Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

---

Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E2: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
/ / / E27: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2016

• Martin Werding, 2016, "One Pillar Crumbling, the Others Too Short: Old-Age Provision in Germany," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 237, issue 1, pages 13-21, August.
• Shahzad Ahmad & Farooq Pasha & Muhammad Rehman, 2016, "The Role of Money in Explaining Business Cycles for a Developing Economy: The Case of Pakistan," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 74, Apr.
• Sukumaran Nair, M.K., 2016, "Macroeconomic Determinants of Economic Diversification in Botswana," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 3606140, May.
• Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016, "Forecasting US real private residential fixed investment using a large number of predictors," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 51, issue 4, pages 1557-1580, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-015-1059-z.
• Fabio Busetti & Claire Giordano & Giordano Zevi, 2016, "The Drivers of Italy’s Investment Slump During the Double Recession," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), volume 2, issue 2, pages 143-165, July, DOI: 10.1007/s40797-016-0028-9.
• Robert Lehmann & Antje Weyh, 2016, "Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results Helpful?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 12, issue 1, pages 81-117, September, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-016-0002-5.
• Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2016, "Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the US Surveys of Consumers," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 12, issue 2, pages 187-215, December, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-016-0010-5.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2016, "Modelling cross-dependencies between Spain’s regional tourism markets with an extension of the Gaussian process regression model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 7, issue 3, pages 341-357, August, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-016-0144-7.
• Ferdinand Fichtner & Roland Döhrn & Oliver Holtemöller & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016, "Aufschwung bleibt moderat — Wirtschaftspolitik wenig wachstumsorientiert
  [Upturn Remains Moderate — Economic Policy Lacks Growth Orientation]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 96, issue 5, pages 351-356, May, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-016-1981-5.
• Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish, 2016, "A graphical representation of an estimated DSGE model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 48, issue 6, pages 483-489, February, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083084.
• Massimiliano Marcellino & Mario Porqueddu & Fabrizio Venditti, 2016, "Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 34, issue 1, pages 118-127, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2015.1006773.
• Ufuk Demiroglu & Caglar Yunculer, 2016, "Estimating light-vehicle sales in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 16, issue 3, pages 93-108.
• Kurmas Akdogan, 2016, "Unemployment Hysteresis and Structural Change in Europe," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1618.
• Ufuk Demiroglu & Caglar Yunculer, 2016, "Estimating Light-Vehicle Sales in Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1627.
• Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2016, "Determinants of Consumer Sentiment over Business Cycles: Evidence from the U.S. Surveys of Consumers," Working Papers, Towson University, Department of Economics, number 2016-14, Jul, revised Jul 2016.
• Michael Kouparitsas & Dinar Prihardini & Alexander Beames, 2016, "Analysis of the long term effects of a company tax cut," Treasury Working Papers, The Treasury, Australian Government, number 2016-02, May, revised May 2016.
• Lourdes Osorio Bayter & Francisco Salinas Ramos, 2016, "El contexto y el centro residencial para las personas adultos mayores En Colombia y España. La empresa social una alternativa para el bienestar
  [The context and the residential center for the elderly in Colombia and Spain. The social enterprise on," REVESCO: Revista de estudios cooperativos, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Escuela de Estudios Cooperativos, issue 121, pages 205-227.
• Giuseppe Moscarini & Fabien Postel-Vinay, 2016, "Did the Job Ladder Fail after the Great Recession?," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, volume 34, issue S1, pages 55-93, DOI: 10.1086/682366.
• Francis Bismans & Igor N. Litvine, 2016, "Forecasting with Neural Networks Models," Working Papers of BETA, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg, number 2016-28.
• Mario Holzner, 2016, "Policy Options for Competitiveness and Economic Development in the Western Balkans: the Case for Infrastructure Investment," wiiw Policy Notes, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 16, Jun.
• Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2016, "Forecasting Consumption: the Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 31, issue 7, pages 1254-1275, November.
• Hélène Maisonnave & Bernard Decaluwe & Margaret Chitiga, 2016, "Does South African Affirmative Action Policy Reduce Poverty? A CGE Analysis," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, volume 8, issue 3, pages 212-227, September, DOI: 10.1002/pop4.145.
• Werding, Martin, 2016, "Modellrechnungen für den vierten Tragfähigkeitsbericht des BMF
  [Simulations for the 4th Sustainability Report]," FiFo Reports - FiFo-Berichte, University of Cologne, FiFo Institute for Public Economics, number 20.
