Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

---

Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E2: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
/ / / E27: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2010

• Döhrn, Roland & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2010, "Information or Institution? – On the Determinants of Forecast Accuracy," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 201.
• Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon, 2010, "A monthly consumption indicator for Germany based on internet search query data," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 208.

2009

• Terence C. Mills, 2009, "Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series: historical perspective and future developments," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), volume 3, issue 3, pages 221-244, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11698-008-0031-y.
• Eboli, Fabio & Parrado, Ramiro & Roson, Roberto, 2009, "Climate Change Feedback on Economic Growth: Explorations with a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Sustainable Development Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 52339, Jun, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.52339.
• Garabed Minassian, 2009, "Ex Ante Crises’ Indications," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 98-118.
• Kimberly Beaton, 2009, "Credit Constraints and Consumer Spending," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-25, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2009-25.
• Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2009, "Ñ-STING: España Short Term INdicator of Growth," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0912, Jun.
• Engelberg, Joseph & Manski, Charles F. & Williams, Jared, 2009, "Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, pages 30-41.
• Pamfili Antipa & Rémy Lecat, 2009, "The housing bubble and financial factors: Insights from a structural model of the French and Spanish residential markets," Working papers, Banque de France, number 267.
• Shawkat Hammoudeh & Ramazan Sari & Bradley T. Ewing, 2009, "Relationships Among Strategic Commodities And With Financial Variables: A New Look," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, volume 27, issue 2, pages 251-264, April, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.2008.00126.x.
• Ha-Hyun Jo & Sun-Oong Hwang, 2009, "Forecasting Economic Variables Using Disaggregated Data for Consumer Expectations: A Comparison of Forecast Combination Methods (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 15, issue 1, pages 1-38, March.
• Christian Morrisson & Fabrice Murtin, 2009, "The Century of Education," CEE Discussion Papers, Centre for the Economics of Education, LSE, number 0109, Sep.
• Christian Morrisson & Fabrice Murtin, 2009, "The Century of Education," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0934, Jun.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Andreas Pick & Allan Timmermann, 2009, "Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2543.
• António Bento Ratão Caleiro & Andreia Teixeira Marques Dionísio & Esmeralda de Jesus Ratinho Lopes Arranhado Ramalho, 2009, "Consumer Confidence in Portugal: What Does it Really Matter?," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal), number 2009_13.
• Jan Babecky & Kamil Dybczak, 2009, "The Impact of Population Ageing on the Czech Economy," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2009/1, Sep.
• Ignacio Velez-Pareja, 2009, "Metodos de pronostico," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración, Master Consultores, number 5675, Jun.
• Giovanni Efraín Reyes Ortiz, 2009, "Latinoamérica y el Caribe 2007-2010: crisis y perspectivas de recuperación en el crecimiento económico," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, volume 10, issue 2, pages 57-76.
• Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan & Pick, Andreas, 2009, "Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7139, Jan.
• Söderlind, Paul, 2009, "Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7250, Apr.
• Voth, Hans-Joachim & Voigtländer, Nico, 2009, "The Three Horsemen of Growth: Plague, War and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7275, Apr.
• Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo, 2009, "Introducing the Euro-STING: Short-Term Indicator of Euro Area Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7343, Jun.
• Vincent BODART & Philippe LEDENT & Fatemeh SHADMAN-METHA, 2009, "An Employment Equation for Belgium," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 2009016, Jun.
• Mabugu, Ramos & Chitiga, Margaret, 2009, "Is increased agricultural protection beneficial for South Africa?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 1, pages 256-265, January.
• Soto, Raimundo, 2009, "Dollarization, economic growth, and employment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 105, issue 1, pages 42-45, October.
• Morrison, Christian & Murtin, Fabrice, 2009, "The century of education," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 51583.
• Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2009, "How Accurate are Government Forecast of Economic Fundamentals?," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2009-09, Jul.
• Dean Baker, 2009, "The Housing Crash Recession and the Case for a Third Stimulus," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR), number 2009-10, Mar.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean, 2009, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2009," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20093, March.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean & Conefrey, Thomas, 2009, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2009," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20094, March.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean, 2009, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2009," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20091, March.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean, 2009, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2009," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20092, March.
• Andreas Jonsson & Staffan Lindén, 2009, "The quest for the best consumer confidence indicator," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 372, Mar.
