# Elsevier

# International Journal of Forecasting

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### 1992, Volume 8, Issue 2

**233-241 Top-down or bottom-up: Aggregate versus disaggregate extrapolations***by*Dangerfield, Byron J. & Morris, John S.**243-249 Identification of key attributes, gap analysis and simulation techniques in forecasting market potential of ethical pharmaceutical products***by*Kontzalis, Panos**251-267 Bridging the gap between theory and practice in forecasting***by*Mahmoud, Essam & DeRoeck, Richard & Brown, Robert & Rice, Gillian**269-270 The practice of econometrics: Classical and contemporary : Ernst R. Berndt, (Addison-Wesley Publishing company, Reading, Mass., 1991), pp. 702, $18.95***by*Fildes, Robert**270-271 Japanese financial market research : W.T. Ziemba, W. Bailey and Y. Hamao, eds., (Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1991), pp. 616, $69.50, Dfl 175.00***by*Flavell, Richard**271-274 Seasonal adjustment as a practical problem : F.A.G. den Butter and M.M.G. Fase, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1991), pp. iv + 226, US$94.50, Dfl 165.00***by*Henry, Brian**274-275 The evolution of the future : Frank W. Elwell, (Praeger publishers, New York, NY, 1991), pp. 144. $37.95***by*Wilson, Ian**277-279 Management science : D. Bunn and G. Wright, "Interaction of Judgmental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues and Analysis", 37 (1991) 501-518***by*Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott**279-279 Public opinion quarterly : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources" 54 (1990) 609-626***by*Armstrong, J. Scott**279-282 American economic review : Gordon Leitch and J. Ernest Tanner, "Economic forecast evaluation: Profit versus the conventional error measures", 81 (1991) 580-590***by*Filders, Robert

### 1992, Volume 8, Issue 1

**1-2 Influencing forecasting practice***by*Filde, Robert**3-13 Forecasting stock market prices: Lessons for forecasters***by*Granger, Clive W. J.**15-26 Exploring judgemental forecasting***by*Lawrence, Michael & O'Connor, Marcus**27-43 An empirical analysis of the accuracy of SA, OLS, ERLS and NRLS combination forecasts***by*Aksu, Celal & Gunter, Sevket I.**45-59 Nonnegativity restricted least squares combinations***by*Gunter, Sevket I.**61-67 Trading days, seasonal unit root, and variance change***by*Coelho, Carlos Henrique Motta & Tenenblat, Moyses**69-80 Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons***by*Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred**81-98 The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods***by*Fildes, Robert**99-100 Error measures and the choice of a forecast method***by*Ahlburg, Dennis A.**100-102 A commentary on error measures***by*Chatfield, Chris**102-103 Comparing forecasts in finance***by*Taylor, Stephen J.**103-104 A statistician in search of a population***by*Thompson, Patrick A.**104-107 On seeking a best performance measure or a best forecasting method***by*Winkler, Robert L. & Murphy, Allan H.**107-109 Generalization and communication issues in the use of error measures: A reply***by*Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott**109-111 On error measures: A response to the commentators -- the best error measure?***by*Fildes, Robert**113-114 Successful business forecasting : J.C. Compton and S.B. Compton, 1990, (Liberty Hall Press), pp. 202, ISBN 0-8306-0207-0, $21.95***by*Yokum, Thomas**116-117 Exchange rate forecasting : Christian Dunis and Michael Feeny, eds., (Probus Publishing Company, Chicago, IL.), pp. 356***by*Stallings, David**118-119 Prediction, projection and forecasting : Thomas L. Saaty and Luis G. Vargas, (Kluwer, Norwell, MA, 1991), pp. 251, $57.50***by*Goodwin, Paul