• Wieland, Volker & Afanasyeva, Elena & Kuete, Meguy & Yoo, Jinhyuk, 2016, "New methods for macro-financial model comparison and policy analysis," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 107.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016, "Konjunktur aktuell: Stabile Konjunktur in Deutschland trotz krisenhaften Umfelds," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 4, issue 1, pages 4-29.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016, "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Binnenkonjunktur weiter im Aufwind," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 4, issue 2, pages 44-55.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Exß, Franziska & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Ludwig, Udo & Schultz, Birgit, 2016, "Ostdeutsche Wirtschaftspolitik muss umdenken: Nur mit Investitionen in Köpfe lässt sich weiter aufholen," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 4, issue 2, pages 56-85.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016, "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in Deutschland bleibt trotz sinkender Stimmung robust," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 4, issue 3, pages 92-107.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016, "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft weiter von Konsum und Bau beflügelt," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 4, issue 4, pages 112-154.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2016, "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2016 bis 2021," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 4, issue 4, pages 155-158.

2015

• Liping Gao & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2015, "Testing the Predictability of Consumption Growth: Evidence from China," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Auburn University, number auwp2015-19, Dec.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015, "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices Based on Nowcast and Forecast Error Distributions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 105, issue 5, pages 650-655, May.
• Lachaud, Michee & Bravo-Ureta, Boris & Ludena, Carlos, 2015, "Agricultural Productivity Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC): An analysis of Climatic Effects, Convergence, and Catch-up," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy, International Association of Agricultural Economists, number 211721, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.211721.
• Fofana, Ismael & Goundan, Anatole & Magne Domgho, Lea, 2015, "Impact Simulation of ECOWAS Rice Self-Sufficiency Policy," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy, International Association of Agricultural Economists, number 212211, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.212211.
• Jorge León Murillo & Esteban Méndez-Chacón, 2015, "Probability of Sudden Correction of Current Account for Costa Rica: a Survival Analysis Approach," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 1504, Nov.
• Carlos Chaverri-Morales & Juan Diego Chavarría Mejía, 2015, "Forecasting Inflation With Bayesian Techniques," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 1505, Nov.
• Daisuke IDA & Yoichi MATSUBAYASHI, 2015, "地域dsgeモデルの応用可能性：家計の異質性を考慮して," APIR Discussion Paper Series, Asia Pacific Institute of Research, number 1005120, Feb.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015, "“Regional Forecasting with Support Vector Regressions: The Case of Spain”," AQR Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, number 201506, Jan, revised Jan 2015.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015, "“Self-organizing map analysis of agents’ expectations. Different patterns of anticipation of the 2008 financial crisis”," AQR Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, number 201508, Mar, revised Mar 2015.
• Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez Martin, 2015, "Monitoring the world business cycle," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 1506, Feb.
• Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez-Martin, 2015, "Monitoring the world business cycle," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1509, Mar.
• Maximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2015, "Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic non-linear approach," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1523, Sep.
• Fabio Busetti & Claire Giordano & Giordano Zevi, 2015, "Main drivers of the recent decline in Italy�s non-construction investment," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 276, Jun.
• F. Canova & F. Ferroni & C. Matthes, 2015, "Approximating time varying structural models with time invariant structures," Working papers, Banque de France, number 578.
• Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Jonathan Kearns & Marco Jacopo Lombardi, 2015, "(Why) Is investment weak?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
• Roger E. A. Farmer, 2015, "The Stock Market Crash Really Did Cause the Great Recession," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 77, issue 5, pages 617-633, October.
• Thomas Gilbert & Chiara Scotti & Georg H. Strasser & Clara Vega, 2015, "Is the Intrinsic Value of Macroeconomic News Announcements Related to Their Asset Price Impact?," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 874, Feb, revised 23 Apr 2015.
• Gabor Pinter, 2015, "House prices and job losses," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 569, Dec.
• Dimitris Papageorgiou & Evangelia Vourvachaki, 2015, "The Macroeconomic Impact of Structural Reforms in Product and Labour Markets: Trade-Offs and Complementarities," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 197, Oct.
• Camacho Maximo & Lovcha Yuliya & Quiros Gabriel Perez, 2015, "Can we use seasonally adjusted variables in dynamic factor models?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 19, issue 3, pages 377-391, June, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2013-0096.
