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Housing Price Booms and Crowding-Out Effects in Bank Lending

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Muellbauer, John, 2025. "Land, Housing and the British Economy: background paper," INET Oxford Working Papers 2025-25, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, revised Feb 2026.
  2. Zhenyu Gao & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2019. "Economic Consequences of Housing Speculation," NBER Working Papers 26457, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Giovanni Dell’Ariccia & Dalida Kadyrzhanova & Camelia Minoiu & Lev Ratnovski, 2021. "Bank Lending in the Knowledge Economy," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(10), pages 5036-5076.
  4. Petkov, Ivan, 2023. "Small business lending and the bank-branch network," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  5. Hau, Harald & Ouyang, Difei, 2024. "Can real estate booms hurt firms? Evidence on investment substitution," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  6. Perotti, Enrico & Döttling, Robin, 2017. "Secular Trends and Technological Progress," CEPR Discussion Papers 12519, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  7. Chakraborty, Indraneel & Goldstein, Itay & MacKinlay, Andrew, 2020. "Monetary stimulus and bank lending," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 189-218.
  8. Winkler, Fabian, 2020. "The role of learning for asset prices and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 42-58.
  9. Harald Hau & Difei Ouyang, 2019. "Local Capital Scarcity and Small Firm Growth: Evidence from Real Estate Booms in China," CESifo Working Paper Series 7928, CESifo.
  10. Bezemer, Dirk & Samarina, Anna & Zhang, Lu, 2020. "Does mortgage lending impact business credit? Evidence from a new disaggregated bank credit data set," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  11. Theodora Bermpei & Antonios Nikolaos Kalyvas & Simon Wolfe, 2024. "Does IRS Monitoring Matter for the Cost of Bank Loans?," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 65(2), pages 153-188, June.
  12. Ronel Elul & Deeksha Gupta & David K. Musto, 2025. "Concentration in Mortgage Markets: GSE Exposure and Risk-Taking in Uncertain Times," Working Papers 25-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  13. Tomohiro Hirano & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2025. "Growth and Fluctuations Economies with Land Speculation," NBER Working Papers 33589, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Chica-Olmo, Jorge & Cano-Guervos, Rafael, 2020. "Does my house have a premium or discount in relation to my neighbors? A regression-kriging approach," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  15. Jianshuang Fan & Dongtao Liu & Mingzhi Hu & Yipeng Zang, 2023. "How do housing prices affect innovation and entrepreneurship? Evidence from China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(7), pages 1-15, July.
  16. Nuno Paixao, 2019. "Propagation of House Price Shocks through the Banking System," 2019 Meeting Papers 1237, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  17. Fangzhi Liang & Gary Gang Tian & Zhihua Wei & Aimin Zeng, 2025. "All That Glitters is Not Gold: Examining the Negative Impact of Real Estate Value on Companies' Market Competitiveness," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 71(4), pages 722-766, November.
  18. Böhm, Adrian & Eufinger, Christian & Kadach, Igor & Sakasai, Yuki, 2025. "Green banking illusion? The influence of “Eco-Conscious” bank shareholders on credit allocation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  19. Yu, Feng & Li, Ning & Zhuang, Castiel Chen & Chen, Jingwei, 2024. "Can rising urban house prices actually limit the outward FDI by firms in a home country? A story from China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  20. Alberto Martín & Enrique Moral-Benito & Tom Schmitz, 2018. "The Financial Transmission of Housing Bubbles: Evidence from Spain," Working Papers 625, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
  21. Smolyansky, Michael, 2019. "Policy externalities and banking integration," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 118-139.
  22. Ayberk, İdil & Önder, Zeynep, 2022. "House prices and bank loan portfolios in an emerging market: The role of bank ownership," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  23. Michael Smolyansky, 2016. "Policy Externalities and Banking Integration," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-8, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  24. Cahn, Christophe & Duquerroy, Anne & Mullins, William, 2017. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and Bank Lending Relationships," SocArXiv vgk25, Center for Open Science.
