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Markets connectivity and financial contagion

  • Ruggero GRILLI

    ()

    (Universit… Politecnica delle Marche, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali)

  • Gabriele TEDESCHI

    ()

    (Universit… Politecnica delle Marche, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali)

  • Mauro GALLEGATI

    ()

    (Universit… Politecnica delle Marche, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali)

In this paper we investigate the sources of instability in credit and financial systems and the effect of credit linkages on the macroeconomic activity. By developing an agent-based model, we analyze the evolving dynamics of the economy as a complex, adaptive and interactive system, which allows us to explain some key elements occurred during the recent economic and financial crisis. In particular, we study the repercussions of inter-bank connectivity on agents' performances, bankruptcy waves and business cycle fluctuations. Interbank linkages, in fact, let participants share risk but also creates a potential for one bank's crisis to spread through the network. The purpose of the model is, therefore, to build up the dependence among agents at the micro-level and to estimate their impact on the macro stability.

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Paper provided by Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali in its series Working Papers with number 382.

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Date of creation: Oct 2012
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