• Matías Mayor & Roberto Patuelli, 2015, "Spatial panel data forecasting over different horizons, cross-sectional and temporal dimensions," Revue d'économie régionale et urbaine, Armand Colin, volume 0, issue 1, pages 149-180.
• Graham Gudgin & Ken Coutts & Neil Gibson, 2015, "The CBR Macro-Economic Model of the UK Economy (UKMOD)," Working Papers, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge, number wp472, Sep.
• Guy Dabi GAB-LEYBA & Bertrand LAPORTE, 2015, "Oil Contracts, Progressive Taxation and Government Take in the Context of Uncertainty in Crude Oil Prices: The Case of Chad," Working Papers, CERDI, number 201525, Oct.
• Mordecai Kurz & Maurizio Motolese & Giulia Piccillo & Howei Wu, 2015, "Monetary Policy with Diverse Private Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5252.
• Gabor Pinter, 2015, "House Prices and Job Losses," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 1507, Mar.
• David Rezza Baqaee, 2015, "Asymmetric Inflation Expectations, Downward Rigidity of Wages and Asymmetric Business Cycles," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 1601, Dec.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2015, "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 1602, Dec.
• Máximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-León & Gabriel Pérez-Quiros, 2015, "Country Shocks, Monetary Policy Expectations and ECB Decisions. A Dynamic Non-Linear Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 764, Aug.
• Oscar Andrés Espinosa & Paola Andrea Vaca, 2015, "Incidencias de los sectores financiero, fiscal y externo en la actividad económica colombiana: una aproximación VAR Bayesiana," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
• Cristina Fernández & Leonardo Villar & Paulo Mauricio S�nchez, 2015, "¿Hay vida después de las bonanzas?," Working Papers Series. Documentos de Trabajo, Fedesarrollo, number 13609, Aug.
• Alejandra Miller Restrepo & Juliana Isabel Sarmiento Castillo & Andr�s Mauricio G�mez S�nchez, 2015, "Participación laboral de las mujeres en el municipio de Popayán (Colombia)," Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, volume 0, issue 1, pages 23-51.
• Cristina Fernández & Leonardo Villar & Paulo Mauricio S�nchez, 2015, "¿Hay vida después de las bonanzas?," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, volume 45, issue 2, pages 15-53.
• G.A. Meagher & R.A. Wilson & Hector Pollitt, 2015, "The Europe 2020 Strategy and Skill Mismatch," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre, number g-259, Dec.
• Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo & Matthes, Christian, 2015, "Approximating time varying structural models with time invariant structures," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10803, Sep.
• Barnichon, Regis & Garda, Paula, 2015, "Forecasting Unemployment across Countries: the Ins and Outs," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 10910, Nov.
• Skreta, Vasiliki & Giacomini, Raffaella & Turén, Javier, 2015, "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 11004, Dec.
• Mordecai Kurz & Maurizio Motolese & Giulia Piccillo & Howei Wu, 2015, "Monetary Policy with Diverse Private Expectations," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE), number def022, Jan.
• Lance Kent, 2015, "Relaxing Rational Expectations," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 159, Mar.
• Bengt Assarsson & Pär Österholm, 2015, "Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, volume 61, issue 4, pages 391-404, DOI: 10.3790/aeq.61.4.391.
• Sebastian Gechert & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2015, "The Costs of Greece's Fiscal Consolidation," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 84, issue 3, pages 47-59, DOI: 10.3790/vjh.84.3.47.
• Chaido Dritsak, 2015, "Box Jenkins Modeling of Greek Stock Prices Data," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 5, issue 3, pages 740-747.
• Gualdi, Stanislao & Tarzia, Marco & Zamponi, Francesco & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2015, "Tipping points in macroeconomic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, pages 29-61, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2014.08.003.
• Garín, Julio, 2015, "Borrowing constraints, collateral fluctuations, and the labor market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 57, issue C, pages 112-130, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2015.05.007.
• Camacho, Maximo & Martinez-Martin, Jaime, 2015, "Monitoring the world business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 51, issue C, pages 617-625, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.09.013.
• Camacho, Maximo & Dal Bianco, Marcos & Martinez-Martin, Jaime, 2015, "Toward a more reliable picture of the economic activity: An application to Argentina," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 132, issue C, pages 129-132, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.032.
• Madeira, João, 2015, "Firm-specific capital, inflation persistence and the sources of business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 74, issue C, pages 229-243, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.12.004.