• António Caleiro, 2009, "Um teste a relacao entre os niveis de confianca e de desemprego em Portugal," Economics Working Papers, University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal), number 09_2009.
• Fabio Eboli & Ramiro Parrado & Roberto Roson, 2009, "Climate Change Feedback on Economic Growth: Explorations with a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2009.43, Jun.
• Christian Morrisson & Fabrice Murtin, 2009, "The century of education," PSE Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-00586751, May.
• Christian Morrisson & Fabrice Murtin, 2009, "The century of education," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-00586751, May.
• Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009, "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," Harvard Business School Working Papers, Harvard Business School, number 10-023, Sep, revised Jul 2010.
• Österholm, Pär, 2009, "Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 112, Jun.
• C. L. Chua & G. C. Lim & Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2009, "A Latent Variable Approach to Forecasting the Unemployment Rate," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2009n19, Jul.
• Andi M. Alfian Parewangi, 2009, "Dampak Krisis Global Terhadap Perekonomian Daerah: Aplikasi Model Computable General Equilibrium Di Maluku," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, volume 11, issue 4, pages 323-343, April, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v11i4.
• Ilona Kovács, 2009, "Work and citizenship: crises and alternatives," Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, IET/CICS.NOVA-Interdisciplinary Centre on Social Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, volume 5, issue 5, pages 37-58, November.
• Dmitry CHISTILIN, 2009, "The Forecast Of Forming The Global System Institutions On The Basis Of Simulation Modeling: The Main Principles," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, volume 28, issue 1(37), pages 86-101, June.
• Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009, "Prognosekrise: Warum weniger manchmal mehr ist," IZA Standpunkte, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 4, Apr.
• Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009, "Der Berater als Störenfried: Anmerkungen zur wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Politikberatung," IZA Standpunkte, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 8, Apr.
• Börsch-Supan Axel & Ludwig Alexander, 2009, "Living Standards in an Aging Germany: The Benefits of Reforms and the Costs of Resistance," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 229, issue 2-3, pages 163-179, April, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2009-2-306.
• Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009, "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 28, issue 5, pages 387-404, DOI: 10.1002/for.1103.
• Chew Lian Chua & Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2009, "Can consumer sentiment and its components forecast Australian GDP and consumption?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 28, issue 8, pages 698-711, DOI: 10.1002/for.1120.
• Silvia Fedeli & Francesco Forte, 2009, "The Laffer effects of a program of deregulation cum detaxation: the Italian reform of labour contracts in the period 1997–2001," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, volume 27, issue 3, pages 211-232, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10657-008-9087-1.
• Roberto Patuelli & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp & Norbert Schanne, 2009, "Neural Networks for Cross-Sectional Employment Forecasts: A Comparison of Model Specifications for Germany," Quaderni della facoltà di Scienze economiche dell'Università di Lugano, USI Università della Svizzera italiana, number 0903, Feb.
• Hélène Maisonnave & Bernard Decaluwé & Margaret Chitiga, 2009, "Does South African Affirmative Action Policy Reduce Poverty? a CGE Analysis," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 0936.
• George A. Christodoulakis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, 2009, "Labour Market Dynamics in EU: a Bayesian Markov Chain Approach," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2009_07, Apr, revised Apr 2009.
• Börsch-Supan, Axel & Gasche, Martin & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2009, "Auswirkungen der Finanzkrise auf die private Altersvorsorge," MEA discussion paper series, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, number 09193, Dec.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2009, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2009," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-29, June.
• Frank Schorfheide & Keith Sill & Maxym Kryshko, 2009, "DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Non-modelled Variables," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14872, Apr.
• Shawkat M. Hammoudeh & Yuan Yuan & Michael McAleer, 2009, "Modeling Exchange Rate and Industrial Commodity Volatility Transmissions," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0096, Feb.
• Carlos C. Bautista & Roberto S. Mariano & Bayani Victor Bawagan, 2009, "The NEDA quarterly macroeconomic model: theoretical structure and some empirical results," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, volume 46, issue 2, pages 240-260, December.
• Bhattacharya, Sulagna, 2009, "Trickle-Down Effects of Changing Value of Euro on US Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15280, May.
• D'Amuri, Francesco/FD & Marcucci, Juri/JM, 2009, ""Google it!" Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18248, Oct.
