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Nodokļu ieņēmumu modelēšana, izmantojot sistēmdinamikas metodi
[Taxes income modeling with system dynamic method]


  • Skribans, Valerijs


In the paper the author represents the system dynamic model of taxes income and it action results. The system dynamic is one from systems research methods, which analyses the systems in time depending from structure of system elements and their mutual influence, including reasons connections, feedback, reaction delay and so on. In Latvia this method used in building industry forecasting, estimated credit burden for Latvia and Latvian populations, for job market and labour migration, for mobile telephones market in Latvia. In paper method bases are described and shown its application possibilities in macroeconomics. In paper is declared, that the system dynamic model base is the macroeconomic circulating in model. In model basis is householders and firms. The blocks of savings and government complement model. In paper both graphic and equalization form shown it relations. One from novelty elements is constrained with form of the mathematical equalizations of these connections in the system dynamic model. A model allows estimate volumes of material stocks in the state, their changes, get GNP level from production and demand hands. Using a model, it is possible to simulate income of taxes and state budget. In paper state budget prognosis is given for 2009 for Latvia, as also estimated influence of crises and changes of taxes rates to taxes income. In paper offered use system dynamic method and produced model in teaching process, in macroeconomics studying.

Suggested Citation

  • Skribans, Valerijs, 2009. "Nodokļu ieņēmumu modelēšana, izmantojot sistēmdinamikas metodi
    [Taxes income modeling with system dynamic method]
    ," MPRA Paper 27096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:27096

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Skribans, Valerijs, 2009. "Modelling crediting volume by using the system dynamic method," MPRA Paper 16353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Skribans, Valerijs, 2009. "Krīzes un 2009. gada nodokļu politikas izmaiņu ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku
      [Influence of the Crisis and 2009 Tax Policy Changes on the Latvian Economy]
      ," MPRA Paper 19141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item


    nodokļu politika; darba alga; darbaspēka migrācija; sistēmdinamika;

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • H70 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - General
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • H80 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - General
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics


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