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Oil and gas market in the UK: evidence from a cointegration approach

Author

Listed:
  • Theodore Panagiotidis

    (Dept of Economics, Loughborough University)

  • Emilie Rutledge

    (University of Durham)

Abstract

The paper examines the relationship between UK wholesale gas prices and the Brent oil price over the period 1996-2003. Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration are carried out and it is discovered that a long run equilibrium relationship between UK gas and oil prices predates the opening of the UK-Mainland Europe Inter-connector. Following a recursive methodology (Hansen & Johansen 1999), it was found that the cointegrating relationship is present throughout the sample period. However, the long run solutions seem to be more volatile. Evidence is provided that the short run relationship is linear and impulse response functions are used to examine the effects that a shock in oil would have on gas.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodore Panagiotidis & Emilie Rutledge, 2004. "Oil and gas market in the UK: evidence from a cointegration approach," Discussion Paper Series 2004_18, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Nov 2004.
    • Handle: RePEc:lbo:lbowps:2004_18
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    oil; gas; cointegration; nonparametric cointegration; recursive trace test; error correction; impulse response;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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