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The micro evolution of trade and turnover in Turkey under the global crisis

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  • Lo Turco, Alessia
  • Maggioni, Daniela

Abstract

We provide evidence on the effects of the 2009 crisis on Turkish manufacturing. The exploration of firm and firm-product extensive and intensive margins confirms the prevalence of the latter in the fall of export sales and discloses the former's relevance in the dramatic import contraction. The analysis of firm and product heterogeneity reveals that productivity drove the negative evolution of the export intensive margin to such an extent that it significantly affected trade extensive margins and postponable goods were the most affected products. In addition, the foreign demand shock suffered by exporters propagated to their import demand. Interestingly, we show that the crisis hit produced exports less than the carry-along ones and that the domestic market cushioned the downturn effects especially for larger firms. This hints at the importance of domestic counter-cyclical policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Lo Turco, Alessia & Maggioni, Daniela, 2014. "The micro evolution of trade and turnover in Turkey under the global crisis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 397-414.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:38:y:2014:i:3:p:397-414
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2013.09.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Alessia Lo Turco & Daniela Maggioni, 2015. "Imports, Exports and the Firm Product Scope: Evidence From Turkey," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(6), pages 984-1005, June.
    2. Roberto Álvarez & Camila Sáez, 2015. "Post-Crisis Financiera y Expansión de las Exportaciones: Micro-Evidencia para Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 748, Central Bank of Chile.
    3. Tolga Cebeci & Ana M. Fernandes, 2015. "Microdynamics of Turkey's Export Boom in the 2000s," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 825-855, May.
    4. repec:bla:presci:v:96:y:2017:i:1:p:33-59 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Daniela MAGGIONI & Alessia LO TURCO & Mauro GALLEGATI, 2014. "Does export complexity matter for firms' output volatility?," Working Papers 407, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    6. Ruggero Grilli & Gabriele Tedeschi & Mauro Gallegati, 2015. "Markets connectivity and financial contagion," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 10(2), pages 287-304, October.
    7. Eralba CELA & Tineke FOKKEMA & Elena AMBROSETTI, 2012. "Links Between Transnationalism Integration and Duration of Residence: The Case of eastern European Migrants in Italy," Working Papers 386, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    8. Maggioni, Daniela & Lo Turco, Alessia & Gallegati, Mauro, 2016. "Does product complexity matter for firms' output volatility?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 94-109.
    9. repec:eee:appene:v:203:y:2017:i:c:p:154-163 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crisis; Exports; Imports; Turnover; Turkey;

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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