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The Dynamic Relation between Financial Positions and Investment: Evidence from Company Account Data

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  • Stanca, Luca
  • Gallegati, Mauro

Abstract

A key feature of recent financial business cycle theories is the existence of a two-way dynamic relation between financial factors and investment: over time firms' financial positions are affected by, and in turn affect, investment decisions. This paper investigates the dynamic interaction between financial conditions and investment by estimating and testing vector autoregressions on company account panel data for US manufacturing firms, while considering explicitly sectional and time heterogeneity. The results show that indicators of liquidity and solvency contain significant predictive information for investment at the firm level. We also find evidence of both cross-sectional and time heterogeneity: the role played by financial factors is significantly more important for highly leveraged than for low-debt firms, capital market frictions are shown to have asymmetric effects over the business cycle, displaying a larger impact in contractions than in expansions. Overall, the evidence supports the hypothesis that capital market imperfections have an important role in explaining aggregate cyclical dynamics. Copyright 1999 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Stanca, Luca & Gallegati, Mauro, 1999. "The Dynamic Relation between Financial Positions and Investment: Evidence from Company Account Data," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 551-572, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:indcch:v:8:y:1999:i:3:p:551-72
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    1. repec:scm:ecofrm:v:4:y:2015:i:s1:p:41 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Ruggero Grilli & Gabriele Tedeschi & Mauro Gallegati, 2015. "Markets connectivity and financial contagion," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 10(2), pages 287-304, October.
    3. Tuomas A. Peltonen & Ricardo M. Sousa & Isabel S. Vansteenkiste, 2011. "Fundamentals, Financial Factors, and the Dynamics of Investment in Emerging Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(0), pages 88-105, May.
    4. Grilli, Ruggero & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Gallegati, Mauro, 2014. "Bank interlinkages and macroeconomic stability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 72-88.
    5. Love, Inessa & Zicchino, Lea, 2002. "Financial development and dynamic investment behavior : evidence from panel vector autoregression," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2913, The World Bank.
    6. Delli Gatti, Domenico & Gallegati, Mauro & Giulioni, Gianfranco & Palestrini, Antonio, 2003. "Financial fragility, patterns of firms' entry and exit and aggregate dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 79-97, May.
    7. Alexander Coad, 2007. "Disentangling the firm growth process: evidence from a recursive panel VAR," Papers on Economics and Evolution 2007-15, Philipps University Marburg, Department of Geography.
    8. Love, Inessa & Zicchino, Lea, 2006. "Financial development and dynamic investment behavior: Evidence from panel VAR," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 190-210, May.

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