Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E2: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
/ / / E27: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2012

• Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo & Alvarez, Rocio, 2012, "Finite sample performance of small versus large scale dynamic factor models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8867, Mar.
• Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Poncela, Pilar & Camacho, Máximo, 2012, "Green Shoots and Double Dips in the Euro Area. A Real Time Measure," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8896, Mar.
• Taylor, John & Wieland, Volker & Cogan, John F. & Wolters, Maik, 2012, "Fiscal Consolidation Strategy," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9041, Jul.
• Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo & Lovcha, Yuliya, 2012, "Can we use seasonally adjusted indicators in dynamic factor models?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9191, Oct.
• Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Mikusheva, Anna & Ng, Serena, 2012, "Estimators For Persistent And Possibly Nonstationary Data With Classical Properties," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, volume 28, issue 5, pages 1003-1036, October.
• Ngoie, Jacques Kibambe & Zellner, Arnold, 2012, "The Use Of A Marshallian Macroeconomic Model For Policy Evaluation: Case Of South Africa," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 16, issue 3, pages 423-448, June.
• Antonis Michis, 2012, "Monitoring Forecasting Combinations with Semiparametric Regression Models," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2012-2, May.
• Mihaela BRATU SIMIONESCU, 2012, "The Comparison of GDP Strategies Forecasting in Romania," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 2, pages 39-46.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012, "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2012-14.
• D'Amico, Guglielmo & Di Biase, Giuseppe & Manca, Raimondo, 2012, "Income inequality dynamic measurement of Markov models: Application to some European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 5, pages 1598-1602, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.05.019.
• Baghestani, Hamid, 2012, "Are professional forecasts of growth in US business investment rational?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 114, issue 1, pages 132-135, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.09.013.
• Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2012, "Evaluating Japanese corporate executives’ forecasts under an asymmetric loss function," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 116, issue 3, pages 601-603, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.06.010.
• Herbst, Edward & Schorfheide, Frank, 2012, "Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 171, issue 2, pages 152-166, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.06.008.
• Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 3, pages 557-574, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.12.004.
• Vijay Varadi & C. Vanlalramsanga, 2012, "Assessment of the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI_RP_2012_06, Jun.
• Jane Golley & Rod Tyers, 2012, "Demographic Dividends, Dependencies and Economic Growth in China and India," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2012-06, Feb.
• Arif Oduncu, 2012, "Determinants of Precautionary Savings: Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution vs. Risk Aversion," EcoMod2012, EcoMod, number 4380, Jul.
• Roberto Meurer, 2012, "Investiment in the Brasilian economy during the crisis," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, volume 32, issue 2, pages 205-212.
• Sebastian Dullien, 2012, "Is new always better than old? On the treatment of fiscal policy in Keynesian models," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 1, issue 0, pages 5-23.
• Duffy, David & Durkan, Joe & O'Sullivan, Cormac, 2012, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2011/Spring 2012," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20121, March.
• Duffy, David & Durkan, Joe & Casey, Eddie, 2012, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2012," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20122, March.
• Duffy, David & Durkan, Joe & Casey, Eddie, 2012, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2012," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QECQEC2012AUT, March.
• Laura Gonzalez Cabanillas & Alessio Terzi, 2012, "The accuracy of the European Commission's forecasts re-examined," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 476, Dec.
• Joao Madeira, 2012, "Evaluating the Role of Firm-Specific Capital in New Keynesian models," Discussion Papers, University of Exeter, Department of Economics, number 1204.
• František Brazdik & Michal Hlavacek & Aleš Marsal, 2012, "Survey of Research on Financial Sector Modeling within DSGE Models: What Central Banks Can Learn from It," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 62, issue 3, pages 252-277, July.
• Enrica De Cian & Ramiro Parrado, 2012, "Technology Spillovers Embodied in International Trade: Intertemporal, regional and sectoral effects in a global CGE," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2012.27, May.
• Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2012, "Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2012-11.
• Natalia Karlova, 2012, "Basic vegetables and fruits: forecast for production and prices in Russia in 2012/2013," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 11, pages 55-60, October.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012, "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2012_04, Jan.
