Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C2: Single Equation Models; Single Variables
/ / / C22: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

2004

• He, Changli & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004, "An Extended Constant Conditional Correlation Garch Model And Its Fourth-Moment Structure," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 20, issue 5, pages 904-926, October.
• Ghysels, Eric & Guay, Alain, 2004, "Testing For Structural Change In The Presence Of Auxiliary Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 20, issue 6, pages 1168-1202, December.
• Babula, Ronald A. & Bessler, David A. & Payne, Warren S., 2004, "Dynamic Relationships Among U.S. Wheat-Related Markets: Applying Directed Acyclic Graphs to a Time Series Model," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 36, issue 1, pages 1-22, April.
• Simonsen, Ingve & Weron, Rafal & Mo, Birger, 2004, "Structure and stylized facts of a deregulated power market," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1443.
• Bianchi, Sergio, 2004, "A new distribution-based test of self-similarity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 16640.
• Chan, Tze-Haw & Lau, Evan, 2004, "Business cycles and the synchronization process: a bounds testing approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2030, revised 2005.
• Caiado, Jorge, 2004, "Modelling and forecasting the volatility of the portuguese stock index PSI-20," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2077.
• Das, Rituparna & Daga, U R, 2004, "Conflict of Exchange Rates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22702.
• Barja, Gover & Monterrey, Javier & Villarroel, Sergio, 2004, "Bolivia: Impact of shocks and poverty policy on household welfare," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22937, Dec.
• Giulio, Cifarelli, 2004, "Yes, implied volatilities are not informationally efficient: an empirical estimate using options on interest rate futures contracts," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 28655, Feb.
• Dobrescu, Emilian, 2004, "Double conditioned potential output," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 35769.
• Gluschenko, Konstantin, 2004, "Nonlinearly testing for a unit root in the presence of a break in the mean," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 678, Aug, revised Sep 2005.
• Mutlu, Seval & Aktas, Erkan & KARAHAN UYSAL, Özlem, 2004, "Akdeniz Bölgesi ve Başlıca Tüketim Merkezlerinde Yaş Meyve ve Sebze Perakende Fiyatları Arasındaki İlişkiler: Pazar Entegrasyonunun Testi
  [The Relation among retail price main of consumption center of fruit and vegetables and Region of Mediterrane," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 8656, revised 2004.
• Angelidis, Timotheos & Benos, Alexandros & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2004, "The Use of GARCH Models in VaR Estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96332.
• Zdeněk Dvorný, 2004, "Efficiency of the Secondary T-Bill Market," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2004, issue 1, pages 17-25, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.228.
• Jaroslav Brada & Karel Brůna, 2004, "Analýza citlivosti referenčních úrokových sazeb PRIBOR na změny repo sazby České národní banky
  [An analysis of PRIBOR interest rates sensitivity to changes in Czech national bank repo rate]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2004, issue 5, pages 601-621, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.478.
• Romain Veyrune, 2004, "Les caisses d’émission modernes sont-elles orthodoxes ?," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 75, issue 2, pages 71-84, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2004.4894.
• Carlos Robalo Marques, 2004, "Inflation Persistence: Facts or Artefacts?," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w200408.
• George Kapetanios, 2004, "A Bootstrap Invariance Principle for Highly Nonstationary Long Memory Processes," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 507, Feb.
• Loukia Meligkotsidou & Elias Tzavalis & Ioannis D. Vrontos, 2004, "A Bayesian Analysis of Unit Roots and Structural Breaks in the Level and the Error Variance of Autoregressive Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 514, Jul.
• George Kapetanios, 2004, "Testing for Exogeneity in Nonlinear Threshold Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 515, Jul.
• George Kapetanios, 2004, "The Impact of Large Structural Shocks on Economic Relationships: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 524, Oct.
• David Norman & Thomas Walker, 2004, "Co-movement of Australian State Business Cycles," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2004-09, Oct.
• Carol Alexandra & Emese Lazar, 2004, "Normal Mixture GARCH (1,1): Application to Exchange Rate Modelling," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2004-05, Mar.
• Marine Carrasco & Liang Hu, 2004, "Optimal test for Markov switching," 2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 374.
• Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D.M. Fisher, 2004, "qGMM Estimation of Sunk Costs," 2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 66.
