Cristina Conflitti
Personal Details
First Name: | Cristina |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Conflitti |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pco586 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
https://sites.google.com/site/conflitticristina/ | |
Banca dQvQItalia Via Nazionale, 91 - 00184 Roma | |
Affiliation
Banca d'Italia
Roma, Italyhttp://www.bancaditalia.it/
RePEc:edi:bdigvit (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Cristina Conflitti & Riccardo Cristadoro, 2018. "Oil prices and inflation expectations," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 423, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2017.
"Oil price pass-through into core inflation,"
Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers)
405, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Cristina Conflitti and Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Oil Price Pass-through into Core Inflation," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 6).
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Core Inflation," FEDS Notes 2019-04-30, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Core Inflation," FEDS Notes 2017-10-19-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Core Inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cristina Conflitti, 2012. "Essays on the econometrics of macroeconomic survey data," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/209635, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2012.
"Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015. "Optimal combination of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
- Cristina Conflitti & Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Cristina Conflitti, 2010. "Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey and Professional Forecasters," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Cristina Conflitti, 2009. "Opinion Surveys on the Euro: a Multilevel Multinomial Logistic Analysis," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2009-015, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Lars Jonung & Cristina Conflitti, 2008. "Is the euro advantageous? Does it foster European feelings? Europeans on the euro after five years," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 313, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Articles
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015.
"Optimal combination of survey forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cristina Conflitti & Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Cristina Conflitti, 2012. "Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey of Professional Forecasters," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2011(2), pages 69-103.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Cristina Conflitti & Riccardo Cristadoro, 2018.
"Oil prices and inflation expectations,"
Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers)
423, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Cited by:
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020.
"Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8516, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations: A new model and new facts," CFS Working Paper Series 645, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," CEPR Discussion Papers 15168, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," Working Papers 2025, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Inês da Cunha Cabral & Pedro Pires Ribeiro & João Nicolau, 2022. "Changes in inflation compensation and oil prices: short-term and long-term dynamics," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 581-603, February.
- Hipòlit Torró, 2019.
"The Response of European Energy Prices to ECB Monetary Policy,"
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 1-9.
- Torró, Hipòlit, 2018. "The Response of European Energy Prices to ECB Monetary Policy," ETA: Economic Theory and Applications 269537, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Hipòlit Torró, 2018. "The Response of European Energy Prices to ECB Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2018.09, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021.
"The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020-23,"
CFS Working Paper Series
670, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022. "The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020–23," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," CESifo Working Paper Series 9455, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," CEPR Discussion Papers 16776, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," Working Papers 2116, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Stefano Neri & Guido Bulligan & Sara Cecchetti & Francesco Corsello & Andrea Papetti & Marianna Riggi & Concetta Rondinelli & Alex Tagliabracci, 2022. "On the anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 712, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Grzegorz Przekota & Anna Szczepańska-Przekota, 2022. "Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, April.
- Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "Inflation targeting & implications of oil shocks for inflation expectations in oil-importing and exporting economies: Evidence from three Nordic Kingdoms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- James Yetman, 2020. "The pass-through from short-horizon to long-horizon inflation expectations," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 111, pages 55-66, Bank for International Settlements.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020.
"Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8516, CESifo.
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2017.
"Oil price pass-through into core inflation,"
Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers)
405, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Cristina Conflitti and Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Oil Price Pass-through into Core Inflation," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 6).
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Core Inflation," FEDS Notes 2019-04-30, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Core Inflation," FEDS Notes 2017-10-19-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cristina Conflitti & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Oil Price Pass-Through into Core Inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Cited by:
- Tersoo Shimonkabir Shitile & Nuruddeen Usman, 2020. "Disaggregated Inflation and Asymmetric Oil Price Pass-Through in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 255-264.
- Hie Joo Ahn & Matteo Luciani, 2021. "Relative prices and pure inflation since the mid-1990s," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-069, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020.
"Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8516, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations: A new model and new facts," CFS Working Paper Series 645, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," CEPR Discussion Papers 15168, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," Working Papers 2025, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2021.
"Oil Price Pass-Through into Consumer Prices: Evidence from U.S. Weekly Data,"
Working Papers
2118, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
- Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2021. "Oil price pass-through into consumer prices: Evidence from U.S. weekly data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Lippi, Marco & Luciani, Matteo, 2021. "Large-dimensional Dynamic Factor Models: Estimation of Impulse–Response Functions with I(1) cointegrated factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 455-482.
- Francesco Corsello & Alex Tagliabracci, 2023. "Assessing the pass-through of energy prices to inflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 745, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021.