### 1992, Volume 7, Issue 4

**409-411 Fundamental aspects of forecasting in organizations***by*Schultz, Randall L.**413-420 Time series characteristics and the widths of judgemental confidence intervals***by*O'Connor, Marcus & Lawrence, Michael**421-433 Judgmental adjustment of forecasts: A comparison of methods***by*Flores, Benito E. & Olson, David L. & Wolfe, Christopher**435-455 Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts***by*Murphy, Allan H. & Winkler, Robert L.**457-466 Economic, organizational, and political influences on biases in forecasting state sales tax receipts***by*Bretschneider, Stuart & Gorr, Wilpen**467-472 Predicting the job performance of managers: What do the experts know?***by*Ahlburg, Dennis A.**473-481 A Kalman filter formulation for noisy regional job data***by*Coomes, Paul A.**483-492 Population, labour force and unemployment in Andalusia: Prospects for 1993***by*Otero, JoseM. & Martin, Guillermina & Trujillo, Francisco & Fernandez, Antonio**493-500 Commodity prices and the CPI: Cointegration, information, and signal extraction***by*Pecchenino, R. A.**501-513 On the cumulated multi-step-ahead predictions of vector autoregressive moving average processes***by*de Gooijer, Jan G. & Klein, Andre**515-529 The effect of nonstationarity on combined forecasts***by*Miller, Christopher M. & Clemen, Robert T. & Winkler, Robert L.**531-532 The econometric analysis of time series : A.C. Harvey, second edition (MIT Press, Cambridge, 1990) pp. 387, $47.50***by*Weller, Barry R.**532-533 Time Series : Sir Maurice Kendall and J. Keith Ord, third edition (Edward Arnold, Great Britain, 1990) pp. 296***by*Holmes, William M.**535-536 Business forecasting methods : Jeffrey Jarrett, second edition (Basil Blackwell Ltd., Oxford, UK, 1991) pp. 463, $19.95***by*Price, Barbara A.**536-538 Statistical analysis and forecasting of economic structural change : Peter Hackl (ed.), (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1989) pp. 489, $106.00***by*Oller, Lars-Erik**538-539 Economic structural change: Analysis and forecasting : Peter Hackl and Anders H. Westlund (eds.), (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1991) pp. 385, DM 148***by*Holden, Ken**539-540 Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models : Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00***by*Stekler, H. O.**540-541 Oil and gas forecasting: Reflections of a petroleum geologist : Lawrence J. Drew, (Oxford University Press, New York, 1990) $45.00***by*Arafa, Hazem**543-553 Software reviews***by*Tashman, Leonard J. & Withycombe, Richard

### 1991, Volume 7, Issue 3

**257-270 New technology adoption in an innovative marketplace: Micro- and macro-level decision making models***by*Bridges, Eileen & Coughlan, Anne T. & Kalish, Shlomo**271-282 The use of biased predictors in marketing research***by*Hill, R. Carter & Cartwright, Phillip A. & Arbaugh, Julia F.**283-297 Probability distributions of short-term electricity peak load forecasts***by*Adams, Gail & Allen, P. Geoffrey & Morzuch, Bernard J.**299-315 Using belief networks to forecast oil prices***by*Abramson, Bruce & Finizza, Anthony**317-330 Exponential smoothing: The effect of initial values and loss functions on post-sample forecasting accuracy***by*Makridakis, Spyros & Hibon, Michele**331-334 Evaluation of the M-competition forecasts via log mean squared error ratio***by*Thompson, Patrick A.**335-337 Assessing the statistical characteristics of the mean absolute error or forecasting***by*Wun, Lap-Ming & Pearn, Wen Lea**339-347 ARIMA forecasts with restrictions derived from a structural change***by*Guerrero, Victor M.**349-356 Forecast selection when all forecasts are not equally recent***by*Brown, Lawrence D.**375-384 Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques***by*Stekler, H. O.**385-387 The foreign exchange market: Theory and econometric evidence : R.T. Baillie and P.C. McMahon, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1989)***by*Tivegna, Massimo**387-388 Business cycles and forecasting : L.M. Valentine and D.F. Ellis, eighth edition (South-Western Publishing Company, Cincinnati, Dallas and Livermore, 1991) pp. 586, [UK pound]16.95***by*Thompson, J. L.**388-389 Economic forecasting: an introduction : K. Holden, D.A. Peel and J.L. Thompson,(Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1991) ISBN 0521 356121, 0521 35692x. h/b [UK pound]30.00, $44.5; p/b [UK pound]10.95, $16.95***by*Fisher, Paul**389-390 Time series analysis univariate and multivariate methods : William W.S. Wei, (Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, 1990)***by*Lai, T. H.**392-392 The new palgrave: Time series and statistics : John Eatwell, Murray Milgate and Perter Newman, (W.W. Norton, New York, 1990)***by*Niemira, Michael P.**395-398 Software reviews***by*Picket, John C.**400-400 The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts : R.A. Kolb, and H.O. Stekler, Journal of Macroeconomics 12 (1990) 111-123***by*Fildes, Robert**401-401 The role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasting : D.S. Turner, Journal of Forecasting 9 (1990) 315-345***by*McNees, Stephen**403-406 Comparing classification techniques***by*Kennedy, Peter**400-401 Innocents in the forest: Forecasting and research methods : P. Narayan Pant and William H. Starbuck, Journal of Management 16 (1990) 433-460***by*Collopy, Fred**392-393 Uncertainty in national population forecasting: Issues, backgrounds, analyses, recommendations : N.C. Keilman, (Swets & Zeitlinger, 1990) pp. 211***by*Alho, J.