• Eric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012, "Impact des allègements de cotisations patronales des bas salaires sur l'emploi. L'apport des modèles macroéconomiques," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01024681, Dec, DOI: 10.3917/reof.126.0123.
• Eric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012, "Impact des allègements de cotisations patronales des bas salaires sur l'emploi. L'apport des modèles macroéconomiques," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-01024681, Dec, DOI: 10.3917/reof.126.0123.
• François Langot & Lise Patureau & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2012, "Optimal Fiscal Devaluation," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-00989916.
• Biørn, Erik, 2012, "An Econometric Market Model of Capital and Investment Inspired by Haavelmo," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 11/2012, Apr.
• Isabella Sima & Camelia Marin, 2012, "Effects of European Economic and Monetary Integration on the Eurozone Economy – An Econometric View," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, volume 2, issue 4, pages 144-152, October.
• Sukanya Ghosh & P.P. Sengupta & Biman Maity, 2012, "Evidence On The Future Prospects Of Indian Thermal Power Sector In The Perspective Of Depleting Coal Reserve," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 6, issue 1, pages 77-89.
• Nilanjan Ray & Dillip Kumar Das & Partha Pratim Sengupta & Sukanya Ghosh, 2012, "Rural Tourism And It’S Impact On Socioeconomic Condition: Evidence From West Bengal, India," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 6, issue 2, pages 11-22.
• Sebastian Gechert & Henner Will, 2012, "Fiscal Multipliers: A Meta Regression Analysis," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 97-2012.
• Alejandro Rodríguez Arana, 2012, "Estimación de una Ecuación de Euler del Consumo Per Cápita para México: 1980-2010," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 7, issue 1, pages 27-47, Enero-Jun.
• Mihaela BRATU (SIMIONESCU), 2012, "A Strategy To Improve The Gdp Index Forcasts In Romania Using Moving Average Models Of Historical Errors Of The Dobrescu Macromodel," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, volume 35, issue 2(44), pages 128-138, December.
• Langot, François & Patureau, Lise & Sopraseuth, Thepthida, 2012, "Optimal Fiscal Devaluation," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 6624, Jun.
• D. Blueschke & V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva & Ivan Savin, 2012, "New Insights Into Optimal Control of Nonlinear Dynamic Econometric Models: Application of a Heuristic Approach," Jena Economics Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, number 2012-008, Mar.
• Michael Graff & Massimo Mannino & Michael Siegenthaler, 2012, "A real time evaluation of employment forecasts in Switzerland," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 12-320, Nov, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-007568961.
• Báger, Gusztáv & Galbács, Péter & Pulay, Gyula, 2012, "Az állami költségvetés makrogazdasági kockázatainak elemzése
  [Analysing macroeconomic risks in the state budget]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 9, pages 1014-1036.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts:A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 821, Jun.
• Erwin Corong & Lawrence Dacuycuy & Rachel Reyes & Angelo Taningco, 2012, "The Growth and Distributive Impacts of Public Infrastructure Investments in the Philippines," Working Papers MPIA, PEP-MPIA, number 2012-15.
• Antonello D‚Äôagostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012, "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 44, issue 4, pages 715-732, June, DOI: j.1538-4616.2012.00507.x.
• Wayne E. Ferson & Suresh K. Nallareddy & Biqin Xie, 2012, "The "Out of Sample" Performance of Long-run Risk Models," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 17848, Feb.
• Rudiger von Arnim & Daniele Tavani & Laura Barbosa de Carvalho, 2012, "Globalization as coordination failure: A Keynesian perspective," Working Papers, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, number 1202, Apr.
• Iana Liadze & Professor E. Philip Davis, 2012, "Modelling and simulating the banking sectors of the US, Germany and the UK," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 396, Aug.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu, 2012, "A Model To Estimate The Effect Of Global Crisis On The Convergence Process In Eu," New Trends in Modelling and Economic Forecast (MEF 2011), ROMANIAN ACADEMY – INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC FORECASTING;"Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 1, issue 1, pages 11-27, January.
• Szilárd Benk & Zoltán M. Jakab, 2012, "Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Consolidation: An Analysis with an Estimated DSGE Model for the Hungarian Economy," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 945, Mar, DOI: 10.1787/5k9d195t38mv-en.
