Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C2: Single Equation Models; Single Variables
/ / / C22: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

2003

• Khundrakpam, Jeeavn Kumar, 2003, "Public Sector Spending and Economic Growth in India," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51105, revised 2003.
• Marek Loužek, 2003, "Can pro-natalist policy be effective?," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2003, issue 3, pages 265-281, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.218.
• Piotr Eliasz & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2003, "Optimal Tests for Reduced Rank Time Variation in Regression Coefficients and Level Variation in the Multivariate Local Level Model," Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department., number 2003-1, Nov.
• Mustapha Baghli & Gilbert Cette & Arnaud Sylvain, 2003, "Les déterminants du taux de marge en France et quelques autres grands pays industrialisés : analyse empirique sur la période 1970-2000," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, volume 158, issue 2, pages 1-25, DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2003.6899.
• Francisco Craveiro Dias, 2003, "Nonlinearities over the Business Cycle: an Application of the Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model to characterize GDP dynamics for the Euro-area and Portugal," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w200309.
• Georgios Chortareas & George Kapetanios & Merih Uctum, 2003, "An Investigation of Current Account Solvency in Latin America Using Non Linear Stationarity Tests," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 485, Jan.
• George Kapetanios, 2003, "Using Extraneous Information and GMM to Estimate Threshold Parameters in TAR Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 494, Jul.
• Andrew P. Blake & George Kapetanios, 2003, "Testing for ARCH in the Presence of Nonlinearity of Unknown Form in the Conditional Mean," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 496, Jul.
• George Kapetanios & Yongcheol Shin, 2003, "Testing for Nonstationary Long Memory against Nonlinear Ergodic Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 500, Jul.
• Carol Alexander & Dimitri Lvov, 2003, "Statistical Properties of Forward Libor Rates," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2003-03, Jan.
• Carol Alexandra & Emese Lazar, 2003, "Symmetric Normal Mixture GARCH," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2003-09, May.
• Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2003, "The UK Unemployment: Long Memory, Seasonality and Other Implicit Dynamics," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 56, issue 3, pages 323-335.
• Javier J. Pérez & Jesús Rodríguez & Carlos Usabiaga, 2003, "Dynamic analysis of the relation between economic cycle and unemployment cycle: a regional application," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 2, pages 141-162.
• Alan Mulhern, 2003, "Identifying growth characteristics in the Polish small firm stratum," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2003-3, Jan.
• Subrata Ghatak & Alan Mulhern & Chris Stewart, 2003, "Regional Development of Small Firms in Poland," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2003-5, Jan.
• Alan Mulhern, 2003, "Regional differences in small firm development: the case of Poland," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2003-12, Jan.
• Stanica, Cristian Nicolae, 2003, "A Deterministic Method For Short-Term Gdp Evaluation," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 122-132, June.
• Mateescu, George Daniel & Rasturnoiu, Constantin & Saman, Corina & Buneci, Mihai, 2003, "A Short-Time Prediction Of The Romanian Personal Computers Market Based On The Moore Law," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 3, pages 93-97, September.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003, "Bootstrap Conditional Distribution Tests In the Presence of Dynamic Misspecification," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200311, Oct.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003, "The Block Bootstrap for Parameter Estimation Error In Recursive Estimation Schemes, With Applications to Predictive Evaluation," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200313, Oct.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003, "A Test for Comparing Multiple Misspecified Conditional Distributions," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200314, Oct.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2003, "Some Recent Developments in Predictive Accuracy Testing With Nested Models and (Generic) Nonlinear Alternatives," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200316, Oct.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003, "Evaluation of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models Based on Distributional Comparison of Simulated and Historical Data," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200320, Oct.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003, "Bootstrap Specification Tests for Diffusion Processes," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200321, Oct.
• Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003, "The Effect of Data Transformation on Common Cycle, Cointegration and Unit Root Tests: Monte Carlo Results and a Simple Test," Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics, number 200322, Oct.
• Zulfiqar Hyder, 2003, "Workers’ Remittances, Resident FCAs and Kerb Premium: a Cointegration Analysis," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 03, Apr.
• Sadia Tahir, 2003, "Core Inflation Measures for Pakistan," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 04, Apr.
• Christoph Schleicher, 2003, "Structural Time-Series Models with Common Trends and Common Cycles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 108, Aug.