"The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020-23,"
CFS Working Paper Series
670, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022. "The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020–23," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," CESifo Working Paper Series 9455, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," CEPR Discussion Papers 16776, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," Working Papers 2116, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022. "A Broader Perspective on the Inflationary Effects of Energy Price Shocks," Working Papers 2224, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Grzegorz Przekota & Anna Szczepańska-Przekota, 2022. "Pro-Inflationary Impact of the Oil Market—A Study for Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, April.
- Ozgur, Onder & Aydin, Levent & Karagol, Erdal Tanas & Ozbugday, Fatih Cemil, 2021. "The fuel price pass-through in Turkey: The case study of motor fuel price subsidy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
- Cristina Conflitti, 2020. "Alternative measures of underlying inflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 593, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Adam Hale Shapiro, 2022. "Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation," Working Paper Series 2022-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2012.
"Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015. "Optimal combination of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
- Cristina Conflitti & Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Cited by:
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2016.
"Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
15-084/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 03 Jul 2017.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2015. "Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance," Working Paper 2015/12, Norges Bank.
- Constantin Bürgi, 2023. "How to Deal With Missing Observations in Surveys of Professional Forecasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 10203, CESifo.
- Florian Eckert & Rob J Hyndman & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2019.
"Forecasting Swiss Exports Using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
14/19, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Eckert, Florian & Hyndman, Rob J. & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2021. "Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 291(2), pages 693-710.
- Christopher McDonald & Craig Thamotheram & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2016.
"Assessing the economic value of probabilistic forecasts in the presence of an inflation target,"
CAMA Working Papers
2016-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- McDonald, Christopher & Thamotheram, Craig & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C., 2015. "Assessing the Economic Value of Probabilistic Forecasts in the Presence of an Inflation Target," EMF Research Papers 09, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Chris McDonald & Craig Thamotheram & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2016. "Assessing the economic value of probabilistic forecasts in the presence of an inflation target," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2016/10, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018.
"Changing risk-return profiles,"
Staff Reports
850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Liberty Street Economics 20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Li, Hongmin & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan & Guo, Zhenhai, 2018. "Research and application of a combined model based on variable weight for short term wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(PA), pages 669-684.
- Benjamin Avanzi & Yanfeng Li & Bernard Wong & Alan Xian, 2022. "Ensemble distributional forecasting for insurance loss reserving," Papers 2206.08541, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
- Roccazzella, Francesco & Gambetti, Paolo & Vrins, Frédéric, 2021.
"Optimal and robust combination of forecasts via constrained optimization and shrinkage,"
LIDAM Reprints LFIN
2021014, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Roccazzella, Francesco & Gambetti, Paolo & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "Optimal and robust combination of forecasts via constrained optimization and shrinkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 97-116.
- Roccazzella, Francesco & Gambetti, Paolo & Vrins, Frédéric, 2020. "Optimal and robust combination of forecasts via constrained optimization and shrinkage," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2020006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Qian, Yilin & Thompson, Ryan & Vasnev, Andrey L, 2022.
"Global combinations of expert forecasts,"
Working Papers
BAWP-2022-02, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Yilin Qian & Ryan Thompson & Andrey L. Vasnev, 2022. "Global combinations of expert forecasts," Papers 2207.07318, arXiv.org.
- Diebold, Francis X. & Shin, Minchul, 2019.
"Machine learning for regularized survey forecast combination: Partially-egalitarian LASSO and its derivatives,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1679-1691.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin, 2018. "Machine Learning for Regularized Survey Forecast Combination: Partially-Egalitarian Lasso and its Derivatives," NBER Working Papers 24967, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin, 2018. "Machine Learning for Regularized Survey Forecast Combination: Partially Egalitarian Lasso and its Derivatives," PIER Working Paper Archive 18-014, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 17 Aug 2018.
- Cobb, Marcus P A, 2018. "Improving Underlying Scenarios for Aggregate Forecasts: A Multi-level Combination Approach," MPRA Paper 88593, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone, 2020. "Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples using fixed‐smoothing asymptotics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 391-409, June.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2021.
"On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates,"
Working Papers
21-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone In?ation and Real Interest Rates," PIER Working Paper Archive 21-002, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2022. "On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 29635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin & Boyuan Zhang, 2020. "On the Aggregation of Probability Assessments: Regularized Mixtures of Predictive Densities for Eurozone Inflation and Real Interest Rates," Papers 2012.11649, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017. "Joint Forecast Combination of Macroeconomic Aggregates and Their Components," MPRA Paper 76556, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Roberto Casarin & Fausto Corradin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Domenico Sartore, 2018.
"A scoring rule for factor and autoregressive models under misspecification,"
Working Papers
2018:18, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Roberto Casarin & Fausto Corradin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Nguyen Domenico Sartore, 2020. "A Scoring Rule for Factor and Autoregressive Models Under Misspecification," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(2), pages 66-103, June.
- Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2015.