• S. Boragan Aruoba, 2004, "Data Revisions in General Equilibrium," 2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 770.
• Timo Teräsvirta & Dick van Dijk & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2004, "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A reexamination," Textos para discussão, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil), number 485, Jul.
• Jean-Marie Dufour & Abdeljelil Farhat & Lynda Khalaf & Jean-Marie Dufour, 2004, "Tests multiples simulés et tests de normalité basés sur plusieurs moments dans les modèles de régression," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, volume 80, issue 2, pages 501-522.
• Panagiotis Konstantinou, 2004, "Term Structure Dynamics: A Daily View from the Hungarian Foreign Currency Deposits Markets," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 57, issue 3, pages 315-331.
• Per-Ola Maneschiöld, 2004, "Modelling Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Sweden," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 57, issue 2, pages 145-172.
• Marine Carrasco, 2004, "Chi-square Tests for Parameter Stability," RCER Working Papers, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER), number 508, Sep.
• Frederique Bec & Melika Ben Salem & Marine Carrasco, 2004, "Detecting Mean Reversion in Real Exchange Rates from a Multiple Regime STAR Model," RCER Working Papers, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER), number 509, Sep.
• Silvia Fedeli & Alessandro Trotto, 2004, "Il potere di voto nel sistema parlamentare italiano in regime proporzionale e la dinamica della spesa pubblica dal 1960 al 1990," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, volume 94, issue 2, pages 129-186, March-Apr.
• Donal Bredin & Stilianos Fountas, 2004, "Macroeconomic uncertainty and macroeconomic performance: are they related?," Centre for Financial Markets Working Papers, Research Repository, University College Dublin, number 10197/1125, Feb.
• Giancarlo Marini & Alessandro Piergallini & Pasquale Scaramozzino, 2004, "Inflation Bias after the Euro: Evidence from the UK and Italy," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 60, Oct.
• T. Verbeke & M. De Clercq, 2004, "The Environmental Kuznets Curve: some really disturbing Monte Carlo evidence," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, number 04/242, Apr.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2004, "Bootstrap Procedures for Recursive Estimation Schemes With Applications to Forecast Model Selection," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200418, Sep.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2004, "Predictive Density Evaluation," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200419, Sep.
• John Chao & Norman Swanson, 2004, "Estimation and Testing Using Jackknife IV in Heteroskedastic Regressions With Many Weak Instruments," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200420, Sep.
• Geetesh Bhardwaj & Norman Swanson, 2004, "An Empirical Investigation of the Usefulness of ARFIMA Models for Predicting Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200422, Sep.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2004, "Predective Density and Conditional Confidence Interval Accuracy Tests," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200423, Sep.
• Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2004, "Regular and Modified Kernel-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance: The Case with Independent Noise," OFRC Working Papers Series, Oxford Financial Research Centre, number 2004fe20.
• Pilar Grau-Carles, 2004, "Test for long memory processes. A bootstrap approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 111, Aug.
• Romulo A. Chumacero, 2004, "Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production and Sales with Automated Procedures," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 112, Aug.
• Vladimir Kuzin, 2004, "The Inflation Aversion of the Bundesbank: A State Space Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 121, Aug.
• S. Boragan Aruoba, 2004, "Data Uncertainty in General Equilibrium," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 131, Aug.
• Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2004, "Are European business cycles close enough to be just one?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 16, Aug.
• Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko, 2004, "Modified Hiemstra-Jones Test for Granger Non-causality," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 192, Aug.
• Valentyn Panchenko & Cees Diks, 2004, "Testing multivariate hypotheses with positive definite bilinear forms," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 201, Aug.
• Jeremy Piger & James Morley, 2004, "A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 22, Aug.
• Ana-Maria Fuertes & Elena Kalotychou, 2004, "Elements in the Design of an Early Warning System for Sovereign Default," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 231, Aug.
• S. Manzan, 2004, "Nonlinear Mean Reversion in Stock Prices," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 264, Aug.
• Enrico Scalas & Alessandro Vivoli & Paride Dagna & Guido Germano, 2004, "Speculative option valuation: A supercomputing approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 269, Aug.