• Dovern, Jonas, 2015, "A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 80, issue C, pages 16-35, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.08.009.
• Argyropoulos, Efthymios & Tzavalis, Elias, 2015, "Real term structure forecasts of consumption growth," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 208-222, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.03.013.
• Wise, Marshall & Hodson, Elke L. & Mignone, Bryan K. & Clarke, Leon & Waldhoff, Stephanie & Luckow, Patrick, 2015, "An approach to computing marginal land use change carbon intensities for bioenergy in policy applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, pages 337-347, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2015.05.009.
• Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2015, "Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 1, pages 144-154, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.06.002.
• Angelini, E. & Dieppe, A. & Pierluigi, B., 2015, "Modelling internal devaluation experiences in Europe: Rational or learning agents?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 43, issue C, pages 81-92, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2014.08.008.
• Jalles, João Tovar & Karibzhanov, Iskander & Loungani, Prakash, 2015, "Cross-country evidence on the quality of private sector fiscal forecasts," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 45, issue C, pages 186-201, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.04.009.
• Goyette, Jonathan & Gallipoli, Giovanni, 2015, "Distortions, efficiency and the size distribution of firms," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 45, issue C, pages 202-221, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.04.008.
• Cristina Dorofti & Petr Jakubik, 2015, "Insurance Sector Profitability and the Macroeconomic Environment," EIOPA Financial Stability Report - Thematic Articles, EIOPA, Risks and Financial Stability Department, number 4, Jun.
• Casper Christophersen & Juan Zschiesche, 2015, "Macroprudential Objectives and Instruments for Insurance – An Initial Discussion," EIOPA Financial Stability Report - Thematic Articles, EIOPA, Risks and Financial Stability Department, number 5, Jun.
• Elia Berdin & Matteo Sottocornola, 2015, "Assessing Systemic Risk of the European Insurance Industry," EIOPA Financial Stability Report - Thematic Articles, EIOPA, Risks and Financial Stability Department, number 6, Dec.
• Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Maassen, N.R., 2015, "Consensus forecasters: How good are they individually and why?," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI2015-21, Oct.
• Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics, number 15-08.
• Duffy, David & McQuinn, Kieran & Byrne, David & Morley, Ciara, 2015, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2015," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20151, February.
• Duffy, David & McQuinn, Kieran & Byrne, David & Morley, Ciara, 2015, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2015," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20152, February.
• Duffy, David & McQuinn, Kieran & Morley, Ciara, 2015, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2015," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20153, February.
• Duffy, David & McQuinn, Kieran & Morley, Ciara & Foley, Daniel, 2015, "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2015," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20154, February.
• Sergey Ivashchenko, 2015, "A 5-sector DSGE Model of Russia," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics, number 2015/01, Mar.
• Kurmaş Akdoğan, 2015, "Unemployment Hysteresis and Structural Change in Europe," EY International Congress on Economics II (EYC2015), November 5-6, 2015, Ankara, Turkey, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association, number 266.
• Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez-Martin, 2015, "Monitoring the world business cycle," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 228, Feb, DOI: 10.24149/gwp228.
• Alan Armen & Evan F. Koenig, 2015, "Assessing monetary accommodation: a simple empirical model of monetary policy and its implications for unemployment and inflation," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Dec.
• Andrew C. Chang & Tyler J. Hanson, 2015, "The Accuracy of Forecasts Prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2015-62, Jul, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2015.062.
• Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni & Christian Matthes, 2015, "Approximating Time Varying Structural Models With Time Invariant Structures," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 15-10, Oct.
• Stavros Degiannakis, 2015, "A Probit Model for the State of the Greek GDP Growth," IJFS, MDPI, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-12, August.
• LE HERON Edwin & MAROUANE Amine, 2015, "A history of contemporary post Keynesian SFC model," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019), Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA), number 2015-15.
• Britta Stöver & Dr. Marc Ingo Wolter, 2015, "Unternehmensgründungen und Unternehmensschließungen - Branchenspezifische Projektionen bis 2016 auf Basis der Unternehmensdemografie und Berechnung der durchschnittlichen Produktion auf Grundlage von Modellergebnissen aus SPARTEN & INFORGE," GWS Discussion Paper Series, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research, number 15-8.
• Guy Dabi Gab-Leyba & Bertrand Laporte, 2015, "Oil Contracts, Progressive Taxation and Government Take in the Context of Uncertainty in Crude Oil Prices: The Case of Chad," CERDI Working papers, HAL, number halshs-01217417, Oct.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-01299777, Nov.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01299777, Nov.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number hal-01299777, Nov.