• Francesco, D'Amuri, 2009, "Predicting unemployment in short samples with internet job search query data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18403, Oct.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2009, "Влияние Трудовой Эмиграции На Рынок Труда В Латвии
  [Influence of Labour Migration on Latvia's Labour Market]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18771, Oct.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2009, "Krīzes un 2009. gada nodokļu politikas izmaiņu ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku
  [Influence of the Crisis and 2009 Tax Policy Changes on the Latvian Economy]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19141.
• Vonnegut, Andrew, 2009, "Institutions and initial conditions in transition: reconciling neo-institutional and neo-classical conceptions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24563, revised 2010.
• Jonsson, Andreas & Lindén, Staffan, 2009, "The quest for the best consumer confidence indicator," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25515, Mar.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2009, "Nodokļu ieņēmumu modelēšana, izmantojot sistēmdinamikas metodi
  [Taxes income modeling with system dynamic method]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27096.
• Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009, "Is the Permanent Income Hypothesis Really Well-Suited for Forecasting?," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200909, Mar.
• Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009, "The Effect Of Defense Spending On Us Output: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200911, Mar.
• Patrick Minford & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2009, "Vicious and virtuous circles--The political economy of unemployment," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200914, Jun.
• Angus Deaton & Alan Heston, 2009, "Understanding PPPs and PPP-based national accounts," Working Papers, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Research Program in Development Studies., number 1186, Nov.
• Angus Deaton & Olivier Dupriez, 2009, "Purchasing power parity exchange rates for the global poor," Working Papers, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Research Program in Development Studies., number 1187, Nov.
• Paulo Esteves, 2009, "Are ATM/POS Data Relevant When Nowcasting Private Consumption?," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w200925.
• Roberto Patuelli & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp & Norbert Schanne, 2009, "Neural Networks for Regional Employment Forecasts: Are the Parameters Relevant?," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 07_09, Jan, revised Feb 2010.
• Axel Börsch-Supan & Alexander Ludwig, 2009, "Old Europe Ages. Can it Still Prosper?," ADBI Working Papers, Asian Development Bank Institute, number 168, Nov.
• Warwick J. McKibbin & Waranya Pim Chanthapun, 2009, "Exchange Rate Regimes in the Asia-Pacific Region and the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration, Asian Development Bank, number 36, Oct.
• Nicolas Della Penna & Haifang Huang, 2009, "Constructing Consumer Sentiment Index for U.S. Using Google Searches," Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics, number 2009-26, Oct.
• Scutaru, Cornelia & Saman, Corina & Stanica, Cristian, 2009, "The Relation between Predictability and Complexity: Domestic and Public Consumption in the Romanian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 6, issue 3, pages 34-46, September.
• Nicolas Alexis Cuche-Curti & Harris Dellas & Jean-Marc Natal, 2009, "A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Switzerland," Economic Studies, Swiss National Bank, number 2009-05.
• Paul Söderlind, 2009, "Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2009-04.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2009, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-637, Aug.
• Alfredo García-Hiernaux, 2009, "Forecasting linear dynamical systems using subspace methods," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2009-02.
• Christian Morrisson & Fabrice Murtin, 2009, "The Century of Education," Journal of Human Capital, University of Chicago Press, volume 3, issue 1, pages 1-42, DOI: 10.1086/600102.
• Harvie, Charles & Cox, Grant M, 2009, "Resource Price Turbulence and Macroeconomic Adjustment for a Resource Exporter: a conceptual framework for policy analysis," Economics Working Papers, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia, number wp09-06.
• Paul Soderlind, 2009, "Reaction of Swiss Term Premia to Monetary Policy Surprises," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2009, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen, number 2009-33, Dec.
• Patuelli, R. & Reggiani, A. & Nijkamp, P. & Schanne, N., 2009, "Neural networks for cross-sectional employment forecasts: a comparison of model specifications for germany," Serie Research Memoranda, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics, number 0014.
• Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon, 2009, "Forecasting Private Consumption: Survey-based Indicators vs. Google Trends," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 155.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2009, "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2009-052.

2008

• Michael Feil & Sabine Klinger & Gerd Zika, 2008, "Der Beschäftigungseffekt geringerer Sozialabgaben in Deutschland - Wie beeinflusst die Wahl des Simulationsmodells das Ergebnis?," Schmollers Jahrbuch : Journal of Applied Social Science Studies / Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, volume 128, issue 3, pages 431-460.
• Eboli, Fabio & Parrado, Ramiro & Roson, Roberto, 2008, "Climate Change Feedback on Economic Growth: Explorations with a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 331756.
