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The CBR Macro-Economic Model of the UK Economy (UKMOD)

Author

Listed:
  • Graham Gudgin
  • Ken Coutts
  • Neil Gibson

Abstract

This working paper provides a detailed exposition of the assumptions, structure and statistical evidence that support a new macroeconomic forecasting and simulation model of the UK economy. The model is based on an annual dataset that produces conditional forecasts or simulations over a five to ten year horizon. The model enables us to discuss issues of policy in quantitative terms so that the orders of magnitude of the economic consequences can be assessed. Readers of our forecast reports will find in this paper the information that justifies the modelling methodology and the empirical evidence supporting the key behavioural relationships of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Graham Gudgin & Ken Coutts & Neil Gibson, 2015. "The CBR Macro-Economic Model of the UK Economy (UKMOD)," Working Papers wp472, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbr:cbrwps:wp472
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    File URL: https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/cbrwp472/
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Muysken, Joan & Bonekamp, Bas & Meijers, Huub, 2017. "Stock-flow consistent data for the Dutch economy, 1995-2015," MERIT Working Papers 2017-045, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    2. Ken Coutts & Graham Gudgin & Jordan Buchanan, 2018. "How the Economics Profession Got It Wrong on Brexit," Working Papers wp493, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomic policy; fiscal and monetary policy; macroeconomic forecasts; macroeconomic models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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