  25. Uesugi, Iichiro & Miyakawa, Daisuke & Hosono, Kaoru & Ono, Arito & Uchida, Hirofumi, 2025. "The collateral channel versus the bank lending channel: Evidence from a massive earthquake," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  26. Jasova, Martina & Mendicino, Caterina & Supera, Dominik, 2021. "Policy uncertainty, lender of last resort and the real economy," Working Paper Series 2521, European Central Bank.
  27. Mueller, Isabella & Sfrappini, Eleonora, 2022. "Climate Change-Related Regulatory Risks and Bank Lending," Working Paper Series 2670, European Central Bank.
  28. Luck, Stephan & Zimmermann, Tom, 2020. "Employment effects of unconventional monetary policy: Evidence from QE," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(3), pages 678-703.
  29. Suh, Hyunduk & Yang, Jin Young, 2024. "Housing cycle and firm investment: International firm-level evidence," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  30. Peter Bednarek & Daniel Marcel te Kaat & Chang Ma & Alessandro Rebucci, 2021. "Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles:Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(10), pages 5077-5134.
  31. Zhang Juanfeng & Lin Yupiaopiao & Han Rui & Li Lele & Zeng Hui, 2024. "Do high housing prices inhibit entrepreneurial activity?—Evidence from Yangtze River Delta cities, China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), September.
  32. Huifu Nong, 2024. "Integration and risk transmission across supply, demand, and prices in China’s housing market," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-28, June.
  33. Ma, Chao & Zhang, Shuoxun, 2024. "Can housing booms elevate financing costs of financial institutions?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  34. SUI, Qing-yuan, 2025. "Impact of Quantitative Easing on Bank Lending to Different Industries or Sectors," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-144, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
  35. Alberto Martín & Enrique Moral-Benito & Tom Schmitz, 2021. "The Financial Transmission of Housing Booms: Evidence from Spain," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(3), pages 1013-1053, March.
  36. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak & Huanhuan Zheng, 2019. "Housing Bubbles, Economic Growth, and Institutions," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 655-674, September.
  37. Hans Degryse & Olivier De Jonghe & Leonardo Gambacorta & Cédric Huylebroek, 2024. "Bank specialization and corporate innovation," Working Paper Research 458, National Bank of Belgium.
  38. Toni Ahnert & Martin Kuncl, 2024. "Government Loan Guarantees, Market Liquidity, and Lending Standards," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4502-4532, July.
  39. Kuang, Pei & Mitra, Kaushik & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan, 2026. "Macroprudential policy and housing market expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
  40. Chu, Yongqiang & Lin, Luca X. & Xiao, Zhanbing, 2024. "Agree to disagree: Lender equity holdings, within-syndicate conflicts, and covenant design," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  41. Diamond, William & Jiang, Zhengyang & Ma, Yiming, 2024. "The reserve supply channel of unconventional monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  42. Dimas Mateus Fazio & Thiago Christiano Silva, 2020. "Housing Collateral Reform and Economic Reallocation," Working Papers Series 522, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  43. Goetz, Martin R. & Gozzi, Juan Carlos, 2022. "Financial integration and the co-movement of economic activity: Evidence from U.S. states," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  44. Peydró, José-Luis & Morais, Bernardo & Ruiz-Ortega, Claudia & Perez-Estrada, Javier, 2021. "Expansionary Austerity: Reallocating Credit Amid Fiscal Consolidation," CEPR Discussion Papers 16511, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  45. Li, Shuyun May & Suardi, Sandy & Wee, Benjamin, 2022. "Bank lending behavior and housing market booms: The Australian evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 184-204.
  46. Nong, Huifu, 2024. "Analyzing the Role of the Real Estate Sector in the Sectoral Network of the Chinese Economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 567-580.
