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Some Evidence on the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis for Ireland

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  • Stilianos Fountas

    (Department of Economics, National University of Ireland, Galway)

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to test for the export-led growth hypothesis in Ireland over the last 40 years using the modern econometric analysis of non-stationary time series. We find that over the 1950--1990 period there is no long-run relationship between real GDP and export volume and no evidence for the export-led growth hypothesis either. The analysis of the more recent 1981--1994 period provides strong evidence in favour of a long-run relationship between industrial production and export volume and Granger-causality from exports to output. These results support the export-led growth hypothesis over the last fifteen years and highlight the importance of export-promoting policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Stilianos Fountas, 1995. "Some Evidence on the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis for Ireland," Working Papers 08, National University of Ireland Galway, Department of Economics, revised 1995.
    • Handle: RePEc:nig:wpaper:0008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marin, Dalia, 1992. "Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 678-688, November.
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    4. Satya Paul & Kabir Chowdhury, 1995. "Export-led growth hypothesis: some empirical testing," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(6), pages 177-179.
    5. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
    6. Peter Kugler, 1991. "Growth, exports and cointegration: An empirical investigation," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 127(1), pages 73-82, March.
    7. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    8. Jung, Woo S. & Marshall, Peyton J., 1985. "Exports, growth and causality in developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 1-12.
    9. repec:bla:kyklos:v:44:y:1991:i:2:p:167-79 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Rahmi Cetin & Robert Ackrill, 2017. "Openness and Growth in Challenging Times: Analysing the trade-growth nexus for Slovakia," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2017/08, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
    2. Muhammad Shahbaz & Pervaz Azim & Khalil Ahmad, 2011. "Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 1(3), pages 182-197.
    3. Halicioglu, Ferda, 2007. "A Multivariate Causality Analysis of Export and Growth for Turkey," MPRA Paper 3565, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

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