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Who bears labour taxes and social contributions? A meta-analysis approach

Author

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  • Ángel Melguizo

  • José González-Páramo

Abstract

In this paper we apply the meta-regression technique to survey the empirical literature on the economic incidence of labour taxes and social security contributions. In particular, we focus on the effects of taxation on wages to test the conventional view that employees bear the burden due to lower net wages. Based on 52 empirical papers, we find that economic institutions, the tax wedge definition, and the temporal focus significantly affect the results. In the long run, workers bear between two thirds of the tax burden in Continental and Anglo-Saxon economies, and nearly 90 % in the Nordic economies. However, despite the numerous set of controlling variables, a significant part of the variability of the empirical literature remains unexplained. Copyright The Author(s) 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Ángel Melguizo & José González-Páramo, 2013. "Who bears labour taxes and social contributions? A meta-analysis approach," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 247-271, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:series:v:4:y:2013:i:3:p:247-271
    DOI: 10.1007/s13209-012-0091-x
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    5. Thomas Leoni & Margit Schratzenstaller-Altzinger, 2020. "Senkung der Lohnnebenkosten und Finanzierungsvarianten. Bisherige Erkenntnisse und internationale Reformbeispiele," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66851.
    6. Roger D. Congleton, 2024. "Optimal taxation for democracies with less than perfect voters: A public choice perspective," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 77(1), pages 3-21, February.
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    8. Christoph Freudenberg & Mr. Frederik G Toscani, 2019. "Informality and the Challenge of Pension Adequacy: Outlook and Reform Options for Peru," IMF Working Papers 2019/149, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Müller, Kai-Uwe & Neumann, Michael, 2015. "How reliable are incidence estimates based on cross-sectional distributions? Evidence from simulations and linked employer-employee data," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112920, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Jacobs, Bas & Jongen, Egbert L.W. & Zoutman, Floris T., 2017. "Revealed social preferences of Dutch political parties," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 81-100.
    11. Neumann, M., 2017. "Earnings responses to social security contributions," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 55-73.
    12. Nicole Bosch, 2019. "The Incidence of Pension Contributions," CPB Discussion Paper 388.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    13. José L. Torres, 2022. "Social security contributions distribution and economic activity," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(2), pages 378-407, April.
    14. Doorley, Karina & Tuda, Dora, 2024. "Increasing Pay Related Social Insurance to fund the State Pension: Incidence and effectiveness," Papers BP2025/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    15. Elvire Guillaud & Matthew Olckers & Michaël Zemmour, 2020. "Four Levers of Redistribution: The Impact of Tax and Transfer Systems on Inequality Reduction," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(2), pages 444-466, June.
    16. Giuseppe Croce, 2015. "Il "welfare bilaterale" e i suoi effetti sull?occupazione," QUADERNI DI ECONOMIA DEL LAVORO, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2015(103), pages 223-244.
    17. Adi Brender & Eran Politzer, 2014. "The Effect of Legislated Tax Changes on Tax Revenues in Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2014.08, Bank of Israel.
    18. Giuseppe Croce, 2015. "Tax-benefits policies jointly run by the social partners:Labour market implications of the Bipartite Sectoral Funds," Working Papers in Public Economics 173, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    19. Nicole Bosch & Casper Ewijk & Maja Micevska Scharf & Sander Muns, 2022. "The Incidence of Pension Contributions: A Panel Based Analysis of the Impact of Pension Contributions on Labor Cost, Wages and Labor Supply," De Economist, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 107-132, February.
    20. Xiaohan Liu & Jianmin Liu & Jia Liu & Jinguang Wu & Yu Hao, 2025. "Does a reduction in the pension insurance contribution ratio promote firm productivity? Evidence from a quasinatural experiment in China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 665-688, January.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • H22 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Incidence

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