• Åsa Johansson & Yvan Guillemette & Fabrice Murtin & David Turner & Giuseppe Nicoletti & Christine de la Maisonneuve & Guillaume Bousquet & Francesca Spinelli, 2012, "Looking to 2060: Long-Term Global Growth Prospects: A Going for Growth Report," OECD Economic Policy Papers, OECD Publishing, number 3, Nov, DOI: 10.1787/5k8zxpjsggf0-en.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Derry O’Brien, 2012, "Nowcasting Irish GDP," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2012, issue 2, pages 21-31, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2012-5k92n2pwccwb.
• Mereuţă Cezar, 2012, "Dinamica structurii economiei. Pe ce structuri ne bazăm?," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
• Lilia Karnizova, 2012, "News Shocks, Productivity and the U.S. Investment Boom-Bust Cycle," Working Papers, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics, number 1201E.
• ªarlea Mihaela & Manþa ªtefan George & Vãidean Viorela Ligia, 2012, "The Monetary Policy of China- An Econometric Model," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 1, pages 126-131, May.
• Moraru Camelia & Popovici Norina, 2012, "Models of Economic Growth. Case Study: Central and Eastern Europe," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 1, pages 236-240, May.
• Bratu (Simionescu) Mihaela, 2012, "Macroeconomic Forecasts Comparisons in Romania During the Crisis Using New Methods of Assessing the Predictions Accuracy," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 3, pages 1-24, Decembre.
• Moraru Camelia & Popovici Norina & Dumitrescu Mihaela, 2012, "The Impact of Budgetary Expenditures on Economic Growth," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 3, pages 1-36, Decembre.
• Dilyana Dimova, 2012, "The Role of Consumer Leverage in Generating Financial Crises," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 631, Nov.
• Patrycja Chodnicka, 2012, "Geographical Risk Of Money Laundering In The European Banking System," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, volume 3, issue 3, pages 103-123, September, DOI: 10.12775/OeC.2012.017.
• Mihaela Bratu (Simionescu), 2012, "The Accuracy and Bias Evaluation of the USA Unemployment Rate Forecasts. Methods to Improve the Forecasts Accuracy," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, volume 12, issue 4, pages 17-32.
• Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L., 2012, "On the mathematic prediction of economic and social crises: toward a harmonic interpretation of the Kondratiev wave," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 37771, Mar.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012, "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38591, Feb.
• Moayedi, Vafa, 2012, "Detecting Islamic Calendar Effects on U.S. Meat Consumption: Is the Muslim Population Larger than Widely Assumed?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 41554, Mar.
• Doran, Justin & Fingleton, Bernard, 2012, "Economic shocks and growth: spatio-temporal perspectives on Europe's economies in a time of crisis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47292, Aug.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2012, "European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49170.
• Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, 2012, "Estimating Impacts of Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand in India," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 50902, Dec.
• Filip, Marcin, 2012, "Gospodarcze efekty organizacji we Wrocławiu Mistrzostw Europy w piłce nożnej UEFA EURO 2012™
  [Economic impacts of UEFA Euro 2012 staging in Wroclaw]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58207.
• Fedotenkov, Igor & van Groezen, Bas & Meijdam, Lex, 2012, "International trade with pensions and demographic shocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 74874, Mar, revised 31 May 2016.
• Jacques Kibambe Ngoie & Arnold Zellner, 2012, "Modeling and Policy Analysis for the U.S. Science Sector," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201207, Feb.
• Jacques Kibambe Ngoie & Arnold Zellner, 2012, "Evaluation of the Effects of Reduced Personal and Corporate Tax Rates on the Growth Rates of the U.S. Economy," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201217, May.
• Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2012, "Predictive Ability of Competing Models for South Africa’s Fixed Business Non- Residential Investment Spending," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201229, Oct.
• Martin Janíčko & Marek Mičúch & Zdeněk Chytil, 2012, "Possible Impact of the 2008-2009 Economic Crisis on Czech Potential Output Through the Labour Market," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2012, issue 4, pages 3-25, DOI: 10.18267/j.aop.372.
• Gary Koop, 2012, "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, volume 4, issue 3, pages 143-167, September.