"A Nonparametric Approach to Identifying a Subset of Forecasters that Outperforms the Simple Average,"
Working Papers
2015-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2017. "A nonparametric approach to identifying a subset of forecasters that outperforms the simple average," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 101-115, August.
- Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2016. "How informative are aggregated inflation expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2016, Bank of Finland.
- Geoff Kenny & Thomas Kostka & Federico Masera, 2015.
"Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 1-46, December.
- Kenny, Geoff & Kostka, Thomas & Masera, Federico, 2013. "Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF," Working Paper Series 1540, European Central Bank.
- Mehmanpazir, Farhad & Khalili-Damghani, Kaveh & Hafezalkotob, Ashkan, 2022. "Dynamic strategic planning: A hybrid approach based on logarithmic regression, system dynamics, Game Theory and Fuzzy Inference System (Case study Steel Industry)," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Fuentes, Julieta & Poncela, Pilar & Rodríguez, Julio, 2014. "Selecting and combining experts from survey forecasts," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws140905, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
- Zhentao Shi & Liangjun Su & Tian Xie, 2020. "L2-Relaxation: With Applications to Forecast Combination and Portfolio Analysis," Papers 2010.09477, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk & Michel van der Wel, 2014. "Improving Density Forecasts and Value-at-Risk Estimates by Combining Densities," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-090/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Esteban Fernández-Vázquez & Blanca Moreno, 2017. "Entropy Econometrics for combining regional economic forecasts: A Data-Weighted Prior Estimator," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 349-370, October.
- Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2017. "Measuring uncertainty and assessing its predictive power in the euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 165-182, August.
- Roccazzella, Francesco & Candelon, Bertrand, 2022. "Should we care about ECB inflation expectations?," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Matsypura, Dmytro & Thompson, Ryan & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2018. "Optimal selection of expert forecasts with integer programming," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 165-175.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Karin Klieber, 2020. "Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques," Papers 2012.08155, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Espasa, Antoni & Senra, Eva, 2017. "22 Years of inflation assessment and forecasting experience at the bulletin of EU & US inflation and macroeconomic analysis," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 24678, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
- Victor Lopez-Perez, 2016. "Macroeconomic Forecast Uncertainty In The Euro Area," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(1), pages 9-41, March.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2018.
"Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions,"
Working Paper Series
2140, European Central Bank.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2019. "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 580-600.
- Knut Are Aastveit & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk, 2018. "The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Martina Hengge, 2019. "Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity," IHEID Working Papers 19-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Jiun-Hua Su, 2021. "No-Regret Forecasting with Egalitarian Committees," Papers 2109.13801, arXiv.org.
- Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin, 2017. "Beating the Simple Average: Egalitarian LASSO for Combining Economic Forecasts," PIER Working Paper Archive 17-017, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 20 Aug 2017.
- Antoni Espasa & Eva Senra, 2017. "Twenty-Two Years of Inflation Assessment and Forecasting Experience at the Bulletin of EU & US Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-28, October.
- Víctor López-Pérez, 2017. "Do professional forecasters behave as if they believed in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the euro area?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 147-174, February.
- Cristina Conflitti, 2010.
"Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey and Professional Forecasters,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2010-034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Cited by:
- Olesya Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2019.
"Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1053-1096, August.
- Olesya V. Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2017. "Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty : A US and Euro Area Comparison," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-102, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Oinonen, Sami & Viren, Matti, 2021. "Effects of Monetary Policy Decisions on Professional Forecasters' Expectations and Expectation Uncertainty," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(2), pages 245-280.
- Olesya Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2019.
"Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1053-1096, August.
- Cristina Conflitti, 2009.
"Opinion Surveys on the Euro: a Multilevel Multinomial Logistic Analysis,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2009-015, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Cited by:
- Heather L. White & Patricia O'Campo & Rahim Moineddin & Flora I. Matheson, 2013. "Modeling the Cumulative Effects of Social Exposures on Health: Moving beyond Disease-Specific Models," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, March.
- Lars Jonung & Cristina Conflitti, 2008.
"Is the euro advantageous? Does it foster European feelings? Europeans on the euro after five years,"
European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015
313, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Cited by:
- Joanna Osińska & Andrzej Torój, 2012.
"Greek ricochet? What drove Poles’ attitudes to the euro 2009-2010,"
Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 43(4), pages 29-84.
- Torój, Andrzej & Osińska, Joanna, 2011. "Greek ricochet? What drove Poles' attitudes to the euro in 2009-2010," MF Working Papers 10, Ministry of Finance in Poland, revised 17 Aug 2011.
- Barry Eichengreen, 2007.
"The Breakup of the Euro Area,"
NBER Working Papers
13393, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Barry Eichengreen, 2010. "The Breakup of the Euro Area," NBER Chapters, in: Europe and the Euro, pages 11-51, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lena Vogel & Jan-Oliver Menz & Ulrich Fritsche, 2009. "Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions - An Empirical Assessment," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200903, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Buscha, Franz & Muller, Daniel & Page, Lionel, 2017.
