative methods," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7612.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carlos Poza, 2019, "High and low prices and the range in the European stock markets: a long-memory approach," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7652.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carlos Poza, 2019, "Persistence, non-linearities and structural breaks in European stock market indices," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7667.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Woo-Young Kang & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2019, "Non-Linearities, Cyber Attacks and Cryptocurrencies," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7692.
• Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019, "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7697.
• Marc Gronwald, 2019, "Another Look at Cryptocurrency Bubbles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7743.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Gloria Claudio-Quiroga & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2019, "CO2 Emissions and GDP: Evidence from China," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7881.
• Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019, "Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7900.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carlos Poza, 2019, "Cycles and Long-Range Behaviour in the European Stock Market," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7943.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019, "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8000.
• Tsutomu Watanabe & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2019, "How Large is the Demand for Money at the ZLB? Evidence from Japan," CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, number CARF-F-465, Sep.
• Crafts, Nicholas & Mills, Terence C., 2019, "Is the UK Productivity Slowdown Unprecedented?," CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE), number 429.
• Antonia Lopez-Villavicencio & Valérie Mignon, 2019, "Exchange rate pass-through to import prices: Accounting for changes in the Eurozone trade structure," Working Papers, CEPII research center, number 2019-08, Jun.
• Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2019, "The accuracy of asymmetric GARCH model estimation," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 157, pages 179-202.
• Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2019, "Volatility estimation for Bitcoin: Replication and robustness," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 157, pages 23-32.
• OlaOluwa S.Yaya & Pui Kiew Ling & Fumitaka Furuoka & Chinyere Mary Rose Ezeoke & Ray Ikechukwu Jacob, 2019, "Can West African countries catch up with Nigeria? Evidence from smooth nonlinearity method in fractional unit root framework," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 158, pages 51-63.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alaña, 2019, "Testing the Fisher hypothesis in the G-7 countries using I(d) techniques," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 159, pages 140-150.
• Dominika Kolcunova & Simona Malovana, 2019, "The Effect of Higher Capital Requirements on Bank Lending: The Capital Surplus Matters," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2019/2, Apr.
• Simona Malovana & Zaneta Tesarova, 2019, "Banks' Credit Losses and Provisioning over the Business Cycle: Implications for IFRS 9," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2019/4, Dec.
• Fernando Sánchez López & Jos� Nabor Cruz Marcelo, 2019, "Kidnapping as a long-term factor for cruise tourism demand: Evidence from Mexico (El secuestro como factor de largo plazo para la demanda de turismo de cruceros: evidencia de México)," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, volume 83, issue 5, pages 185-217.
• Alfredo Trespalacios & Lina M. Cort�s & Javier Perote, 2019, "Uncertainty in Electricity Markets from a seminonparametric Approach," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público, Universidad EAFIT, number 17304, Jun.
• José Manuel Leguizamón Tiusabá, 2019, "Estímulos tributarios y hotelería en Colombia," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, volume 13, issue 1, pages 177-198.
• Raúl de Jesús-Gutiérrez, 2019, "Integración entre mercados de petróleo de diferente calidad con base en las correlaciones condicionales dinámicas," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, volume 11, issue 2, pages 353-374.
• Johnen, Johannes, 2020, "Dynamic Competition in Deceptive Markets," LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 3098, Jan.
• Sentana, Enrique & Fiorentini, Gabriele, 2019, "New testing approaches for mean-variance predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13426, Jan.
• Mawuli Segnon & Stelios Bekiros, 2019, "Forecasting Volatility in Cryptocurrency Markets," CQE Working Papers, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster, number 7919, Mar.
• Frédérique BEC & Heino BOHN NIELSEN & Sarra SAÏDI, 2019, "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions: Bimodality Issues in Estimation and Unit Root Testing," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2019-09, Jun.
• Ayala, Astrid & Blazsek, Szabolcs & Escribano, Álvaro, 2019, "Score-driven time series models with dynamic shape : an application to the Standard & Poor's 500 index," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number 28133, Jan.
• Ayala, Astrid & Blazsek, Szabolcs & Escribano, Álvaro, 2019, "Maximum likelihood estimation of score-driven models with dynamic shape parameters : an application to Monte Carlo value-at-risk," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number 28638, Jul.
• Casas, Isabel & Lopes Moreira da Veiga, María Helena, 2019, "Exploring option pricing and hedging via volatility asymmetry," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 28234, Mar.
