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Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence

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  • Akmal, Muhammad Shahbaz
  • Ahmad, Khalil
  • Ali, Muhammad

Abstract

This paper examines the exports-led growth hypothesis using quarterly data from 1990 up to 2008 for Pakistan. In doing so, ARDL bounds testing approach, Error Correction Method (ECM) and Ng-Perron test for integration have been employed. The empirical findings show that exports are positively correlated with economic growth. This confirms the validity of exports-led growth hypothesis in the case of Pakistan both for short run and long span of time. Exchange rate depreciation declines economic growth while running real capital stock improves it.

Suggested Citation

  • Akmal, Muhammad Shahbaz & Ahmad, Khalil & Ali, Muhammad, 2009. "Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence," MPRA Paper 16043, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16043
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    9. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mohammad, Mafizur Rahman, 2014. "The Dynamics of Exports, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Pakistan: New Extensions from Cointegration and Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 53225, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Jan 2014.
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    13. Muhammad Shahbaz & Amatul Razzaq Chaudhary & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Is energy consumption sensitive to foreign capital inflows and currency devaluation in Pakistan?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(52), pages 5641-5658, June.
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    18. Saxena, R. & Paul, R.K. & Rana, S. & Chaurasia, S. & Pal, K. & Zeeshan & Joshi, D., 2015. "Agricultural Trade Structure and Linkages in SAARC: An Empirical Investigation," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 28(2).
    19. Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2012. "Does trade openness affect long run growth? Cointegration, causality and forecast error variance decomposition tests for Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2325-2339.
    20. Mohamed Arouri & Gazi Salah Uddin & Kishwar Nawaz & Muhammad Shahbaz & Frédéric Teulon, 2013. "Causal Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth: Fresh Evidence from Innovative Accounting Approach in Case of Bangladesh," Working Papers 2013-37, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    21. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Farooq, Abdul, 2013. "Natural gas consumption and economic growth in Pakistan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 87-94.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exports; Economic Growth; ARDL Approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General

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