• R. Velazquez & Noriega & A., 2004, "International evidence on monetary neutrality under broken trend stationary models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 282, Aug.
• Christoph Schleicher, 2004, "Codependence in Cointegrated Autoregressive Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 286, Aug.
• Gonul Turhan-Sayan & Serdar Sayan, 2004, "Time Series Filtering through Chebyshev Polynomials," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 287, Aug.
• Argia M. Sbordone & Timothy Cogley, 2004, "A Search for a Structural Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 291, Aug.
• Eugenie Hol & Siem Jan Koopman & Borus Jungbacker, 2004, "Forecasting daily variability of the S\&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 342, Aug.
• Ramón María-Dolores & Israel Sancho, 2004, "On Asymmetric Business Cycle Effects on Convergence Rates: Some European Evidence," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 45, Aug.
• Daniela Hristova, 2004, "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a Unit Root Bilinear Model with an Application to Prices," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 47, Aug.
• Michiel D. de Pooter & Rengert Segers, 2004, "Learning the Shape of the Likelihood of Typical Econometric Models using Gibbs Sampling," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 82, Aug.
• Jedrzej Bialkowski, 2004, "Modelling Returns on Stock Indices for Western and Central European Stock Exchanges - a Markov Switching Approach," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, volume 2, issue 2, pages 81-100.
• Takuji Kinkyo, 2004, "Transmission channels of capital flow shocks: why Korean crisis was so severe," Working Papers, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK, number 139, Aug.
• Takuji Kinkyo, 2004, "Disorderly adjustments to exchange rate misalignments: The experience of Korea," Working Papers, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK, number 140, Aug.
• Quan-Hoang Vuong, 2004, "The Vietnam's Transition Economy and Its Fledgling Financial Markets: 1986-2003," Working Papers CEB, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 04-032.RS.
• Quan-Hoang Vuong, 2004, "Analyses on Gold and US Dollar in Vietnam's Transitional Economy," Working Papers CEB, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 04-033.RS.
• Bertrand Candelon & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2004, "Fractional integration and business cycle features," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 2, pages 343-359, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-003-0171-7.
• Philipp Sibbertsen, 2004, "Long memory in volatilities of German stock returns," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 3, pages 477-488, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-003-0179-z.
• Catherine Kyrtsou & Walter C. Labys & Michel Terraza, 2004, "Noisy chaotic dynamics in commodity markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 3, pages 489-502, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-003-0180-6.
• Eugene Kouassi & Mbodja Mougoué & Kern O. Kymn, 2004, "Causality tests of the relationship between the twin deficits," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 3, pages 503-525, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-003-0181-5.
• Anne Line Bretteville-Jensen & Erik Biørn, 2004, "Do prices count? A micro-econometric study of illicit drug consumption based on self-reported data," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 3, pages 673-695, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-004-0205-9.
• Sandrine Lardic & Valérie Mignon, 2004, "Fractional cointegration and the term structure," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 4, pages 723-736, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-004-0206-8.
• Sebastiano Manzan, 2004, "Model selection for nonlinear time series," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 29, issue 4, pages 901-920, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-004-0207-7.
• Bentzen, Jan & Smith, Valdemar, 2004, "Short-run and long-run relationships in the consumption of alcohol in the Scandinavian countries," Working Papers, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Economics, number 04-14, Dec.
• Wang, Zijian & Wei, Jiegen, 2004, "Structural Change, Capital’s Contribution, and Economic Efficiency: Sources of China’s Economic Growth Between 1952-1998," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 130, Mar, revised 05 Apr 2004.
• Meitz, Mika & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004, "Evaluating models of autoregressive conditional duration," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 557, Mar, revised 13 Dec 2004.
• Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Medeiros, Marcelo, 2004, "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 561, Jul, revised 09 Nov 2004.
• Malmsten, Hans & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004, "Stylized Facts of Financial Time Series and Three Popular Models of Volatility," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 563, Aug, revised 03 Sep 2004.
• Malmsten, Hans, 2004, "Evaluating exponential GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 564, Aug, revised 03 Sep 2004.
• González Gómez, Andrés, 2004, "A smooth permanent surge process," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 572, Dec.
• Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2004, "Ergodicity, mixing, and existence of moments of a class of Markov models with applications to GARCH and ACD models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 573, Oct, revised 20 Apr 2007.