• Guy Dabi Gab-Leyba & Bertrand Laporte, 2015, "Oil Contracts, Progressive Taxation and Government Take in the Context of Uncertainty in Crude Oil Prices: The Case of Chad," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-01217417, Oct.
• János Vincze & Gergely Varga, 2015, "Ants and crickets: arbitrary saving rates in an agent-based model with infinitely lived-agents," KRTK-KTI WORKING PAPERS, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, number 1504, Jan.
• Assarsson, Bengt & Österholm, Pär, 2015, "Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 139, Sep.
• Prabir C. Bhattacharya, 2015, "A Model of Optimal Development: Further Results," Heriot-Watt University Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, School of Management and Languages, Heriot Watt University, number 1504a.
• Schanne, Norbert, 2015, "A Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model for regional labour markets and its forecasting performance with leading indicators in Germany," IAB-Discussion Paper, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], number 201513.
• Lehmann, Robert & Weyh, Antje, 2015, "Forecasting employment in Europe: Are survey results helpful?," IAB-Discussion Paper, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], number 201530.
• Guglielmo D’Amico & Giuseppe Di Biase & Raimondo Manca, 2015, "Measuring Income Inequality: An Application Of The Population Dynamic Theil'S Entropy," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 7, issue 1, pages 103-114.
• Lachaud, Michée Arnold & Bravo-Ureta, Boris E. & Ludeña, Carlos E., 2015, "Agricultural Productivity Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean and Other World Regions: An Analysis of Climatic Effects, Convergence and Catch-up," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 7209, Sep, DOI: https://doi.org/10.18235/0000142.
• Florela Stoian, 2015, "World Copper Market Outlook: 2003-2014," Revista de Economie Mondiala / The Journal of Global Economics, Institute for World Economy, Romanian Academy, volume 7, issue 2.
• Carlos A. Medel, 2015, "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 30, issue 1, pages 57-72, Abril.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015, "“Regional Forecasting with Support Vector Regressions: The Case of Spain”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201507, Jan, revised Jan 2015.
• Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015, "“Self-organizing map analysis of agents' expectations. Different patterns of anticipation of the 2008 financial crisis”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201511, Mar, revised Mar 2015.
• Dmitri Blueschke & Ivan Savin, 2015, "No such thing like perfect hammer: comparing different objective function specifications for optimal control," Jena Economics Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, number 2015-005, May.
• Daniel Harenberg & Alexander Ludwig, 2015, "Social security in an analytically tractable overlapping generations model with aggregate and idiosyncratic risks," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, volume 22, issue 4, pages 579-603, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10797-015-9368-x.
• Stefan Neuwirth, 2015, "Ein Kurzfristindikatormodell für Prognosen der internationalen Konjunktur," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 9, issue 2, pages 31-41, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Heiner F. Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2015, "Real-Time Forecasting with a MIDAS VAR," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 15-377, Apr, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010414894.
• Halmai, Péter, 2015, "Az európai növekedési potenciál eróziója és válsága
  [Erosion and crisis in European growth potential]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 4, pages 379-414.
• Patrizio Laina, 2015, "Money Creation under Full-reserve Banking: A Stock-flow Consistent Model," Economics Working Paper Archive, Levy Economics Institute, number wp_851, Oct.
• ‎Eftekhari Mahabadi, Samaneh & Kiaee, Hasan, 2015, "Determinants of Inflation in Selected Countries," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 10, issue 2, pages 113-148, January.
• Mohammadi, Shapoor & Tehrani, Reza & Khansari, Rasool, 2015, "Determinants of International Sukuk Issuance and Capacity Estimation for Iranian Financial Market," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 10, issue 3, pages 1-28, July.
• Daniel Harenberg & Ludwig, Alexander, 2015, "Idiosyncratic Risk, Aggregate Risk, and the Welfare Effects of Social Security," MEA discussion paper series, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, number 201403, May.
• Tamás Ilyés & Lóránt Varga, 2015, "A General Equilibrium Approach of Retail Payments," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2015/3.
• Yuri Biondi & Simone Righi, 2015, "Inequality, mobility and the financial accumulation process: A computational economic analysis," Department of Economics (DEMB), University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Department of Economics "Marco Biagi", number 0058, Jul.
