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US presidential election forecasting: An introduction

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  • Campbell, James E.
  • Lewis-Beck, Michael S.

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  • Campbell, James E. & Lewis-Beck, Michael S., 2008. "US presidential election forecasting: An introduction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 189-192.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:24:y:2008:i:2:p:189-192
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Forsythe, Robert & Forrest Nelson & George R. Neumann & Jack Wright, 1992. "Anatomy of an Experimental Political Stock Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(5), pages 1142-1161, December.
    2. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(2), pages 159-173, May.
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    1. Ko, Hyein & Jackson, Natalie & Osborn, Tracy & Lewis-Beck, Michael S., 2025. "Forecasting presidential elections: Accuracy of ANES voter intentions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 66-75.
    2. Nadeau, Richard & Lewis-Beck, Michael S., 2020. "Election forecasts: Cracking the Danish case," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 892-898.
    3. Toros, Emre, 2011. "Forecasting elections in Turkey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1248-1258, October.
    4. repec:osf:osfxxx:h87vq_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Renaud Foucart & Marjorie Gassner & Emilie Van Haute, 2012. "Une typologie des résultats électoraux basée sur le comportement des électeurs volatiles en Belgique," CEVIPOL Working Papers 3, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    6. Ray C. Fair, 2009. "Presidential and Congressional Vote‐Share Equations," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(1), pages 55-72, January.
    7. Paul Collier & Anke Hoeffler, 2009. "Democracy's Achilles Heel or, How to Win an Election without Really Trying," Economics Series Working Papers CSAE WPS/2009-08, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    8. Dassonneville, Ruth & Hooghe, Marc, 2012. "Election forecasting under opaque conditions: A model for Francophone Belgium, 1981–2010," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 777-788.
    9. Liu, Yezheng & Ye, Chang & Sun, Jianshan & Jiang, Yuanchun & Wang, Hai, 2021. "Modeling undecided voters to forecast elections: From bandwagon behavior and the spiral of silence perspective," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 461-483.

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