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Oil Volatility Pass Through And Real Exchange Misalignment In Leading Commodity Exporting Countries

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  • Nicola Rubino

    (University of Barcelona, Faculty of Economics and Business)

Abstract

Past research has shown how real Exchange rates follow a univariate nonlinear process that approximates their behavior in terms of transaction costs. However, little or nothing has been said about alternative sources of nonlinearity in commodity exporting countries. Our paper investigates the missing link between the Real Exchange Rate Commodity Prices equilibrium by employing an oil price volatility measure as an external source of short-term fluctuations. Our estimates show that the Real Exchange Rate Commodity price relationship appears to be nonlinear with respect to oil price variation, and that the goodness of fit of the nonlinear specifications appears to outperform that of the equivalent linear models. The equilibrium speed of adjustment appears to be different in the two branches of the relationship: in the majority of the threshold models, the negative volatility regime presents a faster speed of adjustment and in some cases a most significant one.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicola Rubino, 2020. "Oil Volatility Pass Through And Real Exchange Misalignment In Leading Commodity Exporting Countries," Ekonomski pregled, Hrvatsko društvo ekonomista (Croatian Society of Economists), vol. 71(6), pages 579-606.
  • Handle: RePEc:hde:epregl:v:71:y:2020:i:6:p:579-606
    DOI: 10.32910/ep.71.6.2
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    Cited by:

    1. Taufeeque Ahmad Siddiqui & Haseen Ahmed & Mohammad Naushad & Uzma Khan, 2023. "The Relationship between Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: A Systematic Literature Review," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 566-578, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transition regression model; real exchange rate; nonlinearities; oil prices; commodity prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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