• González-Rivera, Gloria & Luo, Yun & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2019, "Prediction regions for interval-valued time series," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 29054, Oct.
• Xiao, Weilin & Yu, Jun, 2019, "Asymptotic Theory For Estimating Drift Parameters In The Fractional Vasicek Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 35, issue 1, pages 198-231, February.
• Francq, Christian & Thieu, Le Quyen, 2019, "Qml Inference For Volatility Models With Covariates," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 35, issue 1, pages 37-72, February.
• Fries, Sébastien & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2019, "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Ar Processes And The Modelling Of Explosive Bubbles," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 35, issue 6, pages 1234-1270, December.
• Faye, Benoît & Le Fur, Eric, 2019, "On the Constancy of Hedonic Wine Price Coefficients over Time," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 14, issue 2, pages 182-207, May.
• Camacho, Maximo & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2019, "The Propagation Of Industrial Business Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 1, pages 144-177, January.
• Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2019, "Structural Stability Of The Generalized Taylor Rule," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 4, pages 1664-1678, June.
• Carrera, César & Ramírez-Rondán, N.R., 2019, "Inflation, Information Rigidity, And The Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 7, pages 2597-2615, October.
• Hindrayanto, Irma & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Osborn, Denise R. & Tian, Jing, 2019, "Trend–Cycle–Seasonal Interactions: Identification And Estimation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 8, pages 3163-3188, December.
• Orobosa Abraham IHENSEKHIEN & John Gbubemi MAYUKU, 2019, "Government expenditures in Nigeria: Re-examination of Wagner’s law," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, volume 6, issue 2, pages 143-158, June.
• Edebiri S. EGHAREVBA & Friday O. OVENSERI-OGBOMO, 2019, "The challenges of researching corporate power: The case of Shell Petroleum Development Company in Nigeria (SPDC)," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, volume 6, issue 2, pages 181-192, June.
• Khan, Aftab & Masih, Mansur, 2019, "Do Islamic stocks and commodity markets comove at different investment horizons ? evidence from wavelet time-frequency approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100992, Nov.
• Asongu, Simplice & Folarin, Oludele & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2019, "The Stability of Demand for Money in the Proposed Southern African Monetary Union," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101092, Jan.
• Rossi, Barbara & Wang, Yiru, 2019, "Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101492, Dec.
• Alola, Andrew & Asongu, Simplice & Alola, Uju, 2019, "House prices and tourism development in Cyprus: A contemporary perspective," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101795, Jan.
• Shvets, Serhii, 2019, "Parametric early warning system model for Ukraine," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103819.
• Fajar, Muhammad, 2019, "An application of hybrid forecasting singular spectrum analysis – extreme learning machine method in foreign tourists forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 105044, Oct, revised 31 Oct 2019.
• TOACĂ, Zinovia & Vîntu, Denis, 2019, "Model trimestrial de Prognoză a PIB-ului Republicii Moldova
  [Quarterly GDP Forecast Model of the Republic of Moldova]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107565, Oct, revised Sep 2019.
• Roudari, Soheil & Homayounifar, Masoud & Salimifar, Mostafa, 2019, "تاثیر نوسانات نرخ ارز اسمی و چرخه¬های تجاری بر مطالبات شبکه بانکی کشور با تاکید بر تغییرات رژیم و زمان- مقیاس
  [Impact of Nominal Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Business Cycles on Nonperforming Loans with Emphasis on Regime Changes and Time," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127020, Jul, revised 07 Jan 2020.
• Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Ogbonna, Ephraim A, 2019, "Do we Experience Day-of-the-week Effects in Returns and Volatility of Cryptocurrency?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 91429, Jan.
• Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Ogbonna, Ephraim A & Mudida, Robert, 2019, "Market Efficiency and Volatility Persistence of Cryptocurrency during Pre- and Post-Crash Periods of Bitcoin: Evidence based on Fractional Integration," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 91450, Jan.
• Benyoub, Latifa & Aicha, Aouar & Kharafi, Khadidja, 2019, "أثر الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر على نمو القطاع الصناعي بالجزائر
  [the impact of Foreign Direct Investment on the Industrial Sector Growth in Algeria]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 91485.
• Voisin, Elisa & Hecq, Alain, 2019, "Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 92734, Mar.
• Kazadi Ntita, François & Ntanga Ntita, Jean de Dieu & Ntita Ntita, Jean, 2019, "Dette Publique Extérieure Et Croissance Économique En République Démocratique Du Congo (Rdc)
  [External Public Debt And Economic Growth In The Democratic Republic Of Congo (Drc)]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 92903, revised 2019.
