IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jda/journl/vol.37year2003issue1pp73-86.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reinvestigating export-led growth in India using a multivariate cointegration framework

Author

Listed:
  • Ramesh Chandra

    (University of Strathclyde)

Abstract

The early work in the area of export-led growth adopted a cross-sectional framework and did not examine the issue of causality between export growth and income growth. Subsequently, this was rectified by a number of time-series studies. Since most studies in this field have adopted bivariate models, they may have been misspecified. Following Dhawan and Biswal (1999), this study tests the export-led growth thesis in India in a multivariate framework by taking the terms of trade as an additional variable. Thus it not only corrects the misspecification bias of earlier studies but also overcomes the small sample bias of the Dhawan and Biswal study. It finds that exports, GDP and the terms of trade are cointegrated in India. The causality between income and exports is a long-term phenomenon and runs in both directions. However, the causality from income to exports is stronger than that from exports to income.

Suggested Citation

  • Ramesh Chandra, 2003. "Reinvestigating export-led growth in India using a multivariate cointegration framework," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 37(1), pages 73-86, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.37:year:2003:issue1:pp:73-86
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/jda/summary/v037/37.1chandra.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pradhan, Jaya Prakash & Das, Keshab, 2012. "Regional Origin Of Manufacturing Exports: Inter-State Patterns In India," Journal of Regional Development and Planning, Rajarshi Majumder, vol. 1(2), pages 117-168.
    2. Jim Love & Ramesh Chandra, 2004. "Testing Export‐Led Growth in India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka Using a Multivariate Framework," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 72(4), pages 483-496, July.
    3. Jaya Prakash Pradhan & Mohammad Zohair & Mallikarjun V. Alagawadi, 2013. "Regional Policies, Firm Characteristics and Exporting in the Indian State of Karnataka," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 48(1), pages 45-81, February.
    4. Takeshi Inoue, 2014. "An Empirical Analysis of the Aggregate Export Demand Function in Post-Liberalization India," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(1), pages 79-88, April.
    5. Muhammad Shahbaz & Pervaz Azim & Khalil Ahmad, 2011. "Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 1(3), pages 182-197.
    6. Neena MALHOTRA & Deepika KUMARI, 2016. "Revisiting Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: An Empirical Study On South Asia," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 16(2), pages 157-168.
    7. Triyakshana Seshadri, 2011. "Is the Path to Higher Exports in India Paved with Export Zones?," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 6(1), pages 25-41, April.
    8. Venkatesh, P. & Pal, Barun D. & Dubey, Sarvesh K. & Sangeetha, V. & Balasubramanian, M. & Renjini, V.R. & Singh, D.R. & Kar, Amit & Balaji, S J & Pal, Suresh, 2020. "Structural transformation, export promotion policy options, and their impact on the Indian economy: a social accounting matrix (SAM) approach," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 33(1), June.
    9. Manoj Kumar DAS & Titiksha DAS, 2020. "Determinants of economic growth in India: A time series perspective," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(623), S), pages 263-280, Summer.
    10. Kartik Misra, 2019. "Accumulation by Dispossession and Electoral Democracies : An Analysis of Land Acquisition for Special Economic Zones in India," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers 2019-16, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics.
    11. Hosein, Roger & Satnarine-Singh, Nirvana & Saridakis, George, 2022. "The Spillover Effect of Exports: An Analysis of Caribbean SIDs," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 1-28.
    12. Tronzano, Marco, 2010. "Reassessing the Dynamic Links between Trade and Growth: New Empirical Evidence from India - Un riesame delle relazioni tra commercio estero e crescita economica:nuova evidenza empirica per l’India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 63(2), pages 217-244.
    13. Love, Jim & Chandra, Ramesh, 2005. "Testing export-led growth in Bangladesh in a multivarate VAR framework," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 1155-1168, January.
    14. Tronzano, Marco, 2011. "“Finance and Growth: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence for the Indian Economy” - Finanza e crescita: un riesame dell’evidenza empirica nel caso dell’India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 64(3), pages 329-364.
    15. Bhaskara Rao & Maheshwar Rao, 2005. "Determinants Of Growth Rate: Some Methodological Issues With Data From Fiji," Macroeconomics 0509003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Yaya Keho, 2018. "The Causal Nexus between Exports and Economic Growth: Evidence on the Role of Omitted Variables," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 335-344.
    17. Biswajit Maitra & Moutushi Chakraborty, 2023. "Foreign Trade, Human Capital and Economic Growth in India under the Liberalised Trade Regime," Journal of Asian Economic Integration, , vol. 5(1), pages 29-50, April.
    18. NUSHIWAT, Munther, 2008. "Exports And Economic Growth A Re-Examination Of The Causality Relation In Six Countries, 1981-2005," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(2), pages 5-12.
    19. Biru Paksha Paul & Anupam Das, 2012. "Export-led Growth in India and the Role of Liberalisation," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 6(1), pages 1-26, February.
    20. Biswajit Maitra, 2020. "Exploring Import-led Growth in India: Evidence from the Post-reform Period," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(1), pages 87-113, June.
    21. Hye, Qazi Muhammad Adnan & Wizarat, Shahida & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2013. "Trade-led growth hypothesis: An empirical analysis of South Asian countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 654-660.
    22. Sahoo, Auro Kumar & Sahoo, Dukhabandhu & Sahu, Naresh Chandra, 2014. "Mining export, industrial production and economic growth: A cointegration and causality analysis for India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 27-34.
    23. Pradeep Agrawal, 2014. "The Role of Exports in India's Economic Growth," IEG Working Papers 345 JEL Classification: O, Institute of Economic Growth.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.37:year:2003:issue1:pp:73-86. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Abu N.M. Wahid (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cbtnsus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.