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Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Shahbaz
  • Pervaz Azim
  • Khalil Ahmad

Abstract

The study considers the exports-led growth hypothesis using quarterly data over the period 1990-2008 in case of Pakistan. For this purpose, Ng-Perron unit root test, ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration and error correction method (ECM) for short run dynamics have been applied. Our results indicate that exports are positively correlated with economic growth confirming the validity of exports-led growth hypothesis. Exchange rate depreciation decreases and real capital stock improves economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Shahbaz & Pervaz Azim & Khalil Ahmad, 2011. "Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 1(3), pages 182-197.
  • Handle: RePEc:asi:aeafrj:v:1:y:2011:i:3:p:182-197:id:724
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    Cited by:

    1. Md Ali Emam & Markus Leibrecht & Tinggui Chen, 2021. "Fish Exports and the Growth of the Agricultural Sector: The Case of South and Southeast Asian Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-14, October.
    2. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Farooq, Abdul, 2013. "Natural gas consumption and economic growth in Pakistan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 87-94.
    3. Jawad Ahmad & Sania Zehraa & Noor Jehan, 2018. "Can Openness Hypothesis Improve Political Economy of Pakistans Financial Market?," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 3(1), pages 56-65, June.
    4. Saxena, R. & Paul, R.K. & Rana, S. & Chaurasia, S. & Pal, K. & Zeeshan & Joshi, D., 2015. "Agricultural Trade Structure and Linkages in SAARC: An Empirical Investigation," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 28(2).
    5. Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2012. "Does trade openness affect long run growth? Cointegration, causality and forecast error variance decomposition tests for Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2325-2339.
    6. Ambreen FATEMAH & Abdul QAYYUM, 2018. "Modeling the impact of exports on the economic growth of Pakistan," Turkish Economic Review, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 56-64, March.
    7. Ousama Ben-Salha & Abir Abid & Ghassen El Montasser, 2023. "Linear and Nonlinear Causal Linkages Between Exports and Growth in Next Eleven Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 1194-1226, June.
    8. Jawad Ahmad & Sania Zehraa & Noor Jehan, 2018. "Can Openness Hypothesis Improve Political Economy of Pakistans Financial Market?," Global Political Review, Humanity Only, vol. 3(1), pages 56-65, June.
    9. Muhammad, Shahbaz & Mohammad, Mafizur Rahman & Abdul, Farooq, 2012. "Financial Development, International Trade and Economic Growth in Australia:New Evidence from Multivariate Framework Analysis," MPRA Paper 42023, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Oct 2012.
    10. Mukesh Kumar & Nargis & Azeema Begam, 2020. "Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Selected South Asian Countries," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, March.
    11. repec:ipg:wpaper:37 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-037 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Shivneil Kumar Raj & Priteshni Pratibha Chand, 2017. "Analysis of Fiji’s Export and Its Impact on Economic Growth," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 7(4), pages 1-14, April.
    14. Khalid Mahmood & Shehla Munir, 2018. "Agricultural exports and economic growth in Pakistan: an econometric reassessment," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1561-1574, July.
    15. Ritu Rani & Naresh Kumar, 2018. "Panel Data Analysis of Financial Development, Trade Openness, and Economic Growth: Evidence from BRICS Countries," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 1-18, May.
    16. Adeel Saleem & Maqbool H. Sial & Ahmed Raza Cheema, 2023. "Does an asymmetric nexus exist between exports and economic growth in Pakistan? Recent evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 297-326, February.
    17. Ady Soejoto & Waspodo Tjipto Subroto & Suyanto, 2015. "Fiscal Decentralization Policy in Promoting Indonesia Human Development," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 763-771.
    18. Shivneil Kumar Raj & Priteshni Pratibha Chand, 2017. "Analysis of Fiji’s Export and Its Impact on Economic Growth," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 7(4), pages 1-14, April.
    19. Ghazi Al-Assaf & Bashier Al-Abdulrazag, 2015. "The Validity of Export-Led Growth Hypothesis for Jordan: A Bounds Testing Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 199-211.
    20. Mohamed Arouri & Gazi Salah Uddin & Kishwar Nawaz & Muhammad Shahbaz & Frédéric Teulon, 2013. "Causal Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth: Fresh Evidence from Innovative Accounting Approach in Case of Bangladesh," Working Papers 2013-37, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    21. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mohammad, Mafizur Rahman, 2014. "The Dynamics of Exports, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Pakistan: New Extensions from Cointegration and Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 53225, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Jan 2014.
    22. Greenwell Collins Matchaya & Pius Chilonda & Sibusiso Nhelengethwa, 2013. "International Trade and Income in Malawi: A Co-integration and Causality Approach," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 6(2), pages 125-147, September.
    23. Muhammad Shahbaz & Amatul Razzaq Chaudhary & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Is energy consumption sensitive to foreign capital inflows and currency devaluation in Pakistan?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(52), pages 5641-5658, June.
    24. Hye, Qazi Muhammad Adnan & Wizarat, Shahida & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2013. "Trade-led growth hypothesis: An empirical analysis of South Asian countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 654-660.

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    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

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