• Jorge Guzman & Scott Stern, 2015, "Nowcasting and Placecasting Entrepreneurial Quality and Performance," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20954, Feb.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2015, "The Accuracy Analysis of Inflation Rate Forecasts in Euro Area," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, volume 3, issue 1, pages 80-85, May.
• Jean-Marc Fournier & Falilou Fall, 2015, "Limits to government debt sustainability," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1229, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5jrxv0fctk7j-en.
• Falilou Fall & Jean-Marc Fournier, 2015, "Macroeconomic uncertainties, prudent debt targets and fiscal rules," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1230, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5jrxv0bf2vmx-en.
• Falilou Fall & Debra Bloch & Jean-Marc Fournier & Peter Hoeller, 2015, "Prudent debt targets and fiscal frameworks," OECD Economic Policy Papers, OECD Publishing, number 15, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/5jrxtjmmt9f7-en.
• Jean Chateau & Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2015, "Trade patterns in the 2060 world economy," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, volume 2015, issue 1, pages 67-100, DOI: 10.1787/eco_studies-2015-5jrs63llqg.
• Sebastian Gechert, 2015, "What fiscal policy is most effective? A meta-regression analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 67, issue 3, pages 553-580.
• Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide & Minchul Shin, 2015, "Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 15-018, May, revised 01 May 2015.
• Báger, Gusztáv, 2015, "Investment Ebb and Flow in the Hungarian Economy," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, volume 60, issue 2, pages 147-170.
• Jaroslav Pavlicek & Ladislav Kristoufek, 2015, "Nowcasting Unemployment Rates with Google Searches: Evidence from the Visegrad Group Countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, volume 10, issue 5, pages 1-11, May, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0127084.
• LI, XI HAO & Gallegati, Mauro, 2015, "Stock-Flow Dynamic Projection," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 62047, Jan.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "Digital waves in economics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 64755, Jun.
• Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015, "General information product theory in economics science," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 64991, Jun.
• Şen, Hüseyin & Kaya, Ayşe, 2015, "Growth enhancing effect of discretionary fiscal policy shocks: Keynesian, Weak Keynesian or Non-Keynesian?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 65976, Aug, revised 05 Aug 2015.
• EZZAHIDI, Elhadj & El Alaoui, Aicha, 2015, "Determinants of the recent growth surge in Africa: what changed since mid-1990s?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67792, Nov.
• Degiannakis, Stavros, 2015, "A Probit Model for the State of the Greek GDP Growth," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 96280.
• Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015, "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201543, Jun.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2015, "The Improvement of Unemployment Rate Predictions Accuracy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2015, issue 3, pages 274-286, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.519.
• Václav Rybáček, 2015, "Vliv trhu mezistatků na úspěšnost prognóz ekonomické aktivity
  [Influence of the Intermediate Goods Market on the Success of Economic Activity Forecasts]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2015, issue 3, pages 331-346, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1006.
• Gabriela Castro & José R. Maria & Paulo Júlio, 2015, "Financial Fragmentation Shocks," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201508.
• Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015, "A Time Varying DSGE Model with Financial Frictions," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 769, Dec.
• Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015, "A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 770, Dec.
• David Lancaster & Peter Tulip, 2015, "Okun's Law and Potential Output," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2015-14, Dec.
• Russell Cooper & Guozhong Zhu, 2015, "Code and data files for "Household Finance over the Life-Cycle: What does Education Contribute?"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 14-318, revised .
• Tao Zha & Jianjun Miao & Zheng Liu, 2015, "Land Prices and Unemployment," 2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1118.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2015, "A Comparative Analysis Of Macroeconomic Forecasts Accuracy In Spain And Romania," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, volume 6, issue 1, pages 67-74.
• Mariana BĂLAN & Brînduşa-Mihaela RADU, 2015, "Analysis and Forecast of Romania’s Population Ageing by Non-Linear Methods," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, number 150820, Aug.
• Randall Jackson & Juan Tomas Sayago-Gomez, 2015, "Foundations of the WVU Econometric Input-Output Model," Working Papers, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University, number Resource Document 2015-02, Sep.
• Matthew Stern & Yash Ramkolowan, 2021, "Understanding South Africa’s trade policy and performance," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number 26, Jun.
• Dimitra Lamprou, 2015, "Nowcasting GDP in Greece: A Note on Forecasting Improvements from the Use of Bridge Models," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, volume 13, issue 1, pages 85-100.