• Mihaela BRATU (SIMIONESCU), 2012, "The Accuracy Of Unemployment Rate Forecasts In Romania And The Actual Economic Crisis," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, volume 11, issue 2, pages 56-67.
• Peter Tulip & Stephanie Wallace, 2012, "Estimates of Uncertainty around the RBA's Forecasts," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2012-07, Nov.
• Winkelried, Diego, 2012, "Predicting quarterly aggregates with monthly indicators," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2012-023, Dec.
• Ayse Imrohoroglu & Kaiji Chen, 2012, "Debt and the U.S. Economy," 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 229.
• pengfei Wang & Tao Zha & Zheng Liu, 2012, "Land-Price Dynamics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 85.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012, "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 11_12, Mar.
• Mihaela BRATU SIMIONESCU, 2012, "Two Quantitative Forecasting Methods For Macroeconomic Indicators In Czech Republic," Annals of Spiru Haret University, Economic Series, Universitatea Spiru Haret, volume 3, issue 1, pages 71-87.
• Chang, Chia Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & Mcaleer, Michael, 2012, "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 3, pages 22-43, September.
• Mihaela Bratu (Simionescu), 2012, "Improving the accuracy of consensus forecasts for the EURO area," Review of Applied Socio-Economic Research, Pro Global Science Association, volume 4, issue 2, pages 11-15, Decembre.
• Tupac Panigo, Demian & Chena, Pablo Ignacio, 2012, "Regulationist Macro-Models for Developing Countries. An Application to the Argentine New Development Pattern," Revue de la Régulation - Capitalisme, institutions, pouvoirs, Association Recherche et Régulation, volume 11.
• Jonathan Goyette & Giovanni Gallipoli, 2012, "Distortions, Efficiency and the Size Distribution of Firms," Cahiers de recherche, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke, number 12-06, Feb.
• Jonathan Goyette, 2012, "Optimal tax threshold: the consequences on efficiency of official vs. effective enforcement," Cahiers de recherche, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke, number 12-07, Apr.
• John Taylor & John Cogan & Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2012, "Fiscal Consolidation Strategy," Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, number 11-015, Jun.
• Matías Mayor & Roberto Patuelli, 2012, "Short-Run Regional Forecasts: Spatial Models through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions," Advances in Spatial Science, Springer, chapter 0, in: Esteban Fernández Vázquez & Fernando Rubiera Morollón, "Defining the Spatial Scale in Modern Regional Analysis", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-31994-5_9.
• Axel Börsch-Supan, 2012, "Wie gut können wir die Folgen des demographischen Wandels abschätzen? Was ist sicher? Wozu brauchen wir bessere Daten?," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, volume 6, issue 1, pages 65-82, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11943-012-0120-z.
• Francesco Bosello & Lorenza Campagnolo & Fabio Eboli & Ramiro Parrado, 2012, "Energy from waste: generation potential and mitigation opportunity," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, volume 14, issue 4, pages 403-420, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10018-012-0043-5.
• Bettina Bahn-Walkowiak & Raimund Bleischwitz & Martin Distelkamp & Mark Meyer, 2012, "Taxing construction minerals: a contribution to a resource-efficient Europe," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, volume 25, issue 1, pages 29-43, July, DOI: 10.1007/s13563-012-0018-9.
• Ángel Cuevas & Enrique Quilis, 2012, "A factor analysis for the Spanish economy," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 3, issue 3, pages 311-338, September, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-011-0060-9.
• Máximo Camacho & Rafael Doménech, 2012, "MICA-BBVA: a factor model of economic and financial indicators for short-term GDP forecasting," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 3, issue 4, pages 475-497, December, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-011-0078-z.
• Frantisek Hajnovic & Juraj Zeman, 2012, "Fiscal Space in the Euro zone," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number WP 5/2012, Dec.
• Loretti I. Dobrescu, 2012, "To love or to pay: Savings and health care in older age," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2012-51, Dec.
• Simeon Vosen & Torsten Schmidt, 2012, "A monthly consumption indicator for Germany based on Internet search query data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 19, issue 7, pages 683-687, May, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595673.
• Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Gonul Sengul, 2012, "Nowcasting Unemployment Rate in Turkey : Let's Ask Google," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1218.
• Arif Oduncu, 2012, "Determinants of Precautionary Savings : Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution vs. Risk Aversion," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1227.
• Alin OPREANA & Diana MIHAIU, 2012, "Fiscal policy and the optimal gdp under a budget constrain condition," Anale. Seria Stiinte Economice. Timisoara, Faculty of Economics, Tibiscus University in Timisoara, volume 0, pages 775-782, May.
• Warwick J. McKibbin & Andrew B. Stoeckel, 2012, "Global Fiscal Consolidation," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, volume 11, issue 1, pages 124-146, Winter/Sp.
• Jane Golley & Rod Tyers, 2012, "Demographic Dividends, Dependencies, and Economic Growth in China and India," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, volume 11, issue 3, pages 1-26, Fall.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2012-14, Jun.
• Shalini Mitra, 2012, "Does Financial Development Cause Higher Firm Volatility and Lower Aggregate Volatility?," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2012-07, Mar.
• Jane Golley & Rod Tyers, 2012, "Demographic Dividends, Dependencies and Economic Growth in China and India," Economics Discussion / Working Papers, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics, number 12-03.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu, 2012, "Quantifying The Impact Of Current Crisis On The Convergence In Eu And Post-Crisis Scenarios," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa12p433, Oct.
• Chew Lian Chua & G. C. Lim & Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2012, "A latent variable approach to forecasting the unemployment rate," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 31, issue 3, pages 229-244, April.
• Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012, "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 44, issue 4, pages 715-732, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00507.x.
• Mihaela Bratu, 2012, "Econometric Models or Smoothing Exponential Techniques to Predict Macroeconomic Indicators in Romania," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, volume 15, issue 2, pages 87-100, November.
• Cogan, John F. & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2012, "Fiscal consolidation strategy," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 2012/12.
• Vosen, Simeon & Schmidt, Torsten, 2012, "A monthly consumption indicator for Germany based on Internet search query data," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 19, issue 7, pages 683-687.
• Lancastle, Neil, 2012, "Circuit theory extended: The role of speculation in crises," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2012-30.
• Lancastle, Neil, 2012, "Circuit theory extended: The role of speculation in crises," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 6, pages 1-27, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2012-.
• Cogan, John F. & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012, "Fiscal consolidation strategy," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 61.
• Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012, "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 62.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & El-Shagi, Makram & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, , 2012, "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 18, issue 3, pages 80-113.
• Ludwig, Udo & Loose, Brigitte & Exß, Franziska, 2012, "Im Lichte neuer Daten: Ostdeutschland liegt ökonomisch weiter zurück als vermutet," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 18, issue 7, pages 204-208.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dovern, Jon, 2012, "Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 18, issue 8-9, pages 228-258.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Drechsel, Katja & Loose, Brigitte, 2012, "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 18, issue 8-9, pages 259-262.
• Ludwig, Udo & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Loose, Brigitte & Exß, Franziska, 2012, "Ostdeutsche Wirtschaft im Jahr 2012: Im Sog der allgemeinen Abkühlung der Konjunktur," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 18, issue 8-9, pages 263-289.
• Quaas, Georg & Köster, Robert, 2012, "Ein Modell für die Wirtschaftszweige der deutschen Volkswirtschaft: Das "MOGBOT" (Model of Germany's Branches of Trade)," Working Papers, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science, number 106.
• Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon, 2012, "Using Internet Data to Account for Special Events in Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 382, DOI: 10.4419/86788437.

2011

• Spencer D. Krane, 2011, "Professional Forecasters' View of Permanent and Transitory Shocks to GDP," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 3, issue 1, pages 184-211, January.
• Chapman, Bruce & Lounkaew, Kiatanantha, 2011, "How Many Jobs is 23,510, Really? Recasting the Mining Job Loss Debate," Working Papers, Australian National University, Centre for Climate Economics & Policy, number 249529, Jul, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.249529.
• Constanta Iacob & Maria Criveanu & Oana Staiculescu, 2011, "Measuring The Impact Of Creative Management Control On The Smes And Free Enterprises (Professions) Performances," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 3, issue 39, pages 76-83.