### 1991, Volume 7, Issue 2

**123-126 Forecasting in the 21st century***by*Makridakis, Spyros**127-140 Automatic forecasting using explanatory variables: A comparative study***by*Geriner, Pamela Texter & Ord, J. Keith**141-149 The effect of group interaction processes on performance in time series extrapolation***by*Ang, Soon & O'Connor, Marcus**151-154 The effect of graphical adjustment on forecast accuracy***by*Willemain, Thomas R.**155-163 Professional forecast error as a function of a variable forecast horizon: A decomposition analysis***by*Smith, Kenneth L. & Brocato, Joe & Dabbs, Russell E.**165-170 Do consensus forecasts exist?***by*Schnader, M. H. & Stekler, H. O.**171-181 In-sample and out-of-sample forecasts of wage adjustment in indexed and non-indexed labour contracts***by*Christofides, Louis N.**183-197 Empirical Bayes methods for telecommunications forecasting***by*Greis, Noel P. & Gilstein, C. Zachary**199-208 Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series***by*Franses, Philip Hans**209-230 Automatic forecasting software: A survey and evaluation***by*Tashman, Leonard J. & Leach, Michael L.**231-238 Using interindustry input-output relations as a Bayesian prior in employment forecasting models***by*LeSage, James P. & Magura, Michael**239-240 On confusing lead time demand with h-period-ahead forecasts***by*Chatfield, Christopher & Koehler, Anne B.**241-241 A managerial guide to business forecasting : Dennis Ellis and Jay Nathan, (Graceway Publishing Co., Flushing, NY, 1990), paperback, pp. 162***by*Copulsky, William**242-242 A short history of the future : W. Warren Wager, (The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1989), pp. 323***by*Copulsky, William**243-245 Introductory business forecasting : Paul Newbold and Theodore Bos, (South-western, Cincinnati, OH,1990), pp. 497***by*Heitmann, George**245-246 What futurists believe : Joseph F. Coates and Jennifer Jarrett, (Lomond Publication, Inc., Mt. Airy, MD and The World Future Society, Bethesda, MD, 1989)***by*Fisher, Joseph L.**248-249 Econometric modelling of agricultural commodity markets : David Hallam, (Routledge, London, UK, 1990), [UK pound]35.00, ISBN 0-415-00405-5***by*Byers, David**249-249 Non-linear time series : Howell Tong, (Clarendon Press, Oxford, UK, 1990), pp. 564, [UK pound]50.00***by*Chatfield, Chris**251-252 Database models and managerial intuition: 50% model +50% manager : Robert C. Blattberg and Stephen J. Hoch, Management Science 36 (1990) 887-899***by*Fildes, Robert**252-252 A cautionary tale about multiple regression : Milton Friedman (the appendix to "Alternative approaches to analyzing economic data' Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz), American Economic Review 81 (1991) 48-49***by*Armstrong, J. Scott**253-254 Combining forecasts: Operational adjustments to theoretical optimal rules : David C. Schmittlein, Jinho Kim and Donald G. Morrison, Management Science 36 (1990) 1044-1056***by*Fildes, Robert**254-254 Prelaunch forecasting of new automobiles : Glen L. Urban, John R. Hauser and John H. Roberts, Management Science 36 (1990) 401-421***by*Fildes, Robert**252-253 Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate : R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming***by*Stekler, H. O.**242-243 Economic modelling in the OECD countries : Homa Motamen, ed., (Chapman and Hall, London, U.K., 1988), pp. 746, [UK pound]89.00***by*Holden, Ken