• Bradut BOLOS, 2008, "Wealth-flow forecasting," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, volume 2, issue 36, pages 755-758, may.
• Garabed Minassian, 2008, "Is the Bulgarian Economy Overheating?," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 3-29.
• Garabed Minassian, 2008, "Is Bulgarian Economy Overheating?," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 21-46.
• Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2008, "Introducing the EURO-STING: Short Term INdicator of Euro Area Growth," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0807, Apr.
• Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008, "Spatial Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting House Prices In Six Metropolitan Areas Of South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 76, issue 2, pages 298-313, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2008.00191.x.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Brien, Derry, 2008, "Now-casting Irish GDP," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 9/RT/08, Nov.
• Monique Ebell & Albrecht Ritschl, 2008, "Real Origins of the Great Depression: Monopoly Power, Unions and the American Business Cycle in the 1920s," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0876, Jun.
• Sandra V. Rozo V., 2008, "Nuevo enfoque para la construcción de un único indicador líder de la actividad económica colombiana," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo.
• Debby Lanser & Henk Kranendonk, 2008, "Investigating uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts by stochastic simulation," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 112, Sep.
• Adam Elbourne & Debby Lanser & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008, "Macroeconomic resilience in a DSGE model," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 96, Jan.
• Minford, Patrick & Matthews, Kent & Naraidoo, Ruthira, 2008, "Vicious and Virtuous Circles - The Political Economy of Unemployment in Interwar UK and USA," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6839, May.
• Christian Dreger & Stefan Kooths, 2008, "Inflation mittelfristig auf höherem Niveau," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 75, issue 20, pages 266-271.
• Martin Gornig & Sebastian Weber, 2008, "Konjunkturprogramm kommt auf dem Bau kaum an," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 75, issue 48, pages 762-769.
• U-Primo E. Rodriguez, 2008, "Impacts of the Free Trade Area of the Pacific (FTAAP) on Production, Consumption, and Trade of the Philippines," Development Economics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 22694, Jan.
• Hahn, Elke & Skudelny, Frauke, 2008, "Early estimates of euro area real GDP growth: a bottom up approach from the production side," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 975, Dec.
• Klump, Rainer & Saam, Marianne, 2008, "Calibration of normalised CES production functions in dynamic models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 99, issue 2, pages 256-259, May.
• Matthews, Kent & Minford, Patrick & Naraidoo, Ruthira, 2008, "Vicious and virtuous circles -- The political economy of unemployment in interwar UK and USA," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, volume 24, issue 3, pages 605-614, September.
• Ebell, Monique & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2008, "Real origins of the great depression: monopoly power, unions and the American business cycle in the 1920s," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 19566, Jun.
• Ebell, Monique & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2008, "Real origins of the great depression: monopoly power, unions and the American business cycle in the 1920s," Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History, number 19566, Jun.
• Fabian Muniesa & Michel Callon, 2008, "La performativité des sciences économiques," CSI Working Papers Series, Centre de Sociologie de l'Innovation (CSI), Mines ParisTech, number 010, Feb.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & O'Brien, Martin, 2008, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2008," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20081, March.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & O'Brien, Martin, 2008, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2008," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20082, March.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean & O'Brien, Martin, 2008, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2008," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20083, March.
• Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean, 2008, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2008," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20084, March.
• Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 2008, "The ECB and the bond market," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 314, Mar.
• Maxym Kryshko & Frank Schorfheide & Keith Sill, 2008, "DSGE model-based forecasting of non-modelled variables," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 08-17.
• Erick Rengifo & Emanuela Trifan, 2008, "How Investors Face Financial Risk Loss Aversion and Wealth Allocation," Fordham Economics Discussion Paper Series, Fordham University, Department of Economics, number dp2008-01.
• Thomas Drosdowski & Marc Ingo Wolter, 2008, "Sozioökonomische Modellierung: Integration der Sozioökonomischen Gesamtrechnung (SGR) des Statistischen Bundesamtes in DEMOS II," GWS Discussion Paper Series, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research, number 08-8.
• Chew Lian Chua & Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2008, "Can Consumer Sentiment and Its Components Forecast Australian GDP and Consumption?," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2008n03, Feb.
• Galo Nuño Barrau, 2008, "Schumpeterian Foundations of Real Business Cycles," Working Papers, International Economics Institute, University of Valencia, number 0805, Dec.