  47. Lucyna Gornicka & Peichu Xie, 2021. "Leakages from Macroprudential Regulations: The Case of Household-Specific Tools and Corporate Credit," IMF Working Papers 2021/113, International Monetary Fund.
  48. Yi Huang & Marco Pagano & Ugo Panizza, 2020. "Local Crowding‐Out in China," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(6), pages 2855-2898, December.
  49. Loayza,Norman V. & Ouazad,Amine & Ranciere,Romain, 2017. "Financial development, growth, and crisis: is there a trade-off ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8237, The World Bank.
  50. Müller, Isabella & Nguyen, Huyen & Nguyen, Trang, 2024. "Carbon transition risk and corporate loan securitization," IWH Discussion Papers 22/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2024.
  51. Flannery, Mark J. & Lin, Leming & Wang, Luxi, 2022. "Housing booms and bank growth," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  52. Geraldo Cerqueiro & Ana Mão‐De‐Ferro & María Fabiana Penas, 2025. "Political Uncertainty and the Geographic Allocation of Credit: Evidence from Small Businesses," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(8), pages 2253-2285, December.
  53. Koetter, M. & Marek, P. & Mavropoulos, A., 2025. "Real estate transaction taxes and credit supply," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  54. Rehbein, Oliver, 2018. "Flooded through the back door: Firm-level effects of banks' lending shifts," IWH Discussion Papers 4/2018, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  55. Isabella Mueller & Felix Noth & Lena Tonzer, 2025. "A Note on the Use of Syndicated Loan Data," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 180-191, December.
  56. Gazi I. Kara & Youngsuk Yook, 2023. "Policy Uncertainty and Bank Mortgage Credit," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 783-823, June.
  57. Müller, Isabella, 2020. "Trade shocks, credit reallocation and the role of specialisation: Evidence from syndicated lending," IWH Discussion Papers 15/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  58. De Haas, Ralph & Mamonov, Mikhail & Popov, Alexander & Shala, Iliriana, 2024. "Violent Conflict and Cross-Border Lending," CEPR Discussion Papers 19743, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  59. Francesco D'Acunto & Janet Gao & Lu Liu & Kai Lu & Zhengwei Wang & Jun Yang, 2025. "Subjective Expectations and Financial Intermediation," CESifo Working Paper Series 11780, CESifo.
  60. Dagostino, Ramona, 2025. "The impact of bank financing on municipalities’ bond issuance and the real economy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
  61. Tan, Ruipeng & Pan, Lulu & Xu, Mengmeng & He, Xinju, 2022. "Transportation infrastructure, economic agglomeration and non-linearities of green total factor productivity growth in China: Evidence from partially linear functional coefficient model," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1-13.
  62. Kilinc, Mustafa & Ulussever, Talat, 2024. "Changing landscape of the finance-growth nexus: Industry growth, credit types, and external financial dependence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  63. Jondeau, Eric & Khalilzadeh, Amir, 2022. "Predicting the stressed expected loss of large U.S. banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  64. Noth, Felix & Ossandon Busch, Matias, 2021. "Banking globalization, local lending, and labor market effects: Micro-level evidence from Brazil," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  65. Lin, Luca X. & Zhang, Xiaoyu, 2025. "Happily ever after? Lender diversification and performance sensitivity in post-IPO loans," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  66. Berg, Tobias & Haselmann, Rainer & Kick, Thomas & Schreiber, Sebastian, 2023. "Unintended consequences of QE: Real estate prices and financial stability," IMFS Working Paper Series 196, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  67. Liu, Yu & Zhao, Peng & Zhao, Xiaoxue, 2026. "Housing booms and local capital misallocation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  68. Mueller, Isabella & Sfrappini, Eleonora, 2025. "Climate change-related regulatory risks and bank lending," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  69. Yu, Liangliang & Cai, Yinying, 2021. "Do rising housing prices restrict urban innovation vitality? Evidence from 288 cities in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 276-288.