• Arias, Guillaume & Erlandsson, Ulf, 2004, "Regime switching as an alternative early warning system of currency crises - an application to South-East Asia," Working Papers, Lund University, Department of Economics, number 2004:11, Mar.
• Nilsson, Birger & Hansson, Björn, 2004, "A Two-State Capital Asset Pricing Model with Unobservable States," Working Papers, Lund University, Department of Economics, number 2004:28, Dec.
• Eriksson , Åsa, 2004, "Testing Structural Hypotheses on Cointegration Vectors: A Monte Carlo Study," Working Papers, Lund University, Department of Economics, number 2004:29, Dec.
• Shima, Isilda, 2004, "The shadow economy in Norway: Demand for currency approach," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 10/2004, Oct.
• Lind, Jo Thori, 2004, "Repeated surveys and the Kalman filter," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 19/2004, Oct.
• Corander, Jukka & Villani, Mattias, 2004, "A Bayesian Approach to Modelling Graphical Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 171, Oct.
• Brännäs, Kurt & Quoreshi, Shahiduzzaman, 2004, "Integer-Valued Moving Average Modelling of the Number of Transactions in Stocks," Umeå Economic Studies, Umeå University, Department of Economics, number 637, May.
• Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2004, "Dividend Yields for Forecasting Stock Market Returns - An ARDL Cointegration Analysis for Germany," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany, number 244/2004.
• Roberto Ricciuti, 2004, "Punishment and Counter-punishment in Public Goods Games: Can we still govern ourselves?," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, number 04/06, Apr, revised Apr 2004.
• Kaushik Mitra, 2004, "Is more data better?," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, number 04/19, Jul, revised Jul 2004.
• Claudia Pérez- Forniés & Mª Dolores Gadea & Eva Pardos, 2004, "Gasto en defensa y renta en los países de la Alianza Atlántica (1960-2002)," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, volume 170, issue 3, pages 137-153, september.
• Antras, Pol, 2004, "Is the U.S. Aggregate Production Function Cobb-Douglas? New Estimates of the Elasticity of Substitution," Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics, number 3196325.
• Naoya Katayama, 2004, "Asymptotic Prediction Mean Squared Error for Strongly Dependent Processes with Estimated Parameters," Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, number d03-10, Jan.
• Naoya Katayama, 2004, "Seasonally and Fractionally Differenced Time Series (revised, August 2006)," Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, number d03-11, Jan.
• Carrillo, Julio A. & Fève, Patrick, 2004, "Some Perils of Policy Rule Regression," IDEI Working Papers, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse, number 301, Jul.
• Taufik Kurniawan, 2004, "Determinan Tingkat Suku Bunga Pinjaman Di Indonesia Tahun 1983-2002," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, volume 7, issue 3, pages 437-459, December, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v7i3..
• Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Marno Verbeek, 2004, "Evaluating Portfolio Value-at-Risk using Semi-Parametric GARCH Models," Cahiers de recherche, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée, number 04-14, Dec.
• Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2004, "Analytical Evaluation Of Volatility Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 45, issue 4, pages 1079-1110, November.
• Oliver Linton, 2004, "Nonparametric inference for unbalance time series data," CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number CWP06/04, Apr.
• Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2004, "Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 155, May.
• Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Ntantamis, Christos & Pantelidis, Theologos & Pittis, Nikitas, 2004, "The BDS Test as a Test for the Adequacy of a GARCH(1,1) Specification. A Monte Carlo Study," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 156, May.
• Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Pittis, Nikitas, 2004, "Robustness of the CUSUM and CUSUM-of-Squares Tests to Serial Correlation, Endogeneity and Lack of Structural Invariance. Some Monte Carlo Evidence," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 157, May.
• Anyfantakis, Costas & Caporale, Guglielmo M. & Pittis, Nikitas, 2004, "Parameter Instability and Forecasting Performance. A Monte Carlo Study," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 160, Jul.
• Kunst, Robert M. & Jumah, Adusei, 2004, "Toward a Theory of Evaluating Predictive Accuracy," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 162, Nov.
• Ahmet ÇETİN, 2004, "Enflasyon, Büyüme Ve Reel-Nominal Belirsizlikler Arasında Nedensellik İlişkileri," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, volume 19, issue 221, pages 71-79.