• António Brandão Moniz, 2008, "Assessing scenarios on the future of work," Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, IET/CICS.NOVA-Interdisciplinary Centre on Social Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, volume 4, issue 4, pages 91-106, November.
• Raimundo Soto, 2008, "Dollarization, Economic Growth, and Employment," Documentos de Trabajo, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., number 338.
• Philippe J. Deschamps, 2008, "Comparing smooth transition and Markov switching autoregressive models of US unemployment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 23, issue 4, pages 435-462, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1014.
• Alexei G. Orlov & John Roufagalas, 2008, "Capital-Labor Complementarities In R&D Production And The Lingering Effects Of Economic Slowdowns," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, volume 33, issue 1, pages 1-25, June.
• Yoshino, Hisao, 2008, "Technology Choice, Change of Trade Structure, and A Case of Hungarian Economy," IDE Discussion Papers, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO), number 139, Mar.
• Maximilian J. B. Hall & Dadang Muljawan & Suprayogi & Lolita Moorena, 2008, "Using The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to Assess Bank Credit Risk: A Case Study of Indonesia," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, number 2008_06, Jul, revised Jul 2008.
• Prakash Raj Sapkota & John Cockburn, 2008, "Trade Liberalization and Poverty in Nepal: an Applied General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers MPIA, PEP-MPIA, number 2008-13.
• George Christodoulakis & Emmanuel Mamatzakis, 2008, "Asymmetries in the sport-forward G10 exchange rates: an answer to an old puzzle?," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2008_12, Sep, revised Sep 2008.
• John Galbraith & Greg Tkacz, 2008, "Electronic Transactions As High-Frequency Indicators Of Economics Activity," Departmental Working Papers, McGill University, Department of Economics, number 2008-04, Mar.
• Rafal Kierzenkowski & Patrice Ollivaud & Franck Sédillot & Philippe Briard, 2008, "Estimating a Supply Block for Poland," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 601, Apr, DOI: 10.1787/243218687811.
• Rodriguez, U-Primo E., 2008, "Impacts of the Free Trade Area of the Pacific (FTAAP) on Production, Consumption, and Trade of the Philippines," Discussion Papers, Philippine Institute for Development Studies, number DP 2008-20, DOI: https://doi.org/10.62986/dp2008.20.
• Baldursson, Fridrik M. & Hall, Axel, 2008, "Out of reach? Convergence to an inflation target in the Central Bank of Iceland's macroeconomic model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 13930, Sep.
• Mendonca, Gui Pedro, 2008, "Structural Breaks, Regime Change and Asymmetric Adjustment: A Short and Long Run Global Approach to the Output/Unemployment Dynamics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14648, Nov.
• Dudek, Sławomir, 2008, "Consumer Survey Data and short-term forecasting of households consumption expenditures in Poland," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19818, Aug.
• Guzman, Giselle C., 2008, "Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36653, Oct.
• Bell, William Paul, 2008, "Adaptive interactive profit expectations using small world networks and runtime weighted model averaging," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38027, Dec.
• Nuno Barrau, Galo, 2008, "Schumpeterian Foundations of Real Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9430, Jun.
• Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2008, "A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200805, Apr.
• Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008, "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200813, Jun.
• Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008, "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200821, Jun.
• Silvia Fedeli & Francesco Forte, 2008, "Deregolamentazione del mercato del lavoro ed effetto Laffer: evidenza empirica dall’Italia (1997-2001) / Labour deregulation and the Laffer curve:empirical evidence from Italy (1997-2001)," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 61, issue 2-3, pages 313-338.
• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley, 2008, "China’s Real Exchange Rate Puzzle," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 23, pages 547-574.
• Scutaru, Cornelia & Saman, Corina & Stanica, Cristian, 2008, "Predictability And Complexity In Macroeconomics. The Case Of Gross Fixed Capital Formation In The Romanian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 5, issue 4, pages 196-205, December.
• Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2008, "Strain and Inflation-Unemployment Relationship in Transitional Economies: A theoretical and empirical investigation," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, number 081103, Nov.
• Daianu, Daniel & Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2008, "Strain and Inflation-Unemployment Relationship: A conceptual and empirical investigation," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, number 081201, Dec.
• Silvia Fedeli & Francesco Forte & Ernesto Zangari, 2008, "An Econometric Analysis of the Employment and Revenue Effects of the Treu Reform in the Period 1997-2001," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, volume 98, issue 1, pages 215-248, January-F.