### 1991, Volume 7, Issue 1

**1-2 Is there a gap between forecasting theory and practice? A personal view***by*DeRoeck, Richard**3-16 Forecasting residential consumption of natural gas using monthly and quarterly time series***by*Liu, Lon-Mu & Lin, Maw-Wen**17-30 Forecasting with vector ARMA and state space methods***by*Aksu, Celal & Narayan, Jack Y.**31-37 Prediction intervals for multiplicative Holt-Winters***by*Chatfield, Chris & Yar, Mohammed**39-45 Forecast sufficiency characteristic: Construction and application***by*Krzysztofowicz, Roman & Long, Dou**47-55 Beta likelihood models of probabilistic forecasts***by*Krzysztofowicz, Roman & Long, Dou**57-63 Alternative methods of combining security analysts' and statistical forecasts of annual corporate earnings***by*Lobo, Gerald J.**65-76 Forecasting the educational participation rate of 16-year olds in England and Wales: A socio-economic approach***by*Whitfield, Keith & Wilson, R. A.**77-104 Microsimulation -- A survey of principles, developments and applications***by*Merz, Joachim**105-106 Forecasting, planning and strategy for the 21st century : Spyros Makridakis, 1990, (Free Press, New York), pp. 293, $29.95***by*Schnaars, Steven P.**106-108 Practical sales forecasting : E.J. Davis, (McGraw-Hill Book Company, London, 1988), pp. x + 291, $13.95***by*Speece, Mark W.**108-108 Business forecasting in a Lotus 1-2-3 environment : Colin Lewis, (Wiley, Chichester, UK, 1989), pp. 98 (software included), [UK pound]19.95***by*Jex, Colin**117-118 The forecasting accuracy of market share models using predicted values of competitive marketing behavior : Karel J. Alsem, Peter S.H. Leeflang and Jan C. Reuyl, International Journal of Research in Marketing 6 (1989) 183-198***by*Brodie, Roderick J. & Armstrong, J. Scott**118-118 Evaluating forecast performance in an inventory control system : Everette S. Gardner Jr., Management Science 36 (1990) 490-499***by*Fildes, Robert**119-119 Sliding simulation: A new approach to time series forecasting : Spyros Makridakis, Management Science 36 (1990) 505-512***by*Fildes, Robert**118-119 Time series models for count or qualitative observations : A.C. Harvey and C. Fernandes, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 7 (1989) 407-422***by*Winkler, Rober L.**108-109 Envisioning information : Edward R. Tufte, (Graphics Press, Cheshire, CT, 1990), pp. 126, $48.00***by*Rosen, Barry N.