• Christoph Schleicher, 2003, "Kolmogorov-Wiener Filters for Finite Time Series," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 109, Aug.
• Christian A. Johnson & Francisco A. Gallego, 2003, "Building Confidence Intervals for the Band-Pas and Hodrick-Prescott Filters: An Application using Bootstrapping," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 15, Aug.
• Andrew Levin & Jeremy Piger, 2003, "Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 298, Aug.
• Aaron D Smallwood & Stefan C Norrbin, 2003, "Long Memory Models and Tests for Cointegration: A Synthesizing Study," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 32, Aug.
• J. Huston McCulloch & Prasad V. Bidarkota, 2003, "Signal Extraction can Generate Volatility Clusters," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 59, Aug.
• Cees Diks & Svetlana Borovkova, 2003, "Conditional distribution resampling for time series," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 70, Aug.
• M. A. Kaboudan, 2003, "Genetic Programming Software to Forecast Time Series," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 97, Aug.
• Peter Hayes & Paul Turner, 2003, "Estimating Quarterly GDP for the Interwar UK Economy: An Application to the Employment Function," Working Papers, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, number 2003003, Mar, revised Mar 2003.
• Chung-Ming Kuan & Wei-Ming Lee, 2003, "A New Test of the Martingale Difference Hypothesis," IEAS Working Paper : academic research, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, number 03-A001, Nov.
• Chung-Ming Kuan & Yu-Lieh Huang & Ruey S. Tsay, 2003, "A Component-Driven Model for Regime Switching and Its Empirical Evidence," IEAS Working Paper : academic research, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, number 03-A002, Nov.
• Yi-Ting Chen & Chung-Ming Kuan, 2003, "A Generalized Jarque-Bera Test of Conditional Normality," IEAS Working Paper : academic research, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, number 03-A003, Nov.
• Quan-Hoang Vuong, 2003, "Essays on Vietnam’s Financial Reforms: Foreign Exchange Statistics and Evidence of Long-Run Equilibrium," Working Papers CEB, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 03-013.RS.
• Christian Hafner, 2003, "Simple approximations for option pricing under mean reversion and stochastic volatility," Computational Statistics, Springer, volume 18, issue 3, pages 339-353, September, DOI: 10.1007/BF03354602.

2002

• Juan ToroNatalia Fabra & Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, 2002, "Price Wars and Collusion in the Spanish Electricity Market," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 136, Dec.
• Maria Soledad Martinez Peria, 2002, "The Impact of Banking Crises on Money Demand and Price Stability," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 49, issue 3, pages 1-1.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2002, "Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 49, issue Special i, pages 185-213.
• Cifarelli, giulio, 2002, "The information content of implied volatilities of options on eurodeposit futures traded on the LIFFE: is there long memory?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 28538, May.
• Halkos, George & Kevork, Ilias, 2002, "Confidence intervals in stationary autocorrelated time series," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 31840.
• Lord, Montague, 2002, "Modeling the Macro-Economy of Bangladesh," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41171, Jan.
• Jiranyakul, Komain & Brahmasrene, Tantatape, 2002, "An Analysis of the Determinants of Thailand’s Exports and Imports wtih Major Trading Partners," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45080.
• Lanne, Markku & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2002, "Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 76035.
• Josef Arlt & Milan Guba & Štěpán Radkovský & Vladimír Stiller & Milan Sojka, 2002, "Selected factors influencing the money demand development in the czech republic in 1994 - 2000," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2002, issue 1, pages 39-56, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.187.
• Helena Horská, 2002, "Inflation targeting in poland (a comparison with the czech republic)," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2002, issue 3, pages 237-254, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.196.
• E. Philip Davis, 2002, "Le secteur européen de la gestion des pensions," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 68, issue 4, pages 229-255, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2002.4780.
• Susana Botas, 2002, "Should we Distinguish Between Static and Dynamic Long Run Equilibrium in Error Correction Models?," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w200202.
• Hugo Kruiniger & Elias Tzavalis, 2002, "Testing for Unit Roots in Short Dynamic Panels with Serially Correlated and Heteroscedastic Disturbance Terms," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 459, Jun.
• Stephen Pollock, 2002, "Recursive Estimation in Econometrics," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 462, Jun.
• Kyriakos Chourdakis, 2002, "Continuous Time Regime Switching Models and Applications in Estimating Processes with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 464, Nov.
• George Kapetanios, 2002, "A Note on an Iterative Least Squares Estimation Method for ARMA and VARMA Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 467, Nov.