• Viviana Fernandez, 2005, "The International CAPM and a wavelet-based decomposition of Value at Risk," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series, IIIS, number iiisdp075, Dec.
• Paresh Kumar Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2004, "Temporal Causality between Human Capital and Real Income in Cointegrated VAR Processes: Empirical Evidence from China, 1960-1990," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, volume 3, issue 1, pages 1-11, April.
• Xiao-Ming Li, 2004, "A Quasi-Bayesian Analysis of Structural Breaks: China's Output and Productivity Series," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, volume 3, issue 1, pages 57-65, April.
• Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2004, "Modelling the Japanese Exchange Rate in Terms of I(d) Statistical Models with Parametric and Semiparametric Techniques," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, volume 3, issue 2, pages 123-138, August.
• Sheng-Yung Yang & Shuh-Chyi Doong, 2004, "Price and Volatility Spillovers between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence from the G-7 Countries," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, volume 3, issue 2, pages 139-153, August.
• Josef L. Loening, 2004, "Time series evidence on education and growth: the case of Guatemala, 1951-2002," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 19, issue 2, pages 3-40, December.
• Mr. C. John McDermott & Mr. Paul Cashin, 2004, "Parity Reversion in Real Exchange Rates: Fast, Slow or Not At All?," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2004/128, Jul.
• Carlos Pulido, 2004, "El CRÉDITO BANCARIO COMO AR(1): EL CASO DE MÉXICO 1980-2003," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 3, issue 2, pages 223-235, Junio 200.
• Noé Arón Fuentes & Alberto Godínez Plascencia, 2004, "Tests Of Purchasing Power Parity With Structural Break In The Mexican Economy," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 3, issue 3, pages 277-301, Septiembr.
• Arturo Lorenzo Valdés, 2004, "Estudio De La Volatilidad Realizada Aplicado Al Índice De Precios Y Cotizaciones De México," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 3, issue 4, pages 333-341, Diciembre.
• Abhay Pethe & Ajit Karnik, 2004, "Infrastructure Finance In The Time Of Revenue Crunch: Exploring New Avenues For Urban Local Bodies," Department of Economics, University of Mumbai, Mumbai Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Mumbai, Mumbai, number 10, Feb.
• Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2004, "Nonlinear Ppp Under The Gold Standard," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2004-24, Jun.
• Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2004, "Temporal Aggregation Of An Estar Process: Some Implications For Purchasing Power Parity Adjustment," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2004-25, Jun.
• M. Angeles Carnero & Daniel Peña & Esther Ruiz, 2004, "Spurious And Hidden Volatility," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2004-45, Nov.
• Schlicht, Ekkehart, 2004, "Estimating the Smoothing Parameter in the So-Called Hodrick-Prescott Filter," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 1054, Mar.
• Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Neslihan Ozkan, 2004, "Nonlinear effects of exchange rate volatility on the volume of bilateral exports," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 19, issue 1, pages 1-23, DOI: 10.1002/jae.725.
• Wagner Adolf, 2004, "Statistische Adäquation bei Fortentwicklung der makrökonomischen Wirtschaftstheorie / Statistical Adequacy and the Evolution of Macroeconomic Theory," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 224, issue 5, pages 612-625, October, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2004-0505.
• W. Jos Jansen & Niek J. Nahuis, 2004, "Which survey indicators are useful for monitoring consumption? Evidence from European countries," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 23, issue 2, pages 89-98, DOI: 10.1002/for.903.
• Jan G. De Gooijer & Kurt Brännäs, 2004, "Asymmetries in conditional mean and variance: modelling stock returns by asMA-asQGARCH," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 23, issue 3, pages 155-171, DOI: 10.1002/for.910.
• Lars-Erik Öller & Lasse Koskinen, 2004, "A classifying procedure for signalling turning points," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 23, issue 3, pages 197-214, DOI: 10.1002/for.905.
• William Barnett & Barry E. Jones & Milka Kirova & Travis D. Nesmith & Meenakshi Pasupathy1, 2004, "The Nonlinear Skeletons in the Closet," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200403, May, revised May 2004.