• Deborah Johnston, 2008, "Bias, Not Error: Assessments of the Economic Impact of HIV/AIDS Using Evidence from Micro Studies in Sub-Saharan Africa," Feminist Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 14, issue 4, pages 87-115, DOI: 10.1080/13545700802262915.
• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Bu Yongxiang & Iain Bain, 2008, "China's economic growth and its real exchange rate," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 1, issue 2, pages 123-145, DOI: 10.1080/17538960802076455.
• Frank A.G. den Butter & Pieter W. Jansen, 2008, "Beating the Random Walk: a Performance Assessment of Long-term Interest Rate Forecasts," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 08-102/3, Oct.
• Liu, G. & Gupta, R. & Schaling, E., 2008, "Forecasting the South African Economy : A DSGE-VAR Approach," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2008-32.
• Liu, G. & Gupta, R. & Schaling, E., 2008, "Forecasting the South African Economy : A DSGE-VAR Approach," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number adfaca2d-b9dd-4548-93d0-3.
• Nico Voigtländer & Joachim Voth, 2008, "The three horsemen of riches: Plague, war and urbanization in early modern Europe," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1115, Aug, revised Jun 2012.
• Nico Voigtländer & Joachim Voth, 2008, "How the West "invented" fertility restriction," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1264, Dec, revised Dec 2012.
• Paul Söderlind, 2008, "Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen, number 2008-12, Jun.
• Jos� Brambila Macias & Guido Cazzavillan, 2008, "Modelling the Informal Economy in Mexico. A Structural Equation Approach," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2008_41.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2008, "Testing directional forecast value in the presence of serial correlation," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2008-073.

2007

• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Ian Bain, 2007, "Projected Economic Growth in China and India: The Role of Demographic Change," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2006-477, Nov.
• Rod Tyers & Jane Golley, 2007, "China’s Real Exchange Rate," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2007-479, May.
• Rod Tyers & Iain Bain, 2007, "Appreciating the Renminbi," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics, number 2007-483, Jul.
• Mabugu, Ramos & Chitiga, Margaret, 2007, "South Africa Trade Liberalization and Poverty in a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 331607.
• Tyers, Rod & Golley, Jane & Yongxiang, Bu & Bain, Iain, 2007, "China's Economic Growth and its Real Exchange Rate," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 331659.
• Brad Baxter & Liam Graham & Stephen Wright, 2007, "The Endogenous Kalman Filter," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0719, Nov.
• René Lalonde & Dirk Muir, 2007, "The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 98, DOI: 10.34989/tr-98.
• John Galbraith & Greg Tkacz, 2007, "Electronic Transactions as High-Frequency Indicators of Economic Activity," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-58, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-58.
• Capistrán Carlos, 2007, "Optimality Tests for Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2007-14, Dec.
• Guangling (dave Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2007, "A Small‐Scale Dsge Model For Forecasting The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 75, issue 2, pages 179-193, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00118.x.
• Rangan Gupta, 2007, "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH GIBBS SAMPLED BVECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 75, issue 4, pages 631-643, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00141.x.
• Roy Batchelor, 2007, "Forecaster Behaviour and Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 39.
• Michael Berlemann & Gerit Vogt, 2007, "Kurzfristige Wachstumseffekte von Naturkatastrophen," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 52.
• António Bento Ratão Caleiro & Esmeralda de Jesus Ratinho Lopes Arranhado Ramalho, 2007, "Consumer confidence in Portugal – What Does it Really Matter?," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal), number 2007_03.
• Toshihiro Ihori & Ryuta Ray Kato & Masumi Kawade & Shun-ichiro Bessho, 2005, "Public Debt and Economic Growth in an Aging Japan," CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, number CARF-F-046, Sep.
• Juan Carlos Botero Ramírez & �ngela Mar�a P�rez Mu�oz, 2007, "Opciones tipo barrera sobre la tasa de cambio Peso/Dólar," Revista Ad-Minister, Universidad EAFIT.
• Henk Kranendonk & Johan Verbruggen, 2007, "SAFFIER; a multi-purpose model of the Dutch economy for short-term and medium-term analyses," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 144, Apr.
• Luca, MARCHIORI, 2007, "ChinAfrica : How can the Sino-African cooperation be beneficial for Africa ?," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques), Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques, number 2007014, Apr.