• Mihaela Bratu, 2011, "The Assessement Of Uncertainty In Predictions Determined By The Variables Aggregation," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, volume 2, issue 13, pages 1-31.
• Terciane Sabadini Carvalho & Edson Paulo Domingues & Admir Antonio Betarelli Junior & Aline Souza Magalhães & Flaviane Santiago, 2011, "Repercussõessetoriais E Regionais Da Crise Econômica De 2009 No Brasil: Simulaçõesem Um Modelo De Equilíbrio Geral Computável De Dinâmica Recursiva," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting], ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], number 200.
• Assen Kovatchev, 2011, "Measuring the Equilibrium Sustainability and Efficiency of the Economic Development," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 30-41.
• Assen Kovatchev, 2011, "Optimizing the Restructuring Process of the Economic Development," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 21-33.
• Maximo Camacho & Agustin Garcia-Serrador, 2011, "The Euro-Sting revisited: PMI versus ESI to obtain euro area GDP forecasts," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 1120, Jun.
• Javier Alonso & Rafael Domenech Vilariño & David Tuesta, 2011, "Sistemas Publicos de Pensiones y la crisis fiscal en la zona euro. Ensenanzas para America Latina," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 1123, May.
• Javier Alonso & Rafael Domenech & David Tuesta, 2011, "Public Pension Systems and the Fiscal Crisis in the Euro Zone. Lessons for Latin America," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 1124, May.
• Kimberly Beaton & Brigitte Desroches, 2011, "Financial Spillovers Across Countries: The Case of Canada and the United States," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 11-1, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2011-1.
• Michael Danquah & Enrique Moral-Benito & Bazoumana Ouattara, 2011, "TFP growth and its determinants: nonparametrics and model averaging," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1104, Apr.
• L. Ferrara., 2011, "Forecasting the business cycle. Summary of the 8th International Institute of Forecasters workshop hosted by the Banque de France on 1-2 December 2011 in Paris," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 24, pages 135-144, Winter.
• Ramon Marimon & Albert Marcet, 2015, "Recursive Contracts," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 552, Sep.
• Alfredo García‐Hiernaux, 2011, "Forecasting linear dynamical systems using subspace methods," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 32, issue 5, pages 462-468, September.
• Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang, 2011, "Appreciating the Renminbi," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 34, issue 2, pages 265-297, February.
• ALBU Lucian-Liviu, 2011, "Changes In Economy Or Changes In Economics?," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 55, issue 2, pages 28-31.
• Arvid Raknerud & Bjørn Helge Vatne & Ketil Rakkestad, 2011, "How do banks’ funding costs affect interest margins?," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2011/09, Jul.
• Richard Harrison & Ryland Thomas & Iain de Weymarn, 2011, "The impact of permanent energy price shocks on the UK economy," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 433, Jul.
• Pesaran, M.H. & Pick, A. & Timmermann, A., 2009, "Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0901, Jan.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 11/16, Apr.
• Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 11/22, May.
• Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 11/25, Jun.
• Harish Mani & G. Bhalachandran & V. N. Pandit, 2011, "Public Investment In Agricultural And Gdp Growth-- Another Look At The Inter Sectoral Linkages And Policy Implications," Working papers, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics, number 201, Aug.
• Rosetta Lombardo & Marianna Falcone, 2011, "Crime And Economic Performance. A Cluster Analysis Of Panel Data On Italy'S Nuts 3 Regions," Working Papers, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF, number 201112, Oct.
• Frantisek Brazdik & Michal Hlavacek & Ales Marsal, 2011, "Survey of Research on Financial Sector Modeling within DSGE Models: What Central Banks Can Learn from It," Research and Policy Notes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2011/03, Dec.
• Javier Contreras-Reyes & Byron Idrovo, 2011, "En busca de un modelo Benchmark univariado para predecir la tasa de desempleo," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Jorge Mario Uribe Gil & Inés María Ulloa Villegas, 2011, "Revisando la hipótesis de los mercados eficientes: nuevos datos, nuevas crisis y nuevas estimaciones," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Andr�s Gonz�lez & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodr�guez & Norberto Rodr�guez, 2011, "Asimetr�as del empleo y el producto, una aproximaci�n de equilibrio general," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 8890, Aug.
