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Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models of the Short Term Interest Rate

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Abstract

This paper proposes a Gaussian estimator for nonlinear continuous time models of the short term interest rate. The approach is based on a stopping time argument that produces a normalizing transformation facilitating the use of a Gaussian likelihood. A Monte Carlo study shows that the finite sample performance of the proposed procedure offers an improvement over the discrete approximation method proposed by Nowman (1997). An empirical application to U.S. and British interest rates is given.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun Yu & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2001. "Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models of the Short Term Interest Rate," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1309, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  • Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1309
    Note: CFP 1124 and CFP 1347, "Corrigendum," Econometrics Journal (February 2011), 14(4): 126-129
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiao Huang, 2011. "Quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation of discretely observed diffusions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(2), pages 241-256, July.
    2. Ali Ataullah & Andrew Higson & Mark Tippett, 2006. "Real (adaptation) options and the valuation of equity: some empirical evidence," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 42(2), pages 236-265.
    3. Ingrid Lo, 2005. "An Evaluation of MLE in a Model of the Nonlinear Continuous-Time Short-Term Interest Rate," Staff Working Papers 05-45, Bank of Canada.
    4. Terence D.Agbeyegbe & Elena Goldman, 2005. "Estimation of threshold time series models using efficient jump MCMC," Economics Working Paper Archive at Hunter College 406, Hunter College Department of Economics, revised 2005.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gaussian estimation; nonlinear diffusion; normalizing transformation;

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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