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Non-causality in VAR-ECM models with purely exogeneous long-run paths

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  • Rault, Christophe

Abstract

We propose in this paper a framework based on a canonical representation of the long run matrix, which can constitute a basis for Granger non-causality testing in a VAR-ECM model using asymptotically Chi-square distributed Wald test statistics, and that unlike Giannini and Mosconi (1992), permits to clearly distinguish the nullity of some parameter blocks we can always achieve without any loss of generality, of the nullity of the parameter blocks resulting from the non-causality property. This canonical representation requires to determine the specific rank of a particular sub-matrix, which can be done using sequential test procedure, whose properties are analysed in small and large samples with Monte Carlo experiments.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

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  • Rault, Christophe, 2000. "Non-causality in VAR-ECM models with purely exogeneous long-run paths," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 121-129, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:67:y:2000:i:2:p:121-129
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    1. Kiviet, Jan F. & Phillips, Garry D. A., 1996. "The bias of the ordinary least squares estimator in simultaneous equation models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 161-167, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:sbe:breart:v:25:y:2005:i:2:a:2503 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Rault, Christophe, 2005. "Further Results on Weak Exogeneity in Vector Error Correction Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 25(2), November.
    3. Yannick L'Horty & Christophe Rault, 2005. "The Impact of Growth, Labour Cost and Working Time on Employment: Lessons from the French Experience," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 19(3), pages 595-620, September.
    4. Christophe Rault, 2007. "Une synthèse de l'exogénéité dans les modèles vectoriels à correction d'erreurs," Post-Print halshs-00202651, HAL.
    5. Jacqueline Pradel & Christophe Rault, 2003. "Exogeneity in vector error correction models with purely exogenous long-run paths," Documents de recherche 03-10, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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