• William Barnett & Shu Wu, 2004, "On user costs of risy monetary assets," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200404, Jun, revised Jun 2004.
• William Barnett & Shu Wu, 2004, "Intertemporally Non-Separable Monetaryasset Risk Adjustment And Aggregation," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200405, Jun, revised Jun 2004.
• Yijun He & William Barnett, 2004, "Singularity Bifurcations," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200412, Oct, revised Oct 2004.
• Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2004, "Structural Change and the Order of Integration in Univariate Time Series," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 23, issue 3, pages 239-254, April.
• Andrew Hughes Hallett & Christian R. Richter, 2004, "Spectral Analysis as a Tool for Financial Policy: An Analysis of the Short-End of the British Term Structure," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 23, issue 3, pages 271-288, April.
• Luis Gil-alana, 2004, "Testing of Unit Root Cycles in the Swedish Economy," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 31, issue 4, pages 333-344, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-004-0521-5.
• Hannah Nielsen & Giuseppe Tullio & Jürgen Wolters, 2004, "Currency substitution and the stability of the Italian demand for money before the entry into the monetary union, 1972–1998," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 1, issue 1, pages 73-85, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-003-0001-6.
• Ibrahim Chowdhury & Gregory Gadzinski & Mathias Hoffmann, 2004, "Asymmetric Dynamics in the Current Account: Evidence from Long-Horizon Data," Working Paper Series in Economics, University of Cologne, Department of Economics, number 13, Sep.
• Theodore Panagiotidis & David Chappell, 2004, "Using the Correlation Dimension to Detect non-linear dynamics," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, number 2004_17, Nov, revised Nov 2004.
• Theodore Panagiotidis & Emilie Rutledge, 2004, "Oil and gas market in the UK: evidence from a cointegration approach," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, number 2004_18, Nov, revised Nov 2004.
• Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Neslihan Ozkan, 2004, "The second moments matter: The response of bank lending behavior to macroeconomic uncertainty," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 04/13, May.
• Gary M. Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2004, "Forecasting and Estimating Multiple Change-point Models with an Unknown Number of Change-points," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 04/31, Nov.
• Greg Hannsgen, 2004, "Gibson's Paradox, Monetary Policy, and the Emergence of Cycles," Economics Working Paper Archive, Levy Economics Institute, number wp_410, Jul.
• Bernardina Algieri, 2004, "Price and Income Elasticities of Russian Exports," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 1, issue 2, pages 175-193, December.
• Schlicht, Ekkehart, 2004, "Estimating the Smoothing Parameter in the So-Called Hodrick-Prescott Filter," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 304, Feb.
• Ivars Tillers, 2004, "Money Demand in Latvia," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2004/03, Nov.
• D. Johannes Juttner & Wayne Leung, 2004, "Towards Decoding Currency Volatilities," Research Papers, Macquarie University, Department of Economics, number 0405, Aug.
• D van Dijk & D R Osborn & M Sensier, 2004, "Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 45.
• Peter Hans Matthews, 2004, "Paradise Lost and Found? The Econometric Contributions of Clive W.J. Granger and Robert F. Engle," Middlebury College Working Paper Series, Middlebury College, Department of Economics, number 0416, Sep.
• Stilianos Fountas & Alexandra Ioannidis & Menelaos Karanasos, 2004, "Inflation, inflation uncertainty, and a common European Monetary Policy," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 30, Sep.
• David McMillan, 2004, "Non-linear predictability of UK stock market returns," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 63, Sep.
• Kostas Mouratidis & Nicola Spagnolo, 2004, "Evaluating currency crises: the case of the European Monetary System," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 69, Sep.
• Roberto Ricciuti, 2004, "Nonlinearity in testing for fiscal sustainability," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 80, Sep.
• Don Bredin & Stilianos Fountas, 2004, "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Performance: Are they related?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 51, Sep.
• Marianna Valentinyi-Endrész, 2004, "Structural breaks and financial risk management," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2004/11.
• B.P.M. McCabe & G.M. Martin & R.K. Freeland, 2004, "Testing for Dependence in Non-Gaussian Time Series Data," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 13/04, Jun.
• Ralph D. Snyder, 2004, "Exponential Smoothing: A Prediction Error Decomposition Principle," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 15/04, Aug.