  70. Hassanpour, Mohammadreza & Mahmoudzadeh, Amineh & Madanizadeh, Seyed Ali, 2025. "Unraveling exchange rate shocks: Disentangling extensive and intensive effects on the lending channel," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  71. Kenneth S. Rogoff & Yuanchen Yang, 2020. "Peak China Housing," NBER Working Papers 27697, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  72. Kim, You Suk & Lee, Donghoon & Scharlemann, Tess & Vickery, James, 2024. "Intermediation frictions in debt relief: Evidence from CARES Act forbearance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  73. Lina Meng & Xiao Xiao & Yinggang Zhou, 2023. "Housing Boom and Household Migration Decision: New Evidence from China," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 453-479, October.
  74. Degl’Innocenti, Marta & Santilli, Gianluca & Sclip, Alex & Zhou, Si, 2025. "Commodity price risk, supply chain, and lending," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  75. Albuquerque, Bruno & Cerutti, Eugenio & Kido, Yosuke & Varghese, Richard, 2026. "Not all housing cycles are created equal: Macroeconomic consequences of housing booms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
  76. Peydró, José-Luis & Polo, Andrea & Sette, Enrico, 2021. "Monetary policy at work: Security and credit application registers evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 789-814.
  77. Martin R. Goetz & Juan Carlos Gozzi, 2020. "Financial Integration and the Co-Movement of Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States," International Finance Discussion Papers 1305, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  78. Yi Huang & Marco Pagano & Ugo Panizza, 2016. "Public Debt and Private Firm Funding. Evidence from Chinese Cities," EIEF Working Papers Series 1611, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Aug 2016.
  79. Kenneth Rogoff & Yuanchen Yang, 2021. "Has China's Housing Production Peaked?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(1), pages 1-31, January.
  80. Jin Cao & Ragnar E. Juelsrud & Talina Sondershaus, 2021. "Covered bonds and bank portfolio rebalancing," Working Paper 2021/6, Norges Bank.
  81. Allen N. Berger & John Sedunov, 2024. "The Life Cycle of Systemic Risk and Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(8), pages 1923-1961, December.
  82. Zixuan Dai & Lei Xu, 2025. "Negative interest rates, bank capital and lending behaviours," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 65(3), pages 2487-2516, September.
  83. Samarina, Anna & Zhang, Lu & Bezemer, Dirk, 2017. "Credit cycle coherence in the eurozone: Was there a euro effect?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 77-98.
  84. Jariani, Farzaneh, 2021. "The Crowding Out and Crowding In Effects of the Government Fiscal Policy on the Real Estate Investment and Public Prosperity in Iran," MPRA Paper 105506, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  85. Nuno Paixao, 2018. "Housing Prices and Consumer Spending: The Bank Balance Sheet Channel," 2018 Meeting Papers 1017, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  86. Chen, Yunping & Chen, Huanhuan & Li, Guorong & Jiao, Dongdan & Xu, Xiangyun, 2021. "Time-varying effect of macro-prudential policies on household credit growth: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 241-254.
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  88. Rhys Bidder & John Krainer & Adam Shapiro, 2021. "De-leveraging or de-risking? How banks cope with loss," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 100-127, January.
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  90. Sebastian Kohl & Alexander Spielau, 2022. "Centring construction in the political economy of housing: variegated growth regimes after the Keynesian construction state," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 46(3), pages 465-490.
  91. Bermpei, Theodora & Degl’Innocenti, Marta & Kalyvas, Antonios Nikolaos & Zhou, Si, 2023. "Lender individualism and monitoring: Evidence from syndicated loans," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
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  94. Jasova, Martina & Mendicino, Caterina & Supera, Dominik, 2021. "Policy uncertainty, lender of last resort and the real economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 381-398.
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  98. Wu, Yan & Heerink, Nico & Yu, Linhui, 2024. "Beyond the collateral channel: Real estate prices and manufacturing firm investment in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
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