• Liqun Du, 2015, "Positive correlation between government expenditure and real interest rate: Testing Ramsey Model based on American and Chinese data," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 2204985, Sep.
• Michał Bernardelli & Monika Dędys, 2015, "Markov switching models in the analysis of business cycle synchronization," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 39, pages 213-228.
• Mordecai Kurz & Maurizio Motolese & Giulia Piccillo & Howei Wu, 2015, "Monetary Policy with Diverse Private Expectations," Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, number 15-004, Mar.
• Don Drummond & Evan Capeluck, 2015, "Long-term Fiscal and Economic Projections for Canada and the Provinces and Territories, 2014-2038," CSLS Research Reports, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, number 2015-08, Jul.
• André M. Marques & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2015, "Searching for Patterns of Unemployment Persistence in OECD Countries with Aggregated and Disaggregated Data, 2000-2014," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2015_14, Jul, revised 30 Jul 2015.
• Elena Gurgu & Cosmina Savu, 2015, "Global Risk Management – A Necessity in a World of Vulnerabilities and of ECO-Economy and BIO -ECO-Economy Needed by ECO-SANO-Genesis," Journal of Economic Development, Environment and People, Alliance of Central-Eastern European Universities, volume 4, issue 2, pages 21-38, June.
• Serena Brianzoni & Raffaella Coppier & Elisabetta Michetti, 2015, "Multiple equilibria in a discrete time growth model with corruption in public procurement," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 49, issue 6, pages 2387-2410, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-014-0119-3.
• Roland Döhrn & Ferdinand Fichtner & Oliver Holtemöller & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015, "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Flüchtlingsmigration stellt Wirtschaftspolitik vor Herausforderungen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 95, issue 10, pages 696-700, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1889-5.
• Juraj Hucek & Alexander Karsay & Marian Vavra, 2015, "Short-term Forecasting of Real GDP Using Monthly Data," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number OP 1/2015, Jul.
• Christelle Grobler & Ben Smit, 2015, "Enhancing the financial sector linkages in the Bureau for Economic Research’s core macroeconometric model," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 21/2015.
• Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015, "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 3, pages 207-221, January, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959707.
• Li Dai & Patrick Minford & Peng Zhou, 2015, "A DSGE model of China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 59, pages 6438-6460, December, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071477.
• Arnold Zellner & Jacques Kibambe Ngoie, 2015, "Evaluation of the Effects of Reduced Personal and Corporate Tax Rates on the Growth Rates of the U.S. Economy," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 34, issue 1-2, pages 56-81, February, DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2014.944468.
• Hatice Gokce Karasoy & Caglar Yunculer, 2015, "The Explanatory Power and the Forecast Performance of Consumer Confidence Indices for Private Consumption Growth in Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1519.
• Judy L Klein, 2015, "The Cold War Hot House for Modeling Strategies at the Carnegie Institute of Technology," Working Papers Series, Institute for New Economic Thinking, number 19, Oct, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2667883.
• Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2015, "Forecasting Consumption: The Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors," Working Papers, Towson University, Department of Economics, number 2015-02, Jul, revised Jul 2015.
• Nattavudh Powdthavee & Yohanes E. Riyanto, 2015, "Would you Pay for Transparently Useless Advice? A Test of Boundaries of Beliefs in The Folly of Predictions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 97, issue 2, pages 257-272, May.
• Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015, "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 10197/7351.
• Tae-Hwy Lee & Yiyao Wang, 2015, "Finding SPF Percentiles Closest to Greenbook," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 201503, Feb.
• Filippo Ferroni & Stefano Grassi & Miguel A. Leon-Ledesma, 2015, "Fundamental shock selection in DSGE models," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1508, May.
• Juan Carlos Guevara Guevara, 2015, "Bi-directional Causality between Firm and Household Credit: The Eurozone and Venezuelan cases," Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales (IIES). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales. Universidad de Los Andes. Mérida, Venezuela, volume 40, issue 39, pages 73-118, January-J.
• Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015, "Macroeconomic uncertainty indices based on nowcast and forecast error distributions," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1477, Jan.
• Mordecai Kurz & M. Motolese & G. Piccillo & H. Hu, 2015, "Monetary Policy with Diverse Private Expectations," Working Papers, Utrecht School of Economics, number 15-03.
• Loretti I. Dobrescu, 2015, "To Love or to Pay: Savings and Health Care in Older Age," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, volume 50, issue 1, pages 254-299.