### 1990, Volume 6, Issue 4

**449-451 The role of time series analysis in forecasting: A personal view***by*de Gooijer, Jap G.**453-461 Forecasting the business cycle using survey data***by*Oller, Lars-Erik**463-468 Use of preliminary values in forecasting industrial production***by*Boucelham, Jamel & Terasvirta, Timo**469-477 Comparing forecasts from fixed and variable coefficient models: The case of money demand***by*Swamy, P. A. V. B. & Kennickell, Arthur B. & von zur Muehlen, Peter**479-484 A modification of time series forecasting methods for handling announced price increases***by*Carreno, Jose Juan & Madinaveitia, Jesus**485-495 Time-series decomposition using the sinusoidal model***by*Simmons, L. F.**497-499 "In defense of ARIMA modeling", by D.J. Pack***by*Geurts, Michael D. & Kelly, J. Patrick**501-502 Comments on: "In defense of ARIMA modeling", by M.D. Geurts and J.P. Kelly***by*Pack, David J.**503-508 The use of prior information in forecast combination***by*Diebold, Francis X. & Pauly, Peter**509-519 A forecast evaluation of capital investment in agriculture***by*Conway, Roger K. & Hrubovcak, James & LeBlanc, Michael**521-530 Stochastic methods in population forecasting***by*Alho, Juha M.**531-540 Experience curve models in the electricity supply industry***by*Sharp, John A. & Price, David H. R.**541-547 Parameter instability in learning curve models : Invited comments on papers by Towill and by Sharp and Price***by*Howell, Sydney D.**549-556 An engineering approach to LSE modelling of experience curves in the electricity supply industry***by*Naim, Mohamed M. & Towill, Denis R.**557-558 An inappropriate prediction interval***by*Koehler, Anne B.**559-559 "Confidence intervals for non-stationary forecast errors", by P. Lefrancois***by*Chatfield, Chris**561-561 Comments by C. Chatfield***by*Lefrancois, Pierre**563-564 Forecasting methods for management : Spyros Makridakis and Steven C. Wheelwright, Fifth Edition (Wiley, New York, 1989), pp. 470, $52.95 (hard), $27.15, [UK pound]15.95 (soft)***by*Stekler, H. O.**564-565 Introductory business forecasting : Paul Newbold and Theodore Bos, (South-Western Publishing, Cincinnati, OH, 1990), pp. 497, $31.00***by*Remus, William**565-566 Applied time series analysis for business and economic forecasting : Sufi M. Nazem, (Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York and Basel, 1988), pp. 431, $89.75***by*Loungani, Prakash**566-568 System-theoretic methods in economic modelling I : Stefan Mittnik, ed., (Pergamon Press, Oxford, 1989), pp. 184, $39.50***by*Lesage, James P.**568-569 The analysis of time series: An introduction : Christopher Chatfield, 4th ed. (Chapman & Hall, London, U.K., 1989), pp. 241, $25.00***by*Talwar, Prem P.**569-570 Business forecasting : J. Holten Wilson and Barry Keating, (Richard D. Irwin, Homewood, IL), 1990, pp. 386, $45.95***by*Rozeff, Michael S.**570-571 Future stuff : Malcolm Abrams and Harriet Bernstein, (Penguin Books, New York, 1989), pp. 300, $8.95***by*Schnaars, Steven P.**571-572 Parameter variability in the single factor market model: An empirical comparison of tests and estimation procedures using data from the Helsinki stock exchange : Johan Knif, (The Finnish Society of Sciences and Letters, Helsinki, 1989), pp. 167, ISBN 951-653-196-2, ISSN 0355-256X***by*Taylor, Stephen J.**583-584 Effect of price on the demand for durables: Modelling, estimation and findings : D.C. Jain and R.C. Rao, Journals of Business and Economics Statistics 8, no. 2 (1990) 163-170***by*Bottomley, Paul**584-585 A meta-analysis of applications of diffusion models : F. Sultan, J.U. Farley and D.R. Lehmann, Journal of marketing research 27 (1990) 70-77***by*Bottomley Paul**585-586 To be convincing or to be right: A question of preciseness : K.J. Gilhooly, M.T.G. Keane, R.H. Logie and G. Erdos (eds.), Lines of Thinking (Wiley, Chichester, 1990) 299-313***by*Teigen Karl Halvor**586-586 The price elasticity of selective demand: A meta-analysis of econometric models of sales : Gerald J. Tellis, Journal of marketing research 25 (1988) 331-341***by*Fildes Robert