• George Kapetanios, 2002, "Testing for Structural Breaks in Nonlinear Dynamic Models Using Artificial Neural Network Approximations," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 470, Nov.
• George Kapetanios & Yongcheol Shin, 2002, "GLS Detrending for Nonlinear Unit Root Tests," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 472, Nov.
• George Kapetanios, 2002, "Testing for Neglected Nonlinearity in Long Memory Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 474, Nov.
• George Kapetanios, 2002, "A Note on Covariance Stationarity Conditions for Dynamic Random Coefficient Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 475, Nov.
• Turan G. Bali & Salih N. Neftci, 2002, "Disturbing Extremal Behavior of Spot Rate Dynamics," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2002-03, Jan.
• Chris Brooks & Simon P. Burke & Gita Persand, 2002, "Augoregressive Conditional Kurtosis," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2002-05, Feb.
• Marcelo C. Medeiros & Timo Terasvirta & Gianluigi Rech, 2002, "Building Neural Network Models for Time Series: A Statistical Approach," Textos para discussão, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil), number 461, Aug.
• Serge Rey & Pascal Varachaud, 2002, "European Real Exchange Rates after Bretton Woods: A Re-examination," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 17, pages 185-221.
• Subrata Ghatak & Alan Mulhern, 2002, "Polish small firms: structure, expectations and optimism," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2002-3, Jan.
• Alan Mulhern & Subrata Ghatak, 2002, "Identifying potential fast growth firms in the Polish small firm stratum," Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, Kingston University London, number 2002-8, Jan.
• Riaz Riazuddin & Mahmood ul Hasan Khan, 2002, "Detection and Forecasting of Islamic Calendar Effects in Time series Data," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 02, Jan.
• T Panagiotidis & G Pelloni, 2002, "Is non-linear serial dependence present in the US unemployment rate and the growth rates of employment sectoral shares?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 10, Jul.
• Marina Resta, 2002, "Portfolio Optimization: which alternatives to standard gaussian model?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 122, Jul.
• Christopher F Baum & John Barkoulas, 2002, "Dynamics of Intra-EMS Interest Rate Linkages," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 13, Jul.
• Jerry Coakley & Ana-Maria Fuertes, 2002, "Exchange Rate Overshooting and the Forward Premium Puzzle," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 145, Jul.
• Clinton WATKINS & Michael McALEER, 2002, "Volatility of a Market Index and its Components: An Application to Commodity Markets," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 18, Jul.
• Filipe R. Campante & Luciano Vereda & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2002, "Modeling and forecasting Brazilian industrial production: unit roots, seasonality and non-linearity," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 189, Jul.
• Gadea Maria-Dolores & Antonio Montanes & Marcelo Reyes, 2002, "Level shifts, unit roots and the purchasing power parity," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 208, Jul.
• Charemza W.W. & M. Lifshits & S. Makarova, 2002, "Conditional testing for unit-root bilinearity in financial time series: some theoretical and empirical results," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 251, Jul.
• Enrico Capobianco, 2002, "Risk and Multi-resolution Regimes in Volatility Processes," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 26, Jul.
• Aaron D. Smallwood & Paul M. Beaumont, 2002, "An Asymptotic MLE Approach to Modelling Multiple Frequency GARMA Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 285, Jul.
• Jerry Coakley & Ana-Maria Fuertes, 2002, "An MTAR Test for Stock Market Bubbles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 298, Jul.
• Andrew Hughes Hallett & Christian R Richter, 2002, "Are Capital Markets Efficient? Evidence from the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Europe," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 3, Jul.
• Marcelo C. Medeiros & Alvaro Veiga, 2002, "Are There Multiple Regimes in Financial Volatility?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 311, Jul.
• Svetlana Borovkova, 2002, "Nonlinear models for financial time series with multiple attraction regions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 322, Jul.
• Fabrizio Lillo & Rosario N. Mantegna, 2002, "Empirical investigation and modeling of a financial market after a crash," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 339, Jul.
• Andrew T. Levin & Jeremy M. Piger, 2002, "Is Inflation Persistence Inherent in Industrial Economies?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 344, Jul.
• Angelini, Henry, Marcellino, 2002, "interpolation with a large information set," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 72, Jul.
• Camarero, Mariam, & Flôres, R. & C. Tamarit, 2002, "Time series evidence of international output convergence in Mercosur," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 87, Jul.
• Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Neslihan Ozkan, 2002, "The Impact of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Bank Lending Behavior," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics, number 94, Jul.
• Quan-Hoang Vuong, 2002, "Empirical Evidence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Vietnam’s Stock Returns Time Series," Working Papers CEB, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 02-001.RS.
• Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002, "Modeling Asymmetries And Moving Equilibria In Unemployment Rates," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 6, issue 2, pages 202-241, April.
• Kilian, Lutz & Ohanian, Lee E., 2002, "Unit Roots, Trend Breaks, And Transitory Dynamics: A Macroeconomic Perspective," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 6, issue 5, pages 614-632, November.
• Pradeep Dubey & John Geanakoplos & Martin Shubik, 2002, "Is Gold an Efficient Store of Value?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1031R, Feb.
• Ted Juhl & Zhijie Xiao, 2002, "Partially Linear Models with Unit Roots," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1359, Apr.
• Peter C.B. Phillips & Binbin Guo & Zhijie Xiao, 2002, "Efficient Regression in Time Series Partial Linear Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1363, May.
• Ling Hu & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2002, "Nonstationary Discrete Choice," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1364, May.
• Ling Hu & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2002, "Dynamics of the Federal Funds Target Rate: A Nonstationary Discrete Choice Approach," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1365, May.
• Yixiao Sun & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2002, "Nonlinear Log-Periodogram Regression for Perturbed Fractional Processes," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1366, May.
• Katsumi Shimotsu & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2002, "Exact Local Whittle Estimation of Fractional Integration," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1367, Aug, revised Jul 2004.
• Offer Lieberman & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2002, "Error Bounds and Asymptotic Expansions for Toeplitz Product Functionals of Unbounded Spectra," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1374, May.
• Donald W.K. Andrews & Yixiao Sun, 2002, "Adaptive Local Polynomial Whittle Estimation of Long-range Dependence," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1384, Oct.
• Hassler, Uwe & Marmol, Francesc & Velasco, Carlos, 2002, "Residual log-periodogram inference for long-run relationships," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 18289.
• Hassler, Uwe & Rodrigues, Paulo M. M., 2002, "Seasonal unit root tests under structural breaks," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 18290.
• Domschke, Wolfgang & Drexl, Andreas & Schildt, B. & Scholl, Armin & Voß, Stefan, 2002, "Übungsbuch Operations Research," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 18930.
• Hassler, Uwe & Marmol, Francesc & Velasco, Carlos, 2002, "Residual Log-Periodogram Inference for Long-Run-Relationships," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 37317, Jun.
• Hassler, Uwe & Rodrigues, Paulo M. M., 2002, "Seasonal Unit Root Tests under Structural Breaks," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 37696, Jan.
• Hassler, Uwe & Marmol, Francesc & Velasco, Carlos, 2009, "Residual Log-Periodogram Inference for Long-Run-Relationships," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 77562.
• Hassler, Uwe & Rodrigues, Paulo M. M., 2009, "Seasonal Unit Root Tests under Structural Breaks," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL), number 77565.
• Sabine Stephan, 2002, "German Exports to the Euro Area," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 286.
• Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin, 2002, "Do Leading Indicators Help to Predict Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 314.
• Gil-Alana, Luis A, 2002, "Testing the order of integration of the UK Unemployment," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 2, issue 1.
• Cook, Steven, 2002, "Assymetric Mean Reversion in the Consumption-Income Ratio: Evidence from OECD economies," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 2, issue 2.
• Mourougane, Annabelle & Roma, Moreno, 2002, "Can confidence indicators be useful to predict short term real GDP growth?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 133, Mar.
• Cabrero, Alberto & Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Hirsch, Astrid & Nieto, Fernando, 2002, "Modelling the daily banknotes in circulation in the context of the liquidity management of the European Central Bank," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 142, May.
• Pérez Quirós, Gabriel & Sicilia, Jorge, 2002, "Is the European Central Bank (and the United States Federal Reserve) predictable?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 192, Nov.
• Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2002, "In-sample or out-of-sample tests of predictability: which one should we use?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 195, Nov.
• Gonçalves, Sí­lvia & Kilian, Lutz, 2002, "Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 196, Nov.
• Banerjee, Anindya & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Osbat, 2002, "Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods?," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002, Royal Economic Society, number 13, Aug.