• Polbin, Andrey & Shumilov, Andrei & Bedin, Andrey & Kulikov, Alexander, 2019, "Модель Реального Обменного Курса Рубля С Марковскими Переключениями Режимов
  [Modeling real exchange rate of the Russian ruble using Markov regime-switching approach]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93310.
• Bataa, Erdenebat, 2019, "Growth and Inflation Regimes in Greater Tumen Initiative Area," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93374, Apr.
• Bazhenov, Timofey & Fantazzini, Dean, 2019, "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Russian stocks using Google Trends and Implied Volatility," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93544, Apr.
• Yang, Bill Huajian & Wu, Biao & Cui, Kaijie & Du, Zunwei & Fei, Glenn, 2019, "IFRS9 Expected Credit Loss Estimation: Advanced Models for Estimating Portfolio Loss and Weighting Scenario Losses," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93634, Apr.
• Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2019, "Heterogeneous component multiplicative error models for forecasting trading volumes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93802, May.
• Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula & Atoi, Ngozi V, 2019, "Are inflation rates in OECD countries actually stationary during 2011-2018? Evidence based on Fourier Nonlinear Unit root tests with Break," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93937, Feb.
• Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula & Mudida, Robert, 2019, "Hysteresis of Unemployment Rates in Africa: New Findings from Fourier ADF test," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93939, Feb.
• Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Mudida, Robert & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Osuolale, Kazeem & Ogbonna, Ephraim A, 2019, "Influence of US Presidential Terms on S&P500 Index Using a Time Series Analysis Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93941, Mar.
• Bonga, Wellington Garikai, 2019, "Stock Market Volatility Analysis using GARCH Family Models: Evidence from Zimbabwe Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 94201, May.
• Kounetas, Konstantinos & Stergiou, Eirini, 2019, "Examining eco-efficiency convergence of European Industries.The existence of technological spillovers within a metafrontier framework," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 94286.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019, "Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 94445, Jun.
• Sebastião Abreu, Daniel & Silva Lopes, Artur, 2019, "How to disappear completely: non-linearity and endogeneity in the new keynesian wage Phillips curve," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 94591, Jun.
• Elyas, Redha & Masih, Mansur, 2019, "Does environmental awareness determine GDP growth ? evidence from Singapore based on ARDL and NARDL approaches," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 94683, Jun.
• Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih, 2019, "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of Output Gap and Real Exchange Rate Cycles for Turkey," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 94698, Jun.
• Apopo, Natalay & Phiri, Andrew, 2019, "On the (in)efficiency of cryptocurrencies: Have they taken daily or weekly random walks?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 94712, Jun.
• Bucci, Andrea, 2019, "Cholesky-ANN models for predicting multivariate realized volatility," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 95137, Jul.
• Bragoudakis, Zacharias & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019, "Oil and pump prices: Is there any asymmetry in the Greek oil downstream sector?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 95407, May.
• Bucci, Andrea, 2019, "Realized Volatility Forecasting with Neural Networks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 95443, Aug.
• Shehu Usman Rano, Aliyu, 2019, "Do presidential elections affect stock market returns in Nigeria?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 95466, May, revised 07 Aug 2019.
• Assis de Salles, Andre & Mendes Campanati, Ana Beatriz, 2019, "The Relevance of Crude Oil Prices on Natural Gas Pricing Expectations: A Dynamic Model Based Empirical Study," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 95982, Jun, revised 12 Sep 2019.
• Fantazzini, Dean & Shangina, Tamara, 2019, "The importance of being informed: forecasting market risk measures for the Russian RTS index future using online data and implied volatility over two decades," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 95992.
• Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Delis, Panagiotis & Filis, George, 2019, "Can spillover effects provide forecasting gains? The case of oil price volatility," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96266.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2019, "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodities," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96267.
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019, "Forecasting European Economic Policy Uncertainty," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96268.
• Amavilah, Voxi, 2019, "A simple time-insensitive index of instability as a proxy for the “Africa dummy” variable – A Note," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96295, Oct.
• Beaumont, Paul & Smallwood, Aaron, 2019, "Inference for likelihood-based estimators of generalized long-memory processes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96313, Sep.
• Beaumont, Paul & Smallwood, Aaron, 2019, "Conditional Sum of Squares Estimation of Multiple Frequency Long Memory Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96314, Sep.