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Some evidence on the export-led growth hypothesis for Ireland

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  • Stilianos Fountas

Abstract

The paper tests the export-led growth hypothesis in Ireland over the last 40 years using the modern econometric analysis of nonstationary time series. It is found that over the 1950-1990 period there is no long-run relationship between real GDP and export volume and no evidence for the export-led growth hypothesis either. The analysis of the more recent 1981-1994 period provides strong evidence in favour of a long-run relationship between industrial production and export volume and Granger-causality from exports to output. These results support the export-led growth hypothesis over the last fifteen years and highlight the importance of export-promoting policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Stilianos Fountas, 2000. "Some evidence on the export-led growth hypothesis for Ireland," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 211-214.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:211-214 DOI: 10.1080/135048500351528
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ian Domowitz & R. Glenn Hubbard & Bruce C. Petersen, 1986. "Business Cycles and the Relationship Between Concentration and Price-Cost Margins," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, pages 1-17.
    2. Hall, Robert E, 1988. "The Relation between Price and Marginal Cost in U.S. Industry," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(5), pages 921-947, October.
    3. Merton, Robert C, 1987. " A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 483-510, July.
    4. Roeger, Werner, 1995. "Can Imperfect Competition Explain the Difference between Primal and Dual Productivity Measures? Estimates for U.S. Manufacturing," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(2), pages 316-330, April.
    5. Schmalensee, Richard, 1989. "Inter-industry studies of structure and performance," Handbook of Industrial Organization,in: R. Schmalensee & R. Willig (ed.), Handbook of Industrial Organization, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 16, pages 951-1009 Elsevier.
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    Cited by:

    1. Akmal, Muhammad Shahbaz & Ahmad, Khalil & Ali, Muhammad, 2009. "Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence," MPRA Paper 16043, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Muhammad Shahbaz & Pervaz Azim & Khalil Ahmad, 2011. "Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 1(3), pages 182-197, September.
    3. Ferda Halicioglu, 2007. "A Multivariate Causality Analysis of Export and Growth for Turkey," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2007_05, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.

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    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

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