IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Government Tax Revenue, Expenditure and Causality: the Experience of India


  • K. Dhanasekaran

    (Gobi Arts and Science College, Gobichettipalayam, Tamil Nadu)


The objective of the study is to analyse the dynamics of causal relationship between revenue and expenditure. Although a number of studies have shed light on this issue using Granger-Sims causality tests, the present study attempts to quantify various feedback between revenue and expenditure, along the lines suggested by Geweke and then the results are compared with Granger's causality test. The results showed the absence of co-integration between Government tax revenue and expenditure variables implying no evidence of a stable long run relationship between them. Geweke's test provided different inferences for the causal relationship between TR and GE. In the mdel with TR as the dependent variable, Geweke's test indicated the existence of bi-directional causality, while in the case of the model with GE as dependent variable, Geweke's test showed the absence of any causal relationship between the variables. The Granger's test suggests the uni-directional causality flowing from government expenditure to revenue. To conclude, the causal inferences were found to be sensitive to the specification of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • K. Dhanasekaran, 2001. "Government Tax Revenue, Expenditure and Causality: the Experience of India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(2), pages 359-379, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:v:36:y:2001:i:2:p:359-379

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.


    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.

    Cited by:

    1. Yaya Keho, 2010. "Spending Cuts or Tax Adjustments: How Can UEMOA Countries Control Their Budget Deficits?," International Journal of Business and Economics, College of Business and College of Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 9(3), pages 233-252, December.
    2. Francisco G. Carneiro & Joao R. Faria & Boubacar S. Barry, 2005. "Government Revenues And Expenditures In Guinea-Bissau: Causality And Cointegration," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 30(1), pages 107-117, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:v:36:y:2001:i:2:p:359-379. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Pami Dua). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.