### 1990, Volume 6, Issue 3

**283-284 Macroeconomic forecasting***by*Henry, S. G. B. & Holden, K.**285-286 Introduction***by*Henry, S. G. B. & Holden, K.**287-299 The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting accuracy***by*McNees, Stephen K.**301-309 The Warwick ESRC macroeconomic modelling bureau: An assessment***by*Smith, Ron**311-316 Product differentiation in the economic forecasting industry***by*Batchelor, Roy A. & Dua, Pami**317-326 Mode predictors in nonlinear systems with identities***by*Calzolari, Giorgio & Panattoni, Lorenzo**327-336 A survey of seasonality in UK macroeconomic variables***by*Osborn, Denise R.**337-348 Macroeconomic forecasting experience with balanced state space models***by*Mittnik, Stefan**349-362 BVAR forecasts for the G-7***by*Artis, M. J. & Zhang, W.**363-378 Assessing the forecasting accuracy of monthly vector autoregressive models : The case of five OECD countries***by*Funke, Michael**379-392 The accuracy of OECD forecasts of the international economy : Demand, output and prices***by*Ash, J. C. K. & Smyth, D. J. & Heravi, S. M.**393-400 Forecasting the developing world : An accuracy analysis of the IMF's forecasts***by*Arora, Harjit K. & Smyth, David J.**401-405 Forecasting government policy : An example of the importance of time inconsistency***by*Westaway, Peter & Wren-Lewis, Simon**407-419 By how much would exchange rate stabilisation improve macroeconomic performance? : An exercise in forecasting alternative histories for the industrial economies***by*Hughes Hallett, A. J.**421-440 P* type models: Evaluation and forecasts***by*Pecchenino, R. A. & Rasche, Robert H.**441-442 Investment and factor demand : Patrick Artus and Pierre-Alain Muet, Contributions to Economic Analysis, Vol. 193 (North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1990) pp. 308, Dfl 175.00 ($69.50)***by*Henry, S. G. B.**442-443 Challenges for macroeconomic modelling : W. Driehuis, M.M.G. Fase and H. den Hartog, eds., Contributions to Economic Analysis, Vol. 178 (North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1988) pp. 487, Dfl 185.00 ($97.25)***by*Hall, S. G.

### 1990, Volume 6, Issue 2

**149-162 Judgmental forecasts in a competitive environment: Rational vs. adaptive expectations***by*Glazer, Rashi & Steckel, Joel H. & Winer, Russell S.**163-174 A comparative study of market share models using disaggregate data***by*Kumar, V. & Heath, Timothy B.**175-186 A composite model for deterministic and stochastic trends***by*Kang, Heejoon**187-198 Structural time series models in inventory control***by*Harvey, Andrew & Snyder, Ralph D.**199-209 Parameter space of the Holt-winters' model***by*Archibald, Blyth C.**211-218 In defense of ARIMA modeling***by*Pack, David J.**219-227 An MSE statistic for comparing forecast accuracy across series***by*Thompson, Patrick A.**229-239 Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressions***by*Masarotto, Guido**241-251 A log-linear approach to disaggregated micro-level population forecasts***by*Ketkar, Kusum W.**253-254 Forecasting: A new agenda : Harold A. Linstone, senior ed., 1989, a special twentieth anniversary edition, technological forecasting social change, 36, nos. 1-2, Aug***by*Schnaars, Steven P.**255-256 Optimal control, expectations and uncertainty : Sean Holly and Andrew Hughes Hallett, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1989) pp. 244***by*Lahiri, Kajal**258-259 Quantitative forecasting methods : Nicholas R. Farnum and La Verne W. Stanton, PWS-KENT, Boston, MA, 1989) pp. 573***by*Sanders, Nada R.**275-276 An exercise in computing the variance of the forecast error***by*Kennedy, Peter