"Can a common currency foster a shared social identity across different nations? The case of the euro,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 318-336.
- Franz Buscha & Daniel Muller & Lionel Page, 2017. "Can a common currency foster a shared social identity across different nations? The case of the Euro," Working Papers 2017-03, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck.
- Roth, Felix & Jonung, Lars & Nowak-Lehmann D.,Felicitas, 2011.
"The Enduring Popularity of the Euro throughout the Crisis,"
CEPS Papers
6512, Centre for European Policy Studies.
- Felix Roth & Lars Jonung & Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D., 2022. "The Enduring Popularity of the Euro throughout the Crisis," Contributions to Economics, in: Public Support for the Euro, chapter 0, pages 169-185, Springer.
- Joanna Osińska, 2013. "Postawy wobec euro i ich determinanty," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 10, pages 39-67.
- Eulalia Skawińska & Tomasz Brzeczek, 2008. "Skutki przyjęcia euro w Polsce w ocenach studentów," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 11-12, pages 115-124.
- Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D. & Felix Roth (CEPS, Brussels) & Lars Lonung (university of Lund, Sweden), 2013.
"Public support for the single European currency, the euro, 1990 to 2011. Does the financial crisis matter?,"
EcoMod2013
5160, EcoMod.
- Roth, Felix & Jonung, Lars & Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas, 2012. "Public Support for the Single European Currency, the Euro, 1990 to 2011. Does the Financial Crisis Matter?," Working Papers 2012:20, Lund University, Department of Economics.
- Lena Dräger & Jan-Oliver Menz & Ulrich Fritsche, 2011.
"Perceived Inflation under Loss Aversion,"
Macroeconomics and Finance Series
201105, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Lena Dr䧥r & Jan-Oliver Menz & Ulrich Fritsche, 2014. "Perceived inflation under loss aversion," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 282-293, January.
- Joanna Osińska & Andrzej Torój, 2012.
"Greek ricochet? What drove Poles’ attitudes to the euro 2009-2010,"
Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 43(4), pages 29-84.
Articles
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015.
"Optimal combination of survey forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cristina Conflitti & Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Cristina Conflitti, 2012.
"Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey of Professional Forecasters,"
OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2011(2), pages 69-103.
Cited by:
- Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2013.
"Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?,"
NBP Working Papers
140, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren, 2012. "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," Discussion Papers 77, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Łyziak, Tomasz & Paloviita, Maritta, 2018. "On the formation of inflation expectations in turbulent times: The case of the euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 132-139.
- Cristina Conflitti & Riccardo Cristadoro, 2018. "Oil prices and inflation expectations," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 423, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- López Pérez, Víctor, 2015. "Does uncertainty affect participation in the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters?," Working Paper Series 1807, European Central Bank.
- Oinonen, Sami & Viren, Matti, 2021. "Effects of Monetary Policy Decisions on Professional Forecasters' Expectations and Expectation Uncertainty," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(2), pages 245-280.
- Kenny, Geoff & Kostka, Thomas & Masera, Federico, 2014.
"Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis,"
Working Paper Series
1679, European Central Bank.
- Geoff Kenny & Thomas Kostka & Federico Masera, 2015. "Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1203-1231, May.
- Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2016. "How informative are aggregated inflation expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2016, Bank of Finland.
- Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2014. "Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 69-81, February.
- Łyziak, Tomasz & Paloviita, Maritta, 2017. "Formation of inflation expectations in turbulent times: Can ECB manage inflation expectations of professional forecasters?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2017. "Measuring uncertainty and assessing its predictive power in the euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 165-182, August.
- Victor Lopez-Perez, 2016. "Macroeconomic Forecast Uncertainty In The Euro Area," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(1), pages 9-41, March.
- Sami Oinonen & Maritta Paloviita, 2017. "How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 139-163, November.
- Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2014. "Analysis of aggregated inflation expectations based on the ECB SPF survey," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 29/2014, Bank of Finland.
- Gabriel Caldas Montes & Caio Ferrari Ferreira, 2019. "Does monetary policy credibility mitigate the effects of uncertainty about exchange rate on uncertainties about both inflation and interest rate?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 649-678, October.
- Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2013.
"Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?,"
NBP Working Papers
140, Narodowy Bank Polski.
More information
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Co-authorship network on CollEc
NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 9 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (5) 2017-08-27 2017-10-29 2018-02-26 2018-03-19 2019-05-13. Author is listed
- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (4) 2017-08-27 2018-02-26 2018-03-19 2019-05-13
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (3) 2011-03-12 2012-08-23 2012-09-03
- NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2009-05-23 2011-03-12
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2011-03-12
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2011-03-12
- NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (1) 2009-05-23
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