• Benedikt M. Poetscher, 2002, "Lower Risk Bounds and Properties of Confidence Sets for Ill-Posed Estimation Problems with Applications to Spectral Density and Persistence Estimation, Unit Roots, and Estimation of Long Memory Parameters," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1035-1065, May.
• Yongcheol Shin & Andy Snell, 2002, "Mean Group Tests for Stationarity in Heterogeneous Panels," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh, number 107, Aug.
• Lanne, Markku & Lutkepohl, Helmut, 2002, "Unit root tests for time series with level shifts: a comparison of different proposals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 75, issue 1, pages 109-114, March.
• Fountas, Stilianos & Karanasos, Menelaos & Kim, Jinki, 2002, "Inflation and output growth uncertainty and their relationship with inflation and output growth," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 75, issue 3, pages 293-301, May.
• Xiao, Zhijie & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2002, "A CUSUM test for cointegration using regression residuals," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 108, issue 1, pages 43-61, May.
• Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2002, "A consistent test for nonlinear out of sample predictive accuracy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 110, issue 2, pages 353-381, October.
• Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002, "Evaluating GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 110, issue 2, pages 417-435, October.
• Phillips, Peter C. B., 2002, "New unit root asymptotics in the presence of deterministic trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 111, issue 2, pages 323-353, December.
• Tan, Baris & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2002, "Markov chain test for time dependence and homogeneity: An analytical and empirical evaluation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, volume 137, issue 3, pages 524-543, March.
• Bauwens, Luc & Lubrano, Michel, 2002, "Bayesian option pricing using asymmetric GARCH models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 9, issue 3, pages 321-342, August.
• Brannas, Kurt & Hellstrom, Jorgen & Nordstrom, Jonas, 2002, "A new approach to modelling and forecasting monthly guest nights in hotels," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 1, pages 19-30.
• Herwartz, Helmut & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2002, "Testing the purchasing power parity in pooled systems of error correction models," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, volume 14, issue 1, pages 45-62, January.
• Danielsson, J. & Payne, R., 2002, "Real trading patterns and prices in spot foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 21, issue 2, pages 203-222, April.
• Lanaspa Santolaria, Luis Fernando & Montañés, Antonio & Olloqui Cuartero, Luisa Irene & Sanz Gracia, Fernando, 2002, "Changing the economic landscape: The phenomenon of regional inversion in the US manufacturing sector**The authors would like to express their thanks to three anonymous referees for their helpful comments and observations on an earlier version of this," Papers in Regional Science, Elsevier, volume 81, issue 4, pages 461-482, DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.2002.tb01244.x.
• Santos-Paulino, Amelia U., 2002, "The Effects of Trade Liberalization on Imports in Selected Developing Countries," World Development, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 6, pages 959-974, June.
• Shintani, Mototsugu & Linton, Oliver, 2002, "Nonparametric neural network estimation of Lyapunov exponents and a direct test for chaos," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 2093, Mar.
• Robinson, Peter & Henry, Marc, 2002, "Higher-order kernel semiparametric M-estimation of long memory," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 2147, Sep.
• Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2002, "Market timing and return prediction under model instability," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 24932, Mar.
• Jobst, Andreas A., 2002, "Loan securitisation: default term structure and asset pricing based on loss prioritisation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 24941, Aug.
• Hidalgo, Javier, 2002, "Consistent order selection with strongly dependent data and its application to efficient estimation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 6856, Feb.
• de Goeij, P. & Marquering, W.A., 2002, "Modeling the Conditional Covariance between Stock and Bond Returns," ERIM Report Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam, number ERS-2002-11-F&A, Jan.
• de Goeij, P. & Marquering, W.A., 2002, "Do Macroeconomic Announcements Cause Asymetric Volatility?," ERIM Report Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam, number ERS-2002-103-F&A, Nov.
• P. Jenkins, Stephen & Böheim, René, 2000, "Do current income and annual income measures provide different pictures of Britain’s income distribution?," ISER Working Paper Series, Institute for Social and Economic Research, number 2000-16, May.
• Andrew Hughes Hallett & Christian R. Richter, 2002, "Are Capital Markets Efficient? Evidence from the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Europe," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, volume 33, issue 3, pages 333-356.
• Shimotsu, Katsumi & Phillips, Peter C B, 2002, "Exact Local Whittle Estimation of Fractional Integration," Economics Discussion Papers, University of Essex, Department of Economics, number 8838.
