Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability
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References listed on IDEAS
- Makridakis, Spyros & Hibon, Michele, 2000. "The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 451-476.
- Goldstein, Daniel G. & Gigerenzer, Gerd, 2009. "Fast and frugal forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 760-772, October.
- Orrell, David & McSharry, Patrick, 2009. "System economics: Overcoming the pitfalls of forecasting models via a multidisciplinary approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 734-743, October.
- Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Wright, George & Goodwin, Paul, 2009. "Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 813-825, October.
CitationsCitations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Derbyshire, James & Wright, George, 2017. "Augmenting the intuitive logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 254-266.
- repec:spr:reaccs:v:22:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11142-017-9396-0 is not listed on IDEAS
- Estrada, Fernando, 2011. "Theory of financial risk," MPRA Paper 29665, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jan Anne Annema & Hugo Priemus, 2013. "Mega-projects: new challenges to cope with climate change and energy transition," Chapters,in: International Handbook on Mega-Projects, chapter 18, pages 398-417 Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Miller, Craig & Newell, Barry, 2013. "Framing integrated research to address a dynamically complex issue: The red headed cockchafer challenge," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 13-18.
- Schumacher Christian, 2011. "Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature and Evidence for German GDP," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 28-49, February.
- repec:eee:reensy:v:137:y:2015:i:c:p:18-28 is not listed on IDEAS
- Estrada, Fernando, 2009.
"Tamaño y Riesgo en los Mercados Financieros
[Size and Risk in the Finanzal Markets]," MPRA Paper 19267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ludovic Gaudard & Franco Romerio, 2015. "Natural hazard risk in the case of an emergency: the real options’ approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 473-488, January.
More about this item
KeywordsForecasting Accuracy Uncertainty Low level predictability Non-normal forecasting errors Judgmental predictions;
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