• Heather M. Anderson & Chin Nam Low & Ralph Snyder, 2004, "Single Source of Error State Space Approach to the Beveridge Nelson Decomposition," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 21/04, Nov.
• Heather M. Anderson & Chin Nam Low, 2004, "Random Walk Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 22/04, Nov, revised May 2005.
• Phillip Gould & Anne B. Koehler & Farshid Vahid-Araghi & Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord & Rob J. Hyndman, 2004, "Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 28/04, Dec, revised Oct 2005.
• McCAUSLAND, William, 2004, "Time Reversibility of Stationary Regular Finite State Markov Chains," Cahiers de recherche, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques, number 2004-07.
• McCAUSLAND, William J., 2004, "Time Reversibility of Stationary Regular Finite State Markov Chains," Cahiers de recherche, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ, number 09-2004.
• Viv Hall & C. John McDermott, 2004, "Regional business cycles in New Zealand: Do they exist? What might drive them?," Motu Working Papers, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, number 04_10, Oct.
• V. Baugnet & M. Hradisky, 2004, "Determinants of Belgian bank lending intrest rates," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 43-58, September.
• Astrid Van Landschoot, 2004, "Determinants of Euro Term Structure of Credit Spreads," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 57, Jul.
• Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul, 2004, "The Use of Predictive Regressions at Alternative Horizons in Finance and Economics," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0298, Aug.
• Shiu-Sheng Chen & Charles Engel, 2004, "Does "Aggregation Bias" Explain the PPP Puzzle?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 10304, Feb.
• Joshua D. Angrist & Guido M. Kuersteiner, 2004, "Semiparametric Causality Tests Using the Policy Propensity Score," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 10975, Dec.
• Aykut Kibritçioğlu, 2004, "An Analysis of Early Warning Signals of Currency Crises in Turkey, 1986-2004," International Finance, Socionet, number kibritcioglu_aykut.62178-, Nov.
• Christopher Bowdler & Eilev S. Jansen, 2004, "Testing for a time-varying price-cost markup in the Euro area inflation process," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, number 4004, Feb, revised 11 May 2004.
• Eilev S. Jansen, 2004, "Modelling inflation in the Euro Area," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, number 4104, Mar, revised 01 Jun 2004.
• Christopher Bowdler & Eilev S. Jansen, 2004, "Testing for a time-varying price-cost markup in the Euro area inflation process," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2004-W10, Apr.
• David F. Hendry & Carlos Santos, 2004, "Regression Models with Data-based Indicator Variables," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2004-W13, Nov.
• Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2004, "Regular and Modified Kernel-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance: The Case with Independent Noise," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2004-W28, Nov.
• David F. Hendry & Carlos Santos, 2004, "Regression Models with Data-based Indicator Variables," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2004-W04, Feb.
• Angela Huang, 2004, "Examining finite-sample problems in the application of cointegration tests for long-run bilateral exchange rates," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP 2004/08, Oct.
• Kam Leong Szeto & Melody Guy, 2004, "Estimating a New Zealand NAIRU," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 04/10, Sep.
• Annabelle Mourougane & Hideyuki Ibaragi, 2004, "Is There a Change in the Trade-Off Between Output and Inflation at Low or Stable Inflation Rates?: Some Evidence in the Case of Japan," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 379, Feb, DOI: 10.1787/685810855735.
• Torsten Sløk & Mike Kennedy, 2004, "Factors Driving Risk Premia," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 385, Apr, DOI: 10.1787/738228687051.
• Robert H. McGuckin & Ataman Ozyildirim, 2004, "Real-Time Tests of the Leading Economic Index: Do Changes in the Index Composition Matter?," Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2004, issue 2, pages 171-191, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-v2004-art11-en.
• David E. Rapach & Christian E. Weber, 2004, "Financial Variables and the Simulated Out-of-Sample Forecastability of U.S. Output Growth Since 1985: An Encompassing Approach," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 42, issue 4, pages 717-738, October.
• Markus Haas, 2004, "Mixed Normal Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 2, issue 2, pages 211-250.
• Neil Shephard, 2004, "Regular and Modified Kernel-Based Estimators of Integrated Variance: The Case with Independent Noise," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 2004-FE-20, Nov.