### 1990, Volume 6, Issue 1

**1-2 A look at the year and decade ahead***by*Schnaars, Steven P.**3-10 Forecaster ideology, forecasting technique, and the accuracy of economic forecasts***by*Bathcelor, Roy & Dua, Pami**11-23 An examination of vector autoregressive forecasts for the U.K. economy***by*Holden, K. & Broomhead, A.**25-38 Forecasting learning curves***by*Towill, Denis R.**39-52 Predicting doctorate production in the U.S.A.: Some lessons for long-range forecasters***by*Pollack-Johnson, Bruce & Dean, Burton V. & Reisman, Arnold & Michenzi, Alfred R.**53-64 Forecasting demand for special telephone services: A case study***by*Grambsch, Patricia & Stahel, Werner A.**65-74 Forecasting competitive entry: The case of bypass adoption in telecommunications***by*Weisman, Dennis L. & Kridel, Donald J.**75-88 Forecasting competitors' actions: An evaluation of alternative ways of analyzing business competition***by*Singer, Alan E. & Brodie, Roderick J.**89-102 Political risk forecasting by Canadian firms***by*Rich, Gillian & Mahmoud, Essam**103-113 Forecasting monthly cotton price: Structural and time series approaches***by*Chen, Dean T. & Bessler, David A.**115-125 Forecasting using partially known demands***by*Kekre, Sunder & Morton, Thomas E. & Smunt, Timothy L.**127-137 Prediction intervals for the Holt-Winters forecasting procedure***by*Yar, Mohammed & Chatfield, Chris**139-140 Megamistakes: Forecasting and the myth of technological change : Steven Schnaars, 1989, (The Free Press, New York), 202 pp., US$19.95***by*Makridakis, Spyros**140-141 Macro-economic modelling : S.G. Hall and S.G.B. Henry, [1988] 1989, Contributions to economic analysis, vol. 172 (North-Holland, Amsterdam, reprint), 416 pp., ISBN 0-444-7042***by*Osborn, Denise R.**141-142 Basic techniques of forecasting : D. Johnson and M. King, 1988, (Butterworth, Guildford, U.K.), 144 pp., [UK pound]13.95***by*Sweeney, William B.**142-144 The limits to rational expectations: M. Hashem Pesaran, 1987, (Basic Blackwell, Oxford, U.K.), [UK pound]32.50 (hardbound)***by*Matthews, K. G. P.

### 1989, Volume 5, Issue 4

**467-468 Editorial: Reflections on forecasting in the 1980's***by*Armstrong, J. Scott**469-484 Beyond accuracy***by*Ascher, William**485-489 Comments in response to Beyond accuracy, by William Ascher***by*Robinson, John B.**491-500 A comparison of quarterly earnings per share forecasts using James-Stein and unconditional least squares parameter estimators***by*Landsman, Wayne R. & Damodaran, Aswath**501-513 Model selection and estimation for technological growth curves***by*Young, Peg & Ord, J. Keith**515-522 Legal control of drunken driving: A time series study of California data***by*Ray, Subhash C.**523-527 On exponential smoothing and the assumption of deterministic trend plus white noise data-generating models***by*Newbold, Paul & Bos, Ted**529-535 The utilization of the Wilcoxon test to compare forecasting methods: A note***by*Flores, Benito E.**537-545 Rates of convergence to steady state for the linear growth version of a dynamic linear model (DLM)***by*Ray, W. D.**547-552 Forecasting with combined seasonal indices***by*Withycombe, Richard**553-557 Confidence intervals for non-stationary forecast errors : Some empirical results for the series in the M-competition***by*Lefrancois, Pierre**559-583 Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography***by*Clemen, Robert T.**585-588 Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?***by*Armstrong, J. Scott**589-592 Forecast combination and encompassing: Reconciling two divergent literatures***by*Diebold, Francis X.**593-597 On combining diagnostic forecasts: Thoughts and some evidence***by*Hogarth, Robin M.**599-600 Combining forecasts: Some managerial issues***by*Mahmoud, Essam