• Coen Teulings & Nick Zubanov, 2011, "Is economic recovery a myth? Robust estimation of impulse responses," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 131, May.
• Kulish, Mariano & Jones, Callum, 2011, "A Graphical Representation of an Estimated DSGE Model," Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP, number 3, May.
• Helmut Herwartz & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011, "In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 1173.
• Mihaela BRATU, 2011, "The Uncertainty of USA GDP Forecasts Determined by the Variables Aggregation," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 30, pages 109-122, November.
• Barbara Rossi, 2011, "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics, number 11-20.
• Steve Keen, 2011, "Debunking Macroeconomics," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 41, issue 3, pages 147-168, December.
• Buchen, Teresa & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2011, "Forecasting with many predictors: Is boosting a viable alternative?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 113, issue 1, pages 16-18, October.
• Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Tillmann, Peter, 2011, "Do FOMC members herd?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 113, issue 2, pages 176-179, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.07.016.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver & Herwartz, Helmut, 2011, "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 4, pages 1058-1065, October.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2011, "How accurate are government forecasts of economic fundamentals? The case of Taiwan," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 4, pages 1066-1075, October.
• Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2011, "Forecasting U.S. car sales and car registrations in Japan: Rationality, accuracy and herding," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 4, pages 253-258, DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2011.09.002.
• Jane Golley & Rod Tyers, 2011, "Contrasting Giants: Demographic Change And Economic Performance In China And India," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2011-10, May.
• Bruce Chapman & Kiatanantha Lounkaew, 2011, "How Many Jobs is 23,510, Really? Recasting the Mining Job Loss Debate," CCEP Working Papers, Centre for Climate & Energy Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 1106, Jul.
• Bruce Chapman, 2011, "How Many Jobs is 23,510, Really?," Crawford School Research Papers, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 1104, May.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu, 2011, "A model to estimate the effect of global crisis on the convergence process in EU," EcoMod2011, EcoMod, number 3362, Jul.
• Edwin Le Heron, 2011, "Confidence and financial crisis in a post-Keynesian stock flow consistent model," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 8, issue 2, pages 361-387.
• Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2011, "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2011-22, Jun.
• Chen, C.W.S. & Gerlach, R. & Hwang, B.B.K. & McAleer, M.J., 2011, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intraday Range," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2011-17, Jun.
• Durkan, Joe & O'Sullivan, Cormac, 2011, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2011," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20111, March.
• Durkan, Joe & Duffy, David & O'Sullivan, Cormac, 2011, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2011," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20112, March.
• Durkan, Joe & Duffy, David & O'Sullivan, Cormac, 2011, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2011," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20113, March.
• Albert Marcet & Ramon Marimon, 2011, "Recursive Contracts," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2011/15.
• Katerina Arnostova & David Havrlant & Luboš Rùžièka & Peter Tóth, 2011, "Short-Term Forecasting of Czech Quarterly GDP Using Monthly Indicators," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 61, issue 6, pages 566-583, December.
• Frédéric Reynes & Yasser Yeddir-Tamsamani & Gaël Callonec, 2011, "Presentation of the Three-ME model: Multi-sector Macroeconomic Model for the Evaluation of Environmental and Energy policy," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE), number 2011-10, May.
• Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Tao Zha, 2011, "Land-price dynamics and macroeconomic fluctuations," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2011-11.
• Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Tao Zha, 2011, "Land-price dynamics and macroeconomic fluctuations," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-26.
• Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2011, "Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 11-5.
• M. Caivano & L. Rodano & S. Siviero, 2011, "The Transmission of the Global Financial Crisis to the Italian Economy," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1-32, December.
• Edwin Le Héron, 2011, "Confidence and financial crisis in a post-keynesian stock-flow consistent model," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00646622, Sep, DOI: 10.4337/ejeep.2011.02.09.
• Karpestam, Peter & Andersson, Fredrik N G, 2011, "International Remittances – A proposal how to test hypotheses about determinants of remittances with macroeconomic time series," Working Papers, Lund University, Department of Economics, number 2011:1, Jan.