• Tommaso PROIETTI, 2002, "Some Reflections on Trend-Cycle Decompositions with Correlated Components," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2002/23.
• Wojciech Charemza & Mikhail Lifshits & Svetlana Makarova, 2002, "A Simple Test for Unit Root Bilinearity," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics, number 2002/01, Mar, revised 29 Mar 2002.
• Peter ENGLUND & Åke GUNNELIN & Martin HOESLI & Bo SÖDERBERG, 2002, "Implicit Forward Rents as Predictors of Future Rents," FAME Research Paper Series, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering, number rp59, Oct.
• Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2002, "The Allocation of Assets Under Higher Moments," FAME Research Paper Series, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering, number rp71, Dec.
• Martin Melecký, 2002, "Analýza diskrepancí v poptávce po penìzích domácností a firem v ÈR 1994-2000 (èást I: domácnosti)," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 52, issue 7-8, pages 428-449, July.
• Martin Melecký, 2002, "Analýza diskrepancí v poptávce po penìzích domácností a firem v ÈR 1994?2000 ? èást II: firmy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 52, issue 9, pages 478-501, September.
• Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2002, "A family of autoregressive conditional duration models," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 440, Mar.
• Marco J. Lombardi & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2002, "Analytic Hessian Matrices and the Computation of FIGARCH Estimates," Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", number wp2002_03, Feb.
• Massimiliano Cecconi & Giampiero M. Gallo & Marco J. Lombardi, 2002, "GARCH-based Volatility Forecasts for Market Volatility Indices," Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", number wp2002_06, Feb.
• Alessandro Rossi & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2002, "Volatility Estimation via Hidden Markov Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", number wp2002_14, Jun.
• Andreas Jobst, 2002, "Loan Securitisation: Default Term Structure and Asset Pricing Based on Loss Prioritisation," FMG Discussion Papers, Financial Markets Group, number dp422, Aug.
• John Y. Campbell & Motohiro Yogo, 2002, "Efficient Tests of Stock Return Predictability," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research, number 1972.
• Sylvia Kaufmann, 2002, "Is there an asymmetric effect of monetary policy over time? A Bayesian analysis using Austrian data," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 27, issue 2, pages 277-297.
• Patrick J. Coe, 2002, "Power issues when testing the Markov switching model with the sup likelihood ratio test using U.S. output," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 27, issue 2, pages 395-401.
• Mariá Dolores Gadea & José Mariá Serrano-Sanz, 2002, "The hidden economy in Spain - A monetary estimation, 1964-1998," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 27, issue 3, pages 499-527.
• Ana B. C. Galvão & Michael P. Clements, 2002, "Conditional mean functions of non-linear models of US output," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 27, issue 4, pages 569-586.
• George Hondroyiannis & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2002, "Demographic transition and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Greece," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, volume 15, issue 2, pages 221-242.
• Luis Fernando Lanaspa-Santolaria & Antonio Montañés & Luisa Irene Olloqui-Cuartero & Fernando Sanz-Gracia, 2002, "Changing the economic landscape: The phenomenon of regional inversion in the US manufacturing sector," Papers in Regional Science, Springer;Regional Science Association International, volume 81, issue 4, pages 461-482.
• Marco J. Lombardi & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2002, "Analytic Hessian matrices and the computation of FIGARCH estimates," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, volume 11, issue 2, pages 247-264, June, DOI: 10.1007/BF02511490.
• Jo Thori Lind, 2002, "Small continuous surveys and the Kalman filter," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 333, Nov.
• Ben Smit & Le Roux Burrows, 2002, "Estimating potential output and output gaps for the South African economy," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 05/2002.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana, 2002, "Unemployment and input prices: a fractional cointegration approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 9, issue 6, pages 347-351, DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086044.
• L. E. Arango & A. Gonzalez & C. E. Posada, 2002, "Returns and the interest rate: a non-linear relationship in the Bogotastock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 12, issue 11, pages 835-842, DOI: 10.1080/09603100110094493.
• Dick van Dijk & Timo Terasvirta & Philip Hans Franses, 2002, "Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models — A Survey Of Recent Developments," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 1, pages 1-47, DOI: 10.1081/ETC-120008723.
• Mukhtar Ali, 2002, "Distribution Of The Least Squares Estimator In A First-Order Autoregressive Model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 1, pages 89-119, DOI: 10.1081/ETC-120008725.